- Lead
- 4,659
- Total
- 11,188
- vs nation
- R+40.2
- Turnout
- 60.8%
Marion County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.8% of 18,412 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,486
- Total
- 12,177
- vs nation
- R+41.3
- Turnout
- 64.7%
- Lead
- 4,159
- Total
- 11,693
- vs nation
- R+37.7
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 3,844
- Total
- 12,729
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,091
- Total
- 13,010
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,111
- Total
- 11,947
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,682
- Total
- 10,998
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 9,968
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 24,1932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $45,1102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin Parish, LA · twin score 94.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.8%11,188 participants ÷ 18,412 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +30.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 30.5%–39.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,693 | 19,489 | 60.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,136 | 19,058 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,236 | 18,909 | 64.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,425 | 18,650 | 34.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,188 | 18,412 | 60.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 11,188 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -National GuardNational Guard | 145 | 1,175 | 6 | 1,326 | 10.9% | 88.6% | R+77.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MorrisMorris | 378 | 797 | 12 | 1,187 | 31.8% | 67.1% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -East ColumbiaEast Columbia | 552 | 276 | 8 | 836 | 66.0% | 33.0% | D+33.0 |
| Precinct -FoxworthFoxworth | 234 | 579 | 7 | 820 | 28.5% | 70.6% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -CarleyCarley | 47 | 668 | 3 | 718 | 6.5% | 93.0% | R+86.5 |
| Precinct -PopetownPopetown | 317 | 352 | 10 | 679 | 46.7% | 51.8% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -Balls MillBalls Mill | 108 | 422 | 6 | 536 | 20.1% | 78.7% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -KokomoKokomo | 111 | 380 | 6 | 497 | 22.3% | 76.5% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -PittmanPittman | 23 | 467 | 7 | 497 | 4.6% | 94.0% | R+89.3 |
| Precinct -Civil DefenseCivil Defense | 124 | 294 | 9 | 427 | 29.0% | 68.9% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -Little RockLittle Rock | 167 | 255 | 2 | 424 | 39.4% | 60.1% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct -Cedar GroveCedar Grove | 180 | 235 | 4 | 419 | 43.0% | 56.1% | R+13.1 |
| Precinct -MorgantownMorgantown | 16 | 385 | 1 | 402 | 4.0% | 95.8% | R+91.8 |
| Precinct -Pine BurrPine Burr | 105 | 283 | 2 | 390 | 26.9% | 72.6% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -GossGoss | 41 | 324 | 3 | 368 | 11.1% | 88.0% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct -HubHub | 179 | 165 | 4 | 348 | 51.4% | 47.4% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -Sandy HookSandy Hook | 104 | 220 | 0 | 324 | 32.1% | 67.9% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -UnionUnion | 9 | 246 | 2 | 257 | 3.5% | 95.7% | R+92.2 |
| Precinct -DarbunDarbun | 30 | 208 | 3 | 241 | 12.4% | 86.3% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -City HallCity Hall | 100 | 117 | 2 | 219 | 45.7% | 53.4% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct -MLK Dr.MLK Dr. | 133 | 12 | 2 | 147 | 90.5% | 8.2% | D+82.3 |
| Precinct -South ColumbiaSouth Columbia | 112 | 14 | 0 | 126 | 88.9% | 11.1% | D+77.8 |
| Balls Mill Voting District28_2809115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carley Voting District28_280915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedar Grove Voting District28_280916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| City Hall Voting District28_2809111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Courthouse Voting District28_2809114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Darbun Voting District28_2809113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Columbia Voting District28_2809122 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Foxworth Voting District28_280918 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goss Voting District28_280917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hub Voting District28_2809121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jefferson Middle School Voting District28_2809120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| kokomo Voting District28_2809116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morgantown Voting District28_280919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morris Voting District28_280911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| National Guard Voting District28_280912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pine Burr Voting District28_2809123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pittman Voting District28_2809117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Popetown Voting District28_280914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sandy Hook Voting District28_2809118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stoval Voting District28_2809110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Voting District28_280913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 5 South Columbia28_2809119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| White Bluff Voting District28_2809112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +73.7% |
| 1896 | +55.4% |
| 1900 | +44.8% |
| 1904 | +46.6% |
| 1908 | +68.6% |
| 1912 | +88.9% |
| 1916 | +87.4% |
| 1920 | +60.9% |
| 1924 | +82.6% |
| 1928 | +27.3% |
| 1932 | +92.3% |
| 1936 | +96.2% |
| 1940 | +95.8% |
| 1944 | +95.7% |
| 1948 | +5.7% |
| 1952 | +29.3% |
| 1956 | +37.6% |
| 1960 | +12.6% |
| 1964 | −83.1% |
| 1968 | +11.5% |
| 1972 | −59.6% |
| 1976 | −0.2% |
| 1980 | +1.4% |
| 1984 | −32.3% |
| 1988 | −24.5% |
| 1992 | −9.7% |
| 1996 | −6.9% |
| 2000 | −24.4% |
| 2004 | −34.4% |
| 2008 | −31.4% |
| 2012 | −30.2% |
| 2016 | −35.6% |
| 2020 | −36.8% |
| 2024 | −41.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,359 |
| 2018 | 17,647 |
| 2020 | 17,758 |
| 2022 | 16,954 |
| 2024 | 17,569 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+48 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,936 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,004 in average income, against $59,383 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+29.1 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Marion County, MS itself (R+41.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lamar County, MS86R+48.8
- Forrest County, MS54R+17.9
- Walthall County, MS32R+26.9
- Jefferson Davis County, MS24D+13.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lamar County, MS74
- Forrest County, MS50
- Walthall County, MS29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −337 |
| 2012 | −341 |
| 2013 | −209 |
| 2014 | −395 |
| 2015 | −228 |
| 2016 | −249 |
| 2017 | +2 |
| 2018 | −355 |
| 2019 | −154 |
| 2021 | +113 |
| 2022 | −6 |
| 2023 | +134 |
| 2024 | +41 |
| 2025 | +48 |
Marion County's rural, majority-white electorate has delivered Republican presidential margins above 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting a broader realignment across the piney-woods counties of southern Mississippi.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 83.1 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.6 points.
A population of 24,193, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,110 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin Parish and Jackson Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marion County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28091/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.