HarrisDemocratic41.2%1,002TrumpRepublican56.9%1,385KennedyIndependent1.2%28
R+15.7- Lead
- 383
- Total
- 2,433
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- 49.1%
Akashiccounty
Monroe County, AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.1% of 4,977 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic40.7%1,147TrumpRepublican54.9%1,545HawkinsGreen1.2%33
R+14.1- Lead
- 398
- Total
- 2,816
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Turnout
- 51.9%
ClintonDemocratic46.2%1,312TrumpRepublican52.5%1,489JohnsonLibertarian1.3%37
R+6.2- Lead
- 177
- Total
- 2,838
- vs nation
- R+8.3
- Turnout
- 49.3%
ObamaDemocratic49.0%1,583RomneyRepublican49.1%1,585HonkalaGreen1.1%34
R+0.1- Lead
- 2
- Total
- 3,230
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.8%1,615McCainRepublican50.9%1,754OtherAll other candidates2.3%80
R+4.0- Lead
- 139
- Total
- 3,449
- vs nation
- R+11.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic55.9%2,049BushRepublican43.3%1,586OtherAll other candidates0.9%32
D+12.6- Lead
- 463
- Total
- 3,667
- vs nation
- D+15.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic58.0%1,910BushRepublican40.4%1,329NaderGreen0.9%29
D+17.6- Lead
- 581
- Total
- 3,293
- vs nation
- D+17.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic65.0%2,247DoleRepublican28.1%973PerotReform5.8%202
D+36.8- Lead
- 1,274
- Total
- 3,458
- vs nation
- D+28.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,5892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $43,2142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 40.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+28.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dallas County, AR · twin score 93.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 49.1%2,446 participants ÷ 4,977 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.0 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 40.2%–43.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,915 | 5,908 | 49.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,722 | 5,765 | 47.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,817 | 5,431 | 51.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,280 | 5,313 | 42.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,446 | 4,977 | 49.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 2,433 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -01 - Brinkley Ward 101 - Brinkley Ward 1 | 111 | 177 | 9 | 297 | 37.4% | 59.6% | R+22.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -02 - Brinkley Ward 202 - Brinkley Ward 2 | 167 | 114 | 6 | 287 | 58.2% | 39.7% | D+18.5 |
| Precinct -03 - Brinkley Ward 303 - Brinkley Ward 3 | 151 | 124 | 6 | 281 | 53.7% | 44.1% | D+9.6 |
| Precinct -11 - Clarendon Ward 111 - Clarendon Ward 1 | 103 | 74 | 5 | 182 | 56.6% | 40.7% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -22 - Holly Grove Township22 - Holly Grove Township | 169 | 8 | 4 | 181 | 93.4% | 4.4% | D+89.0 |
| Precinct -12 - Clarendon Ward 212 - Clarendon Ward 2 | 54 | 113 | 1 | 168 | 32.1% | 67.3% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -13 - Clarendon Ward 313 - Clarendon Ward 3 | 52 | 88 | 3 | 143 | 36.4% | 61.5% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -08 - Brinkley Township08 - Brinkley Township | 10 | 123 | 1 | 134 | 7.5% | 91.8% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -16 - Cypress Ridge16 - Cypress Ridge | 13 | 79 | 2 | 94 | 13.8% | 84.0% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -30 - Roc-Roe Township30 - Roc-Roe Township | 4 | 75 | 1 | 80 | 5.0% | 93.8% | R+88.8 |
| Precinct -25 - Keevil Township25 - Keevil Township | 11 | 57 | 1 | 69 | 15.9% | 82.6% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -20 - Greenfield Township20 - Greenfield Township | 8 | 56 | 0 | 64 | 12.5% | 87.5% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -17 - Dixon Township17 - Dixon Township | 34 | 26 | 0 | 60 | 56.7% | 43.3% | D+13.3 |
| Precinct -18 - Duncan Township18 - Duncan Township | 25 | 31 | 1 | 57 | 43.9% | 54.4% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -24 - Jackson Township24 - Jackson Township | 7 | 47 | 0 | 54 | 13.0% | 87.0% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -10 - Cache10 - Cache | 6 | 40 | 4 | 50 | 12.0% | 80.0% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -26 - Montgomery/Smalley Townsh26 - Montgomery/Smalley Townsh | 6 | 31 | 1 | 38 | 15.8% | 81.6% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -31 - Roc-Roe Township/City31 - Roc-Roe Township/City | 3 | 35 | 0 | 38 | 7.9% | 92.1% | R+84.2 |
| Precinct -19 - Fargo19 - Fargo | 22 | 7 | 0 | 29 | 75.9% | 24.1% | D+51.7 |
| Precinct -15 - Cleburne15 - Cleburne | 15 | 12 | 1 | 28 | 53.6% | 42.9% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -21 - Hindman Township21 - Hindman Township | 12 | 15 | 0 | 27 | 44.4% | 55.6% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -29 - Richland Township29 - Richland Township | 13 | 12 | 0 | 25 | 52.0% | 48.0% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -28 - Raymond Township28 - Raymond Township | 1 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 4.2% | 95.8% | R+91.7 |
| Precinct -27 - Pine Ridge Township27 - Pine Ridge Township | 5 | 18 | 0 | 23 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +12.7% |
| 1896 | +36.6% |
| 1900 | +27.5% |
| 1904 | +15.2% |
| 1908 | −5.5% |
| 1912 | +11.3% |
| 1916 | +18.7% |
| 1920 | −4.4% |
| 1924 | +40.0% |
| 1928 | +34.8% |
| 1932 | +81.8% |
| 1936 | +85.9% |
| 1940 | +84.1% |
| 1944 | +63.5% |
| 1948 | +48.2% |
| 1952 | +31.9% |
| 1956 | +13.7% |
| 1960 | +33.3% |
| 1964 | +6.8% |
| 1968 | +19.6% |
| 1972 | −28.9% |
| 1976 | +46.8% |
| 1980 | +13.6% |
| 1984 | −1.9% |
| 1988 | +4.8% |
| 1992 | +29.4% |
| 1996 | +36.8% |
| 2000 | +17.6% |
| 2004 | +12.6% |
| 2008 | −4.0% |
| 2012 | −0.1% |
| 2016 | −6.2% |
| 2020 | −14.1% |
| 2024 | −15.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 32 Senate · 2 Senate special · 15 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 4,566 |
| 2020 | 4,297 |
| 2022 | 4,026 |
| 2024 | 3,868 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−73 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,442 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $36,308 in average income, against $48,849 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+22.1 on average — 38 points more Democratic-leaning than Monroe County, AR itself (R+15.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pulaski County, AR21D+22.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Arkansas County, AR33
- Pulaski County, AR28
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41 |
| 2012 | −225 |
| 2013 | −138 |
| 2014 | −41 |
| 2015 | −155 |
| 2016 | −220 |
| 2017 | −133 |
| 2018 | −118 |
| 2019 | −133 |
| 2021 | −45 |
| 2022 | −33 |
| 2023 | −2 |
| 2024 | −85 |
| 2025 | −73 |
Monroe County sits in the Arkansas Delta lowlands, where a majority-Black population and persistent rural poverty create an unusual demographic profile for a county that still returns Republican presidential margins above 15 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 28.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.7 points.
A population of 6,589, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,214 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dallas County and Desha County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Dallas County
Arkansas
93.9twin score
% Blackmedian incomecollege share≠ elasticity
Desha County
Arkansas
93.1twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectory% Black≠ Irish ancestry
Nevada County
Arkansas
91.0twin score
elasticity% Blackcollege share≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Monroe County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Monroe County
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Monroe County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Monroe County, Arkansas voted Republican by 15.7 points (R+15.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,433 votes cast, 1,002 went Democratic and 1,385 went Republican.
When did Monroe County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Monroe County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Monroe County, Arkansas?
Monroe County, Arkansas has a population of 6,589 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Monroe County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Monroe County, Arkansas is $43,214 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Monroe County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Monroe County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.