HarrisDemocratic83.3%2,950TrumpRepublican15.8%558KennedyIndependent0.4%14
D+67.6- Lead
- 2,392
- Total
- 3,541
- vs nation
- D+69.0
- Turnout
- 53.1%
Akashiccounty
Claiborne County, MS
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.1% of 6,667 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic84.8%3,772TrumpRepublican13.6%603WestIndependent0.5%23
D+71.2- Lead
- 3,169
- Total
- 4,449
- vs nation
- D+66.8
- Turnout
- 64.1%
ClintonDemocratic86.8%3,708TrumpRepublican12.6%540JohnsonLibertarian0.2%7
D+74.2- Lead
- 3,168
- Total
- 4,272
- vs nation
- D+72.1
- Turnout
- 59.8%
ObamaDemocratic88.2%4,838RomneyRepublican11.4%625GoodeConstitution0.4%20
D+76.8- Lead
- 4,213
- Total
- 5,484
- vs nation
- D+73.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic85.9%4,682McCainRepublican13.7%748OtherAll other candidates0.4%23
D+72.1- Lead
- 3,934
- Total
- 5,453
- vs nation
- D+64.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic81.5%4,362BushRepublican17.7%950OtherAll other candidates0.8%43
D+63.7- Lead
- 3,412
- Total
- 5,355
- vs nation
- D+66.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic79.5%3,670BushRepublican19.1%883NaderGreen0.3%12
D+60.4- Lead
- 2,787
- Total
- 4,615
- vs nation
- D+59.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic80.5%3,739DoleRepublican16.9%784PerotReform2.2%103
D+63.6- Lead
- 2,955
- Total
- 4,647
- vs nation
- D+55.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+67.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,5822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $31,8972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 11.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 85.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+87.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Greene County, AL · twin score 99.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.1%3,541 participants ÷ 6,667 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +34.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +6.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 18.8%–31.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,272 | 7,149 | 59.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,570 | 7,074 | 50.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,502 | 7,019 | 64.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,111 | 7,072 | 29.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,541 | 6,667 | 53.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
23 precincts · 3,541 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -County Precinct 1-ACounty Precinct 1-A | 447 | 64 | 9 | 520 | 86.0% | 12.3% | D+73.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -County Precinct 3-ACounty Precinct 3-A | 390 | 73 | 5 | 468 | 83.3% | 15.6% | D+67.7 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 5-ACounty Precinct 5-A | 344 | 52 | 1 | 397 | 86.6% | 13.1% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 2-ACounty Precinct 2-A | 330 | 50 | 2 | 382 | 86.4% | 13.1% | D+73.3 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 5-BCounty Precinct 5-B | 337 | 37 | 3 | 377 | 89.4% | 9.8% | D+79.6 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 4-BCounty Precinct 4-B | 290 | 37 | 4 | 331 | 87.6% | 11.2% | D+76.4 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 3-CCounty Precinct 3-C | 156 | 149 | 2 | 307 | 50.8% | 48.5% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 4-ACounty Precinct 4-A | 274 | 21 | 1 | 296 | 92.6% | 7.1% | D+85.5 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 2-BCounty Precinct 2-B | 179 | 50 | 4 | 233 | 76.8% | 21.5% | D+55.4 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 1-BCounty Precinct 1-B | 187 | 5 | 2 | 194 | 96.4% | 2.6% | D+93.8 |
| Precinct -County Precinct 3-BCounty Precinct 3-B | 16 | 20 | 0 | 36 | 44.4% | 55.6% | R+11.1 |
| District 1A28_28021101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 1B28_28021102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 1C28_28021103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 228_28021201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 3A28_28021301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 3B28_28021302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 4A28_28021401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 4B28_28021402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 4C28_28021403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 5A28_28021501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| District 5B28_28021502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -County Precinct 4-DCounty Precinct 4-D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +86.2% |
| 1896 | +87.2% |
| 1900 | +89.9% |
| 1904 | +96.4% |
| 1908 | +96.6% |
| 1912 | +98.0% |
| 1916 | +97.5% |
| 1920 | +93.0% |
| 1924 | +95.5% |
| 1928 | +88.5% |
| 1932 | +95.5% |
| 1936 | +92.2% |
| 1940 | +90.5% |
| 1944 | +88.1% |
| 1948 | +0.6% |
| 1952 | −6.1% |
| 1956 | +18.0% |
| 1960 | +2.4% |
| 1964 | −87.2% |
| 1968 | +54.2% |
| 1972 | +15.2% |
| 1976 | +41.0% |
| 1980 | +45.0% |
| 1984 | +42.0% |
| 1988 | +42.5% |
| 1992 | +53.6% |
| 1996 | +63.6% |
| 2000 | +60.4% |
| 2004 | +63.7% |
| 2008 | +72.1% |
| 2012 | +76.8% |
| 2016 | +74.2% |
| 2020 | +71.2% |
| 2024 | +67.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,236 |
| 2018 | 7,419 |
| 2020 | 7,087 |
| 2022 | 6,849 |
| 2024 | 6,919 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−13 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,753 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,195 in average income, against $36,800 for residents who stayed — 7% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.0 on average — 72 points more Republican-leaning than Claiborne County, MS itself (D+67.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Warren County, MS23R+4.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Warren County, MS47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +161 |
| 2012 | −466 |
| 2013 | −237 |
| 2014 | −11 |
| 2015 | +30 |
| 2016 | −60 |
| 2017 | −150 |
| 2018 | +23 |
| 2019 | −98 |
| 2021 | −378 |
| 2022 | −101 |
| 2023 | −173 |
| 2024 | −280 |
| 2025 | −13 |
Claiborne County's electorate is roughly 84% Black, making it one of the most racially homogeneous counties in the state and anchoring its consistent D+60s presidential margins across recent election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 87.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.6 points.
A population of 8,582, a 11% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $31,897 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Jefferson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Greene County
Alabama
99.0twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ median age
Jefferson County
Mississippi
98.4twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Holmes County
Mississippi
98.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Claiborne County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Claiborne County, Mississippi vote in 2024?
In 2024, Claiborne County, Mississippi voted Democratic by 67.6 points (D+67.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,541 votes cast, 2,950 went Democratic and 558 went Republican.
When did Claiborne County, Mississippi last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Claiborne County, Mississippi voted Republican was 1964.
How many people live in Claiborne County, Mississippi?
Claiborne County, Mississippi has a population of 8,582 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Claiborne County, Mississippi?
Median household income in Claiborne County, Mississippi is $31,897 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.
What is the political history of Claiborne County, Mississippi?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Claiborne County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.