Akashic

county

Warren County, MS

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

African American†47.1%35.3%9.9%

African1.2%0.8%0.5%

Nigerian0.3%—0.2%

English9.6%10.6%9.5%

American7.0%10.0%5.3%

Irish6.0%7.4%9.4%

German4.0%5.1%12.5%

Italian1.5%1.7%4.8%

French1.5%1.7%1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.2%1.0%—

Scottish1.1%1.6%1.3%

Mexican1.3%1.9%11.3%

Spanish0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Warren County	Mississippi	United States
Median age	40.8	38.6	39.1
Age 18–24	8.0%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.9%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Warren County	Mississippi	United States
Median household income	$59,401	$56,447	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.5%	19.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	28.8%	25.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Warren County	Mississippi	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.9%	4.3%	22.3%
Spanish	2.1%	2.7%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Warren County	Mississippi	United States
Catholic	4.2%	3.4%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	41.4%	39.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	32.3%	40.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	9.3%	6.6%	5.2%
Black Protestant	10.7%	8.6%	2.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 55.9% of 32,708 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic47.5%8,683TrumpRepublican51.4%9,407KennedyIndependent0.5%84

R+4.0

Lead: 724
Total: 18,298
vs nation: R+2.5
Turnout: 55.9%

BidenDemocratic49.6%10,442TrumpRepublican49.2%10,365JorgensenLibertarian0.4%93

D+0.4

Lead: 77
Total: 21,053
vs nation: R+4.1
Turnout: 61.2%

ClintonDemocratic47.8%9,284TrumpRepublican50.3%9,767JohnsonLibertarian1.2%229

R+2.5

Lead: 483
Total: 19,416
vs nation: R+4.6
Turnout: 54.7%

ObamaDemocratic50.4%10,786RomneyRepublican48.9%10,457OtherAll other candidates0.7%148

D+1.5

Lead: 329
Total: 21,391
vs nation: R+2.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic48.2%10,489McCainRepublican51.2%11,152OtherAll other candidates0.6%123

R+3.0

Lead: 663
Total: 21,764
vs nation: R+10.3
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic41.8%8,224BushRepublican57.7%11,356OtherAll other candidates0.5%103

R+15.9

Lead: 3,132
Total: 19,683
vs nation: R+13.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic40.2%7,485BushRepublican58.5%10,892NaderGreen0.9%173

R+18.3

Lead: 3,407
Total: 18,623
vs nation: R+18.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic45.3%8,774DoleRepublican47.8%9,261PerotReform6.5%1,259

R+2.5

Lead: 487
Total: 19,385
vs nation: R+11.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+4.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 43,0202024 5-year
Median household income: $59,4012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 46.4%2024 5-year
Black: 48.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+92.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+63.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Lowndes County, MS · twin score 95.5

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 55.9%18,298 participants ÷ 32,708 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +25.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 30.0%–38.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	19,416	35,480	54.7%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	16,226	35,389	45.9%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	21,250	34,696	61.2%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	11,816	33,451	35.3%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	18,298	32,708	55.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

45 precincts · 18,298 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Warren County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -GibsonGibson	823	1,296	16	2,135	38.5%	60.7%	R+22.2
Precinct -Elks LodgeElks Lodge	859	518	18	1,395	61.6%	37.1%	D+24.4
Precinct -Lee Rd FireLee Rd Fire	566	716	12	1,294	43.7%	55.3%	R+11.6
Precinct -BovinaBovina	257	913	13	1,183	21.7%	77.2%	R+55.5
Precinct -ImmanuelImmanuel	765	349	13	1,127	67.9%	31.0%	D+36.9
Precinct -Calvary Old 27Calvary Old 27	477	641	4	1,122	42.5%	57.1%	R+14.6
Precinct -Travelers RestTravelers Rest	810	208	23	1,041	77.8%	20.0%	D+57.8
Precinct -LifeLife	314	686	13	1,013	31.0%	67.7%	R+36.7
Precinct -Porters ChapelPorters Chapel	288	592	11	891	32.3%	66.4%	R+34.1
Precinct -Calvary IndianaCalvary Indiana	469	400	14	883	53.1%	45.3%	D+7.8
Precinct -Medgar FoundationMedgar Foundation	324	445	14	783	41.4%	56.8%	R+15.5
Precinct -American LegionAmerican Legion	611	137	14	762	80.2%	18.0%	D+62.2
Precinct -OaklandOakland	153	581	7	741	20.6%	78.4%	R+57.8
Precinct -GoodrumGoodrum	155	508	3	666	23.3%	76.3%	R+53.0
Precinct -AuditoriumAuditorium	510	100	10	620	82.3%	16.1%	D+66.1
Precinct -Plumbers & PipefittersPlumbers & Pipefitters	202	253	7	462	43.7%	54.8%	R+11.0
Precinct -Elizabeth CircleElizabeth Circle	352	43	6	401	87.8%	10.7%	D+77.1
Precinct -SpringhillSpringhill	319	64	1	384	83.1%	16.7%	D+66.4
Precinct -YokenaYokena	52	307	4	363	14.3%	84.6%	R+70.2
Precinct -Triumph KingsTriumph Kings	283	58	3	344	82.3%	16.9%	D+65.4
Precinct -RidgewayRidgeway	45	277	0	322	14.0%	86.0%	R+72.0
Precinct -Eagle Lake MethodistEagle Lake Methodist	30	218	2	250	12.0%	87.2%	R+75.2
Precinct -International PaperInternational Paper	19	97	0	116	16.4%	83.6%	R+67.2
American Legion Hall Voting District28_28149302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Auditorium Voting District28_28149205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Beechwood Voting District28_28149502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bovina Voting District28_28149102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brunswick Voting District28_28149206	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cedar Grove Voting District28_28149203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Culkin Voting District28_28149103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Elks Lodge Voting District28_28149402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Goodrum Voting District28_28149403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Jett Voting District28_28149401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kings Voting District28_28149202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Moose Lodge Voting District28_28149504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
No.7 Fire Station Voting District28_28149303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Oak Ridge Voting District28_28149101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Plumbers Hall Voting District28_28149501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Redwood Voting District28_28149104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
St. Aloysius Voting District28_28149201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Tingleville Voting District28_28149505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Vicksburg Jr. High School Voting District28_28149301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Voting District 3-61 Store28_28149204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Y.M.C.A. Voting District28_28149503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yokena Voting District28_28149404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+84.9%
1896	+57.0%
1900	+70.7%
1904	+92.5%
1908	+76.6%
1912	+80.7%
1916	+88.2%
1920	+73.2%
1924	+69.1%
1928	+67.9%
1932	+86.3%
1936	+92.6%
1940	+88.1%
1944	+82.7%
1948	+1.8%
1952	−18.8%
1956	−10.5%
1960	+0.2%
1964	−63.9%
1968	+15.0%
1972	−47.9%
1976	−15.3%
1980	−14.7%
1984	−23.1%
1988	−25.1%
1992	−9.9%
1996	−2.5%
2000	−18.3%
2004	−15.9%
2008	−3.0%
2012	+1.5%
2016	−2.5%
2020	+0.4%
2024	−4.0%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	47.5%Harris8,683	51.4%Trump9,407	0.5%Kennedy84 +6	R+4.0	R+4.3	R+2.5	18,298
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican51.4%9,407 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic47.5%8,683 Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%84 Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%35 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%33 Randall TerryIndependent0.1%19 Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%18 Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%11 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%8
2020	D	49.6%Biden10,442	49.2%Trump10,365	0.4%Jorgensen93	D+0.4	D+2.9	R+4.1	21,053
2016	R	47.8%Clinton9,284	50.3%Trump9,767	1.2%Johnson229	R+2.5	R+4.0	R+4.6	19,416
2012	D	50.4%Obama10,786	48.9%Romney10,457	0.7%	D+1.5	D+4.6	R+2.3	21,391
2008	R	48.2%Obama10,489	51.2%McCain11,152	0.6%	R+3.0	D+12.9	R+10.3	21,764
2004	R	41.8%Kerry8,224	57.7%Bush11,356	0.5%	R+15.9	D+2.4	R+13.5	19,683
2000	R	40.2%Gore7,485	58.5%Bush10,892	0.9%Nader173	R+18.3	R+15.8	R+18.8	18,623
1996	R	45.3%Clinton8,774	47.8%Dole9,261	6.5%Perot1,259	R+2.5	D+7.4	R+11.0	19,385
1992	R	39.7%Clinton8,175	49.6%Bush10,209	10.4%Perot2,146	R+9.9	D+15.3	R+15.4	20,578
1988	R	36.9%Dukakis7,437	62.0%Bush12,507	1.1%	R+25.1	R+2.1	R+17.4	20,170
1984	R	37.9%Mondale8,054	61.0%Reagan12,959	1.1%	R+23.1	R+8.4	R+4.9	21,248
1980	R	41.3%Carter7,489	56.0%Reagan10,151	2.7%	R+14.7	D+0.6	R+4.9	18,128
1976	R	40.1%Carter6,299	55.4%Ford8,699	4.5%	R+15.3	D+32.7	R+17.3	15,705
1972	R	24.0%McGovern3,480	72.0%Nixon10,420	4.0%	R+47.9	R+62.9	R+24.8	14,478
1968	O	31.9%Humphrey4,503	17.0%Nixon2,392	51.1%	Wallace +19.2	D+78.9	D+15.7	14,112
1964	R	18.0%Johnson1,631	82.0%Goldwater7,409	0.0%	R+63.9	R+64.1	R+86.5	9,040
1960	D	34.8%Kennedy2,289	34.6%Nixon2,277	30.7%	D+0.2	D+10.7	±0.0	6,587
1956	R	34.9%Stevenson1,857	45.4%Eisenhower2,419	19.7%	R+10.5	D+8.2	D+4.9	5,328
1952	R	40.6%Stevenson2,366	59.4%Eisenhower3,458	0.0%	R+18.8	R+20.5	R+8.0	5,824
1948	O	7.7%Truman320	5.9%Dewey245	86.5%	Thurmond +78.8	R+80.9	R+2.7	4,170
1944	D	91.3%Roosevelt3,202	8.7%Dewey304	0.0%	D+82.7	R+5.5	D+75.2	3,506
1940	D	94.0%Roosevelt3,048	5.9%Willkie192	0.0%	D+88.1	R+4.4	D+78.2	3,241
1936	D	96.2%Roosevelt3,233	3.6%Landon122	0.2%	D+92.6	D+6.3	D+68.3	3,361
1932	D	92.8%Roosevelt2,422	6.5%Hoover169	0.8%	D+86.3	D+18.4	D+68.5	2,611
1928	D	83.9%Smith2,769	16.1%Hoover530	0.0%	D+67.9	R+1.2	D+85.3	3,299
1924	D	84.5%Davis1,794	15.5%Coolidge328	0.0%	D+69.1	R+4.1	D+94.3	2,122
1920	D	86.0%Cox1,082	12.8%Harding161	1.2%	D+73.2	R+15.0	D+99.4	1,258
1916	D	93.9%Wilson1,204	5.7%Hughes73	0.4%	D+88.2	D+7.6	D+85.1	1,282
1912	D	84.8%Wilson1,135	4.1%Taft55	11.1%	D+80.7	D+4.0	D+61.1	1,339
1908	D	86.9%Bryan1,310	10.3%Taft155	2.8%	D+76.6	R+15.8	D+86.2	1,507
1904	D	95.4%Parker1,191	3.0%Roosevelt37	1.6%	D+92.5	D+21.8	D+112.1	1,248
1900	D	85.1%Bryan804	14.4%McKinley136	0.5%	D+70.7	D+13.7	D+78.2	945
1896	D	72.2%Bryan867	15.2%McKinley183	12.6%	D+57.0	R+28.0	D+63.0	1,201
1892	D	88.9%Cleveland631	3.9%Harrison28	7.2%	D+84.9	—	D+83.3	710
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 9 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	48.2%8,820	51.8%9,492	18,312
2020	D	50.3%10,396	49.7%10,280	20,676
2018	D	100.0%8,288	0.0%0	8,288

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	45.8%8,272	54.2%9,770	18,042
2020Class II	D	51.7%Mike Espy10,853	47.2%Cindy Hyde-Smith9,912	21,011
2018Class I	R	44.2%David Baria6,706	54.0%Roger Wicker8,206	15,185
2014Class II	R	40.0%Travis Childers4,448	58.2%Thad Cochran6,480	11,130
2012Class I	R	46.0%Albert N. Gore9,409	51.9%Roger Wicker10,610	20,462
2008Class II	R	42.3%Erik R. Fleming8,939	57.7%Thad Cochran12,183	21,122
2006Class I	R	36.2%Erik R. Fleming4,421	62.7%Trent Lott7,650	12,205
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	86.8%Thad Cochran11,036	12,720
2000Class I	R	31.1%Troy Brown5,672	67.2%Trent Lott12,253	18,239
1996Class II	R	26.6%James W. Hunt4,871	72.0%Thad Cochran13,174	18,295
1994Class I	R	37.7%Ken Harper5,255	62.3%Trent Lott8,695	13,950
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	100.0%Thad Cochran8,842	8,842
1988Class I	R	42.2%Wayne Dowdy7,874	57.8%Trent Lott10,772	18,646
1984Class II	R	37.0%William D. Winter7,466	63.0%Thad Cochran12,729	20,195
1982Class I	D	57.4%John C. Stennis7,697	42.6%Haley Barbour5,707	13,404
1978Class II	R	11.0%Maurice Dantin1,422	61.6%Thad Cochran7,966	12,923
1976Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis7,828	0.0%None0	7,828
1972Class II	D	54.5%James Eastland7,588	41.8%Gil Carmichael5,822	13,915
1970Class I	D	89.8%John C. Stennis5,863	0.0%None0	6,532
1966Class II	D	65.5%James Eastland5,810	17.5%Prentiss Walker1,551	8,870
1964Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%None0	7,711
1960Class II	D	88.7%James Eastland5,295	11.3%Joe A. Moore677	5,972
1958Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis427	0.0%None0	427
1954Class II	D	90.8%James Eastland1,051	9.2%James A White106	1,157
1952Class I	D	100.0%John C. Stennis4,451	0.0%None0	4,451
1948Class II	D	100.0%James Eastland3,056	0.0%None0	3,056
1946Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo447	0.0%None0	447
1942Class II	D	100.0%James Eastland895	0.0%None0	895
1940Class I	—	0.0%Theodore Bilbo0	0.0%None0	1,901
1936Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison2,889	0.0%None0	2,889
1934Class I	D	100.0%Theodore Bilbo625	0.0%None0	625
1930Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison247	0.0%None0	247
1928Class I	D	100.0%Hubert Stephens1,596	0.0%None0	1,596
1924Class II	D	100.0%Pat Harrison1,656	0.0%None0	1,656
1922Class I	D	97.7%Hubert Stephens981	2.3%John Cook23	1,004
1918Class II	D	99.7%Pat Harrison302	0.0%None0	303
1916Class I	D	100.0%John S. Williams1,087	0.0%None0	1,087

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018Special · Class II	D	52.9%Mike Espy7,957	47.1%Cindy Hyde-Smith7,082	15,039
2008Special · Class I	R	48.2%Ronnie Musgrove10,109	51.8%Roger Wicker10,844	20,953
1947Special · Class I	—	0.0%John C. Stennis0	0.0%L.R. Collins0	2,864
1941Special · Class II	D	49.2%Wall Doxey839	0.0%None0	1,704

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2015	R	35.0%Robert Gray4,196	63.8%Phil Bryant7,641	11,978
2011	R	41.4%Johnny DuPree6,380	58.6%Phil Bryant9,019	15,399
2007	R	40.2%John Arthur Eaves Jr.5,305	59.8%Haley Barbour7,894	13,199
2003	R	45.1%Ronnie Musgrove7,171	53.6%Haley Barbour8,525	15,906
1995	R	41.3%Dick Molpus6,629	58.7%Kirk Fordice9,440	16,069
1991	R	40.3%Ray Mabus6,090	59.0%Kirk Fordice8,925	15,120
1987	D	54.2%Ray Mabus8,060	45.8%Jack Reed6,820	14,880
1983	D	56.5%William Allain8,387	38.8%Leon Bramlett5,760	14,849
1979	D	51.5%William F. Winter6,126	48.5%Gil Carmichael5,759	11,885

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Warren County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	33,398
2018	31,939
2020	30,657
2022	28,586
2024	29,038

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−339 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −6,806 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $44,947 in average income, against $65,465 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+21.7 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Warren County, MS itself (R+4.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Hinds County, MS88D+46.1
Claiborne County, MS47D+67.6
Rankin County, MS34R+47.1
Madison Parish, LA26D+6.2
Madison County, MS26R+17.3
Dallas County, TX21D+22.2

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Hinds County, MS120
Rankin County, MS39
Madison County, MS36
Tarrant County, TX28
Claiborne County, MS23
Dallas County, TX20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Warren County, MS in Warren County, MS: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−630
2012	−276
2013	−45
2014	−485
2015	−526
2016	−565
2017	−361
2018	−681
2019	−786
2021	−857
2022	−692
2023	−340
2024	−223
2025	−339

Home to Vicksburg, Warren County sits along the Mississippi River and has shifted notably toward competitive margins compared with most of its Deep South neighbors, driven by a sizable Black voting-age population that regularly shapes close countywide results.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 92.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 63.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.0 points.

A population of 43,020, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,401 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lowndes County and Nash County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lowndes County

Mississippi

95.5twin score

% Black2016–2024 trajectory

Nash County

North Carolina

93.8twin score

% Black2016–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry

Florence County

South Carolina

93.8twin score

% Black2016–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Warren County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/28149/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Warren County, MS — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Cities & towns in Warren County

Mississippi at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2023 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Warren County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Warren County, Mississippi voted Republican by 4.0 points (R+4.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,298 votes cast, 8,683 went Democratic and 9,407 went Republican.

When did Warren County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Warren County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Warren County, Mississippi?

Warren County, Mississippi has a population of 43,020 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Warren County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Warren County, Mississippi is $59,401 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Warren County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.

Measure

Warren County

Mississippi

United States

Median age

40.8

38.6

39.1

Age 18–24

8.0%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

18.9%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure

Warren County

Mississippi

United States

Median household income

$59,401

$56,447

$84,427

Poverty rate

19.5%

19.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

28.8%

25.3%

35.6%

Measure

Warren County

Mississippi

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

3.9%

4.3%

22.3%

Spanish

2.1%

2.7%

13.6%

Measure

Warren County

Mississippi

United States

Catholic

4.2%

3.4%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

41.4%

39.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

32.3%

40.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

9.3%

6.6%

5.2%

Black Protestant

10.7%

8.6%

2.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+4.0MIT Election Lab

Population

43,0202024 5-year

Median household income

$59,4012024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

46.4%2024 5-year

Black

48.6%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

2.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+92.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+63.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Lowndes County, MS · twin score 95.5

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

19,416

35,480

54.7%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

16,226

35,389

45.9%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

21,250

34,696

61.2%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

11,816

33,451

35.3%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

18,298

32,708

55.9%

A/A

Warren County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -GibsonGibson

823

1,296

2,135

38.5%

60.7%

R+22.2

Precinct -Elks LodgeElks Lodge

859

518

1,395

61.6%

37.1%

D+24.4

Precinct -Lee Rd FireLee Rd Fire

566

716

1,294

43.7%

55.3%

R+11.6

Precinct -BovinaBovina

257

913

1,183

21.7%

77.2%

R+55.5

Precinct -ImmanuelImmanuel

765

349

1,127

67.9%

31.0%

D+36.9

Precinct -Calvary Old 27Calvary Old 27

477

641

1,122

42.5%

57.1%

R+14.6

Precinct -Travelers RestTravelers Rest

810

208

1,041

77.8%

20.0%

D+57.8

Precinct -LifeLife

314

686

1,013

31.0%

67.7%

R+36.7

Precinct -Porters ChapelPorters Chapel

288

592

891

32.3%

66.4%

R+34.1

Precinct -Calvary IndianaCalvary Indiana

469

400

883

53.1%

45.3%

D+7.8

Precinct -Medgar FoundationMedgar Foundation

324

445

783

41.4%

56.8%

R+15.5

Precinct -American LegionAmerican Legion

611

137

762

80.2%

18.0%

D+62.2

Precinct -OaklandOakland

153

581

741

20.6%

78.4%

R+57.8

Precinct -GoodrumGoodrum

155

508

666

23.3%

76.3%

R+53.0

Precinct -AuditoriumAuditorium

510

100

620

82.3%

16.1%

D+66.1

Precinct -Plumbers & PipefittersPlumbers & Pipefitters

202

253

462

43.7%

54.8%

R+11.0

Precinct -Elizabeth CircleElizabeth Circle

352

401

87.8%

10.7%

D+77.1

Precinct -SpringhillSpringhill

319

384

83.1%

16.7%

D+66.4

Precinct -YokenaYokena

307

363

14.3%

84.6%

R+70.2

Precinct -Triumph KingsTriumph Kings

283

344

82.3%

16.9%

D+65.4

Precinct -RidgewayRidgeway

277

322

14.0%

86.0%

R+72.0

Precinct -Eagle Lake MethodistEagle Lake Methodist

218

250

12.0%

87.2%

R+75.2

Precinct -International PaperInternational Paper

116

16.4%

83.6%

R+67.2

American Legion Hall Voting District28_28149302

—

No votes

Auditorium Voting District28_28149205

—

No votes

Beechwood Voting District28_28149502

—

No votes

Bovina Voting District28_28149102

—

No votes

Brunswick Voting District28_28149206

—

No votes

Cedar Grove Voting District28_28149203

—

No votes

Culkin Voting District28_28149103

—

No votes

Elks Lodge Voting District28_28149402

—

No votes

Goodrum Voting District28_28149403

—

No votes

Jett Voting District28_28149401

—

No votes

Kings Voting District28_28149202

—

No votes

Moose Lodge Voting District28_28149504

—

No votes

No.7 Fire Station Voting District28_28149303

—

No votes

Oak Ridge Voting District28_28149101

—

No votes

Plumbers Hall Voting District28_28149501

—

No votes

Redwood Voting District28_28149104

—

No votes

St. Aloysius Voting District28_28149201

—

No votes

Tingleville Voting District28_28149505

—

No votes

Vicksburg Jr. High School Voting District28_28149301

—

No votes

Voting District 3-61 Store28_28149204

—

No votes

Y.M.C.A. Voting District28_28149503

—

No votes

Yokena Voting District28_28149404

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+84.9%
1896	+57.0%
1900	+70.7%
1904	+92.5%
1908	+76.6%
1912	+80.7%
1916	+88.2%
1920	+73.2%
1924	+69.1%
1928	+67.9%
1932	+86.3%
1936	+92.6%
1940	+88.1%
1944	+82.7%
1948	+1.8%
1952	−18.8%
1956	−10.5%
1960	+0.2%
1964	−63.9%
1968	+15.0%
1972	−47.9%
1976	−15.3%
1980	−14.7%
1984	−23.1%
1988	−25.1%
1992	−9.9%
1996	−2.5%
2000	−18.3%
2004	−15.9%
2008	−3.0%
2012	+1.5%
2016	−2.5%
2020	+0.4%
2024	−4.0%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

47.5%Harris8,683

51.4%Trump9,407

0.5%Kennedy84 +6

R+4.0

R+4.3

R+2.5

18,298

All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican51.4%9,407
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic47.5%8,683
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.5%84
Chase OliverLibertarian0.2%35
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%33
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%19
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%18
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%11
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%8

2020

49.6%Biden10,442

49.2%Trump10,365

0.4%Jorgensen93

D+0.4

D+2.9

R+4.1

21,053

2016

47.8%Clinton9,284

50.3%Trump9,767

1.2%Johnson229

R+2.5

R+4.0

R+4.6

19,416

2012

50.4%Obama10,786

48.9%Romney10,457

0.7%

D+1.5

D+4.6

R+2.3

21,391

2008

48.2%Obama10,489

51.2%McCain11,152

0.6%

R+3.0

D+12.9

R+10.3

21,764

2004

41.8%Kerry8,224

57.7%Bush11,356

0.5%

R+15.9

D+2.4

R+13.5

19,683

2000

40.2%Gore7,485

58.5%Bush10,892

0.9%Nader173

R+18.3

R+15.8

R+18.8

18,623

1996

45.3%Clinton8,774

47.8%Dole9,261

6.5%Perot1,259

R+2.5

D+7.4

R+11.0

19,385

1992

39.7%Clinton8,175

49.6%Bush10,209

10.4%Perot2,146

R+9.9

D+15.3

R+15.4

20,578

1988

36.9%Dukakis7,437

62.0%Bush12,507

1.1%

R+25.1

R+2.1

R+17.4

20,170

1984

37.9%Mondale8,054

61.0%Reagan12,959

1.1%

R+23.1

R+8.4

R+4.9

21,248

1980

41.3%Carter7,489

56.0%Reagan10,151

2.7%

R+14.7

D+0.6

R+4.9

18,128

1976

40.1%Carter6,299

55.4%Ford8,699

4.5%

R+15.3

D+32.7

R+17.3

15,705

1972

24.0%McGovern3,480

72.0%Nixon10,420

4.0%

R+47.9

R+62.9

R+24.8

14,478

1968

31.9%Humphrey4,503

17.0%Nixon2,392

51.1%

Wallace +19.2

D+78.9

D+15.7

14,112

1964

18.0%Johnson1,631

82.0%Goldwater7,409

0.0%

R+63.9

R+64.1

R+86.5

9,040

1960

34.8%Kennedy2,289

34.6%Nixon2,277

30.7%

D+0.2

D+10.7

±0.0

6,587

1956

34.9%Stevenson1,857

45.4%Eisenhower2,419

19.7%

R+10.5

D+8.2

D+4.9

5,328

1952

40.6%Stevenson2,366

59.4%Eisenhower3,458

0.0%

R+18.8

R+20.5

R+8.0

5,824

1948

7.7%Truman320

5.9%Dewey245

86.5%

Thurmond +78.8

R+80.9

R+2.7

4,170

1944

91.3%Roosevelt3,202

8.7%Dewey304

0.0%

D+82.7

R+5.5

D+75.2

3,506

1940

94.0%Roosevelt3,048

5.9%Willkie192

0.0%

D+88.1

R+4.4

D+78.2

3,241

1936

96.2%Roosevelt3,233

3.6%Landon122

0.2%

D+92.6

D+6.3

D+68.3

3,361

1932

92.8%Roosevelt2,422

6.5%Hoover169

0.8%

D+86.3

D+18.4

D+68.5

2,611

1928

83.9%Smith2,769

16.1%Hoover530

0.0%

D+67.9

R+1.2

D+85.3

3,299

1924

84.5%Davis1,794

15.5%Coolidge328

0.0%

D+69.1

R+4.1

D+94.3

2,122

1920

86.0%Cox1,082

12.8%Harding161

1.2%

D+73.2

R+15.0

D+99.4

1,258

1916

93.9%Wilson1,204

5.7%Hughes73

0.4%

D+88.2

D+7.6

D+85.1

1,282

1912

84.8%Wilson1,135

4.1%Taft55

11.1%

D+80.7

D+4.0

D+61.1

1,339

1908

86.9%Bryan1,310

10.3%Taft155

2.8%

D+76.6

R+15.8

D+86.2

1,507

1904

95.4%Parker1,191

3.0%Roosevelt37

1.6%

D+92.5

D+21.8

D+112.1

1,248

1900

85.1%Bryan804

14.4%McKinley136

0.5%

D+70.7

D+13.7

D+78.2

945

1896

72.2%Bryan867

15.2%McKinley183

12.6%

D+57.0

R+28.0

D+63.0

1,201

1892

88.9%Cleveland631

3.9%Harrison28

7.2%

D+84.9

—

D+83.3

710

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

48.2%8,820

51.8%9,492

18,312

2020

50.3%10,396

49.7%10,280

20,676

2018

100.0%8,288

0.0%0

8,288

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

45.8%8,272

54.2%9,770

18,042

2020Class II

51.7%Mike Espy10,853

47.2%Cindy Hyde-Smith9,912

21,011

2018Class I

44.2%David Baria6,706

54.0%Roger Wicker8,206

15,185

2014Class II

40.0%Travis Childers4,448

58.2%Thad Cochran6,480

11,130

2012Class I

46.0%Albert N. Gore9,409

51.9%Roger Wicker10,610

20,462

2008Class II

42.3%Erik R. Fleming8,939

57.7%Thad Cochran12,183

21,122

2006Class I

36.2%Erik R. Fleming4,421

62.7%Trent Lott7,650

12,205

2002Class II

0.0%None0

86.8%Thad Cochran11,036

12,720

2000Class I

31.1%Troy Brown5,672

67.2%Trent Lott12,253

18,239

1996Class II

26.6%James W. Hunt4,871

72.0%Thad Cochran13,174

18,295

1994Class I

37.7%Ken Harper5,255

62.3%Trent Lott8,695

13,950

1990Class II

0.0%None0

100.0%Thad Cochran8,842

8,842

1988Class I

42.2%Wayne Dowdy7,874

57.8%Trent Lott10,772

18,646

1984Class II

37.0%William D. Winter7,466

63.0%Thad Cochran12,729

20,195

1982Class I

57.4%John C. Stennis7,697

42.6%Haley Barbour5,707

13,404

1978Class II

11.0%Maurice Dantin1,422

61.6%Thad Cochran7,966

12,923

1976Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis7,828

0.0%None0

7,828

1972Class II

54.5%James Eastland7,588

41.8%Gil Carmichael5,822

13,915

1970Class I

89.8%John C. Stennis5,863

0.0%None0

6,532

1966Class II

65.5%James Eastland5,810

17.5%Prentiss Walker1,551

8,870

1964Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%None0

7,711

1960Class II

88.7%James Eastland5,295

11.3%Joe A. Moore677

5,972

1958Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis427

0.0%None0

427

1954Class II

90.8%James Eastland1,051

9.2%James A White106

1,157

1952Class I

100.0%John C. Stennis4,451

0.0%None0

4,451

1948Class II

100.0%James Eastland3,056

0.0%None0

3,056

1946Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo447

0.0%None0

447

1942Class II

100.0%James Eastland895

0.0%None0

895

1940Class I

—

0.0%Theodore Bilbo0

0.0%None0

1,901

1936Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison2,889

0.0%None0

2,889

1934Class I

100.0%Theodore Bilbo625

0.0%None0

625

1930Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison247

0.0%None0

247

1928Class I

100.0%Hubert Stephens1,596

0.0%None0

1,596

1924Class II

100.0%Pat Harrison1,656

0.0%None0

1,656

1922Class I

97.7%Hubert Stephens981

2.3%John Cook23

1,004

1918Class II

99.7%Pat Harrison302

0.0%None0

303

1916Class I

100.0%John S. Williams1,087

0.0%None0

1,087

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2018Special · Class II

52.9%Mike Espy7,957

47.1%Cindy Hyde-Smith7,082

15,039

2008Special · Class I

48.2%Ronnie Musgrove10,109

51.8%Roger Wicker10,844

20,953

1947Special · Class I

—

0.0%John C. Stennis0

0.0%L.R. Collins0

2,864

1941Special · Class II

49.2%Wall Doxey839

0.0%None0

1,704

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2015

35.0%Robert Gray4,196

63.8%Phil Bryant7,641

11,978

2011

41.4%Johnny DuPree6,380

58.6%Phil Bryant9,019

15,399

2007

40.2%John Arthur Eaves Jr.5,305

59.8%Haley Barbour7,894

13,199

2003

45.1%Ronnie Musgrove7,171

53.6%Haley Barbour8,525

15,906

1995

41.3%Dick Molpus6,629

58.7%Kirk Fordice9,440

16,069

1991

40.3%Ray Mabus6,090

59.0%Kirk Fordice8,925

15,120

1987

54.2%Ray Mabus8,060

45.8%Jack Reed6,820

14,880

1983

56.5%William Allain8,387

38.8%Leon Bramlett5,760

14,849

1979

51.5%William F. Winter6,126

48.5%Gil Carmichael5,759

11,885

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Warren County, MS
Year	Total registered
2016	33,398
2018	31,939
2020	30,657
2022	28,586
2024	29,038

How did Warren County, Mississippi vote in 2024?

In 2024, Warren County, Mississippi voted Republican by 4.0 points (R+4.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 18,298 votes cast, 8,683 went Democratic and 9,407 went Republican.

When did Warren County, Mississippi last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Warren County, Mississippi voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Warren County, Mississippi?

Warren County, Mississippi has a population of 43,020 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Warren County, Mississippi?

Median household income in Warren County, Mississippi is $59,401 — below the national median of $80,734. The Mississippi state median is $56,447.

What is the political history of Warren County, Mississippi?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren County, Mississippi from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.