HarrisDemocratic23.4%4,484TrumpRepublican75.6%14,476KennedyIndependent0.4%85
R+52.2- Lead
- 9,992
- Total
- 19,139
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Turnout
- 51.4%
Akashiccounty
Dale County, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.4% of 37,335 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.2%5,170TrumpRepublican72.5%14,303JorgensenLibertarian1.2%233
R+46.3- Lead
- 9,133
- Total
- 19,738
- vs nation
- R+50.7
- Turnout
- 53.2%
ClintonDemocratic23.8%4,413TrumpRepublican74.4%13,808JohnsonLibertarian1.9%350
R+50.6- Lead
- 9,395
- Total
- 18,571
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- 50.4%
ObamaDemocratic28.5%5,286RomneyRepublican70.6%13,108OtherAll other candidates0.9%163
R+42.2- Lead
- 7,822
- Total
- 18,557
- vs nation
- R+46.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.3%5,270McCainRepublican71.9%13,886OtherAll other candidates0.8%164
R+44.6- Lead
- 8,616
- Total
- 19,320
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic24.6%4,484BushRepublican74.7%13,621OtherAll other candidates0.7%126
R+50.1- Lead
- 9,137
- Total
- 18,231
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic31.0%4,906BushRepublican67.0%10,593NaderGreen1.2%188
R+36.0- Lead
- 5,687
- Total
- 15,806
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.0%4,732DoleRepublican57.8%8,288PerotReform8.5%1,216
R+24.8- Lead
- 3,556
- Total
- 14,330
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 49,5992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,9632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.7 in 1888MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Neshoba County, MS · twin score 94.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.4%19,207 participants ÷ 37,335 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.9%–35.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 18,849 | 37,406 | 50.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,343 | 37,044 | 38.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,838 | 37,289 | 53.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,214 | 37,382 | 32.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 19,207 | 37,335 | 51.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 19,136 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -OZARK CIVIC CTR_OZARK CIVIC CTR_ | 1,657 | 2,990 | 49 | 4,696 | 35.3% | 63.7% | R+28.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -DALEVILLE CULTURE & CONVDALEVILLE CULTURE & CONV | 582 | 1,150 | 22 | 1,754 | 33.2% | 65.6% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -LEVEL PLAINS COMM_ CTR_LEVEL PLAINS COMM_ CTR_ | 509 | 1,204 | 15 | 1,728 | 29.5% | 69.7% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -PINCKARD TOWN HALLPINCKARD TOWN HALL | 227 | 1,325 | 16 | 1,568 | 14.5% | 84.5% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -EWELL BIBLE BAPTISTEWELL BIBLE BAPTIST | 179 | 928 | 6 | 1,113 | 16.1% | 83.4% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -MARLEY MILL FORESTRYMARLEY MILL FORESTRY | 212 | 878 | 13 | 1,103 | 19.2% | 79.6% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -GRIMES COMM_ CTR_GRIMES COMM_ CTR_ | 326 | 691 | 15 | 1,032 | 31.6% | 67.0% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -NEWTON TOWN HALLNEWTON TOWN HALL | 151 | 836 | 2 | 989 | 15.3% | 84.5% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -ECHO FIREECHO FIRE | 60 | 914 | 6 | 980 | 6.1% | 93.3% | R+87.1 |
| Precinct -ROCKY HD COMM_ HOUSEROCKY HD COMM_ HOUSE | 108 | 712 | 13 | 833 | 13.0% | 85.5% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -MIDLAND CITY VOTING HALLMIDLAND CITY VOTING HALL | 188 | 453 | 5 | 646 | 29.1% | 70.1% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -ARITON CITY HALLARITON CITY HALL | 75 | 554 | 3 | 632 | 11.9% | 87.7% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -SKIPPERVILLE METHODISTSKIPPERVILLE METHODIST | 63 | 554 | 1 | 618 | 10.2% | 89.6% | R+79.4 |
| Precinct -CLAYHATCHEE COMM_CLAYHATCHEE COMM_ | 75 | 450 | 5 | 530 | 14.2% | 84.9% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -BERTHA NEW HOPEBERTHA NEW HOPE | 23 | 258 | 0 | 281 | 8.2% | 91.8% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -ARGUTA COMM_ CTR_ARGUTA COMM_ CTR_ | 18 | 220 | 3 | 241 | 7.5% | 91.3% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -SYLVAN GROVESYLVAN GROVE | 19 | 202 | 0 | 221 | 8.6% | 91.4% | R+82.8 |
| Precinct -CLOPTON COMM_CLOPTON COMM_ | 12 | 157 | 2 | 171 | 7.0% | 91.8% | R+84.8 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +61.9% |
| 1880 | +62.3% |
| 1884 | +69.8% |
| 1888 | +97.7% |
| 1892 | +55.9% |
| 1896 | +72.1% |
| 1900 | +11.4% |
| 1904 | +45.7% |
| 1908 | +43.5% |
| 1912 | +59.9% |
| 1916 | +35.5% |
| 1920 | +28.4% |
| 1924 | +56.9% |
| 1928 | +10.4% |
| 1932 | +87.3% |
| 1936 | +85.1% |
| 1940 | +74.2% |
| 1944 | +72.3% |
| 1948 | −14.4% |
| 1952 | +42.4% |
| 1956 | +27.9% |
| 1960 | +22.0% |
| 1964 | −83.8% |
| 1968 | +2.6% |
| 1972 | −67.3% |
| 1976 | +11.7% |
| 1980 | −18.4% |
| 1984 | −51.9% |
| 1988 | −44.9% |
| 1992 | −19.2% |
| 1996 | −24.8% |
| 2000 | −36.0% |
| 2004 | −50.1% |
| 2008 | −44.6% |
| 2012 | −42.2% |
| 2016 | −50.6% |
| 2020 | −46.3% |
| 2024 | −52.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 33,017 |
| 2020 | 35,835 |
| 2022 | 35,211 |
| 2024 | 37,100 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−156 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,001 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,723 in average income, against $61,254 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+39.2 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Dale County, AL itself (R+52.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Houston County, AL406R+47.6
- Coffee County, AL249R+57.8
- Pike County, AL63R+25.1
- Geneva County, AL53R+76.9
- Henry County, AL43R+50.7
- Barbour County, AL41R+14.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Houston County, AL382
- Coffee County, AL309
- Geneva County, AL52
- Pike County, AL49
- Henry County, AL45
- Bell County, TX38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −553 |
| 2012 | −246 |
| 2013 | −781 |
| 2014 | −632 |
| 2015 | −270 |
| 2016 | −287 |
| 2017 | −109 |
| 2018 | −338 |
| 2019 | −89 |
| 2021 | +48 |
| 2022 | +135 |
| 2023 | +233 |
| 2024 | +44 |
| 2025 | −156 |
Dale County's military presence around Fort Novosel shapes its demographics and economy, while its presidential margins have exceeded 50 points Republican in recent cycles, placing it among Alabama's most consistent GOP strongholds.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.7 points in 1888 and a Republican high of 83.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.2 points.
A population of 49,599, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,963 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Neshoba County and Tattnall County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Neshoba County
Mississippi
94.0twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Tattnall County
Georgia
91.8twin score
2004–2016 trajectory
Toombs County
Georgia
89.6twin score
2004–2012 trajectory% Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dale County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Dale County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dale County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dale County, Alabama voted Republican by 52.2 points (R+52.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,139 votes cast, 4,484 went Democratic and 14,476 went Republican.
When did Dale County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dale County, Alabama voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Dale County, Alabama?
Dale County, Alabama has a population of 49,599 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dale County, Alabama?
Median household income in Dale County, Alabama is $54,963 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Dale County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dale County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.