- Lead
- 1,991
- Total
- 24,426
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- 56.3%
Lowndes County, MS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.3% of 43,424 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 713
- Total
- 27,241
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- 62.2%
- Lead
- 1,452
- Total
- 25,695
- vs nation
- R+7.7
- Turnout
- 57.3%
- Lead
- 130
- Total
- 27,158
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 785
- Total
- 27,465
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,282
- Total
- 24,270
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,867
- Total
- 19,230
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,949
- Total
- 16,258
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 57,8382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,8122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 43.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.8 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+84.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Warren County, MS · twin score 95.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.3%24,426 participants ÷ 43,424 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.8%–35.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,695 | 44,808 | 57.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,128 | 44,730 | 45.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 27,581 | 44,351 | 62.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,840 | 44,039 | 33.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,426 | 43,424 | 56.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
80 precincts · 24,426 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -New HopeNew Hope | 789 | 2,948 | 33 | 3,770 | 20.9% | 78.2% | R+57.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CaledoniaCaledonia | 469 | 2,649 | 20 | 3,138 | 14.9% | 84.4% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -Southside ChurchSouthside Church | 1,957 | 415 | 21 | 2,393 | 81.8% | 17.3% | D+64.4 |
| Precinct -Lion HillsLion Hills | 743 | 1,489 | 36 | 2,268 | 32.8% | 65.7% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -Rural HillRural Hill | 581 | 1,312 | 20 | 1,913 | 30.4% | 68.6% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -East Columbus GymEast Columbus Gym | 870 | 386 | 20 | 1,276 | 68.2% | 30.3% | D+37.9 |
| Precinct -BrandonBrandon | 481 | 582 | 13 | 1,076 | 44.7% | 54.1% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -West LowndesWest Lowndes | 240 | 806 | 5 | 1,051 | 22.8% | 76.7% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct -HuntHunt | 966 | 46 | 13 | 1,025 | 94.2% | 4.5% | D+89.8 |
| Precinct -UniversityUniversity | 533 | 399 | 5 | 937 | 56.9% | 42.6% | D+14.3 |
| Precinct -AirbaseAirbase | 389 | 507 | 5 | 901 | 43.2% | 56.3% | R+13.1 |
| Precinct -TrinityTrinity | 508 | 201 | 9 | 718 | 70.8% | 28.0% | D+42.8 |
| Precinct -CrawfordCrawford | 523 | 174 | 6 | 703 | 74.4% | 24.8% | D+49.6 |
| Precinct -Townsend ParkTownsend Park | 602 | 66 | 12 | 680 | 88.5% | 9.7% | D+78.8 |
| Precinct -ImmanuelImmanuel | 243 | 418 | 5 | 666 | 36.5% | 62.8% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Fifteenth Street ChurchFifteenth Street Church | 470 | 146 | 5 | 621 | 75.7% | 23.5% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -SteensSteens | 66 | 438 | 5 | 509 | 13.0% | 86.1% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -ArtesiaArtesia | 239 | 52 | 0 | 291 | 82.1% | 17.9% | D+64.3 |
| Precinct -Plum GrovePlum Grove | 238 | 41 | 6 | 285 | 83.5% | 14.4% | D+69.1 |
| Precinct -ColemanColeman | 189 | 12 | 4 | 205 | 92.2% | 5.9% | D+86.3 |
| Air Base A Voting District28_28087204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Air Base B Voting District28_28087205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Air Base C Voting District28_28087206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Air Base D Voting District28_28087207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Air Base E Voting District28_28087208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Artesia Voting District28_28087508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brandon A Voting District28_28087202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brandon B Voting District28_28087203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brandon C Voting District28_28087209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brandon D Voting District28_28087210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Caledonia Voting District28_28087101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coleman A Voting District28_28087401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coleman B Voting District28_28087414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Columbus High School A Voting District28_28087110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Columbus High School B Voting District28_28087104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Columbus High School C Voting District28_28087111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Columbus High School D Voting District28_28087114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crawford A Voting District28_28087404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dowdle Gas Training Center B Voting District28_28087105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Faigrounds F Voting District28_28087417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Faigrounds G Voting District28_28087416 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairgrounds A Voting District28_28087409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairgrounds B Voting District28_28087408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairgrounds C Voting District28_28087113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairgrounds D Voting District28_28087407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairgrounds E Voting District28_28087415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hunt A Voting District28_28087502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hunt B Voting District28_28087501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hunt C Voting District28_28087510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lee Middle School Voting District28_28087201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mitchell A Voting District28_28087402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mitchell B Voting District28_28087413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope A Voting District28_28087303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope B Voting District28_28087304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope C Voting District28_28087310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope D Voting District28_28087309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope E Voting District28_28087308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hope F Voting District28_28087307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Plum Grove A Voting District28_28087403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Plum Grove B Voting District28_28087410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Plum Grove C Voting District28_28087411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Propst Park Community Hut Voting District28_28087412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rural Hill A Voting District28_28087302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rural Hill B Voting District28_28087305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rural Hill C Voting District28_28087306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sale A Voting District28_28087108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sale B Voting District28_28087112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sale C Voting District28_28087115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steens A Voting District28_28087102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steens B Voting District28_28087103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steens C Voting District28_28087106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Trinity A Voting District28_28087301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Trinity B Voting District28_28087107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Academy A Voting District28_28087504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Academy B Voting District28_28087503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Union Academy C Voting District28_28087509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| University A Voting District28_28087505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| University B Voting District28_28087511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Lowndes A Voting District28_28087507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Lowndes B Voting District28_28087512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +95.3% |
| 1896 | +95.7% |
| 1900 | +93.9% |
| 1904 | +98.8% |
| 1908 | +97.4% |
| 1912 | +94.5% |
| 1916 | +93.8% |
| 1920 | +88.8% |
| 1924 | +92.8% |
| 1928 | +84.1% |
| 1932 | +95.4% |
| 1936 | +94.9% |
| 1940 | +87.7% |
| 1944 | +72.0% |
| 1948 | +1.7% |
| 1952 | −24.5% |
| 1956 | +26.7% |
| 1960 | −16.5% |
| 1964 | −84.0% |
| 1968 | +2.4% |
| 1972 | −60.0% |
| 1976 | −12.4% |
| 1980 | −23.1% |
| 1984 | −32.8% |
| 1988 | −30.4% |
| 1992 | −21.0% |
| 1996 | −18.1% |
| 2000 | −20.1% |
| 2004 | −13.5% |
| 2008 | −2.9% |
| 2012 | −0.5% |
| 2016 | −5.7% |
| 2020 | −2.6% |
| 2024 | −8.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 46,134 |
| 2018 | 42,866 |
| 2020 | 44,212 |
| 2022 | 44,339 |
| 2024 | 43,263 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+10 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −5,656 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,275 in average income, against $63,055 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.0 on average — about the same lean as Lowndes County, MS (R+8.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oktibbeha County, MS122R+0.3
- Clay County, MS74D+10.4
- Monroe County, MS65R+35.9
- Noxubee County, MS59D+47.6
- El Paso County, CO36R+9.8
- Lamar County, AL32R+75.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Oktibbeha County, MS115
- Clay County, MS71
- Monroe County, MS71
- Noxubee County, MS47
- Tuscaloosa County, AL36
- Lamar County, AL35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −425 |
| 2012 | −399 |
| 2013 | −151 |
| 2014 | −337 |
| 2015 | −479 |
| 2016 | −393 |
| 2017 | −554 |
| 2018 | −593 |
| 2019 | −417 |
| 2021 | −557 |
| 2022 | −509 |
| 2023 | −475 |
| 2024 | −377 |
| 2025 | +10 |
Lowndes County, home to Columbus and the Tennessee-Tombigbee Waterway corridor, voted R+8.2 in 2024 despite a substantial Black population share that keeps margins tighter here than in many surrounding rural counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.8 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 84.0 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.2 points.
A population of 57,838, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,812 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Madison County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lowndes County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.