akashic
1876–2024
Lafayette County, Arkansas
Lafayette County·Arkansas

For one hundred eight years, Lafayette County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A rural southwest Arkansas county where margins have widened each cycle

18762024·38 elections
Lafayette County, Arkansas · Billy Hathorn at en.wikipedia · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+38
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
6,136
2024 ACS
Most similar
Nevada County
AR · similarity 0.99
9 precincts · 2,325 votes cast
Trump · R+38
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−38.3%
6981,5892,325
2020R
−34.3%
8391,7572,679
2016R
−25.8%
1,0321,7582,816
2012R
−18.4%
1,1731,7132,929
2008R
−19.0%
1,1331,6852,902
2004R
−1.2%
1,5671,6043,191
2000D
+7.9%
1,8061,5383,383
1996D
+38.9%
2,4669713,845
1992D
+27.3%
2,2731,1883,979
1988D
+1.4%
1,9151,8603,800
1984R
−14.8%
1,6952,2904,007
1980D
+5.1%
1,9471,7563,776
1976D
+23.0%
2,3421,4673,809
1972R
−44.1%
9522,4603,421
1968D
+15.0%
1,2086723,584
1964D
+0.3%
1,4841,4762,967
1960D
+24.6%
1,2867132,325
1956D
+22.5%
1,3488362,280
1952D
+37.9%
1,6377332,386
1948D
+41.2%
7001131,424
1944D
+73.3%
1,1501771,327
1940D
+77.7%
1,3521591,536
1936D
+85.3%
1,2791001,382
1932D
+81.4%
1,4951511,652
1928D
+39.0%
9914351,427
1924D
+40.3%
7882981,215
1920D
+31.2%
9545001,454
1916D
+41.9%
8913651,256
1912D
+33.3%
498208871
1908D
+14.3%
7395521,311
1904D
+4.0%
6145661,213
1900R
−3.0%
422448871
1896D
+17.9%
6084231,036
1892D
+8.8%
438367805
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.8%
African American
29.5%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
32.3%
Methodist
11.2%
Other Christian
7.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lafayette County's population has fallen below 9,000 as agriculture remains the dominant economic base, and its presidential margins have shifted sharply rightward over the past two decades, reflecting broader rural realignment across the Arkansas Timberlands region.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Lafayette County peaked at eighty-five points in 1936; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of one points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Lafayette County's median household income of $41,278 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 22% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nevada County and Bradley County.