- Lead
- 9,633
- Total
- 55,710
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- 67.8%
Madison County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.8% of 82,182 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,651
- Total
- 56,361
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- 74.0%
- Lead
- 7,922
- Total
- 50,131
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Turnout
- 68.0%
- Lead
- 7,785
- Total
- 49,571
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,372
- Total
- 47,269
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,989
- Total
- 37,728
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,693
- Total
- 29,859
- vs nation
- R+29.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,113
- Total
- 24,688
- vs nation
- R+29.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 111,6472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,4412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 37.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+85.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Madison County, AL · twin score 84.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.8%55,710 participants ÷ 82,182 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +35.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +7.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 32.5%–43.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 50,131 | 73,690 | 68.0% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 40,810 | 75,113 | 54.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 56,994 | 77,026 | 74.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 31,146 | 80,405 | 38.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 55,710 | 82,182 | 67.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
86 precincts · 55,710 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Parkway Pentecostal ChurchParkway Pentecostal Church | 943 | 2,758 | 39 | 3,740 | 25.2% | 73.7% | R+48.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Lake Caroline ClubhouseLake Caroline Clubhouse | 578 | 3,109 | 35 | 3,722 | 15.5% | 83.5% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -Highland Colony Baptist ChurchHighland Colony Baptist Church | 1,211 | 2,320 | 49 | 3,580 | 33.8% | 64.8% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -Fairview M.B. ChurchFairview M.B. Church | 1,465 | 1,707 | 28 | 3,200 | 45.8% | 53.3% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -Gluckstadt @ St. Joe CatholicGluckstadt @ St. Joe Catholic | 1,016 | 2,107 | 31 | 3,154 | 32.2% | 66.8% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -Vertical ChurchVertical Church | 854 | 2,136 | 41 | 3,031 | 28.2% | 70.5% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -Pilgrims Rest M.B. ChurchPilgrims Rest M.B. Church | 731 | 1,652 | 33 | 2,416 | 30.3% | 68.4% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -Ridgeland Recreation CtrRidgeland Recreation Ctr | 691 | 1,362 | 37 | 2,090 | 33.1% | 65.2% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -New Life Baptist ChurchNew Life Baptist Church | 416 | 1,649 | 23 | 2,088 | 19.9% | 79.0% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -Victory Christian CommunityVictory Christian Community | 443 | 1,391 | 19 | 1,853 | 23.9% | 75.1% | R+51.2 |
| Precinct -1st Presbyterian Madison1st Presbyterian Madison | 460 | 1,325 | 40 | 1,825 | 25.2% | 72.6% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -Trace Ridge Baptist ChurchTrace Ridge Baptist Church | 886 | 895 | 31 | 1,812 | 48.9% | 49.4% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct -Mark ApartmentsMark Apartments | 1,221 | 398 | 25 | 1,644 | 74.3% | 24.2% | D+50.1 |
| Precinct -China Grove A.M.E. ChurchChina Grove A.M.E. Church | 424 | 1,099 | 25 | 1,548 | 27.4% | 71.0% | R+43.6 |
| Precinct -Ridgeland First Methodist ChurchRidgeland First Methodist Church | 687 | 749 | 23 | 1,459 | 47.1% | 51.3% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -Twin Lakes Baptist ChurchTwin Lakes Baptist Church | 499 | 764 | 16 | 1,279 | 39.0% | 59.7% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct -Canton South Liberty Baptist ChurchCanton South Liberty Baptist Church | 762 | 486 | 16 | 1,264 | 60.3% | 38.4% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -Ferns Chapel Freewill BaptistFerns Chapel Freewill Baptist | 339 | 889 | 10 | 1,238 | 27.4% | 71.8% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -Canton Community CenterCanton Community Center | 1,018 | 128 | 8 | 1,154 | 88.2% | 11.1% | D+77.1 |
| Precinct -Victory Baptist ChurchVictory Baptist Church | 257 | 792 | 10 | 1,059 | 24.3% | 74.8% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -Magnolia Heights @ Kearney PrkFire StationMagnolia Heights @ Kearney PrkFire Station | 654 | 385 | 9 | 1,048 | 62.4% | 36.7% | D+25.7 |
| Precinct -Jimmie Goodloe/Porter School GymJimmie Goodloe/Porter School Gym | 777 | 235 | 9 | 1,021 | 76.1% | 23.0% | D+53.1 |
| Precinct -Colonial Heights Baptist ChurchColonial Heights Baptist Church | 602 | 327 | 12 | 941 | 64.0% | 34.8% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -Northbay Bayview ClubhouseNorthbay Bayview Clubhouse | 219 | 587 | 19 | 825 | 26.5% | 71.2% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -DeerfieldDeerfield | 272 | 529 | 14 | 815 | 33.4% | 64.9% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -Canton Anderson LodgeCanton Anderson Lodge | 716 | 27 | 6 | 749 | 95.6% | 3.6% | D+92.0 |
| Precinct -Pleasant Gift ChurchPleasant Gift Church | 344 | 373 | 6 | 723 | 47.6% | 51.6% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -Farmhaven Fire StationFarmhaven Fire Station | 556 | 111 | 6 | 673 | 82.6% | 16.5% | D+66.1 |
| Precinct -Sunnybrook Retirement VillageSunnybrook Retirement Village | 173 | 489 | 8 | 670 | 25.8% | 73.0% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Camden Community CenterCamden Community Center | 511 | 143 | 6 | 660 | 77.4% | 21.7% | D+55.8 |
| Precinct -Canton National Guard ArmoryCanton National Guard Armory | 373 | 160 | 4 | 537 | 69.5% | 29.8% | D+39.7 |
| Precinct -Pleasant Green M.B. Church @ SharonPleasant Green M.B. Church @ Sharon | 439 | 78 | 4 | 521 | 84.3% | 15.0% | D+69.3 |
| Precinct -Madison Co Baptist Family LifeMadison Co Baptist Family Life | 472 | 16 | 4 | 492 | 95.9% | 3.3% | D+92.7 |
| Precinct -Canton Fire Station #4Canton Fire Station #4 | 333 | 144 | 14 | 491 | 67.8% | 29.3% | D+38.5 |
| Precinct -Fellowship Bible ChurchFellowship Bible Church | 281 | 178 | 5 | 464 | 60.6% | 38.4% | D+22.2 |
| Precinct -Greater Mt. Levi Full GospelGreater Mt. Levi Full Gospel | 381 | 22 | 1 | 404 | 94.3% | 5.4% | D+88.9 |
| Precinct -Mt. Hope M.B. ChurchMt. Hope M.B. Church | 63 | 326 | 3 | 392 | 16.1% | 83.2% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -Canton Bible ChurchCanton Bible Church | 305 | 16 | 5 | 326 | 93.6% | 4.9% | D+88.7 |
| Precinct -Franklin Baptist ChurchFranklin Baptist Church | 28 | 274 | 1 | 303 | 9.2% | 90.4% | R+81.2 |
| Precinct -Cedar Grove Baptist ChurchCedar Grove Baptist Church | 11 | 122 | 1 | 134 | 8.2% | 91.0% | R+82.8 |
| Precinct -Canton St Paul Methodist ChurchCanton St Paul Methodist Church | 120 | 7 | 0 | 127 | 94.5% | 5.5% | D+89.0 |
| Precinct -Cameron Bethel M.B. ChurchCameron Bethel M.B. Church | 53 | 54 | 0 | 107 | 49.5% | 50.5% | R+0.9 |
| Precinct -Tougaloo @ Owens Health & Wellness CtrTougaloo @ Owens Health & Wellness Ctr | 86 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 98.9% | 0.0% | D+98.9 |
| Precinct -Couparle United Methodist ChurchCouparle United Methodist Church | 30 | 14 | 0 | 44 | 68.2% | 31.8% | D+36.4 |
| Bear Creek Voting District28_28089107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bible Church Voting District28_28089508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Camden Voting District28_28089503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cameron Voting District28_28089501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Precinct 128_28089505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Precinct 228_28089104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Precinct 328_28089105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Precinct 428_28089506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Precinct 528_28089405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Precinct 728_28089106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cedar Grove Voting District28_28089996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cobblestone Voting District28_28089214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Couparle Voting District28_28089502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Flora Voting District28_28089403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gluckstadt Voting District28_28089302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Highland Colony Bap. Ch. Voting District28_28089307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Liberty Voting District28_28089406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lorman-Cavalier Voting District28_28089303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Luther Branson School Voting District28_28089507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mad. Co. Bap. Fam. Lf.Ct Voting District28_28089408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison 1 Voting District28_28089201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison 2 Voting District28_28089202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison 3 Voting District28_28089203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Magnolia Heights Voting District28_28089402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Main Harbor Voting District28_28089108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Industrial Park Voting District28_28089407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NorthBay Voting District28_28089999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ratliff Ferry Voting District28_28089101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgeland 1 Voting District28_28089304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgeland 3 Voting District28_28089204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgeland 4 Voting District28_28089205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgeland First Meth. Ch. Voting District28_28089301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgeland Tennis Center Voting District28_28089306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sharon Voting District28_28089504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Smith School Voting District28_28089401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SunnyBrook Voting District28_28089998 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tougaloo Voting District28_28089305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Trace Harbor Voting District28_28089103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Victory Baptist Church Voting District28_28089109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Virlilia Voting District28_28089404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whispering Lake Voting District28_28089308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Yandell Road Voting District28_28089997 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +92.7% |
| 1896 | +82.0% |
| 1900 | +81.2% |
| 1904 | +89.9% |
| 1908 | +82.5% |
| 1912 | +88.9% |
| 1916 | +88.8% |
| 1920 | +86.4% |
| 1924 | +87.2% |
| 1928 | +84.9% |
| 1932 | +92.8% |
| 1936 | +96.5% |
| 1940 | +93.7% |
| 1944 | +89.7% |
| 1948 | +1.5% |
| 1952 | −2.4% |
| 1956 | +25.8% |
| 1960 | +8.0% |
| 1964 | −85.8% |
| 1968 | +38.5% |
| 1972 | −17.9% |
| 1976 | +12.4% |
| 1980 | +11.4% |
| 1984 | −7.4% |
| 1988 | −15.9% |
| 1992 | −14.4% |
| 1996 | −20.7% |
| 2000 | −29.1% |
| 2004 | −29.1% |
| 2008 | −15.6% |
| 2012 | −15.7% |
| 2016 | −15.8% |
| 2020 | −11.8% |
| 2024 | −17.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 86,516 |
| 2018 | 83,235 |
| 2020 | 87,731 |
| 2022 | 79,521 |
| 2024 | 83,938 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+350 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +9,850 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $88,193 in average income, against $123,627 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+12.0 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Madison County, MS itself (R+17.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hinds County, MS1,053D+46.1
- Rankin County, MS507R+47.1
- Yazoo County, MS77R+2.4
- Holmes County, MS66D+62.1
- Shelby County, TN38D+25.4
- Leake County, MS36R+23.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hinds County, MS710
- Rankin County, MS541
- Yazoo County, MS63
- Shelby County, TN58
- Dallas County, TX53
- Oktibbeha County, MS48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +872 |
| 2012 | +648 |
| 2013 | +1,074 |
| 2014 | +863 |
| 2015 | +1,066 |
| 2016 | +1,005 |
| 2017 | +354 |
| 2018 | +698 |
| 2019 | +344 |
| 2021 | +590 |
| 2022 | +1,104 |
| 2023 | +596 |
| 2024 | +286 |
| 2025 | +350 |
Madison County sits just north of Jackson and has absorbed decades of suburban migration, producing one of Mississippi's wealthiest and fastest-growing populations while maintaining a consistent Republican lean at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 96.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 85.8 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.3 points.
A population of 111,647, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,441 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Madison County and Houston County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Madison County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.