HarrisDemocratic40.3%16,115TrumpRepublican58.5%23,385KennedyIndependent0.6%238
R+18.2- Lead
- 7,270
- Total
- 39,964
- vs nation
- R+16.7
- Turnout
- 53.7%
Akashiccounty
Madison County, TN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.7% of 75,044 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic42.8%18,390TrumpRepublican55.7%23,943JorgensenLibertarian0.8%327
R+12.9- Lead
- 5,553
- Total
- 42,950
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- 58.3%
ClintonDemocratic40.5%15,448TrumpRepublican56.0%21,335JohnsonLibertarian1.7%660
R+15.4- Lead
- 5,887
- Total
- 38,120
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Turnout
- 52.4%
ObamaDemocratic45.1%18,367RomneyRepublican54.0%21,993OtherAll other candidates0.8%342
R+8.9- Lead
- 3,626
- Total
- 40,702
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.1%20,209McCainRepublican53.1%23,290OtherAll other candidates0.8%347
R+7.0- Lead
- 3,081
- Total
- 43,846
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.5%16,840BushRepublican56.1%21,679OtherAll other candidates0.4%156
R+12.5- Lead
- 4,839
- Total
- 38,675
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.5%15,781BushRepublican52.6%17,862NaderGreen0.5%173
R+6.1- Lead
- 2,081
- Total
- 33,930
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.9%13,577DoleRepublican50.4%14,908PerotReform3.3%968
R+4.5- Lead
- 1,331
- Total
- 29,565
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 99,2952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,0422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 36.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lowndes County, MS · twin score 94.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.7%40,323 participants ÷ 75,044 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 27.9%–37.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 38,868 | 74,227 | 52.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 33,255 | 73,966 | 45.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 43,406 | 74,478 | 58.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 24,297 | 74,896 | 32.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 40,323 | 75,044 | 53.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 39,964 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -9-2 Star Center9-2 Star Center | 943 | 2,264 | 34 | 3,241 | 29.1% | 69.9% | R+40.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -10-3 Victory Worship Center10-3 Victory Worship Center | 1,221 | 1,579 | 30 | 2,830 | 43.1% | 55.8% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -3-1 Sacred Heart Gym3-1 Sacred Heart Gym | 598 | 2,010 | 24 | 2,632 | 22.7% | 76.4% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -4-1 Masonic Temple Lodge #454-1 Masonic Temple Lodge #45 | 1,102 | 1,253 | 31 | 2,386 | 46.2% | 52.5% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -2-3 Westwood Community Center2-3 Westwood Community Center | 1,146 | 1,063 | 35 | 2,244 | 51.1% | 47.4% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -10-2 Parkview Baptist Church10-2 Parkview Baptist Church | 664 | 1,478 | 22 | 2,164 | 30.7% | 68.3% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -5-2 New St. Luke MB Church5-2 New St. Luke MB Church | 1,189 | 768 | 22 | 1,979 | 60.1% | 38.8% | D+21.3 |
| Precinct -9-1 Lighthouse Church9-1 Lighthouse Church | 750 | 1,191 | 20 | 1,961 | 38.2% | 60.7% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -7-1 UT Agriculture Center7-1 UT Agriculture Center | 812 | 818 | 29 | 1,659 | 48.9% | 49.3% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct -4-3 Englewood Warehouse4-3 Englewood Warehouse | 478 | 1,089 | 18 | 1,585 | 30.2% | 68.7% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -9-3 Three Way City Hall9-3 Three Way City Hall | 391 | 1,145 | 14 | 1,550 | 25.2% | 73.9% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -6-1 Meridian Baptist Church6-1 Meridian Baptist Church | 362 | 1,006 | 13 | 1,381 | 26.2% | 72.8% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -2-2 Aldersgate United Methodist Church2-2 Aldersgate United Methodist Church | 606 | 699 | 22 | 1,327 | 45.7% | 52.7% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -8-4 East Union Ruritan Center8-4 East Union Ruritan Center | 280 | 940 | 10 | 1,230 | 22.8% | 76.4% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -5-1 Macedonia Baptist Church5-1 Macedonia Baptist Church | 1,076 | 80 | 16 | 1,172 | 91.8% | 6.8% | D+85.0 |
| Precinct -3-2 Poplar Heights Baptist Church3-2 Poplar Heights Baptist Church | 412 | 625 | 15 | 1,052 | 39.2% | 59.4% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -2-1 Light of Life Ministries2-1 Light of Life Ministries | 718 | 291 | 19 | 1,028 | 69.8% | 28.3% | D+41.5 |
| Precinct -8-2 Browns Fire Station #128-2 Browns Fire Station #12 | 260 | 730 | 5 | 995 | 26.1% | 73.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -4-2 Destiny Church of Jackson4-2 Destiny Church of Jackson | 566 | 340 | 13 | 919 | 61.6% | 37.0% | D+24.6 |
| Precinct -1-1 Carl Perkins Civic Center1-1 Carl Perkins Civic Center | 560 | 291 | 16 | 867 | 64.6% | 33.6% | D+31.0 |
| Precinct -6-3 Malesus-South Community Ctr.6-3 Malesus-South Community Ctr. | 168 | 689 | 4 | 861 | 19.5% | 80.0% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -8-5 Lesters Fire Station #18-5 Lesters Fire Station #1 | 183 | 672 | 6 | 861 | 21.3% | 78.0% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -1-2 Mount Moriah Baptist Church1-2 Mount Moriah Baptist Church | 752 | 84 | 21 | 857 | 87.7% | 9.8% | D+77.9 |
| Precinct -8-3 Mifflin Road Fire Station #158-3 Mifflin Road Fire Station #15 | 95 | 684 | 3 | 782 | 12.1% | 87.5% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -7-2 Madison County Fire Station #177-2 Madison County Fire Station #17 | 465 | 222 | 4 | 691 | 67.3% | 32.1% | D+35.2 |
| Precinct -6-2 Madison County Fire Station #136-2 Madison County Fire Station #13 | 97 | 408 | 6 | 511 | 19.0% | 79.8% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -10-1 The Ledge10-1 The Ledge | 53 | 415 | 4 | 472 | 11.2% | 87.9% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -7-3 Mercer Fire Station #87-3 Mercer Fire Station #8 | 84 | 277 | 5 | 366 | 23.0% | 75.7% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -6-4 Medon City Hall6-4 Medon City Hall | 84 | 274 | 3 | 361 | 23.3% | 75.9% | R+52.6 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +42.0% |
| 1896 | +56.3% |
| 1900 | +33.6% |
| 1904 | +36.0% |
| 1908 | +27.1% |
| 1912 | +40.3% |
| 1916 | +37.3% |
| 1920 | +32.9% |
| 1924 | +46.9% |
| 1928 | +30.7% |
| 1932 | +61.2% |
| 1936 | +66.3% |
| 1940 | +65.6% |
| 1944 | +52.1% |
| 1948 | +33.8% |
| 1952 | +8.7% |
| 1956 | +11.8% |
| 1960 | −4.4% |
| 1964 | −1.7% |
| 1968 | −3.0% |
| 1972 | −48.0% |
| 1976 | +6.6% |
| 1980 | −2.5% |
| 1984 | −19.5% |
| 1988 | −21.2% |
| 1992 | −4.0% |
| 1996 | −4.5% |
| 2000 | −6.1% |
| 2004 | −12.5% |
| 2008 | −7.0% |
| 2012 | −8.9% |
| 2016 | −15.4% |
| 2020 | −12.9% |
| 2024 | −18.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 11 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 37.5%13,874 | 62.5%23,133 | 37,007 |
| 2020 | R | 40.5%16,501 | 59.5%24,197 | 40,698 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 62,935 |
| 2018 | 59,407 |
| 2020 | 62,907 |
| 2022 | 62,458 |
| 2024 | 64,412 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+357 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,264 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,209 in average income, against $73,895 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.6 on average — 14 points more Republican-leaning than Madison County, TN itself (R+18.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gibson County, TN286R+51.9
- Shelby County, TN187D+25.4
- Chester County, TN116R+64.9
- Haywood County, TN105D+0.4
- Henderson County, TN91R+67.9
- Davidson County, TN84D+27.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gibson County, TN401
- Shelby County, TN181
- Davidson County, TN118
- Chester County, TN112
- Henderson County, TN110
- Rutherford County, TN101
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −554 |
| 2012 | −49 |
| 2013 | −164 |
| 2014 | −979 |
| 2015 | −840 |
| 2016 | −363 |
| 2017 | −173 |
| 2018 | −103 |
| 2019 | +103 |
| 2021 | −240 |
| 2022 | +672 |
| 2023 | −113 |
| 2024 | +182 |
| 2025 | +357 |
Madison County anchors West Tennessee's rural-urban fringe around Jackson, a regional hub whose manufacturing and healthcare economy coexists with a presidential margin that has widened steadily over three election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.2 points.
A population of 99,295, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,042 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lowndes County and Caddo Parish.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lowndes County
Mississippi
94.5twin score
% Black% Evangelical% unaffiliated
Caddo Parish
Louisiana
91.9twin score
% Black% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ French ancestry
Marengo County
Alabama
91.7twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated% White≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Madison County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47113/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Madison County
Tennessee at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Madison County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Madison County, Tennessee voted Republican by 18.2 points (R+18.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 39,964 votes cast, 16,115 went Democratic and 23,385 went Republican.
When did Madison County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Madison County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Madison County, Tennessee?
Madison County, Tennessee has a population of 99,295 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Madison County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Madison County, Tennessee is $60,042 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Madison County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Madison County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.