Sebastian County, Arkansas
AkashicSebastian County, ARTrumpR+37.5
2024 precinct map of Sebastian CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Sebastian County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin, and gold where an independent or third-party candidate carried the precinct.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 67.6% | 30,719 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 30.0% | 13,652 |
| Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent | 1.1% | 493 |
Harris +50Trump +50
91 precincts · 45,452 votes. Hover any precinct for its result.
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 30.0%Harris13,652 | 67.6%Trump30,719 | 1.1%Kennedy493 | 45,452 | ||
| R | 30.7%Biden14,487 | 66.2%Trump31,198 | 1.7%Jorgensen804 | 47,140 | ||
| R | 28.6%Clinton12,300 | 67.6%Trump29,127 | 3.8%Johnson1,630 | 43,057 | ||
| R | 30.2%Obama13,092 | 67.3%Romney29,169 | 1.6%Gray690 | 43,362 | ||
| R | 31.6%Obama13,673 | 66.3%McCain28,637 | 2.1%Nader902 | 43,212 | ||
| R | 37.3%Kerry16,479 | 61.8%Bush27,303 | 1.0%Nader429 | 44,211 | ||
| R | 38.7%Gore15,555 | 58.5%Bush23,483 | 1.3%Nader503 | 40,159 | ||
| R | 43.9%Clinton15,514 | 46.6%Dole16,482 | 8.2%Perot2,899 | 35,346 | ||
| R | 41.8%Clinton16,570 | 42.4%Bush16,817 | 15.2%Perot6,023 | 39,659 | ||
| R | 28.1%Dukakis9,684 | 70.9%Bush24,426 | 0.9%Dodge322 | 34,432 | ||
| R | 23.6%Mondale8,688 | 75.0%Reagan27,595 | 1.5%Bergland534 | 36,817 | ||
| R | 27.5%Carter10,141 | 63.5%Reagan23,403 | 9.0%Anderson3,335 | 36,879 | ||
| R | 47.1%Carter15,768 | 52.8%Ford17,671 | 0.1%Maddox34 | 33,473 | ||
| R | 18.6%McGovern5,770 | 81.2%Nixon25,219 | 0.2%Schmitz58 | 31,047 | ||
| R | 23.4%Humphrey6,320 | 44.6%Nixon12,073 | 32.0%Wallace8,649 | 27,042 | ||
| R | 43.8%Johnson10,299 | 55.8%Goldwater13,110 | 0.4%Hass84 | 23,493 | ||
| R | 42.2%Kennedy8,726 | 56.7%Nixon11,744 | 1.1%Byrd226 | 20,696 | ||
| R | 42.0%Stevenson7,489 | 57.4%Eisenhower10,234 | 0.7%Andrews118 | 17,841 | ||
| R | 43.5%Stevenson7,802 | 56.4%Eisenhower10,114 | 0.2%Hallinan28 | 17,944 | ||
| D | 57.4%Truman5,075 | 33.1%Dewey2,928 | 9.6%Thurmond845 | 8,848 | ||
| D | 63.5%Roosevelt6,008 | 36.5%Dewey3,452 | 0.1%Thomas7 | 9,467 | ||
| D | 72.4%Roosevelt5,249 | 27.2%Willkie1,968 | 0.4%Thomas29 | 7,246 | ||
| D | 79.4%Roosevelt4,539 | 20.3%Landon1,161 | 0.3%Lemke20 | 5,720 | ||
| D | 78.9%Roosevelt4,937 | 20.3%Hoover1,268 | 0.9%Thomas55 | 6,260 | ||
| R | 47.7%Smith3,186 | 51.8%Hoover3,465 | 0.5%Thomas33 | 6,684 | ||
| D | 52.5%Davis3,148 | 33.1%Coolidge1,985 | 14.3%La Follette859 | 5,992 | ||
| D | 50.8%Cox3,852 | 46.0%Harding3,492 | 3.2%Debs242 | 7,586 | ||
| D | 73.1%Wilson3,719 | 26.9%Hughes1,366 | 0.0% | 5,085 | ||
| D | 58.4%Wilson2,396 | 12.5%Taft514 | 29.1%Roosevelt1,193 | 4,103 | ||
| D | 52.9%Bryan3,035 | 35.7%Taft2,050 | 11.4%Debs652 | 5,737 | ||
| D | 50.1%Parker1,645 | 38.2%Roosevelt1,254 | 11.8%Debs387 | 3,286 | ||
| D | 67.8%Bryan2,094 | 31.2%McKinley964 | 1.0%Woolley31 | 3,089 | ||
| D | 71.6%Bryan2,622 | 27.6%McKinley1,009 | 0.8%Palmer29 | 3,660 | ||
| D | 60.0%Cleveland2,692 | 34.7%Harrison1,558 | 5.3%Weaver239 | 4,489 | ||
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +25.3% |
| 1896 | +44.1% |
| 1900 | +36.6% |
| 1904 | +11.9% |
| 1908 | +17.2% |
| 1912 | +45.9% |
| 1916 | +46.3% |
| 1920 | +4.7% |
| 1924 | +19.4% |
| 1928 | −4.2% |
| 1932 | +58.6% |
| 1936 | +59.1% |
| 1940 | +45.3% |
| 1944 | +27.0% |
| 1948 | +24.3% |
| 1952 | −12.9% |
| 1956 | −15.4% |
| 1960 | −14.6% |
| 1964 | −12.0% |
| 1968 | −21.3% |
| 1972 | −62.6% |
| 1976 | −5.7% |
| 1980 | −36.0% |
| 1984 | −51.4% |
| 1988 | −42.8% |
| 1992 | −0.6% |
| 1996 | −2.7% |
| 2000 | −19.7% |
| 2004 | −24.5% |
| 2008 | −34.6% |
| 2012 | −37.1% |
| 2016 | −39.1% |
| 2020 | −35.4% |
| 2024 | −37.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 71,409 |
| 2020 | 73,401 |
| 2022 | 71,223 |
| 2024 | 72,609 |
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
Sebastian County's population clusters around Fort Smith, the state's second-largest city, yet it still posts presidential margins exceeding 37 points for Republicans — suggesting urban concentration alone doesn't moderate partisan lean in this corner of the Ozark Plateau.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 62.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.5 points.
A population of 128,900, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,790 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crawford County and Toombs County.
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sebastian County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Sebastian County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sebastian County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sebastian County, Arkansas voted Republican by 37.5 points (R+37.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 45,452 votes cast, 13,652 went Democratic and 30,719 went Republican.
When did Sebastian County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sebastian County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Sebastian County, Arkansas?
Sebastian County, Arkansas has a population of 128,900 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sebastian County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Sebastian County, Arkansas is $57,790 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Sebastian County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sebastian County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.