| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 993 | 5,734 | 6,767 | |
| 2020 | R | 1,267 | 5,601 | 6,930 | |
| 2016 | R | 1,237 | 5,245 | 6,575 | |
| 2012 | R | 1,777 | 4,817 | 6,662 | |
| 2008 | R | 1,760 | 4,984 | 6,819 | |
| 2004 | R | 1,893 | 4,624 | 6,576 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,045 | 3,719 | 5,883 | |
| 1996 | R | 2,306 | 2,694 | 5,568 | |
| 1992 | R | 2,073 | 2,859 | 5,755 | |
| 1988 | R | 1,602 | 3,496 | 5,238 | |
| 1984 | R | 1,456 | 3,432 | 5,033 | |
| 1980 | D | 2,858 | 2,764 | 5,747 | |
| 1976 | D | 2,946 | 1,883 | 4,858 | |
| 1972 | R | 507 | 3,948 | 4,474 | |
| 1968 | R | 256 | 706 | 5,044 | |
| 1964 | R | 0 | 2,815 | 4,014 | |
| 1960 | D | 1,743 | 1,548 | 3,307 | |
| 1956 | D | 1,677 | 1,597 | 3,323 | |
| 1952 | D | 1,972 | 1,183 | 3,164 | |
| 1948 | R | 0 | 387 | 1,502 | |
| 1944 | D | 1,535 | 741 | 2,290 | |
| 1940 | D | 2,153 | 854 | 3,023 | |
| 1936 | D | 2,138 | 699 | 2,976 | |
| 1932 | D | 2,104 | 933 | 3,059 | |
| 1928 | R | 978 | 1,889 | 2,868 | |
| 1924 | D | 1,597 | 1,017 | 2,667 | |
| 1920 | D | 2,165 | 2,133 | 4,301 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,196 | 677 | 1,877 | |
| 1912 | D | 1,109 | 64 | 2,114 | |
| 1908 | D | 863 | 594 | 1,494 | |
| 1904 | D | 1,345 | 990 | 2,379 | |
| 1900 | R | 990 | 1,087 | 2,208 | |
| 1896 | D | 1,410 | 489 | 1,961 | |
| 1892 | D | 1,161 | 47 | 2,311 | |
| 1888 | D | 1,278 | 376 | 1,658 | |
| 1884 | D | 1,147 | 274 | 1,421 | |
| 1880 | D | 1,002 | 52 | 1,228 | |
| 1876 | D | 1,188 | 166 | 1,354 |
A rural Appalachian foothill county of roughly 14,000 residents, Clay delivered a 70-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided jurisdictions in a state already dominated by that pattern.
The shift began with civil rights. 1984 marked the realignment in Clay County, by a thirty-nine points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at seventy-seven points in 1972. The 2024 margin was seventy points.
The political shift has tracked, in Clay County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 80% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $55,250, and a 18% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Union County.
