| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 2,622 | 8,154 | 10,873 | |
| 2020 | R | 3,260 | 8,320 | 11,703 | |
| 2016 | R | 2,715 | 7,679 | 10,553 | |
| 2012 | R | 3,089 | 7,837 | 11,015 | |
| 2008 | R | 3,114 | 8,209 | 11,402 | |
| 2004 | R | 2,600 | 7,780 | 10,419 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,563 | 6,409 | 9,066 | |
| 1996 | R | 2,646 | 4,545 | 7,787 | |
| 1992 | R | 3,090 | 6,135 | 10,042 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,942 | 6,363 | 9,347 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,630 | 6,715 | 9,364 | |
| 1980 | R | 3,872 | 5,165 | 9,149 | |
| 1976 | D | 3,891 | 3,859 | 7,819 | |
| 1972 | R | 812 | 6,815 | 7,725 | |
| 1968 | D | 867 | 531 | 7,815 | |
| 1964 | R | 293 | 5,431 | 5,724 | |
| 1960 | D | 1,840 | 580 | 4,136 | |
| 1956 | D | 2,827 | 502 | 3,629 | |
| 1952 | D | 3,567 | 1,081 | 4,648 | |
| 1948 | D | 260 | 33 | 3,130 | |
| 1944 | D | 3,025 | 131 | 3,156 | |
| 1940 | D | 2,880 | 77 | 2,967 | |
| 1936 | D | 3,495 | 67 | 3,565 | |
| 1932 | D | 2,236 | 56 | 2,300 | |
| 1928 | D | 1,906 | 516 | 2,422 | |
| 1924 | D | 1,603 | 228 | 1,831 | |
| 1920 | D | 1,088 | 182 | 1,325 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,459 | 69 | 1,571 | |
| 1912 | D | 806 | 22 | 906 | |
| 1908 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1904 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1900 | D | 793 | 41 | 921 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,055 | 7 | 1,064 | |
| 1892 | D | 589 | 0 | 829 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Neshoba County, once a focal point of the 1964 civil rights murders, has shifted to some of Mississippi's widest Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting a rural demographic realignment that has reshaped the state's electoral map.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Neshoba County peaked at ninety-eight points in 1896; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1980 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of fourteen points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Neshoba County's median household income of $57,013 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 23% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Smith County and Hooker County.