akashic
1876–2024
Nevada County, Arkansas
Nevada County·Arkansas

For one hundred eight years, Nevada County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A rural Ouachita foothills county where Republican margins have widened each cycle

18762024·38 elections
Nevada County, Arkansas · Brandonrush · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+40
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
8,159
2024 ACS
Most similar
Lafayette County
AR · similarity 0.99
19 precincts · 2,907 votes cast
Trump · R+40
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−39.7%
8492,0022,907
2020R
−31.5%
1,0762,1333,358
2016R
−26.4%
1,1572,0003,192
2012R
−20.2%
1,3141,9963,384
2008R
−16.2%
1,4742,0623,635
2004R
−1.7%
1,6941,7523,477
2000D
+1.9%
1,8671,7963,738
1996D
+35.7%
2,2799763,650
1992D
+26.0%
2,2421,2173,948
1988D
+0.5%
1,7321,7143,459
1984R
−13.7%
1,7832,3524,152
1980D
+21.0%
2,6311,6974,440
1976D
+45.4%
3,1011,1634,269
1972R
−36.1%
1,1792,5133,692
1968D
+11.9%
1,3088403,921
1964D
+21.6%
2,1901,4063,625
1960D
+24.3%
1,6059372,751
1956D
+28.3%
1,8711,0392,943
1952D
+31.0%
1,9721,0373,014
1948D
+52.9%
1,1402021,772
1944D
+53.0%
1,3534151,771
1940D
+72.1%
1,3992241,630
1936D
+71.7%
1,2522041,461
1932D
+84.3%
2,3581972,564
1928D
+13.5%
1,2429462,192
1924D
+25.8%
7193861,291
1920R
−2.8%
1,2201,2922,551
1916D
+35.4%
1,3766572,033
1912D
+22.1%
6073221,290
1908D
+5.4%
8907841,964
1904D
+1.9%
5855561,524
1900R
−0.8%
7327441,569
1896D
+55.8%
1,6694692,149
1892D
+18.8%
1,1326452,586
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
25.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
31.1%
Methodist
19.8%
Other Christian
8.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 36.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nevada County sits in southwestern Arkansas's timber country, where a declining population and an aging rural demographic have pushed presidential margins steadily rightward, reaching nearly 40 points in 2024.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Nevada County peaked at eighty-four points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of two points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Nevada County's median household income of $53,886 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 20% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette County and Bradley County.