HarrisDemocratic14.7%993TrumpRepublican84.7%5,734KennedyIndependent0.2%16
R+70.1- Lead
- 4,741
- Total
- 6,767
- vs nation
- R+68.6
- Turnout
- 60.6%
Akashiccounty
Clay County, AL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.6% of 11,168 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic18.3%1,267TrumpRepublican80.8%5,601JorgensenLibertarian0.8%53
R+62.5- Lead
- 4,334
- Total
- 6,930
- vs nation
- R+67.0
- Turnout
- 67.0%
ClintonDemocratic18.8%1,237TrumpRepublican79.8%5,245JohnsonLibertarian1.4%93
R+61.0- Lead
- 4,008
- Total
- 6,575
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- 64.1%
ObamaDemocratic26.7%1,777RomneyRepublican72.3%4,817OtherAll other candidates1.0%68
R+45.6- Lead
- 3,040
- Total
- 6,662
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic25.8%1,760McCainRepublican73.1%4,984OtherAll other candidates1.1%75
R+47.3- Lead
- 3,224
- Total
- 6,819
- vs nation
- R+54.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic28.8%1,893BushRepublican70.3%4,624OtherAll other candidates0.9%59
R+41.5- Lead
- 2,731
- Total
- 6,576
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.8%2,045BushRepublican63.2%3,719NaderGreen0.9%52
R+28.5- Lead
- 1,674
- Total
- 5,883
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.4%2,306DoleRepublican48.4%2,694PerotReform9.7%538
R+7.0- Lead
- 388
- Total
- 5,568
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+70.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,1922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $55,2502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77.4 in 1880MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+76.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lamar County, AL · twin score 97.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.6%6,767 participants ÷ 11,168 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.0%–40.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,641 | 10,362 | 64.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,442 | 10,383 | 52.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,996 | 10,436 | 67.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,333 | 11,277 | 38.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,767 | 11,168 | 60.6% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 6,767 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -COURTHOUSE ANNEXCOURTHOUSE ANNEX | 246 | 1,227 | 9 | 1,482 | 16.6% | 82.8% | R+66.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FARMER'S MARKETFARMER'S MARKET | 401 | 846 | 11 | 1,258 | 31.9% | 67.2% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -BARFIELD VFDBARFIELD VFD | 52 | 603 | 0 | 655 | 7.9% | 92.1% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -BLUFF SPRINGS FIREBLUFF SPRINGS FIRE | 13 | 397 | 2 | 412 | 3.2% | 96.4% | R+93.2 |
| Precinct -MELLOW VALLEY HIGHMELLOW VALLEY HIGH | 22 | 375 | 1 | 398 | 5.5% | 94.2% | R+88.7 |
| Precinct -TRI-COMM_ FIRETRI-COMM_ FIRE | 83 | 296 | 3 | 382 | 21.7% | 77.5% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -BIBB GRAVES SCH/COMM_BIBB GRAVES SCH/COMM_ | 74 | 278 | 2 | 354 | 20.9% | 78.5% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -HOLLINS COMM_ CTR_HOLLINS COMM_ CTR_ | 14 | 287 | 2 | 303 | 4.6% | 94.7% | R+90.1 |
| Precinct -DELTA COMM_ CTR_DELTA COMM_ CTR_ | 23 | 276 | 2 | 301 | 7.6% | 91.7% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -SHINBONE VFDSHINBONE VFD | 25 | 238 | 0 | 263 | 9.5% | 90.5% | R+81.0 |
| Precinct -IDAHO FIRE DEPT_IDAHO FIRE DEPT_ | 10 | 243 | 5 | 258 | 3.9% | 94.2% | R+90.3 |
| Precinct -HIGHLAND COPPERMINEHIGHLAND COPPERMINE | 6 | 219 | 1 | 226 | 2.7% | 96.9% | R+94.2 |
| Precinct -CRAGFORD FIRECRAGFORD FIRE | 5 | 198 | 1 | 204 | 2.5% | 97.1% | R+94.6 |
| Precinct -COLETA VALLEY FIRECOLETA VALLEY FIRE | 17 | 153 | 1 | 171 | 9.9% | 89.5% | R+79.5 |
| Precinct -HIPINE FIRE DEPT_HIPINE FIRE DEPT_ | 2 | 98 | 0 | 100 | 2.0% | 98.0% | R+96.0 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +75.5% |
| 1880 | +77.4% |
| 1884 | +61.4% |
| 1888 | +54.4% |
| 1892 | +48.2% |
| 1896 | +47.0% |
| 1900 | −4.4% |
| 1904 | +14.9% |
| 1908 | +18.0% |
| 1912 | +49.4% |
| 1916 | +27.7% |
| 1920 | +0.7% |
| 1924 | +21.7% |
| 1928 | −31.8% |
| 1932 | +38.3% |
| 1936 | +48.4% |
| 1940 | +43.0% |
| 1944 | +34.7% |
| 1948 | −25.8% |
| 1952 | +24.9% |
| 1956 | +2.4% |
| 1960 | +5.9% |
| 1964 | −70.1% |
| 1968 | −8.9% |
| 1972 | −76.9% |
| 1976 | +21.9% |
| 1980 | +1.6% |
| 1984 | −39.3% |
| 1988 | −36.2% |
| 1992 | −13.7% |
| 1996 | −7.0% |
| 2000 | −28.5% |
| 2004 | −41.5% |
| 2008 | −47.3% |
| 2012 | −45.6% |
| 2016 | −61.0% |
| 2020 | −62.5% |
| 2024 | −70.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 10,067 |
| 2020 | 10,468 |
| 2022 | 10,363 |
| 2024 | 10,603 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+49 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +52 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,516 in average income, against $62,543 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+41.2 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, AL itself (R+70.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Talladega County, AL44R+33.7
- Calhoun County, AL40R+44.6
- Tallapoosa County, AL23R+49.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Talladega County, AL57
- Calhoun County, AL47
- Tallapoosa County, AL27
- Randolph County, AL25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −153 |
| 2012 | −222 |
| 2013 | +26 |
| 2014 | +61 |
| 2015 | +24 |
| 2016 | +23 |
| 2017 | +8 |
| 2018 | −41 |
| 2019 | −12 |
| 2021 | +63 |
| 2022 | +107 |
| 2023 | +1 |
| 2024 | +118 |
| 2025 | +49 |
A rural Appalachian foothill county of roughly 14,000 residents, Clay delivered a 70-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most one-sided jurisdictions in a state already dominated by that pattern.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.4 points in 1880 and a Republican high of 76.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 70.1 points.
A population of 14,192, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $55,250 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamar County and Fayette County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lamar County
Alabama
97.1twin score
% Evangelical2008–2024 trajectory
Fayette County
Alabama
95.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
Cleburne County
Alabama
93.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Clay County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Clay County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Clay County, Alabama vote in 2024?
In 2024, Clay County, Alabama voted Republican by 70.1 points (R+70.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,767 votes cast, 993 went Democratic and 5,734 went Republican.
When did Clay County, Alabama last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Alabama voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Clay County, Alabama?
Clay County, Alabama has a population of 14,192 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Clay County, Alabama?
Median household income in Clay County, Alabama is $55,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alabama state median is $63,999.
What is the political history of Clay County, Alabama?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Alabama from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.