HarrisDemocratic39.6%3,412TrumpRepublican58.6%5,056KennedyIndependent0.9%79
R+19.1- Lead
- 1,644
- Total
- 8,626
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- 50.6%
Akashiccounty
Ouachita County, AR
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 50.6% of 17,054 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.5%3,995TrumpRepublican55.0%5,294JorgensenLibertarian0.8%79
R+13.5- Lead
- 1,299
- Total
- 9,629
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- 53.0%
ClintonDemocratic44.2%4,321TrumpRepublican54.8%5,351JohnsonLibertarian1.0%97
R+10.5- Lead
- 1,030
- Total
- 9,769
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- 52.9%
ObamaDemocratic44.9%4,633RomneyRepublican53.5%5,521OtherAll other candidates1.6%161
R+8.6- Lead
- 888
- Total
- 10,315
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.6%4,346McCainRepublican54.5%5,427OtherAll other candidates1.9%187
R+10.9- Lead
- 1,081
- Total
- 9,960
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic48.7%5,188BushRepublican50.2%5,345OtherAll other candidates1.1%117
R+1.5- Lead
- 157
- Total
- 10,650
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic52.6%5,464BushRepublican45.6%4,739NaderGreen1.0%100
D+7.0- Lead
- 725
- Total
- 10,395
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic62.5%6,635DoleRepublican29.6%3,136PerotReform6.9%733
D+33.0- Lead
- 3,499
- Total
- 10,609
- vs nation
- D+24.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,0852024 5-year
- Population density
- 30 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 733 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,2682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 40.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montgomery County, MS · twin score 92.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 50.6%8,626 participants ÷ 17,054 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.2%–38.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,002 | 18,912 | 52.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,460 | 18,560 | 40.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,629 | 18,166 | 53.0% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,162 | 17,495 | 40.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,626 | 17,054 | 50.6% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Ouachita County, AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.5%
2,808 votes · D+82.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 91.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
62.7%
6,620 votes · R+25.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 58.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
8,946votes
76.5% of the vote · D+52.9
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 7,411 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
6,700votes
51.2% of the vote · R+6.4
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 6,620 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
+72.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+82.3 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · +66.4 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+18.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+10.9 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +17.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.5%3,141 | 62.5%5,233 | 8,374 |
| 2020 | R | 41.5%3,854 | 58.5%5,443 | 9,297 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 16,141 |
| 2020 | 15,973 |
| 2022 | 15,165 |
| 2024 | 16,001 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−44 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,472 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,918 in average income, against $60,594 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.3 on average — 9.2 points more Republican-leaning than Ouachita County, AR itself (R+19.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Union County, AR53R+33.5
- Columbia County, AR32R+36.5
- Pulaski County, AR32D+22.1
- Calhoun County, AR31R+61.9
- Dallas County, AR21R+29.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Union County, AR68
- Pulaski County, AR44
- Columbia County, AR29
- Dallas County, AR28
- Faulkner County, AR24
- Calhoun County, AR22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −278 |
| 2012 | −317 |
| 2013 | −373 |
| 2014 | −154 |
| 2015 | −395 |
| 2016 | −240 |
| 2017 | −98 |
| 2018 | −113 |
| 2019 | −147 |
| 2021 | −121 |
| 2022 | −159 |
| 2023 | −62 |
| 2024 | +29 |
| 2025 | −44 |
Ouachita County, anchored by Camden, has shifted from a competitive swing area to a reliably Republican-leaning county over the past two decades, reflecting broader realignment patterns across southern Arkansas's rural, majority-Black Delta-adjacent communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.1 points.
A population of 22,085, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,268 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Yalobusha County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Montgomery County
Mississippi
92.5twin score
% Black% Evangelical% Catholic≠ % unaffiliated
Yalobusha County
Mississippi
91.3twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated% Black≠ elasticity
Bienville Parish
Louisiana
90.2twin score
% Black% Evangelical2000–2004 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ouachita County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Ouachita County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Ouachita County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ouachita County, Arkansas voted Republican by 19.1 points (R+19.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,626 votes cast, 3,412 went Democratic and 5,056 went Republican.
When did Ouachita County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ouachita County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Ouachita County, Arkansas?
Ouachita County, Arkansas has a population of 22,085 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ouachita County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Ouachita County, Arkansas is $49,268 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Ouachita County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ouachita County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.