- Lead
- 4,909
- Total
- 61,140
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Turnout
- 59.9%
Florence County, SC
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.9% of 102,867 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,462
- Total
- 64,510
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- 62.8%
- Lead
- 2,863
- Total
- 57,931
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Turnout
- 56.1%
- Lead
- 347
- Total
- 58,122
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,849
- Total
- 58,373
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,247
- Total
- 49,545
- vs nation
- R+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,521
- Total
- 41,437
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,686
- Total
- 36,070
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 137,1172024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,3052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 42.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bibb County, GA · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.9%61,622 participants ÷ 102,867 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.8%–43.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 57,931 | 103,355 | 56.1% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 46,108 | 103,813 | 44.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 65,144 | 103,656 | 62.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 41,893 | 102,922 | 40.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 61,622 | 102,867 | 59.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
63 precincts · 61,140 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Savannah GroveSavannah Grove | 1,564 | 1,327 | 34 | 2,925 | 53.5% | 45.4% | D+8.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Ebenezer 1Ebenezer 1 | 947 | 1,799 | 36 | 2,782 | 34.0% | 64.7% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -West Florence 1West Florence 1 | 1,064 | 1,497 | 39 | 2,600 | 40.9% | 57.6% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -Ebenezer 2Ebenezer 2 | 1,080 | 1,294 | 33 | 2,407 | 44.9% | 53.8% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct -Coles CrossroadsColes Crossroads | 933 | 1,011 | 23 | 1,967 | 47.4% | 51.4% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -South Florence 1South Florence 1 | 856 | 1,014 | 28 | 1,898 | 45.1% | 53.4% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 12Florence Ward 12 | 576 | 1,097 | 28 | 1,701 | 33.9% | 64.5% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 14Florence Ward 14 | 619 | 961 | 32 | 1,612 | 38.4% | 59.6% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -Mars Bluff No. 1Mars Bluff No. 1 | 715 | 847 | 19 | 1,581 | 45.2% | 53.6% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct -ClaussenClaussen | 537 | 1,027 | 15 | 1,579 | 34.0% | 65.0% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -GreenwoodGreenwood | 752 | 781 | 26 | 1,559 | 48.2% | 50.1% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 8Florence Ward 8 | 441 | 995 | 19 | 1,455 | 30.3% | 68.4% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -Delmae 2Delmae 2 | 374 | 1,032 | 16 | 1,422 | 26.3% | 72.6% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -JohnsonvilleJohnsonville | 352 | 1,048 | 17 | 1,417 | 24.8% | 74.0% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -Delmae 1Delmae 1 | 708 | 641 | 26 | 1,375 | 51.5% | 46.6% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 7Florence Ward 7 | 507 | 793 | 23 | 1,323 | 38.3% | 59.9% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -Ebenezer 3Ebenezer 3 | 464 | 820 | 15 | 1,299 | 35.7% | 63.1% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -Tans BayTans Bay | 560 | 695 | 23 | 1,278 | 43.8% | 54.4% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -Elim-GlenwoodElim-Glenwood | 304 | 934 | 6 | 1,244 | 24.4% | 75.1% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -West Florence 2West Florence 2 | 373 | 762 | 12 | 1,147 | 32.5% | 66.4% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -GilbertGilbert | 920 | 206 | 15 | 1,141 | 80.6% | 18.1% | D+62.6 |
| Precinct -South Florence 2South Florence 2 | 872 | 245 | 23 | 1,140 | 76.5% | 21.5% | D+55.0 |
| Precinct -Mars Bluff No. 2Mars Bluff No. 2 | 376 | 678 | 12 | 1,066 | 35.3% | 63.6% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -Lake City No. 3Lake City No. 3 | 564 | 406 | 11 | 981 | 57.5% | 41.4% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -OlantaOlanta | 333 | 584 | 11 | 928 | 35.9% | 62.9% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -Lake City No. 4Lake City No. 4 | 847 | 67 | 12 | 926 | 91.5% | 7.2% | D+84.2 |
| Precinct -Timmonsville 2Timmonsville 2 | 449 | 466 | 11 | 926 | 48.5% | 50.3% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Timmonsville 1Timmonsville 1 | 629 | 177 | 14 | 820 | 76.7% | 21.6% | D+55.1 |
| Precinct -Pamplico No. 1Pamplico No. 1 | 202 | 608 | 7 | 817 | 24.7% | 74.4% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -Lake City No. 2Lake City No. 2 | 294 | 511 | 6 | 811 | 36.3% | 63.0% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -Oak Grove-SardisOak Grove-Sardis | 129 | 674 | 6 | 809 | 15.9% | 83.3% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -Lake City No. 1Lake City No. 1 | 601 | 177 | 10 | 788 | 76.3% | 22.5% | D+53.8 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 9Florence Ward 9 | 736 | 30 | 12 | 778 | 94.6% | 3.9% | D+90.7 |
| Precinct -SpauldingSpaulding | 720 | 39 | 5 | 764 | 94.2% | 5.1% | D+89.1 |
| Precinct -EvergreenEvergreen | 191 | 539 | 8 | 738 | 25.9% | 73.0% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Kingsburg-StoneKingsburg-Stone | 317 | 345 | 5 | 667 | 47.5% | 51.7% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -Coward 2Coward 2 | 154 | 508 | 3 | 665 | 23.2% | 76.4% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 1Florence Ward 1 | 600 | 35 | 11 | 646 | 92.9% | 5.4% | D+87.5 |
| Precinct -QuinbyQuinby | 439 | 161 | 14 | 614 | 71.5% | 26.2% | D+45.3 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 5Florence Ward 5 | 367 | 209 | 16 | 592 | 62.0% | 35.3% | D+26.7 |
| Precinct -Coward 1Coward 1 | 155 | 423 | 5 | 583 | 26.6% | 72.6% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 3Florence Ward 3 | 542 | 25 | 15 | 582 | 93.1% | 4.3% | D+88.8 |
| Precinct -EffinghamEffingham | 124 | 439 | 11 | 574 | 21.6% | 76.5% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 11Florence Ward 11 | 277 | 279 | 7 | 563 | 49.2% | 49.6% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 6Florence Ward 6 | 195 | 355 | 11 | 561 | 34.8% | 63.3% | R+28.5 |
| Precinct -ScrantonScranton | 204 | 318 | 5 | 527 | 38.7% | 60.3% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 2Florence Ward 2 | 444 | 53 | 14 | 511 | 86.9% | 10.4% | D+76.5 |
| Precinct -CartersvilleCartersville | 201 | 299 | 4 | 504 | 39.9% | 59.3% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -HannahHannah | 57 | 429 | 5 | 491 | 11.6% | 87.4% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -McAllister MillMcAllister Mill | 136 | 341 | 1 | 478 | 28.5% | 71.3% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 4Florence Ward 4 | 243 | 179 | 5 | 427 | 56.9% | 41.9% | D+15.0 |
| Precinct -VoxVox | 77 | 336 | 5 | 418 | 18.4% | 80.4% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -BrookgreenBrookgreen | 308 | 94 | 6 | 408 | 75.5% | 23.0% | D+52.5 |
| Precinct -FriendfieldFriendfield | 50 | 357 | 1 | 408 | 12.3% | 87.5% | R+75.2 |
| Precinct -Mill BranchMill Branch | 225 | 171 | 7 | 403 | 55.8% | 42.4% | D+13.4 |
| Precinct -SalemSalem | 33 | 346 | 1 | 380 | 8.7% | 91.1% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Pamplico No. 2Pamplico No. 2 | 210 | 154 | 11 | 375 | 56.0% | 41.1% | D+14.9 |
| Precinct -High HillHigh Hill | 79 | 269 | 2 | 350 | 22.6% | 76.9% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 10Florence Ward 10 | 310 | 17 | 5 | 332 | 93.4% | 5.1% | D+88.3 |
| Precinct -Back SwampBack Swamp | 100 | 226 | 4 | 330 | 30.3% | 68.5% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -ProspectProspect | 19 | 252 | 3 | 274 | 6.9% | 92.0% | R+85.0 |
| Precinct -LeoLeo | 86 | 157 | 3 | 246 | 35.0% | 63.8% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -Florence Ward 15Florence Ward 15 | 165 | 56 | 6 | 227 | 72.7% | 24.7% | D+48.0 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +69.2% |
| 1896 | +82.0% |
| 1900 | +89.1% |
| 1904 | +95.7% |
| 1908 | +95.6% |
| 1912 | +95.1% |
| 1916 | +97.3% |
| 1920 | +91.4% |
| 1924 | +91.1% |
| 1928 | +89.5% |
| 1932 | +99.0% |
| 1936 | +99.4% |
| 1940 | +92.9% |
| 1944 | +83.9% |
| 1948 | +19.5% |
| 1952 | +1.0% |
| 1956 | +16.5% |
| 1960 | +2.3% |
| 1964 | −18.2% |
| 1968 | −3.4% |
| 1972 | −31.2% |
| 1976 | +9.2% |
| 1980 | −2.0% |
| 1984 | −21.6% |
| 1988 | −21.6% |
| 1992 | −10.9% |
| 1996 | −7.4% |
| 2000 | −15.7% |
| 2004 | −12.6% |
| 2008 | −3.2% |
| 2012 | −0.6% |
| 2016 | −4.9% |
| 2020 | −2.3% |
| 2024 | −8.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 88,135 |
| 2018 | 96,050 |
| 2020 | 102,547 |
| 2022 | 94,486 |
| 2024 | 95,751 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+178 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +582 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,400 in average income, against $73,057 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.8 on average — 3.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Florence County, SC itself (R+8.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Darlington County, SC528R+13.3
- Williamsburg County, SC170D+21.7
- Horry County, SC145R+38.5
- Richland County, SC111D+34.6
- Marion County, SC108D+10.5
- Sumter County, SC75D+4.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Darlington County, SC501
- Richland County, SC163
- Horry County, SC143
- Williamsburg County, SC130
- Mecklenburg County, NC93
- Sumter County, SC86
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +135 |
| 2012 | −55 |
| 2013 | −10 |
| 2014 | +217 |
| 2015 | −418 |
| 2016 | −426 |
| 2017 | −243 |
| 2018 | −510 |
| 2019 | −142 |
| 2021 | +33 |
| 2022 | +726 |
| 2023 | +575 |
| 2024 | +522 |
| 2025 | +178 |
Florence anchors the Pee Dee region and functions as a regional service hub, producing presidential margins closer than most surrounding counties while reflecting South Carolina's broader shift toward Republican-leaning results over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 31.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.0 points.
A population of 137,117, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,305 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bibb County and Nash County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Florence County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.