- Lead
- 139,107
- Total
- 412,775
- vs nation
- D+35.2
North Carolina 2nd Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 144,998
- Total
- 411,639
- vs nation
- D+30.8
- Lead
- 104,977
- Total
- 357,096
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Lead
- 69,744
- Total
- 326,327
- vs nation
- D+17.5
- Lead
- 72,396
- Total
- 297,846
- vs nation
- D+17.0
- Lead
- 18,861
- Total
- 230,927
- vs nation
- D+10.6
- Lead
- 5,629
- Total
- 176,603
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Lead
- 11,125
- Total
- 149,232
- vs nation
- R+1.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 745,6702024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,805 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 413 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,1322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 4, NC · twin score 95.4
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 2nd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.0%
14,602 votes · D+82.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 89.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
65.9%
33,786 votes · R+33.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 56.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
274,368votes
66.7% of the vote · D+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 271,608 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
132,501votes
32.1% of the vote · D+33.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 129,370 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+79.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+54.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +75.0 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+10.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.2 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1968 · +3.4 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
North Carolina's 2nd anchors the Research Triangle's southern edge, where fast-growing suburban and exurban precincts have steadily compressed margins that once ran well into double digits for Democrats.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 33.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.7 points.
A population of 745,670, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,132 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 4 and Congressional District 6.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3702/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.