- Lead
- 1,522
- Total
- 11,024
- vs nation
- R+12.3
Arkansas 98th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,171
- Total
- 12,398
- vs nation
- R+13.9
- Lead
- 654
- Total
- 12,137
- vs nation
- R+7.5
- Lead
- 262
- Total
- 12,932
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Lead
- 447
- Total
- 12,696
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Lead
- 978
- Total
- 13,625
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Lead
- 1,892
- Total
- 13,481
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Lead
- 5,607
- Total
- 14,274
- vs nation
- D+30.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 33 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 929 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $45,9022024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 44.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 95, AR · twin score 92.7
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 98th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
93.8%
4,050 votes · D+87.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 92.6%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
61.3%
7,708 votes · R+22.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 56.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
11,138votes
74.0% of the vote · D+48.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 9,808 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
7,821votes
49.0% of the vote · R+1.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 7,708 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
+75.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+85.7 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · +70.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+13.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+9.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +12.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.1%3,804 | 65.9%7,341 | 11,145 |
| 2020 | R | 38.4%4,645 | 61.6%7,465 | 12,110 |
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+13.8, against R+3.5 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 58.2% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 22.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.8 points.
A population of 30,460, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,902 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 95 and State House District 97.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 98th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05098/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.