- Lead
- 1,541
- Total
- 8,722
- vs nation
- D+19.1
Mississippi 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,268
- Total
- 10,201
- vs nation
- D+17.8
- Lead
- 1,775
- Total
- 9,618
- vs nation
- D+16.4
- Lead
- 3,168
- Total
- 10,913
- vs nation
- D+25.2
- Lead
- 2,920
- Total
- 10,851
- vs nation
- D+19.6
- Lead
- 2,300
- Total
- 9,507
- vs nation
- D+26.7
- Lead
- 2,388
- Total
- 8,084
- vs nation
- D+29.0
- Lead
- 2,614
- Total
- 7,144
- vs nation
- D+28.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,9622024 5-year
- Population density
- 132 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 189 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $41,5772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 63.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 16, LA · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Mississippi 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
99.6%
2,201 votes · D+99.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 99.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.9%
2,220 votes · R+38.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · 54.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
7,007votes
64.2% of the vote · D+29.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,864 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
3,944votes
36.3% of the vote · D+26.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,881 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+120.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+95.7 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +114.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+31.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+8.7 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +15.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 31.7%3,468 | 68.3%7,470 | 10,938 |
| 2018 | R | 31.3%2,463 | 68.7%5,417 | 7,880 |
Carried by the Democratic presidential nominee by nearly 18 points in 2024, this majority-minority district in the Mississippi Delta region consistently outpaces state trends toward one party at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 38.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.7 points.
A population of 24,962, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,577 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16 and State House District 98.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Mississippi 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/28016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.