HarrisDemocratic30.0%10,616TrumpRepublican68.9%24,339KennedyIndependent0.4%159
R+38.8- Lead
- 13,723
- Total
- 35,338
- vs nation
- R+37.4
- Turnout
- 58.0%
Akashiccounty
Lee County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.0% of 60,938 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.0%12,189TrumpRepublican65.5%24,207JorgensenLibertarian0.8%292
R+32.5- Lead
- 12,018
- Total
- 36,954
- vs nation
- R+37.0
- Turnout
- 60.6%
ClintonDemocratic30.5%10,029TrumpRepublican67.5%22,220JohnsonLibertarian1.2%405
R+37.0- Lead
- 12,191
- Total
- 32,913
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- 52.9%
ObamaDemocratic35.6%12,563RomneyRepublican63.5%22,415OtherAll other candidates0.9%328
R+27.9- Lead
- 9,852
- Total
- 35,306
- vs nation
- R+31.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.4%12,021McCainRepublican64.9%22,694OtherAll other candidates0.7%245
R+30.5- Lead
- 10,673
- Total
- 34,960
- vs nation
- R+37.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.1%10,127BushRepublican66.1%20,254OtherAll other candidates0.8%258
R+33.1- Lead
- 10,127
- Total
- 30,639
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.4%9,142BushRepublican62.0%15,551NaderGreen1.0%240
R+25.5- Lead
- 6,409
- Total
- 25,094
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.9%8,438DoleRepublican54.5%11,815PerotReform6.3%1,361
R+15.6- Lead
- 3,377
- Total
- 21,686
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 83,0342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,8632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 29.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ouachita Parish, LA · twin score 90.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.0%35,338 participants ÷ 60,938 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +32.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 25.8%–36.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 32,913 | 62,216 | 52.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 26,604 | 61,939 | 43.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 37,956 | 62,662 | 60.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 17,423 | 61,284 | 28.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 35,338 | 60,938 | 58.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
75 precincts · 35,338 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TFM #5TFM #5 | 1,238 | 3,642 | 68 | 4,948 | 25.0% | 73.6% | R+48.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Tupelo 3Tupelo 3 | 1,107 | 1,625 | 36 | 2,768 | 40.0% | 58.7% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -Tupelo 2Tupelo 2 | 835 | 1,573 | 32 | 2,440 | 34.2% | 64.5% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -SaltilloSaltillo | 413 | 1,697 | 20 | 2,130 | 19.4% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -Veterans ParkVeterans Park | 394 | 1,120 | 18 | 1,532 | 25.7% | 73.1% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -MoorevilleMooreville | 114 | 1,343 | 9 | 1,466 | 7.8% | 91.6% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -Tupelo 4 NorthTupelo 4 North | 1,046 | 394 | 22 | 1,462 | 71.5% | 26.9% | D+44.6 |
| Precinct -Birmingham RidgeBirmingham Ridge | 174 | 1,237 | 13 | 1,424 | 12.2% | 86.9% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -NettletonNettleton | 236 | 1,155 | 12 | 1,403 | 16.8% | 82.3% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -GuntownGuntown | 290 | 885 | 12 | 1,187 | 24.4% | 74.6% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -Tupelo 1Tupelo 1 | 352 | 766 | 14 | 1,132 | 31.1% | 67.7% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -Cedar HillCedar Hill | 153 | 954 | 7 | 1,114 | 13.7% | 85.6% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -Tupelo 4 SouthTupelo 4 South | 850 | 153 | 15 | 1,018 | 83.5% | 15.0% | D+68.5 |
| Precinct -UnityUnity | 52 | 825 | 6 | 883 | 5.9% | 93.4% | R+87.5 |
| Precinct -AuburnAuburn | 95 | 785 | 1 | 881 | 10.8% | 89.1% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -Pleasant GrovePleasant Grove | 466 | 312 | 7 | 785 | 59.4% | 39.7% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -PlantersvillePlantersville | 357 | 406 | 9 | 772 | 46.2% | 52.6% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Tupelo 5Tupelo 5 | 380 | 348 | 9 | 737 | 51.6% | 47.2% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -Oak HillOak Hill | 89 | 577 | 7 | 673 | 13.2% | 85.7% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -BaldwynBaldwyn | 312 | 347 | 8 | 667 | 46.8% | 52.0% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -BrewerBrewer | 165 | 485 | 10 | 660 | 25.0% | 73.5% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -VeronaVerona | 491 | 157 | 6 | 654 | 75.1% | 24.0% | D+51.1 |
| Precinct -BeldenBelden | 104 | 472 | 4 | 580 | 17.9% | 81.4% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -EggvilleEggville | 46 | 522 | 4 | 572 | 8.0% | 91.3% | R+83.2 |
| Precinct -PalmettoPalmetto | 159 | 376 | 6 | 541 | 29.4% | 69.5% | R+40.1 |
| Precinct -Beech SpringsBeech Springs | 175 | 335 | 16 | 526 | 33.3% | 63.7% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -ShannonShannon | 241 | 214 | 3 | 458 | 52.6% | 46.7% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct -RichmondRichmond | 55 | 366 | 4 | 425 | 12.9% | 86.1% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -PrattsPratts | 26 | 352 | 1 | 379 | 6.9% | 92.9% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -Old UnionOld Union | 147 | 211 | 0 | 358 | 41.1% | 58.9% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -EuclatubbaEuclatubba | 28 | 275 | 0 | 303 | 9.2% | 90.8% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -GilvoGilvo | 18 | 266 | 3 | 287 | 6.3% | 92.7% | R+86.4 |
| Precinct -FriendshipFriendship | 8 | 164 | 1 | 173 | 4.6% | 94.8% | R+90.2 |
| Auburn Voting District28_28081113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baldwin Voting District28_28081101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beech Springs Voting District28_28081208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belden Voting District28_28081301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birmingham Ridge Voting District28_28081204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bissell Voting District28_28081302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blair Voting District28_28081202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brewer Voting District28_28081504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Corrona Voting District28_28081207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Davis Box Voting District28_28081206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Heights Voting District28_28081114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eggville Voting District28_28081110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Euclautubba Voting District28_28081203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fellowship Voting District28_28081107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Flowerdale Voting District28_28081209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Friendship Voting District28_28081103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gilvo 1 Voting District28_28081111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gilvo 5 Voting District28_28081509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Guntown Voting District28_28081104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hebron Voting District28_28081106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kedron Voting District28_28081507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mooreville 1 Voting District28_28081112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mooreville 5 Voting District28_28081510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nettleton Voting District28_28081501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oak Hill Voting District28_28081108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Old Union Voting District28_28081402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmetto A & B Voting District28_28081404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Petersburg Voting District28_28081502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Plantersville Voting District28_28081505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Grove Voting District28_28081401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pratts Voting District28_28081102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richmond Voting District28_28081506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saltillo Voting District28_28081205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shannon Voting District28_28081503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tupelo 1 Voting District28_28081109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tupelo 2 Voting District28_28081201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tupelo 3 Voting District28_28081303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tupelo 4 North Voting District28_28081405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tupelo 4 South Voting District28_28081403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tupelo 5 Voting District28_28081508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unity Voting District28_28081105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Verona Voting District28_28081511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +66.8% |
| 1896 | +93.8% |
| 1900 | +86.1% |
| 1904 | +94.7% |
| 1908 | +86.3% |
| 1912 | +90.9% |
| 1916 | +89.5% |
| 1920 | +68.7% |
| 1924 | +89.0% |
| 1928 | +76.5% |
| 1932 | +93.1% |
| 1936 | +97.7% |
| 1940 | +93.9% |
| 1944 | +87.7% |
| 1948 | +14.4% |
| 1952 | +35.2% |
| 1956 | +57.3% |
| 1960 | +31.7% |
| 1964 | −36.4% |
| 1968 | −4.5% |
| 1972 | −70.0% |
| 1976 | +7.0% |
| 1980 | +9.1% |
| 1984 | −36.0% |
| 1988 | −34.6% |
| 1992 | −20.1% |
| 1996 | −15.6% |
| 2000 | −25.5% |
| 2004 | −33.1% |
| 2008 | −30.5% |
| 2012 | −27.9% |
| 2016 | −37.0% |
| 2020 | −32.5% |
| 2024 | −38.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 51,432 |
| 2018 | 53,520 |
| 2020 | 56,379 |
| 2022 | 54,157 |
| 2024 | 57,073 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+221 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −72 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,665 in average income, against $75,517 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.8 on average — 9.0 points more Republican-leaning than Lee County, MS itself (R+38.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pontotoc County, MS216R+67.7
- Itawamba County, MS182R+80.0
- Monroe County, MS164R+35.9
- Union County, MS142R+70.1
- Prentiss County, MS130R+66.0
- Chickasaw County, MS86R+13.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Itawamba County, MS199
- Pontotoc County, MS184
- Monroe County, MS153
- Prentiss County, MS130
- Union County, MS107
- Chickasaw County, MS70
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +804 |
| 2012 | +406 |
| 2013 | −37 |
| 2014 | −489 |
| 2015 | −247 |
| 2016 | −177 |
| 2017 | −49 |
| 2018 | −18 |
| 2019 | −12 |
| 2021 | −243 |
| 2022 | −72 |
| 2023 | −163 |
| 2024 | +4 |
| 2025 | +221 |
Lee County's urban core in Tupelo anchors a consistently right-leaning electorate in northeast Mississippi, where the 2024 presidential margin held near four decades of pattern — a 38-point Republican advantage with little competitive pressure.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 70.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.8 points.
A population of 83,034, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,863 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ouachita Parish and Jones County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Ouachita Parish
Louisiana
90.7twin score
% Black% Evangelicalmedian age
Jones County
Mississippi
86.4twin score
% Black% Evangelical2008 margin≠ % unaffiliated
Troup County
Georgia
85.8twin score
% Black% Evangelicalmedian age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lee County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Lee County
Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Lee County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lee County, Mississippi voted Republican by 38.8 points (R+38.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,338 votes cast, 10,616 went Democratic and 24,339 went Republican.
When did Lee County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lee County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1980.
How many people live in Lee County, Mississippi?
Lee County, Mississippi has a population of 83,034 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lee County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Lee County, Mississippi is $67,863 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Lee County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lee County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.