Akashic

county

Neshoba County, MS

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English10.1%10.6%9.5%

American10.0%10.0%5.3%

Irish6.4%7.4%9.4%

German2.9%5.1%12.5%

Scottish1.2%1.6%1.3%

Dutch1.0%——

Scotch-Irish1.0%1.0%—

French Canadian0.7%——

African American†20.9%35.3%9.9%

African0.2%0.8%0.5%

White Mountain Apache0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Neshoba County	Mississippi	United States
Median age	37.4	38.6	39.1
Age 18–24	8.7%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.9%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Neshoba County	Mississippi	United States
Median household income	$57,013	$56,447	$84,427
Poverty rate	23.1%	19.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.7%	25.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Neshoba County	Mississippi	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	9.4%	4.3%	22.3%
Other languages	8.0%	0.3%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Neshoba County	Mississippi	United States
Catholic	2.8%	3.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	42.4%	39.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	41.7%	40.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	10.1%	6.6%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 52.1% of 20,848 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic24.1%2,622TrumpRepublican75.1%8,154KennedyIndependent0.4%47

R+50.9

Lead: 5,532
Total: 10,861
vs nation: R+49.5
Turnout: 52.1%

BidenDemocratic27.9%3,260TrumpRepublican71.1%8,320JorgensenLibertarian0.4%46

R+43.2

Lead: 5,060
Total: 11,703
vs nation: R+47.7
Turnout: 56.1%

ClintonDemocratic25.7%2,715TrumpRepublican72.8%7,679JohnsonLibertarian0.8%83

R+47.0

Lead: 4,964
Total: 10,553
vs nation: R+49.1
Turnout: 50.5%

ObamaDemocratic28.0%3,089RomneyRepublican71.1%7,837JohnsonLibertarian0.8%88

R+43.1

Lead: 4,748
Total: 11,015
vs nation: R+47.0
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic27.3%3,114McCainRepublican72.0%8,209OtherAll other candidates0.7%79

R+44.7

Lead: 5,095
Total: 11,402
vs nation: R+52.0
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic25.0%2,600BushRepublican74.7%7,780OtherAll other candidates0.4%39

R+49.7

Lead: 5,180
Total: 10,419
vs nation: R+47.3
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic28.3%2,563BushRepublican70.7%6,409NaderGreen0.6%53

R+42.4

Lead: 3,846
Total: 9,066
vs nation: R+42.9
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic34.0%2,646DoleRepublican58.4%4,545PerotReform7.2%560

R+24.4

Lead: 1,899
Total: 7,787
vs nation: R+32.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+50.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 28,9322024 5-year
Median household income: $57,0132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 57.4%2024 5-year
Black: 21.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 0.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+98.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+89.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Dale County, AL · twin score 94.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 52.1%10,861 participants ÷ 20,848 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +27.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 24.8%–32.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	10,553	20,905	50.5%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	8,026	20,888	38.4%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	11,720	20,893	56.1%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	6,023	20,878	28.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	10,861	20,848	52.1%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

50 precincts · 10,861 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Neshoba County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Northeast PhiladelphiaNortheast Philadelphia	190	1,140	9	1,339	14.2%	85.1%	R+70.9
Precinct -Northwest PhiladelphiaNorthwest Philadelphia	883	225	9	1,117	79.1%	20.1%	D+58.9
Precinct -Southeast PhiladelphiaSoutheast Philadelphia	204	754	10	968	21.1%	77.9%	R+56.8
Precinct -McdonaldMcdonald	83	845	2	930	8.9%	90.9%	R+81.9
Precinct -Tucker-District ThreeTucker-District Three	72	447	5	524	13.7%	85.3%	R+71.6
Precinct -HouseHouse	31	438	2	471	6.6%	93.0%	R+86.4
Precinct -North BendNorth Bend	23	435	0	458	5.0%	95.0%	R+90.0
Precinct -DixonDixon	136	318	1	455	29.9%	69.9%	R+40.0
Precinct -ForestdaleForestdale	87	349	6	442	19.7%	79.0%	R+59.3
Precinct -County LineCounty Line	20	340	2	362	5.5%	93.9%	R+88.4
Precinct -BurnsideBurnside	213	142	0	355	60.0%	40.0%	D+20.0
Precinct -FuskyFusky	4	344	1	349	1.1%	98.6%	R+97.4
Precinct -ArlingtonArlington	17	324	3	344	4.9%	94.2%	R+89.2
Precinct -CenterCenter	40	291	1	332	12.0%	87.7%	R+75.6
Precinct -Pearl RiverPearl River	203	108	12	323	62.8%	33.4%	D+29.4
Precinct -HaysHays	46	267	3	316	14.6%	84.5%	R+69.9
Precinct -HopeHope	55	239	3	297	18.5%	80.5%	R+62.0
Precinct -DeemerDeemer	31	255	2	288	10.8%	88.5%	R+77.8
Precinct -East NeshobaEast Neshoba	171	112	3	286	59.8%	39.2%	D+20.6
Precinct -ZephyrhillZephyrhill	51	229	5	285	17.9%	80.4%	R+62.5
Precinct -HerbertHerbert	9	234	3	246	3.7%	95.1%	R+91.5
Precinct -ForkFork	11	230	1	242	4.5%	95.0%	R+90.5
Precinct -FairviewFairview	42	88	2	132	31.8%	66.7%	R+34.8
Arlilngton Voting District28_28099103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bogue Chitto Voting District28_28099205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burnside Voting District28_28099502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Center Voting District28_28099202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
County Line Voting District28_28099303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Deemer Voting District28_28099404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dixon Voting District28_28099403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
East Neshoba Voting District28_28099503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fairview Voting District28_28099107	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Forestdale Voting District28_28099204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fork Voting District28_28099104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fusky Voting District28_28099504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hays Voting District28_28099406	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Herbert Voting District28_28099306	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hope Voting District28_28099106	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
House Voting District28_28099305	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
McDonald Voting District28_28099402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Neshoba Voting District28_28099407	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
North Bend Voting District28_28099201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Northeast Philadelphia Voting District28_28099206	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Northwest Philadelphia Voting District28_28099501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Pearl River Voting District28_28099108	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Southeast Philadelphia Voting District28_28099301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Southwest Philadelphia Voting District28_28099401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Tucker District 128_28099102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Tucker District 328_28099304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Zephyr Hill Voting District28_28099101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+71.0%
1896	+98.5%
1900	+81.7%
1904	+88.3%
1908	+78.6%
1912	+86.5%
1916	+88.5%
1920	+68.4%
1924	+75.1%
1928	+57.4%
1932	+94.8%
1936	+96.2%
1940	+94.5%
1944	+91.7%
1948	+7.3%
1952	+53.5%
1956	+64.1%
1960	+30.5%
1964	−89.8%
1968	+4.3%
1972	−77.7%
1976	+0.4%
1980	−14.1%
1984	−43.6%
1988	−36.6%
1992	−30.3%
1996	−24.4%
2000	−42.4%
2004	−49.7%
2008	−44.7%
2012	−43.1%
2016	−47.0%
2020	−43.2%
2024	−50.9%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	24.1%Harris2,622	75.1%Trump8,154	0.4%Kennedy47 +6	R+50.9	R+7.7	R+49.5	10,861
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican75.1%8,154 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.1%2,622 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.4%47 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%9 Randall TerryIndependent0.1%8 Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%7 Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%7 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%4 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%3
2020	R	27.9%Biden3,260	71.1%Trump8,320	0.4%Jorgensen46	R+43.2	D+3.8	R+47.7	11,703
2016	R	25.7%Clinton2,715	72.8%Trump7,679	0.8%Johnson83	R+47.0	R+3.9	R+49.1	10,553
2012	R	28.0%Obama3,089	71.1%Romney7,837	0.8%Johnson88	R+43.1	D+1.6	R+47.0	11,015
2008	R	27.3%Obama3,114	72.0%McCain8,209	0.7%	R+44.7	D+5.0	R+52.0	11,402
2004	R	25.0%Kerry2,600	74.7%Bush7,780	0.4%	R+49.7	R+7.3	R+47.3	10,419
2000	R	28.3%Gore2,563	70.7%Bush6,409	0.6%Nader53	R+42.4	R+18.0	R+42.9	9,066
1996	R	34.0%Clinton2,646	58.4%Dole4,545	7.2%Perot560	R+24.4	D+5.9	R+32.9	7,787
1992	R	30.8%Clinton3,090	61.1%Bush6,135	7.9%Perot794	R+30.3	D+6.3	R+35.9	10,042
1988	R	31.5%Dukakis2,942	68.1%Bush6,363	0.4%	R+36.6	D+7.0	R+28.9	9,347
1984	R	28.1%Mondale2,630	71.7%Reagan6,715	0.2%	R+43.6	R+29.5	R+25.4	9,364
1980	R	42.3%Carter3,872	56.5%Reagan5,165	1.2%	R+14.1	R+14.5	R+4.4	9,149
1976	D	49.8%Carter3,891	49.4%Ford3,859	0.9%	D+0.4	D+78.1	R+1.7	7,819
1972	R	10.5%McGovern812	88.2%Nixon6,815	1.3%	R+77.7	R+82.0	R+54.6	7,725
1968	O	11.1%Humphrey867	6.8%Nixon531	82.1%	Wallace +71.0	D+94.1	D+5.0	7,815
1964	R	5.1%Johnson293	94.9%Goldwater5,431	0.0%	R+89.8	R+120.2	R+112.3	5,724
1960	D	44.5%Kennedy1,840	14.0%Nixon580	41.5%	D+30.5	R+33.6	D+30.3	4,136
1956	D	77.9%Stevenson2,827	13.8%Eisenhower502	8.3%	D+64.1	D+10.6	D+79.5	3,629
1952	D	76.7%Stevenson3,567	23.3%Eisenhower1,081	0.0%	D+53.5	D+46.2	D+64.2	4,648
1948	O	8.3%Truman260	1.1%Dewey33	90.6%	Thurmond +82.3	R+84.4	D+2.8	3,130
1944	D	95.8%Roosevelt3,025	4.2%Dewey131	0.0%	D+91.7	R+2.8	D+84.2	3,156
1940	D	97.1%Roosevelt2,880	2.6%Willkie77	0.3%	D+94.5	R+1.7	D+84.5	2,967
1936	D	98.0%Roosevelt3,495	1.9%Landon67	0.1%	D+96.2	D+1.4	D+71.9	3,565
1932	D	97.2%Roosevelt2,236	2.4%Hoover56	0.3%	D+94.8	D+37.4	D+77.0	2,300
1928	D	78.7%Smith1,906	21.3%Hoover516	0.0%	D+57.4	R+17.7	D+74.9	2,422
1924	D	87.5%Davis1,603	12.5%Coolidge228	0.0%	D+75.1	D+6.7	D+100.3	1,831
1920	D	82.1%Cox1,088	13.7%Harding182	4.2%	D+68.4	R+20.1	D+94.6	1,325
1916	D	92.9%Wilson1,459	4.4%Hughes69	2.7%	D+88.5	D+1.9	D+85.3	1,571
1912	D	89.0%Wilson806	2.4%Taft22	8.6%	D+86.5	D+8.0	D+67.0	906
1908	D	84.1%Bryan910	5.5%Taft60	10.4%	D+78.6	R+9.8	D+88.1	1,082
1904	D	90.0%Parker932	1.6%Roosevelt17	8.4%	D+88.3	D+6.7	D+108.0	1,036
1900	D	86.1%Bryan793	4.5%McKinley41	9.4%	D+81.7	R+16.8	D+89.2	921
1896	D	99.2%Bryan1,055	0.7%McKinley7	0.2%	D+98.5	D+27.4	D+104.6	1,064
1892	D	71.0%Cleveland589	0.0%Harrison0	29.0%	D+71.0	—	D+69.4	829
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	0.0%0	100.0%9,733	9,733
2020	R	25.8%2,995	74.2%8,592	11,587
2018	R	36.0%2,860	64.0%5,085	7,945

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	23.5%2,539	76.5%8,245	10,784
2020Class II	R	31.0%Mike Espy3,602	67.0%Cindy Hyde-Smith7,797	11,633
2018Class I	R	24.7%David Baria1,961	73.8%Roger Wicker5,861	7,946
2014Class II	R	24.3%Travis Childers1,495	73.7%Thad Cochran4,526	6,140
2012Class I	R	26.9%Albert N. Gore2,916	71.3%Roger Wicker7,728	10,846
2008Class II	R	23.6%Erik R. Fleming2,640	76.4%Thad Cochran8,527	11,167
2006Class I	R	20.2%Erik R. Fleming996	78.6%Trent Lott3,879	4,938
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	90.6%Thad Cochran6,864	7,579
2000Class I	R	18.4%Troy Brown1,715	79.1%Trent Lott7,360	9,306
1996Class II	R	18.0%James W. Hunt1,441	80.8%Thad Cochran6,477	8,018
1994Class I	R	24.0%Ken Harper1,291	76.0%Trent Lott4,088	5,379
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	100.0%Thad Cochran1,908	1,908
1988Class I	R	41.3%Wayne Dowdy4,069	58.7%Trent Lott5,795	9,864
1984Class II	R	29.3%William D. Winter2,799	70.7%Thad Cochran6,763	9,562
1982Class I	D	68.6%John C. Stennis4,337	31.4%Haley Barbour1,982	6,319
1978Class II	D	45.0%Maurice Dantin2,758	41.8%Thad Cochran2,564	6,133
1976Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis7,043	0.0%None0	7,043
1972Class II	R	42.2%James Eastland3,299	55.0%Gil Carmichael4,300	7,812
1970Class I	D	95.9%John C. Stennis4,003	0.0%None0	4,174
1966Class II	D	66.7%James Eastland3,760	28.9%Prentiss Walker1,628	5,641
1964Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis4,918	0.0%None0	4,918
1960Class II	D	96.2%James Eastland3,483	3.8%Joe A. Moore138	3,621
1958Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis1,260	0.0%None0	1,260
1954Class II	D	98.3%James Eastland1,537	1.7%James A White26	1,563
1952Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis4,347	0.0%None0	4,347
1948Class II	D	100.0%James Eastland2,647	0.0%None0	2,647
1946Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo714	0.0%None0	714
1942Class II	—	0.0%James Eastland0	0.0%None0	2,445
1940Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo2,749	0.0%None0	2,749
1936Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison3,260	0.0%None0	3,260
1934Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo941	0.0%None0	941
1930Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison453	0.0%None0	453
1928Class I	D	100.0%Hubert Stephens1,944	0.0%None0	1,944
1924Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison1,633	0.0%None0	1,633
1922Class I	D	96.1%Hubert Stephens1,078	1.3%John Cook15	1,122
1918Class II	D	92.7%Pat Harrison759	0.0%None0	819
1916Class I	D	100.0%John S. Williams1,397	0.0%None0	1,397

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018Special · Class II	R	29.3%Mike Espy2,164	70.7%Cindy Hyde-Smith5,222	7,386
2008Special · Class I	R	33.8%Ronnie Musgrove3,773	66.2%Roger Wicker7,384	11,157
1947Special · Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%L.R. Collins0	3,448
1941Special · Class II	D	75.8%Wall Doxey2,268	0.0%None0	2,993

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2015	R	17.6%Robert Gray1,291	81.5%Phil Bryant5,968	7,320
2011	R	23.1%Johnny DuPree1,924	76.9%Phil Bryant6,390	8,314
2007	R	36.1%John Arthur Eaves Jr.2,720	63.9%Haley Barbour4,825	7,545
2003	R	36.6%Ronnie Musgrove3,276	62.1%Haley Barbour5,559	8,957
1995	R	40.4%Dick Molpus3,503	59.6%Kirk Fordice5,164	8,667
1991	R	30.7%Ray Mabus2,324	67.5%Kirk Fordice5,105	7,559
1987	R	46.3%Ray Mabus3,501	53.7%Jack Reed4,061	7,562
1983	D	57.3%William Allain4,423	38.6%Leon Bramlett2,976	7,714
1979	D	66.7%William F. Winter5,549	33.3%Gil Carmichael2,771	8,320

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Neshoba County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	16,449
2018	17,240
2020	18,163
2022	17,771
2024	18,143

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−95 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,313 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $39,138 in average income, against $63,326 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+25.8 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than Neshoba County, MS itself (R+50.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Newton County, MS82R+43.3
Leake County, MS62R+23.4
Lauderdale County, MS32R+21.2
Winston County, MS32R+18.2
Kemper County, MS30D+16.9
Scott County, MS25R+24.0

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Newton County, MS81
Leake County, MS55
Lauderdale County, MS35
Winston County, MS34
Kemper County, MS26

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Neshoba County, MS in Neshoba County, MS: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−51
2012	−128
2013	−243
2014	−84
2015	−38
2016	−22
2017	−97
2018	−310
2019	−87
2021	−12
2022	−71
2023	−42
2024	−33
2025	−95

Neshoba County, once a focal point of the 1964 civil rights murders, has shifted to some of Mississippi's widest Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting a rural demographic realignment that has reshaped the state's electoral map.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 89.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.9 points.

A population of 28,932, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,013 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dale County and Toombs County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2004–2012 trajectory% Evangelical

Ware County

Georgia

90.1twin score

2004–2008 trajectory% Evangelical% Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Cities & towns in Neshoba County

Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2023 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Neshoba County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Neshoba County, Mississippi voted Republican by 50.9 points (R+50.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,861 votes cast, 2,622 went Democratic and 8,154 went Republican.

When did Neshoba County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Neshoba County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Neshoba County, Mississippi?

Neshoba County, Mississippi has a population of 28,932 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Neshoba County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Neshoba County, Mississippi is $57,013 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Neshoba County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Neshoba County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.

Measure

Neshoba County

Mississippi

United States

Median age

37.4

38.6

39.1

Age 18–24

8.7%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.9%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure

Neshoba County

Mississippi

United States

Median household income

$57,013

$56,447

$84,427

Poverty rate

23.1%

19.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

17.7%

25.3%

35.6%

Measure

Neshoba County

Mississippi

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

9.4%

4.3%

22.3%

Other languages

8.0%

0.3%

0.8%

Measure

Neshoba County

Mississippi

United States

Catholic

2.8%

3.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

42.4%

39.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

41.7%

40.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

10.1%

6.6%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+50.9MIT Election Lab

Population

28,9322024 5-year

Median household income

$57,0132024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

57.4%2024 5-year

Black

21.2%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

0.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+98.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+89.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Dale County, AL · twin score 94.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

10,553

20,905

50.5%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

8,026

20,888

38.4%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

11,720

20,893

56.1%

C/A

2022 · Midterm

6,023

20,878

28.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

10,861

20,848

52.1%

A/A

Neshoba County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Northeast PhiladelphiaNortheast Philadelphia

190

1,140

1,339

14.2%

85.1%

R+70.9

Precinct -Northwest PhiladelphiaNorthwest Philadelphia

883

225

1,117

79.1%

20.1%

D+58.9

Precinct -Southeast PhiladelphiaSoutheast Philadelphia

204

754

968

21.1%

77.9%

R+56.8

Precinct -McdonaldMcdonald

845

930

8.9%

90.9%

R+81.9

Precinct -Tucker-District ThreeTucker-District Three

447

524

13.7%

85.3%

R+71.6

Precinct -HouseHouse

438

471

6.6%

93.0%

R+86.4

Precinct -North BendNorth Bend

435

458

5.0%

95.0%

R+90.0

Precinct -DixonDixon

136

318

455

29.9%

69.9%

R+40.0

Precinct -ForestdaleForestdale

349

442

19.7%

79.0%

R+59.3

Precinct -County LineCounty Line

340

362

5.5%

93.9%

R+88.4

Precinct -BurnsideBurnside

213

142

355

60.0%

40.0%

D+20.0

Precinct -FuskyFusky

344

349

1.1%

98.6%

R+97.4

Precinct -ArlingtonArlington

324

344

4.9%

94.2%

R+89.2

Precinct -CenterCenter

291

332

12.0%

87.7%

R+75.6

Precinct -Pearl RiverPearl River

203

108

323

62.8%

33.4%

D+29.4

Precinct -HaysHays

267

316

14.6%

84.5%

R+69.9

Precinct -HopeHope

239

297

18.5%

80.5%

R+62.0

Precinct -DeemerDeemer

255

288

10.8%

88.5%

R+77.8

Precinct -East NeshobaEast Neshoba

171

112

286

59.8%

39.2%

D+20.6

Precinct -ZephyrhillZephyrhill

229

285

17.9%

80.4%

R+62.5

Precinct -HerbertHerbert

234

246

3.7%

95.1%

R+91.5

Precinct -ForkFork

230

242

4.5%

95.0%

R+90.5

Precinct -FairviewFairview

132

31.8%

66.7%

R+34.8

Arlilngton Voting District28_28099103

—

No votes

Bogue Chitto Voting District28_28099205

—

No votes

Burnside Voting District28_28099502

—

No votes

Center Voting District28_28099202

—

No votes

County Line Voting District28_28099303

—

No votes

Deemer Voting District28_28099404

—

No votes

Dixon Voting District28_28099403

—

No votes

East Neshoba Voting District28_28099503

—

No votes

Fairview Voting District28_28099107

—

No votes

Forestdale Voting District28_28099204

—

No votes

Fork Voting District28_28099104

—

No votes

Fusky Voting District28_28099504

—

No votes

Hays Voting District28_28099406

—

No votes

Herbert Voting District28_28099306

—

No votes

Hope Voting District28_28099106

—

No votes

House Voting District28_28099305

—

No votes

McDonald Voting District28_28099402

—

No votes

Neshoba Voting District28_28099407

—

No votes

North Bend Voting District28_28099201

—

No votes

Northeast Philadelphia Voting District28_28099206

—

No votes

Northwest Philadelphia Voting District28_28099501

—

No votes

Pearl River Voting District28_28099108

—

No votes

Southeast Philadelphia Voting District28_28099301

—

No votes

Southwest Philadelphia Voting District28_28099401

—

No votes

Tucker District 128_28099102

—

No votes

Tucker District 328_28099304

—

No votes

Zephyr Hill Voting District28_28099101

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+71.0%
1896	+98.5%
1900	+81.7%
1904	+88.3%
1908	+78.6%
1912	+86.5%
1916	+88.5%
1920	+68.4%
1924	+75.1%
1928	+57.4%
1932	+94.8%
1936	+96.2%
1940	+94.5%
1944	+91.7%
1948	+7.3%
1952	+53.5%
1956	+64.1%
1960	+30.5%
1964	−89.8%
1968	+4.3%
1972	−77.7%
1976	+0.4%
1980	−14.1%
1984	−43.6%
1988	−36.6%
1992	−30.3%
1996	−24.4%
2000	−42.4%
2004	−49.7%
2008	−44.7%
2012	−43.1%
2016	−47.0%
2020	−43.2%
2024	−50.9%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

24.1%Harris2,622

75.1%Trump8,154

0.4%Kennedy47 +6

R+50.9

R+7.7

R+49.5

10,861

All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican75.1%8,154
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.1%2,622
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.4%47
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%9
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%8
Chase OliverLibertarian0.1%7
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%7
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%4
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%3

2020

27.9%Biden3,260

71.1%Trump8,320

0.4%Jorgensen46

R+43.2

D+3.8

R+47.7

11,703

2016

25.7%Clinton2,715

72.8%Trump7,679

0.8%Johnson83

R+47.0

R+3.9

R+49.1

10,553

2012

28.0%Obama3,089

71.1%Romney7,837

0.8%Johnson88

R+43.1

D+1.6

R+47.0

11,015

2008

27.3%Obama3,114

72.0%McCain8,209

0.7%

R+44.7

D+5.0

R+52.0

11,402

2004

25.0%Kerry2,600

74.7%Bush7,780

0.4%

R+49.7

R+7.3

R+47.3

10,419

2000

28.3%Gore2,563

70.7%Bush6,409

0.6%Nader53

R+42.4

R+18.0

R+42.9

9,066

1996

34.0%Clinton2,646

58.4%Dole4,545

7.2%Perot560

R+24.4

D+5.9

R+32.9

7,787

1992

30.8%Clinton3,090

61.1%Bush6,135

7.9%Perot794

R+30.3

D+6.3

R+35.9

10,042

1988

31.5%Dukakis2,942

68.1%Bush6,363

0.4%

R+36.6

D+7.0

R+28.9

9,347

1984

28.1%Mondale2,630

71.7%Reagan6,715

0.2%

R+43.6

R+29.5

R+25.4

9,364

1980

42.3%Carter3,872

56.5%Reagan5,165

1.2%

R+14.1

R+14.5

R+4.4

9,149

1976

49.8%Carter3,891

49.4%Ford3,859

0.9%

D+0.4

D+78.1

R+1.7

7,819

1972

10.5%McGovern812

88.2%Nixon6,815

1.3%

R+77.7

R+82.0

R+54.6

7,725

1968

11.1%Humphrey867

6.8%Nixon531

82.1%

Wallace +71.0

D+94.1

D+5.0

7,815

1964

5.1%Johnson293

94.9%Goldwater5,431

0.0%

R+89.8

R+120.2

R+112.3

5,724

1960

44.5%Kennedy1,840

14.0%Nixon580

41.5%

D+30.5

R+33.6

D+30.3

4,136

1956

77.9%Stevenson2,827

13.8%Eisenhower502

8.3%

D+64.1

D+10.6

D+79.5

3,629

1952

76.7%Stevenson3,567

23.3%Eisenhower1,081

0.0%

D+53.5

D+46.2

D+64.2

4,648

1948

8.3%Truman260

1.1%Dewey33

90.6%

Thurmond +82.3

R+84.4

D+2.8

3,130

1944

95.8%Roosevelt3,025

4.2%Dewey131

0.0%

D+91.7

R+2.8

D+84.2

3,156

1940

97.1%Roosevelt2,880

2.6%Willkie77

0.3%

D+94.5

R+1.7

D+84.5

2,967

1936

98.0%Roosevelt3,495

1.9%Landon67

0.1%

D+96.2

D+1.4

D+71.9

3,565

1932

97.2%Roosevelt2,236

2.4%Hoover56

0.3%

D+94.8

D+37.4

D+77.0

2,300

1928

78.7%Smith1,906

21.3%Hoover516

0.0%

D+57.4

R+17.7

D+74.9

2,422

1924

87.5%Davis1,603

12.5%Coolidge228

0.0%

D+75.1

D+6.7

D+100.3

1,831

1920

82.1%Cox1,088

13.7%Harding182

4.2%

D+68.4

R+20.1

D+94.6

1,325

1916

92.9%Wilson1,459

4.4%Hughes69

2.7%

D+88.5

D+1.9

D+85.3

1,571

1912

89.0%Wilson806

2.4%Taft22

8.6%

D+86.5

D+8.0

D+67.0

906

1908

84.1%Bryan910

5.5%Taft60

10.4%

D+78.6

R+9.8

D+88.1

1,082

1904

90.0%Parker932

1.6%Roosevelt17

8.4%

D+88.3

D+6.7

D+108.0

1,036

1900

86.1%Bryan793

4.5%McKinley41

9.4%

D+81.7

R+16.8

D+89.2

921

1896

99.2%Bryan1,055

0.7%McKinley7

0.2%

D+98.5

D+27.4

D+104.6

1,064

1892

71.0%Cleveland589

0.0%Harrison0

29.0%

D+71.0

—

D+69.4

829

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

0.0%0

100.0%9,733

9,733

2020

25.8%2,995

74.2%8,592

11,587

2018

36.0%2,860

64.0%5,085

7,945

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

23.5%2,539

76.5%8,245

10,784

2020Class II

31.0%Mike Espy3,602

67.0%Cindy Hyde-Smith7,797

11,633

2018Class I

24.7%David Baria1,961

73.8%Roger Wicker5,861

7,946

2014Class II

24.3%Travis Childers1,495

73.7%Thad Cochran4,526

6,140

2012Class I

26.9%Albert N. Gore2,916

71.3%Roger Wicker7,728

10,846

2008Class II

23.6%Erik R. Fleming2,640

76.4%Thad Cochran8,527

11,167

2006Class I

20.2%Erik R. Fleming996

78.6%Trent Lott3,879

4,938

2002Class II

0.0%None0

90.6%Thad Cochran6,864

7,579

2000Class I

18.4%Troy Brown1,715

79.1%Trent Lott7,360

9,306

1996Class II

18.0%James W. Hunt1,441

80.8%Thad Cochran6,477

8,018

1994Class I

24.0%Ken Harper1,291

76.0%Trent Lott4,088

5,379

1990Class II

0.0%None0

100.0%Thad Cochran1,908

1,908

1988Class I

41.3%Wayne Dowdy4,069

58.7%Trent Lott5,795

9,864

1984Class II

29.3%William D. Winter2,799

70.7%Thad Cochran6,763

9,562

1982Class I

68.6%John C. Stennis4,337

31.4%Haley Barbour1,982

6,319

1978Class II

45.0%Maurice Dantin2,758

41.8%Thad Cochran2,564

6,133

1976Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis7,043

0.0%None0

7,043

1972Class II

42.2%James Eastland3,299

55.0%Gil Carmichael4,300

7,812

1970Class I

95.9%John C. Stennis4,003

0.0%None0

4,174

1966Class II

66.7%James Eastland3,760

28.9%Prentiss Walker1,628

5,641

1964Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis4,918

0.0%None0

4,918

1960Class II

96.2%James Eastland3,483

3.8%Joe A. Moore138

3,621

1958Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis1,260

0.0%None0

1,260

1954Class II

98.3%James Eastland1,537

1.7%James A White26

1,563

1952Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis4,347

0.0%None0

4,347

1948Class II

100.0%James Eastland2,647

0.0%None0

2,647

1946Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo714

0.0%None0

714

1942Class II

—

0.0%James Eastland0

0.0%None0

2,445

1940Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo2,749

0.0%None0

2,749

1936Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison3,260

0.0%None0

3,260

1934Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo941

0.0%None0

941

1930Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison453

0.0%None0

453

1928Class I

100.0%Hubert Stephens1,944

0.0%None0

1,944

1924Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison1,633

0.0%None0

1,633

1922Class I

96.1%Hubert Stephens1,078

1.3%John Cook15

1,122

1918Class II

92.7%Pat Harrison759

0.0%None0

819

1916Class I

100.0%John S. Williams1,397

0.0%None0

1,397

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018Special · Class II

29.3%Mike Espy2,164

70.7%Cindy Hyde-Smith5,222

7,386

2008Special · Class I

33.8%Ronnie Musgrove3,773

66.2%Roger Wicker7,384

11,157

1947Special · Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%L.R. Collins0

3,448

1941Special · Class II

75.8%Wall Doxey2,268

0.0%None0

2,993

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2015

17.6%Robert Gray1,291

81.5%Phil Bryant5,968

7,320

2011

23.1%Johnny DuPree1,924

76.9%Phil Bryant6,390

8,314

2007

36.1%John Arthur Eaves Jr.2,720

63.9%Haley Barbour4,825

7,545

2003

36.6%Ronnie Musgrove3,276

62.1%Haley Barbour5,559

8,957

1995

40.4%Dick Molpus3,503

59.6%Kirk Fordice5,164

8,667

1991

30.7%Ray Mabus2,324

67.5%Kirk Fordice5,105

7,559

1987

46.3%Ray Mabus3,501

53.7%Jack Reed4,061

7,562

1983

57.3%William Allain4,423

38.6%Leon Bramlett2,976

7,714

1979

66.7%William F. Winter5,549

33.3%Gil Carmichael2,771

8,320

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Neshoba County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	16,449
2018	17,240
2020	18,163
2022	17,771
2024	18,143

How did Neshoba County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Neshoba County, Mississippi voted Republican by 50.9 points (R+50.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,861 votes cast, 2,622 went Democratic and 8,154 went Republican.

When did Neshoba County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Neshoba County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Neshoba County, Mississippi?

Neshoba County, Mississippi has a population of 28,932 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Neshoba County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Neshoba County, Mississippi is $57,013 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Neshoba County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Neshoba County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.