HarrisDemocratic48.6%25,508TrumpRepublican50.4%26,431SteinGreen0.3%157
R+1.8- Lead
- 923
- Total
- 52,471
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Turnout
- 72.4%
Akashiccounty
Nash County, NC
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.4% of 72,826 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic49.6%25,947TrumpRepublican49.4%25,827JorgensenLibertarian0.5%287
D+0.2- Lead
- 120
- Total
- 52,271
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- 73.8%
ClintonDemocratic48.7%23,235TrumpRepublican48.9%23,319JohnsonLibertarian1.6%750
R+0.2- Lead
- 84
- Total
- 47,665
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Turnout
- 67.7%
ObamaDemocratic50.1%24,313RomneyRepublican49.2%23,842OtherAll other candidates0.7%337
D+1.0- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 48,492
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.0%23,099McCainRepublican50.4%23,728OtherAll other candidates0.6%291
R+1.3- Lead
- 629
- Total
- 47,118
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.7%15,693BushRepublican58.1%21,902OtherAll other candidates0.2%78
R+16.5- Lead
- 6,209
- Total
- 37,673
- vs nation
- R+14.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic40.6%12,376BushRepublican59.0%17,995OtherAll other candidates0.5%142
R+18.4- Lead
- 5,619
- Total
- 30,513
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.4%11,142DoleRepublican54.2%15,309PerotReform6.2%1,751
R+14.7- Lead
- 4,167
- Total
- 28,262
- vs nation
- R+23.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 96,2162024 5-year
- Population density
- 178 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 540 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,4262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 40.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Florence County, SC · twin score 95.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.4%52,706 participants ÷ 72,826 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.2%–53.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 47,665 | 70,454 | 67.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 36,763 | 70,634 | 52.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 52,424 | 71,032 | 73.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 36,281 | 71,711 | 50.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 52,706 | 72,826 | 72.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Nash County, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
94.4%
8,682 votes · D+88.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 93.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
71.4%
12,679 votes · R+46.0
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 66.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
25,947votes
49.6% of the vote · D+0.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 25,508 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,431votes
50.4% of the vote · R+1.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 25,827 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+81.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+56.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +76.5 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+23.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.7 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · +22.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+10.4
Presidential vote · 2024R+1.8
Nash County, NC registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 12-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 64,550 | 35,835 | 20,209 | 8,477 | 29 |
| 2012 | 68,230 | 36,798 | 19,897 | 11,430 | 105 |
| 2016 | 66,787 | 34,163 | 18,928 | 13,520 | 176 |
| 2020 | 68,754 | 32,015 | 19,903 | 16,504 | 332 |
| 2022 | 68,054 | 29,742 | 19,534 | 18,473 | 305 |
| 2024 | 71,083 | 27,549 | 20,156 | 22,811 | 567 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+550 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,290 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,981 in average income, against $68,214 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+14.3 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Nash County, NC itself (R+1.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Edgecombe County, NC506D+22.7
- Wake County, NC465D+25.4
- Wilson County, NC246D+0.4
- Johnston County, NC128R+21.5
- Halifax County, NC122D+17.7
- Franklin County, NC92R+13.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Edgecombe County, NC505
- Wake County, NC319
- Wilson County, NC272
- Pitt County, NC103
- Johnston County, NC100
- Halifax County, NC92
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −148 |
| 2012 | −712 |
| 2013 | −952 |
| 2014 | −399 |
| 2015 | −476 |
| 2016 | +163 |
| 2017 | −16 |
| 2018 | +54 |
| 2019 | +159 |
| 2021 | +234 |
| 2022 | +761 |
| 2023 | +850 |
| 2024 | +1,222 |
| 2025 | +550 |
Nash County's shift from double-digit Democratic margins a decade ago to R+1.8 in 2024 tracks a broader rural realignment in the North Carolina Piedmont, even as Rocky Mount anchors a sizable Black voter population that keeps the county competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.8 points.
A population of 96,216, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,426 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Florence County and Lenoir County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Florence County
South Carolina
95.1twin score
% Black2016–2024 trajectory
Lenoir County
North Carolina
94.5twin score
% Black2016–2024 trajectory
Wilson County
North Carolina
93.9twin score
% Black2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nash County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Nash County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Nash County, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nash County, North Carolina voted Republican by 1.8 points (R+1.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 52,471 votes cast, 25,508 went Democratic and 26,431 went Republican.
When did Nash County, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nash County, North Carolina voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Nash County, North Carolina?
Nash County, North Carolina has a population of 96,216 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nash County, North Carolina?
Median household income in Nash County, North Carolina is $62,426 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Nash County, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Nash County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.