- Lead
- 989
- Total
- 7,234
- vs nation
- R+12.2
- Turnout
- 57.1%
Chickasaw County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 57.1% of 12,664 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 365
- Total
- 8,141
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- 65.5%
- Lead
- 478
- Total
- 7,890
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- 62.3%
- Lead
- 384
- Total
- 8,503
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 193
- Total
- 9,058
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 115
- Total
- 8,350
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 30
- Total
- 7,175
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 436
- Total
- 5,930
- vs nation
- R+1.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,9152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $43,5862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 47.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marengo County, AL · twin score 96.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 57.1%7,234 participants ÷ 12,664 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +31.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 26.0%–34.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,890 | 12,666 | 62.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,059 | 12,738 | 47.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,258 | 12,600 | 65.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,277 | 12,430 | 34.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,234 | 12,664 | 57.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 7,234 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Southeast Houston 010Southeast Houston 010 | 211 | 908 | 11 | 1,130 | 18.7% | 80.4% | R+61.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Northwest Houston 007Northwest Houston 007 | 494 | 211 | 8 | 713 | 69.3% | 29.6% | D+39.7 |
| Precinct -West Okolona 014West Okolona 014 | 404 | 267 | 7 | 678 | 59.6% | 39.4% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct -Anchor 001Anchor 001 | 127 | 503 | 2 | 632 | 20.1% | 79.6% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -East Okolona 004East Okolona 004 | 523 | 53 | 6 | 582 | 89.9% | 9.1% | D+80.8 |
| Precinct -Pleasant Grove Thorn 008Pleasant Grove Thorn 008 | 55 | 514 | 3 | 572 | 9.6% | 89.9% | R+80.2 |
| Precinct -North Okolona 006North Okolona 006 | 241 | 218 | 3 | 462 | 52.2% | 47.2% | D+5.0 |
| Precinct -South Houlka 011South Houlka 011 | 99 | 333 | 5 | 437 | 22.7% | 76.2% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -Buena Vista 002Buena Vista 002 | 289 | 105 | 3 | 397 | 72.8% | 26.4% | D+46.3 |
| Precinct -Pearsall 009Pearsall 009 | 78 | 255 | 0 | 333 | 23.4% | 76.6% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -Egypt 003Egypt 003 | 181 | 128 | 4 | 313 | 57.8% | 40.9% | D+16.9 |
| Precinct -North Houlka 005North Houlka 005 | 157 | 119 | 5 | 281 | 55.9% | 42.3% | D+13.5 |
| Precinct -Van Vleet 013Van Vleet 013 | 91 | 187 | 1 | 279 | 32.6% | 67.0% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -Woodland 015Woodland 015 | 95 | 118 | 3 | 216 | 44.0% | 54.6% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Sparta 012Sparta 012 | 45 | 160 | 4 | 209 | 21.5% | 76.6% | R+55.0 |
| Anchor Voting District28_28017113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buena Vista Voting District28_28017108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Okolona Voting District28_28017106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Egypt Voting District28_28017107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Houlka Voting District28_28017102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Okolona Voting District28_28017104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Northwest Houston Voting District28_28017111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pearsall Voting District28_28017114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Grove Voting District28_28017112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Houlka Voting District28_28017101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southeast Houston Voting District28_28017109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sparta Voting District28_28017115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Van Vleet Voting District28_28017103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Okolona Voting District28_28017105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodland Voting District28_28017116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +33.2% |
| 1896 | +77.7% |
| 1900 | +62.8% |
| 1904 | +82.2% |
| 1908 | +81.4% |
| 1912 | +88.3% |
| 1916 | +89.7% |
| 1920 | +64.4% |
| 1924 | +85.8% |
| 1928 | +79.5% |
| 1932 | +97.6% |
| 1936 | +97.7% |
| 1940 | +93.6% |
| 1944 | +83.0% |
| 1948 | +5.3% |
| 1952 | +45.0% |
| 1956 | +69.0% |
| 1960 | +16.0% |
| 1964 | −83.7% |
| 1968 | +6.6% |
| 1972 | −71.6% |
| 1976 | +5.4% |
| 1980 | +17.1% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | −11.1% |
| 1992 | +1.0% |
| 1996 | +7.4% |
| 2000 | −0.4% |
| 2004 | −1.4% |
| 2008 | +2.1% |
| 2012 | +4.5% |
| 2016 | −6.1% |
| 2020 | −4.5% |
| 2024 | −13.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,480 |
| 2018 | 12,310 |
| 2020 | 12,538 |
| 2022 | 12,108 |
| 2024 | 11,997 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−25 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,214 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $35,779 in average income, against $51,552 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.7 on average — 27 points more Republican-leaning than Chickasaw County, MS itself (R+13.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lee County, MS70R+38.8
- Pontotoc County, MS49R+67.7
- Calhoun County, MS33R+48.0
- Monroe County, MS32R+35.9
- Clay County, MS25D+10.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lee County, MS86
- Pontotoc County, MS47
- Calhoun County, MS34
- Monroe County, MS26
- Clay County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −11 |
| 2012 | −95 |
| 2013 | −212 |
| 2014 | −57 |
| 2015 | −109 |
| 2016 | −216 |
| 2017 | −136 |
| 2018 | −128 |
| 2019 | −45 |
| 2021 | −62 |
| 2022 | −128 |
| 2023 | +6 |
| 2024 | +4 |
| 2025 | −25 |
Chickasaw County sits at the transition zone between the Mississippi Delta and the state's hill country, a geography that historically produced more competitive margins than its current R+13.7 result suggests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 83.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.7 points.
A population of 16,915, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,586 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marengo County and Pickens County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chickasaw County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.