- Lead
- 2,663
- Total
- 7,571
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Turnout
- 63.3%
Clarke County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.3% of 11,962 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,579
- Total
- 8,338
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Turnout
- 68.8%
- Lead
- 2,552
- Total
- 7,791
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 62.9%
- Lead
- 1,938
- Total
- 8,253
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,108
- Total
- 8,397
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,666
- Total
- 7,507
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,135
- Total
- 6,919
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,133
- Total
- 6,192
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,3142024 5-year
- Population density
- 22 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 692 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $46,1082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+86.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marion County, MS · twin score 92.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.3%7,571 participants ÷ 11,962 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +29.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.5%–41.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,791 | 12,384 | 62.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,125 | 12,327 | 49.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,347 | 12,125 | 68.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,706 | 12,057 | 39.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,571 | 11,962 | 63.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Clarke County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
98.6%
947 votes · D+97.9
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 98.4%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
93.4%
3,591 votes · R+86.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 81.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1980
3,303votes
49.1% of the vote · Tied · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 3,121 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
5,417votes
65.0% of the vote · R+30.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 5,229 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+115.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+96.2 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +112.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+109.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+86.8 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +41.3 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,822 |
| 2018 | 12,836 |
| 2020 | 12,221 |
| 2022 | 11,759 |
| 2024 | 11,943 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−67 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,193 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,751 in average income, against $56,658 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.7 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Clarke County, MS itself (R+35.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lauderdale County, MS97R+21.2
- Wayne County, MS26R+32.7
- Jasper County, MS23R+5.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lauderdale County, MS71
- Jasper County, MS28
- Wayne County, MS24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −10 |
| 2012 | −164 |
| 2013 | −91 |
| 2014 | −118 |
| 2015 | −225 |
| 2016 | −78 |
| 2017 | −59 |
| 2018 | −215 |
| 2019 | −40 |
| 2021 | −47 |
| 2022 | −138 |
| 2023 | +88 |
| 2024 | −29 |
| 2025 | −67 |
Clarke County's population has contracted by roughly 20% over two decades as agricultural employment declined, leaving an older, less-mobile electorate that has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates with each successive election.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 97.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 86.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.2 points.
A population of 15,314, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,108 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marion County and Wayne County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clarke County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.