- Lead
- 2,038
- Total
- 11,958
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- 68.3%
Clarke County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.3% of 17,552 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,569
- Total
- 13,135
- vs nation
- R+16.4
- Turnout
- 70.6%
- Lead
- 1,391
- Total
- 12,988
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Turnout
- 68.3%
- Lead
- 1,136
- Total
- 13,851
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,552
- Total
- 13,435
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,103
- Total
- 11,394
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,309
- Total
- 10,752
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 46
- Total
- 10,118
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,5432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,2492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 44.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.4 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winston County, MS · twin score 97.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.3%11,993 participants ÷ 17,552 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.6%–54.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,100 | 19,194 | 68.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,406 | 18,972 | 60.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,185 | 18,685 | 70.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,097 | 17,882 | 50.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,993 | 17,552 | 68.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 11,958 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -JACKSON SKIPPER FIREJACKSON SKIPPER FIRE | 374 | 795 | 9 | 1,178 | 31.7% | 67.5% | R+35.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -T'VILLE CITY HALL/CIVICT'VILLE CITY HALL/CIVIC | 311 | 597 | 5 | 913 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -FULTON FIREFULTON FIRE | 176 | 572 | 1 | 749 | 23.5% | 76.4% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSON CITY HALLJACKSON CITY HALL | 462 | 252 | 5 | 719 | 64.3% | 35.0% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -ADULT ED_ BLDG_ADULT ED_ BLDG_ | 463 | 222 | 0 | 685 | 67.6% | 32.4% | D+35.2 |
| Precinct -T'VILLE BASHI FIRET'VILLE BASHI FIRE | 238 | 436 | 5 | 679 | 35.1% | 64.2% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -FIRST ASSEMBLY OF GODFIRST ASSEMBLY OF GOD | 79 | 583 | 2 | 664 | 11.9% | 87.8% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -JACKSON DOWNTOWNJACKSON DOWNTOWN | 323 | 287 | 1 | 611 | 52.9% | 47.0% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct -COFFEVILLE HIGHCOFFEVILLE HIGH | 184 | 347 | 6 | 537 | 34.3% | 64.6% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -GROVE HILL OLD ENG_GROVE HILL OLD ENG_ | 134 | 353 | 3 | 490 | 27.3% | 72.0% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -GAINESTOWN-GOODHOPE 11_1GAINESTOWN-GOODHOPE 11_1 | 410 | 62 | 0 | 472 | 86.9% | 13.1% | D+73.7 |
| Precinct -GROVE HILL TOWN HALLGROVE HILL TOWN HALL | 133 | 326 | 7 | 466 | 28.5% | 70.0% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -ANTIOCH FIRE 102_1ANTIOCH FIRE 102_1 | 157 | 255 | 6 | 418 | 37.6% | 61.0% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -WALKER SPRNGSWALKER SPRNGS | 176 | 179 | 1 | 356 | 49.4% | 50.3% | R+0.8 |
| Precinct -HELWESTERN FIREHELWESTERN FIRE | 51 | 287 | 0 | 338 | 15.1% | 84.9% | R+69.8 |
| Precinct -SPRINGFIELD METHODISTSPRINGFIELD METHODIST | 15 | 309 | 2 | 326 | 4.6% | 94.8% | R+90.2 |
| Precinct -GROVE HILL NAT'L GUARDGROVE HILL NAT'L GUARD | 181 | 113 | 4 | 298 | 60.7% | 37.9% | D+22.8 |
| Precinct -CHOCTAW BLUFF FIRE 12_1CHOCTAW BLUFF FIRE 12_1 | 183 | 108 | 0 | 291 | 62.9% | 37.1% | D+25.8 |
| Precinct -MORNING STARMORNING STAR | 209 | 41 | 1 | 251 | 83.3% | 16.3% | D+66.9 |
| Precinct -WINN FIRE 91_1WINN FIRE 91_1 | 136 | 99 | 4 | 239 | 56.9% | 41.4% | D+15.5 |
| Precinct -WHATLEY BAPT 121_3WHATLEY BAPT 121_3 | 101 | 94 | 0 | 195 | 51.8% | 48.2% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct -NETTLESBORONETTLESBORO | 64 | 123 | 2 | 189 | 33.9% | 65.1% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -ROCKVILLE 21_1ROCKVILLE 21_1 | 106 | 58 | 1 | 165 | 64.2% | 35.2% | D+29.1 |
| Precinct -SALITPA FIRE 81_1SALITPA FIRE 81_1 | 47 | 111 | 0 | 158 | 29.7% | 70.3% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -WALNUT GROVE CHURCHWALNUT GROVE CHURCH | 116 | 32 | 1 | 149 | 77.9% | 21.5% | D+56.4 |
| Precinct -OPINE TALLAHATTA 161_1OPINE TALLAHATTA 161_1 | 2 | 111 | 0 | 113 | 1.8% | 98.2% | R+96.5 |
| Precinct -BASHI METHODIST 201_2BASHI METHODIST 201_2 | 15 | 94 | 0 | 109 | 13.8% | 86.2% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -CHILTON BAPT 151_2CHILTON BAPT 151_2 | 2 | 102 | 0 | 104 | 1.9% | 98.1% | R+96.2 |
| Precinct -GOSPORT FIREGOSPORT FIRE | 79 | 17 | 0 | 96 | 82.3% | 17.7% | D+64.6 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +11.3% |
| 1880 | +21.2% |
| 1884 | +8.1% |
| 1888 | +11.8% |
| 1892 | +40.0% |
| 1896 | +62.4% |
| 1900 | +69.0% |
| 1904 | +85.1% |
| 1908 | +89.7% |
| 1912 | +94.1% |
| 1916 | +95.7% |
| 1920 | +92.9% |
| 1924 | +85.2% |
| 1928 | +27.9% |
| 1932 | +95.5% |
| 1936 | +95.5% |
| 1940 | +97.4% |
| 1944 | +88.1% |
| 1948 | −2.2% |
| 1952 | +41.1% |
| 1956 | +22.3% |
| 1960 | −3.5% |
| 1964 | −82.8% |
| 1968 | +14.2% |
| 1972 | −43.5% |
| 1976 | +6.8% |
| 1980 | +1.8% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | −14.9% |
| 1992 | −4.0% |
| 1996 | +0.5% |
| 2000 | −12.2% |
| 2004 | −18.5% |
| 2008 | −11.6% |
| 2012 | −8.2% |
| 2016 | −10.7% |
| 2020 | −11.9% |
| 2024 | −17.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 19,542 |
| 2020 | 19,676 |
| 2022 | 19,060 |
| 2024 | 19,143 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−26 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,445 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,602 in average income, against $60,419 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+19.5 on average — 2.4 points more Republican-leaning than Clarke County, AL itself (R+17.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mobile County, AL49R+16.4
- Washington County, AL43R+55.3
- Marengo County, AL36R+3.8
- Wilcox County, AL32D+31.5
- Baldwin County, AL21R+58.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mobile County, AL64
- Washington County, AL45
- Marengo County, AL35
- Wilcox County, AL31
- Baldwin County, AL24
- Tuscaloosa County, AL24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −141 |
| 2012 | −450 |
| 2013 | −10 |
| 2014 | −229 |
| 2015 | −177 |
| 2016 | −348 |
| 2017 | −221 |
| 2018 | −133 |
| 2019 | −232 |
| 2021 | −128 |
| 2022 | −61 |
| 2023 | −159 |
| 2024 | −130 |
| 2025 | −26 |
Clarke County's population has declined steadily over recent decades as timber-dependent communities contracted, leaving a sparse, rural electorate that has swung heavily toward Republican presidential candidates in each successive cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.4 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 82.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.0 points.
A population of 22,543, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,249 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winston County and Butler County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clarke County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.