North Carolina 4th Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | +37.5% |
| 2012 | +35.4% |
| 2016 | +43.1% |
| 2020 | +46.0% |
| 2024 | +45.1% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | D | 71.8%308,064 | 26.1%112,084 | 428,780 |
| 2022 | 4 | D | 66.9%194,983 | 33.1%96,442 | 291,425 |
| 2020 | 4 | D | 67.3%332,421 | 32.7%161,298 | 493,719 |
| 2018 | 4 | D | 72.4%247,067 | 24.0%82,052 | 341,403 |
| 2016 | 4 | D | 68.2%279,380 | 31.8%130,161 | 409,541 |
| 2014 | 4 | D | 74.7%169,946 | 25.3%57,416 | 227,362 |
| 2012 | 4 | D | 74.5%259,534 | 25.5%88,951 | 348,485 |
| 2010 | 4 | D | 57.2%155,384 | 42.8%116,448 | 271,832 |
| 2008 | 4 | D | 63.3%265,751 | 36.7%153,947 | 419,698 |
| 2006 | 4 | D | 65.0%127,340 | 35.0%68,599 | 195,939 |
| 2004 | 4 | D | 64.1%217,441 | 35.9%121,717 | 339,234 |
| 2002 | 4 | D | 61.2%132,185 | 36.1%78,095 | 216,046 |
| 2000 | 4 | D | 61.6%200,885 | 36.6%119,412 | 325,870 |
| 1998 | 4 | D | 57.4%129,157 | 41.6%93,469 | 224,910 |
| 1996 | 4 | D | 54.4%157,194 | 43.8%126,466 | 288,984 |
| 1994 | 4 | R | 49.6%76,558 | 50.4%77,773 | 154,331 |
| 1992 | 4 | D | 64.6%171,299 | 33.7%89,345 | 265,060 |
| 1990 | 4 | D | 58.1%139,396 | 41.9%100,661 | 240,057 |
| 1988 | 4 | D | 58.0%131,896 | 42.0%95,482 | 227,378 |
| 1986 | 4 | D | 55.7%92,216 | 44.3%73,469 | 165,685 |
| 1984 | 4 | R | 49.4%114,462 | 50.6%117,436 | 231,898 |
| 1982 | 4 | D | 51.3%70,369 | 47.4%64,955 | 137,044 |
| 1980 | 4 | D | 52.6%97,167 | 45.8%84,631 | 184,631 |
| 1978 | 4 | D | 94.4%74,249 | 0.0%0 | 78,685 |
| 1976 | 4 | D | 60.6%92,165 | 39.4%59,917 | 152,082 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 47.3%1,784,049 | 50.5%1,905,786 | 3,773,924 |
| 2020 | R | 46.9%2,569,965 | 48.7%2,665,598 | 5,474,952 |
| 2016 | R | 45.4%2,128,165 | 51.1%2,395,376 | 4,691,133 |
| 2014 | R | 47.3%1,377,651 | 48.9%1,423,259 | 2,910,631 |
| 2010 | R | 43.1%1,145,074 | 54.8%1,458,046 | 2,658,807 |
| 2008 | D | 52.7%2,249,311 | 44.2%1,887,510 | 4,270,251 |
| 2004 | R | 47.0%1,632,527 | 51.6%1,791,450 | 3,471,720 |
| 2002 | R | 45.0%1,047,983 | 53.6%1,248,664 | 2,330,454 |
| 1998 | D | 51.2%1,029,237 | 47.0%945,943 | 2,012,143 |
| 1996 | R | 45.9%1,173,875 | 52.6%1,345,833 | 2,556,313 |
| 1992 | R | 46.3%1,194,015 | 50.3%1,297,892 | 2,577,891 |
| 1990 | R | 47.4%981,573 | 52.6%1,087,331 | 2,068,904 |
| 1986 | D | 50.9%780,967 | 49.1%753,881 | 1,534,848 |
| 1984 | R | 47.8%1,070,488 | 51.7%1,156,768 | 2,239,051 |
| 1980 | R | 49.4%887,653 | 50.0%898,064 | 1,797,665 |
| 1978 | R | 45.5%516,663 | 54.5%619,151 | 1,135,814 |
North Carolina's 4th district, anchored by Durham and Chapel Hill, delivered a 42-point Democratic margin in 2024—driven by a dense concentration of university communities, research-sector workers, and a majority-minority population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.0 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.1 points.
A population of 745,685, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,912 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 7.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3704/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.