- Lead
- 921
- Total
- 4,424
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- 59.6%
Montgomery County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.6% of 7,423 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 796
- Total
- 5,075
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- 68.4%
- Lead
- 703
- Total
- 4,996
- vs nation
- R+16.2
- Turnout
- 63.0%
- Lead
- 272
- Total
- 5,645
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 462
- Total
- 5,712
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 529
- Total
- 5,497
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 443
- Total
- 4,849
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 27
- Total
- 4,121
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,6022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $41,7482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 44.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+91.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clarke County, AL · twin score 95.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.6%4,424 participants ÷ 7,423 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.9%–38.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,996 | 7,935 | 63.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,907 | 7,797 | 50.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,217 | 7,626 | 68.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,997 | 7,545 | 39.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,424 | 7,423 | 59.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 4,424 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -South WinonaSouth Winona | 483 | 201 | 3 | 687 | 70.3% | 29.3% | D+41.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -North WinonaNorth Winona | 146 | 483 | 2 | 631 | 23.1% | 76.5% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -West WinonaWest Winona | 93 | 423 | 1 | 517 | 18.0% | 81.8% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -East WinonaEast Winona | 277 | 177 | 7 | 461 | 60.1% | 38.4% | D+21.7 |
| Precinct -Duck HillDuck Hill | 153 | 282 | 3 | 438 | 34.9% | 64.4% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -KilmichaelKilmichael | 177 | 212 | 1 | 390 | 45.4% | 54.4% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -North Duck HillNorth Duck Hill | 99 | 240 | 3 | 342 | 28.9% | 70.2% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -NationsNations | 17 | 247 | 2 | 266 | 6.4% | 92.9% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -LodiLodi | 112 | 55 | 3 | 170 | 65.9% | 32.4% | D+33.5 |
| Precinct -Southeast WinonaSoutheast Winona | 77 | 84 | 2 | 163 | 47.2% | 51.5% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -North Mt Pisgah SweethomeNorth Mt Pisgah Sweethome | 37 | 73 | 0 | 110 | 33.6% | 66.4% | R+32.7 |
| Precinct -StewartStewart | 7 | 81 | 0 | 88 | 8.0% | 92.0% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -Poplar CreekPoplar Creek | 4 | 79 | 0 | 83 | 4.8% | 95.2% | R+90.4 |
| Precinct -North KilmichaelNorth Kilmichael | 55 | 21 | 2 | 78 | 70.5% | 26.9% | D+43.6 |
| Alva Voting District28_28097301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Duck Hill Voting District28_28097201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Winona Voting District28_28097302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kilmichael Voting District28_28097401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lodi Voting District28_28097303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mt. Pisgah Voting District28_28097101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nations Voting District28_28097403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Duck Hill Voting District28_28097203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Kilmicheal Voting District28_28097304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Mt. Pisgah - Sweethome Voting District28_28097103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Winona Voting District28_28097102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poplar Creek Voting District28_28097501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Winona Voting District28_28097502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southeast Winona Voting District28_28097503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stewart Voting District28_28097402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Winona Voting District28_28097202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +79.3% |
| 1896 | +94.8% |
| 1900 | +91.5% |
| 1904 | +96.4% |
| 1908 | +94.7% |
| 1912 | +93.4% |
| 1916 | +91.1% |
| 1920 | +86.0% |
| 1924 | +81.6% |
| 1928 | +88.5% |
| 1932 | +97.5% |
| 1936 | +99.3% |
| 1940 | +94.3% |
| 1944 | +89.8% |
| 1948 | +4.1% |
| 1952 | +23.5% |
| 1956 | +48.1% |
| 1960 | +1.9% |
| 1964 | −91.1% |
| 1968 | +9.7% |
| 1972 | −54.3% |
| 1976 | +2.7% |
| 1980 | +4.7% |
| 1984 | −24.3% |
| 1988 | −13.9% |
| 1992 | −5.2% |
| 1996 | +0.7% |
| 2000 | −9.1% |
| 2004 | −9.6% |
| 2008 | −8.1% |
| 2012 | −4.8% |
| 2016 | −14.1% |
| 2020 | −15.7% |
| 2024 | −20.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,638 |
| 2018 | 7,221 |
| 2020 | 7,060 |
| 2022 | 6,559 |
| 2024 | 6,565 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−53 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,218 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,728 in average income, against $51,916 for residents who stayed — 20% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.5 on average — 5.7 points more Republican-leaning than Montgomery County, MS itself (R+20.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grenada County, MS61R+16.3
- Carroll County, MS35R+44.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grenada County, MS46
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −94 |
| 2012 | −137 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | −204 |
| 2015 | −151 |
| 2016 | +38 |
| 2017 | −90 |
| 2018 | −163 |
| 2019 | −189 |
| 2021 | −13 |
| 2022 | −88 |
| 2023 | +62 |
| 2024 | −112 |
| 2025 | −53 |
Montgomery County sits at the northeastern fringe of the Mississippi Delta, with a majority-Black population that has historically produced competitive local races even as presidential margins lean heavily Republican at the county level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 91.1 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.
A population of 9,602, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,748 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clarke County and Winston County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montgomery County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28097/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.