akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 1·North Carolina

North Carolina 1st Congressional District delivered D+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

One of the South's most reliably Democratic congressional districts

18762024·38 elections
NC
Latest
D+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
734,083
2024 ACS

North Carolina 1st Congressional District, North Carolina: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+2%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
734,0832024 5-year
Median household income
$57,4492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
48.2%2024 5-year
Black
39.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+89 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
DAVIS, DonCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: BUTTERFIELD, George Kenneth, Jr. (G.K.) (2021–2023), BUTTERFIELD, George Kenneth, Jr. (G.K.) (2019–2021), BUTTERFIELD, George Kenneth, Jr. (G.K.) (2017–2019), BUTTERFIELD, George Kenneth, Jr. (G.K.) (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

19 counties · 10 D · 9 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+2.0%
191,460183,941379,401
D
+6.2%
200,964177,124382,097
D
+9.0%
187,783156,044352,818
D
+13.6%
203,182154,226360,097
D
+13.1%
196,439150,644349,007
D
+1.3%
137,546134,060272,297
R
−4.4%
108,577118,530228,115
D
+10.8%
107,06984,961203,966
D
+12.7%
109,52781,731219,401
D
+0.1%
93,95593,821188,246
R
−6.7%
95,209108,942204,584
D
+13.0%
91,57970,130164,995
D
+24.1%
90,65155,236146,809
R
−34.2%
45,88694,886143,287
O
+15.2%
58,26932,974166,931
D
+33.6%
87,07943,261130,340
D
+55.7%
91,81326,144117,957
D
+57.9%
84,80022,607107,407
D
+61.6%
88,85721,135109,992
D
+79.5%
66,7616,18276,206
D
+81.9%
68,8846,86775,752
D
+87.6%
78,8425,22684,068
D
+88.9%
79,0074,66283,669
D
+87.1%
66,8534,50071,628
D
+45.5%
41,91615,69757,613
D
+66.1%
31,6876,22738,531
D
+59.1%
40,59310,45151,043
D
+60.3%
26,3366,51232,897
D
+70.4%
23,3772,60129,527
D
+41.0%
22,9989,62332,623
D
+59.0%
22,3175,72128,141
D
+22.7%
34,84621,92456,928
R
−2.0%
30,90732,16163,134
D
+9.7%
22,69417,70651,261
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2022R47.3%50.5%3,773,924
2020R46.9%48.7%5,474,952
2016R45.4%51.1%4,691,133
2014R47.3%48.8%2,915,281
2010R43.0%54.8%2,660,079
2008D52.7%44.2%4,271,970
2004R47.0%51.6%3,472,082
2002R45.0%53.6%2,331,181
1998D51.2%47.0%2,012,143
1996R45.9%52.6%2,556,456
1992R46.3%50.3%2,577,891
1990R47.4%52.5%2,069,585
1986D50.9%49.1%1,534,848
1984R47.8%51.7%2,239,051
1980R49.4%50.0%1,797,665
1978R45.5%54.5%1,135,814

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.0%
American
8.2%
Irish
5.4%
German
4.9%
Italian
1.6%
Scottish
1.2%
French
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
92.3%
speak English only
Spanish6.1%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
17.2%
Other Christian
12.8%
Methodist
6.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

NC-1 spans rural northeastern North Carolina and anchors Democratic margins through a majority-minority population, with Black residents comprising a majority in many of its constituent counties and the district returning D+33 in 2024.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighty-nine points in 1936; the Republican margin reached thirty-four points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 734,083, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $57,449 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 1, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3701/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 1, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 1, North Carolina voted Democratic by 2.0 points (D+2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 379,401 votes cast, 191,460 went Democratic and 183,941 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 1, North Carolina's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 1, North Carolina as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 29 times, Republican 4 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 1, North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 1, North Carolina voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Congressional District 1, North Carolina?
Congressional District 1, North Carolina has a population of 734,083 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 1, North Carolina?
Median household income in Congressional District 1, North Carolina is $57,449 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Congressional District 1, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 1, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.