- Lead
- 5,771
- Total
- 16,069
- vs nation
- R+34.4
- Turnout
- 61.7%
Monroe County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.7% of 26,024 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,303
- Total
- 17,259
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Turnout
- 63.6%
- Lead
- 4,643
- Total
- 15,884
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- 57.7%
- Lead
- 2,667
- Total
- 16,918
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,015
- Total
- 17,496
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,071
- Total
- 15,632
- vs nation
- R+17.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,614
- Total
- 13,360
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 22
- Total
- 11,324
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,7472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,8662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 29.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jenkins County, GA · twin score 91.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.7%16,069 participants ÷ 26,024 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +32.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 29.4%–38.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,884 | 27,522 | 57.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,880 | 27,521 | 43.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,463 | 27,469 | 63.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,229 | 26,313 | 31.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,069 | 26,024 | 61.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 16,069 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -2 Amory Second2 Amory Second | 390 | 1,189 | 18 | 1,597 | 24.4% | 74.5% | R+50.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -1 Hatley1 Hatley | 105 | 1,476 | 9 | 1,590 | 6.6% | 92.8% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -3 Hamilton3 Hamilton | 223 | 1,088 | 10 | 1,321 | 16.9% | 82.4% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -4 North Aberdeen4 North Aberdeen | 644 | 452 | 9 | 1,105 | 58.3% | 40.9% | D+17.4 |
| Precinct -2 Becker2 Becker | 80 | 900 | 4 | 984 | 8.1% | 91.5% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -1 Smithville1 Smithville | 95 | 820 | 4 | 919 | 10.3% | 89.2% | R+78.9 |
| Precinct -4 South Aberdeen4 South Aberdeen | 690 | 211 | 9 | 910 | 75.8% | 23.2% | D+52.6 |
| Precinct -5 Wren5 Wren | 189 | 688 | 6 | 883 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -3 Lackey3 Lackey | 101 | 652 | 4 | 757 | 13.3% | 86.1% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -5 Nettleton5 Nettleton | 308 | 404 | 4 | 716 | 43.0% | 56.4% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct -5 Willis5 Willis | 483 | 166 | 6 | 655 | 73.7% | 25.3% | D+48.4 |
| Precinct -1 Amory First1 Amory First | 70 | 560 | 3 | 633 | 11.1% | 88.5% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -4 Prairie4 Prairie | 418 | 62 | 4 | 484 | 86.4% | 12.8% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -3 Athens3 Athens | 71 | 374 | 0 | 445 | 16.0% | 84.0% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -5 Amory Fifth5 Amory Fifth | 386 | 16 | 3 | 405 | 95.3% | 4.0% | D+91.4 |
| Precinct -4 Gibson4 Gibson | 281 | 87 | 5 | 373 | 75.3% | 23.3% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -1 Boyds1 Boyds | 21 | 341 | 4 | 366 | 5.7% | 93.2% | R+87.4 |
| Precinct -3 Aberdeen Third3 Aberdeen Third | 175 | 123 | 3 | 301 | 58.1% | 40.9% | D+17.3 |
| Precinct -5 Central Grove5 Central Grove | 178 | 113 | 6 | 297 | 59.9% | 38.0% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct -3 Bartahatchie3 Bartahatchie | 15 | 243 | 0 | 258 | 5.8% | 94.2% | R+88.4 |
| Precinct -2 Sipsey2 Sipsey | 12 | 239 | 2 | 253 | 4.7% | 94.5% | R+89.7 |
| Precinct -1 Bigbee1 Bigbee | 7 | 174 | 0 | 181 | 3.9% | 96.1% | R+92.3 |
| Precinct -2 Parham2 Parham | 26 | 147 | 2 | 175 | 14.9% | 84.0% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct -4 Darracott4 Darracott | 34 | 114 | 0 | 148 | 23.0% | 77.0% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -5 Aberdeen Fifth5 Aberdeen Fifth | 76 | 37 | 0 | 113 | 67.3% | 32.7% | D+34.5 |
| Precinct -3 Greenwood Springs3 Greenwood Springs | 8 | 92 | 2 | 102 | 7.8% | 90.2% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -2 Williams2 Williams | 4 | 93 | 1 | 98 | 4.1% | 94.9% | R+90.8 |
| Aberdeen 3 Voting District28_28095306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Amory 1 Voting District28_28095107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Amory 2 Voting District28_28095205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Amory 5 Voting District28_28095506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Athens Voting District28_28095307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bartahatchie Voting District28_28095302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Becker Voting District28_28095204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bigbee 1 Voting District28_28095108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Boyds Voting District28_28095109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Central Grove Voting District28_28095502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Darracott Voting District28_28095402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gibson Voting District28_28095406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenwood Springs Voting District28_28095202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hamilton Voting District28_28095304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hatley Voting District28_28095105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lackey Voting District28_28095305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nettleton Voting District28_28095503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Aberdeen 4 Voting District28_28095407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parham Voting District28_28095104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prairie Voting District28_28095405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Smithville Voting District28_28095102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Aberdeen 4 Voting District28_28095401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Williams Voting District28_28095103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willis Voting District28_28095501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wren Voting District28_28095505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +83.5% |
| 1896 | +91.3% |
| 1900 | +89.2% |
| 1904 | +82.0% |
| 1908 | +92.2% |
| 1912 | +94.0% |
| 1916 | +89.9% |
| 1920 | +85.6% |
| 1924 | +88.9% |
| 1928 | +77.9% |
| 1932 | +95.3% |
| 1936 | +96.5% |
| 1940 | +94.3% |
| 1944 | +90.3% |
| 1948 | +19.3% |
| 1952 | +42.5% |
| 1956 | +63.3% |
| 1960 | +10.3% |
| 1964 | −70.2% |
| 1968 | +3.2% |
| 1972 | −69.3% |
| 1976 | +12.1% |
| 1980 | +18.0% |
| 1984 | −24.9% |
| 1988 | −15.9% |
| 1992 | −8.7% |
| 1996 | −0.2% |
| 2000 | −12.1% |
| 2004 | −19.6% |
| 2008 | −17.2% |
| 2012 | −15.8% |
| 2016 | −29.2% |
| 2020 | −30.7% |
| 2024 | −35.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,546 |
| 2018 | 25,607 |
| 2020 | 25,561 |
| 2022 | 25,424 |
| 2024 | 25,296 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−44 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,774 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,809 in average income, against $57,919 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.7 on average — 2.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Monroe County, MS itself (R+35.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lee County, MS153R+38.8
- Lowndes County, MS71R+8.2
- Itawamba County, MS60R+80.0
- Clay County, MS30D+10.4
- Chickasaw County, MS26R+13.7
- Pontotoc County, MS23R+67.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lee County, MS164
- Lowndes County, MS65
- Itawamba County, MS62
- Chickasaw County, MS32
- Clay County, MS25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −300 |
| 2012 | −216 |
| 2013 | −270 |
| 2014 | −108 |
| 2015 | −213 |
| 2016 | +129 |
| 2017 | 0 |
| 2018 | −267 |
| 2019 | −265 |
| 2021 | −83 |
| 2022 | −177 |
| 2023 | +155 |
| 2024 | −115 |
| 2025 | −44 |
Monroe County has delivered lopsided Republican margins for over a decade while its population quietly contracts, a pattern common across rural northeast Mississippi where manufacturing losses have reshaped both the workforce and the voter rolls.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 70.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.9 points.
A population of 33,747, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,866 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jenkins County and De Soto Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monroe County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.