- Lead
- 17,606
- Total
- 197,617
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- 64.5%
Madison County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.5% of 306,803 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 15,494
- Total
- 194,767
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Turnout
- 70.1%
- Lead
- 26,698
- Total
- 158,963
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- 62.9%
- Lead
- 28,869
- Total
- 155,059
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 22,848
- Total
- 152,899
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 24,529
- Total
- 131,062
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,952
- Total
- 113,318
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,131
- Total
- 100,858
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 405,7182024 5-year
- Population density
- 506 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 802 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $86,4992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hamilton County, TN · twin score 93.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.5%197,868 participants ÷ 306,803 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 36.4%–45.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 164,359 | 261,509 | 62.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 142,047 | 269,217 | 52.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 195,374 | 278,648 | 70.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 124,447 | 296,456 | 42.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 197,868 | 306,803 | 64.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Madison County, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
91.6%
2,119 votes · D+83.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 91.3%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.4%
38,899 votes · R+48.7
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 67.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
87,824votes
44.4% of the vote · R+8.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 87,286 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
105,430votes
53.4% of the vote · R+8.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 102,780 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+103.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+83.7 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +96.0 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+74.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +27.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 268,929 |
| 2020 | 303,191 |
| 2022 | 309,787 |
| 2024 | 333,091 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+8,719 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +55,863 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $69,582 in average income, against $100,828 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.3 on average — 13 points more Republican-leaning than Madison County, AL itself (R+8.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Limestone County, AL1,040R+43.7
- Morgan County, AL508R+52.4
- Jefferson County, AL455D+10.4
- Marshall County, AL301R+71.5
- Lincoln County, TN208R+64.6
- Lauderdale County, AL202R+51.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Limestone County, AL1,569
- Morgan County, AL562
- Jefferson County, AL350
- Marshall County, AL329
- Lincoln County, TN189
- Jackson County, AL168
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,424 |
| 2012 | +1,095 |
| 2013 | +2,324 |
| 2014 | +1,319 |
| 2015 | +1,506 |
| 2016 | +2,067 |
| 2017 | +3,687 |
| 2018 | +3,817 |
| 2019 | +4,721 |
| 2021 | +5,819 |
| 2022 | +5,682 |
| 2023 | +7,160 |
| 2024 | +6,523 |
| 2025 | +8,719 |
Home to Huntsville and a dense concentration of aerospace and defense engineers, Madison County has trended more competitive than most of Alabama, with the R+8.9 margin in 2024 reflecting a college-educated suburban electorate that has moderated the traditional statewide gap.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.7 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 51.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.9 points.
A population of 405,718, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,499 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hamilton County and Cobb County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Madison County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.