HarrisDemocratic24.8%965TrumpRepublican74.1%2,881KennedyIndependent0.5%21
R+49.3- Lead
- 1,916
- Total
- 3,890
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- 61.2%
Akashiccounty
Choctaw County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.2% of 6,353 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.1%1,185TrumpRepublican71.1%3,001JorgensenLibertarian0.4%16
R+43.0- Lead
- 1,816
- Total
- 4,223
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Turnout
- 66.6%
ClintonDemocratic30.0%1,218TrumpRepublican68.6%2,788JohnsonLibertarian0.6%26
R+38.6- Lead
- 1,570
- Total
- 4,065
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Turnout
- 63.6%
ObamaDemocratic33.4%1,428RomneyRepublican65.8%2,812JohnsonLibertarian0.7%30
R+32.4- Lead
- 1,384
- Total
- 4,273
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.3%1,459McCainRepublican63.6%2,624OtherAll other candidates1.1%45
R+28.2- Lead
- 1,165
- Total
- 4,128
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.5%1,366BushRepublican66.0%2,694OtherAll other candidates0.5%22
R+32.5- Lead
- 1,328
- Total
- 4,082
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.4%1,278BushRepublican64.5%2,398NaderGreen0.7%27
R+30.1- Lead
- 1,120
- Total
- 3,719
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.6%1,247DoleRepublican53.1%1,715PerotReform7.7%247
R+14.5- Lead
- 468
- Total
- 3,227
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1182024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,9192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+86.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Miller County, GA · twin score 91.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.2%3,890 participants ÷ 6,353 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.5%–39.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,065 | 6,395 | 63.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,026 | 6,460 | 46.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,274 | 6,420 | 66.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,512 | 6,469 | 38.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,890 | 6,353 | 61.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 3,890 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -District 5District 5 | 143 | 687 | 8 | 838 | 17.1% | 82.0% | R+64.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ChesterChester | 135 | 375 | 3 | 513 | 26.3% | 73.1% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -SherwoodSherwood | 8 | 343 | 0 | 351 | 2.3% | 97.7% | R+95.4 |
| Precinct -ReformReform | 75 | 231 | 2 | 308 | 24.4% | 75.0% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -French CampFrench Camp | 39 | 259 | 8 | 306 | 12.7% | 84.6% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -Southwest AckermanSouthwest Ackerman | 191 | 59 | 4 | 254 | 75.2% | 23.2% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -KenegoKenego | 8 | 244 | 1 | 253 | 3.2% | 96.4% | R+93.3 |
| Precinct -West WeirWest Weir | 76 | 162 | 5 | 243 | 31.3% | 66.7% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -East WeirEast Weir | 160 | 59 | 5 | 224 | 71.4% | 26.3% | D+45.1 |
| Precinct -PanhandlePanhandle | 75 | 139 | 0 | 214 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -HebronHebron | 20 | 186 | 4 | 210 | 9.5% | 88.6% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -BywyBywy | 35 | 137 | 4 | 176 | 19.9% | 77.8% | R+58.0 |
| Byway Voting District28_28019010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chester Voting District28_28019009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 528_28019003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Weir Voting District28_28019002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fentress Voting District28_28019005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| French Camp Voting District28_28019007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hebron Voting District28_28019011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kenego Voting District28_28019008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Panhandle Voting District28_28019001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reform Voting District28_28019013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sherwood Voting District28_28019012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SW Ackerman Voting District28_28019004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Weir Voting District28_28019006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +50.3% |
| 1896 | +88.1% |
| 1900 | +61.7% |
| 1904 | +74.1% |
| 1908 | +75.2% |
| 1912 | +86.2% |
| 1916 | +86.0% |
| 1920 | +59.8% |
| 1924 | +85.1% |
| 1928 | +79.0% |
| 1932 | +95.9% |
| 1936 | +93.9% |
| 1940 | +89.7% |
| 1944 | +87.3% |
| 1948 | +6.8% |
| 1952 | +45.2% |
| 1956 | +63.8% |
| 1960 | +34.8% |
| 1964 | −86.6% |
| 1968 | +6.5% |
| 1972 | −74.3% |
| 1976 | −1.3% |
| 1980 | −5.4% |
| 1984 | −36.2% |
| 1988 | −26.4% |
| 1992 | −15.7% |
| 1996 | −14.5% |
| 2000 | −30.1% |
| 2004 | −32.5% |
| 2008 | −28.2% |
| 2012 | −32.4% |
| 2016 | −38.6% |
| 2020 | −43.0% |
| 2024 | −49.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,200 |
| 2018 | 5,820 |
| 2020 | 5,831 |
| 2022 | 5,277 |
| 2024 | 5,392 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−14 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −288 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,257 in average income, against $53,930 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.0 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Choctaw County, MS itself (R+49.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Webster County, MS27R+65.2
- Oktibbeha County, MS25R+0.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oktibbeha County, MS42
- Webster County, MS30
- Winston County, MS20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −133 |
| 2012 | −30 |
| 2013 | +20 |
| 2014 | −63 |
| 2015 | −24 |
| 2016 | −51 |
| 2017 | −19 |
| 2018 | +29 |
| 2019 | −28 |
| 2021 | −31 |
| 2022 | −7 |
| 2023 | +17 |
| 2024 | +46 |
| 2025 | −14 |
Choctaw County's roughly 9,700 residents have returned Republican presidential margins above 40 points in every recent cycle, making it a reliable anchor in north-central Mississippi's heavily Republican interior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 86.6 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.3 points.
A population of 8,118, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,919 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Miller County and Henry County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Miller County
Georgia
91.3twin score
% Evangelical% Black% Catholic≠ American ancestry
Henry County
Alabama
90.8twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic% Black≠ English ancestry
Appomattox County
Virginia
89.7twin score
% Evangelical2004–2024 trajectory≠ African American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Choctaw County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Choctaw County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Choctaw County, Mississippi voted Republican by 49.3 points (R+49.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,890 votes cast, 965 went Democratic and 2,881 went Republican.
When did Choctaw County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Choctaw County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 1960.
How many people live in Choctaw County, Mississippi?
Choctaw County, Mississippi has a population of 8,118 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Choctaw County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Choctaw County, Mississippi is $50,919 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Choctaw County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Choctaw County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.