- Lead
- 3,233
- Total
- 10,520
- vs nation
- R+29.3
Arkansas 95th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,915
- Total
- 12,029
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Lead
- 2,296
- Total
- 12,003
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Lead
- 1,029
- Total
- 12,282
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Lead
- 1,506
- Total
- 13,850
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Lead
- 582
- Total
- 13,269
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Lead
- 1,633
- Total
- 12,723
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Lead
- 4,617
- Total
- 12,679
- vs nation
- D+27.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,2702024 5-year
- Population density
- 19 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,563 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $42,1332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 34.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 42, SC · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 95th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
93.7%
2,527 votes · D+87.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 93.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.5%
8,364 votes · R+45.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James G. Blaine, 1884 · 70.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
9,380votes
64.0% of the vote · D+37.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 9,121 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
8,364votes
72.5% of the vote · R+45.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 8,177 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
+71.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+81.6 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +69.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+29.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +28.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.6%3,311 | 67.4%6,858 | 10,169 |
| 2020 | R | 19.6%2,092 | 80.4%8,604 | 10,696 |
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+30.7, against R+10.8 in 2008. Evangelical Protestant adherents were the largest religious group at 54.8% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 45.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.7 points.
A population of 29,270, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,133 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42 and State House District 94.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 95th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.