HarrisDemocratic79.8%144,450TrumpRepublican18.2%32,853SteinGreen0.7%1,332
D+61.7- Lead
- 111,597
- Total
- 180,912
- vs nation
- D+63.2
- Turnout
- 77.3%
Akashiccounty
Durham County, NC
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.3% of 237,691 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic80.4%144,688TrumpRepublican18.0%32,459JorgensenLibertarian0.8%1,504
D+62.4- Lead
- 112,229
- Total
- 179,914
- vs nation
- D+57.9
- Turnout
- 80.1%
ClintonDemocratic77.7%121,250TrumpRepublican18.2%28,350JohnsonLibertarian2.6%3,999
D+59.5- Lead
- 92,900
- Total
- 156,134
- vs nation
- D+57.4
- Turnout
- 76.5%
ObamaDemocratic75.8%111,224RomneyRepublican23.0%33,769OtherAll other candidates1.2%1,742
D+52.8- Lead
- 77,455
- Total
- 146,735
- vs nation
- D+48.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic75.6%103,456McCainRepublican23.6%32,353OtherAll other candidates0.8%1,088
D+51.9- Lead
- 71,103
- Total
- 136,897
- vs nation
- D+44.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic68.0%74,524BushRepublican31.6%34,614OtherAll other candidates0.5%513
D+36.4- Lead
- 39,910
- Total
- 109,651
- vs nation
- D+38.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic63.7%53,907BushRepublican35.6%30,150OtherAll other candidates0.6%547
D+28.1- Lead
- 23,757
- Total
- 84,604
- vs nation
- D+27.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic60.8%49,186DoleRepublican34.4%27,825PerotReform3.9%3,122
D+26.4- Lead
- 21,361
- Total
- 80,910
- vs nation
- D+17.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+61.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 332,3532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,3162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.2 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- DeKalb County, GA · twin score 98.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.3%183,794 participants ÷ 237,691 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.1%–56.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 156,134 | 203,970 | 76.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 125,080 | 213,778 | 58.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 180,568 | 225,405 | 80.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 130,457 | 233,236 | 55.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 183,794 | 237,691 | 77.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
59 precincts · 180,911 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3131 | 4,741 | 1,636 | 182 | 6,559 | 72.3% | 24.9% | D+47.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -2323 | 5,268 | 757 | 105 | 6,130 | 85.9% | 12.3% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -30-230-2 | 4,890 | 857 | 109 | 5,856 | 83.5% | 14.6% | D+68.9 |
| Precinct -5454 | 4,280 | 901 | 152 | 5,333 | 80.3% | 16.9% | D+63.4 |
| Precinct -2222 | 4,692 | 536 | 80 | 5,308 | 88.4% | 10.1% | D+78.3 |
| Precinct -3838 | 4,050 | 1,006 | 138 | 5,194 | 78.0% | 19.4% | D+58.6 |
| Precinct -33-233-2 | 3,968 | 1,061 | 105 | 5,134 | 77.3% | 20.7% | D+56.6 |
| Precinct -34-234-2 | 4,313 | 575 | 94 | 4,982 | 86.6% | 11.5% | D+75.0 |
| Precinct -33-133-1 | 3,284 | 1,111 | 80 | 4,475 | 73.4% | 24.8% | D+48.6 |
| Precinct -2929 | 2,881 | 1,244 | 73 | 4,198 | 68.6% | 29.6% | D+39.0 |
| Precinct -2828 | 1,729 | 2,383 | 36 | 4,148 | 41.7% | 57.4% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -5656 | 3,103 | 846 | 109 | 4,058 | 76.5% | 20.8% | D+55.6 |
| Precinct -4343 | 3,112 | 835 | 109 | 4,056 | 76.7% | 20.6% | D+56.1 |
| Precinct -4545 | 2,453 | 1,188 | 54 | 3,695 | 66.4% | 32.2% | D+34.2 |
| Precinct -5050 | 2,741 | 785 | 65 | 3,591 | 76.3% | 21.9% | D+54.5 |
| Precinct -1919 | 3,070 | 442 | 73 | 3,585 | 85.6% | 12.3% | D+73.3 |
| Precinct -3737 | 2,535 | 934 | 76 | 3,545 | 71.5% | 26.3% | D+45.2 |
| Precinct -5252 | 2,996 | 426 | 84 | 3,506 | 85.5% | 12.2% | D+73.3 |
| Precinct -30-330-3 | 2,749 | 636 | 69 | 3,454 | 79.6% | 18.4% | D+61.2 |
| Precinct -4444 | 2,313 | 978 | 87 | 3,378 | 68.5% | 29.0% | D+39.5 |
| Precinct -5151 | 2,716 | 536 | 91 | 3,343 | 81.2% | 16.0% | D+65.2 |
| Precinct -53-253-2 | 2,455 | 751 | 54 | 3,260 | 75.3% | 23.0% | D+52.3 |
| Precinct -3232 | 2,025 | 1,188 | 44 | 3,257 | 62.2% | 36.5% | D+25.7 |
| Precinct -0505 | 2,832 | 365 | 54 | 3,251 | 87.1% | 11.2% | D+75.9 |
| Precinct -34-134-1 | 2,716 | 437 | 51 | 3,204 | 84.8% | 13.6% | D+71.1 |
| Precinct -2424 | 2,577 | 591 | 33 | 3,201 | 80.5% | 18.5% | D+62.0 |
| Precinct -4646 | 2,511 | 558 | 65 | 3,134 | 80.1% | 17.8% | D+62.3 |
| Precinct -1414 | 2,708 | 315 | 44 | 3,067 | 88.3% | 10.3% | D+78.0 |
| Precinct -0808 | 2,749 | 210 | 62 | 3,021 | 91.0% | 7.0% | D+84.0 |
| Precinct -30-430-4 | 2,223 | 652 | 94 | 2,969 | 74.9% | 22.0% | D+52.9 |
| Precinct -1717 | 2,667 | 238 | 54 | 2,959 | 90.1% | 8.0% | D+82.1 |
| Precinct -2727 | 2,132 | 586 | 69 | 2,787 | 76.5% | 21.0% | D+55.5 |
| Precinct -3636 | 2,264 | 343 | 29 | 2,636 | 85.9% | 13.0% | D+72.9 |
| Precinct -1818 | 2,354 | 205 | 40 | 2,599 | 90.6% | 7.9% | D+82.7 |
| Precinct -0909 | 2,190 | 287 | 80 | 2,557 | 85.6% | 11.2% | D+74.4 |
| Precinct -0202 | 2,181 | 299 | 58 | 2,538 | 85.9% | 11.8% | D+74.2 |
| Precinct -53-153-1 | 1,967 | 509 | 47 | 2,523 | 78.0% | 20.2% | D+57.8 |
| Precinct -55-1155-11 | 2,305 | 138 | 33 | 2,476 | 93.1% | 5.6% | D+87.5 |
| Precinct -1010 | 2,017 | 271 | 40 | 2,328 | 86.6% | 11.6% | D+75.0 |
| Precinct -2525 | 1,301 | 890 | 40 | 2,231 | 58.3% | 39.9% | D+18.4 |
| Precinct -35-535-5 | 1,671 | 498 | 58 | 2,227 | 75.0% | 22.4% | D+52.7 |
| Precinct -35-435-4 | 1,605 | 481 | 87 | 2,173 | 73.9% | 22.1% | D+51.7 |
| Precinct -2121 | 1,910 | 133 | 51 | 2,094 | 91.2% | 6.4% | D+84.9 |
| Precinct -4747 | 1,844 | 182 | 29 | 2,055 | 89.7% | 8.9% | D+80.9 |
| Precinct -4040 | 1,852 | 155 | 29 | 2,036 | 91.0% | 7.6% | D+83.3 |
| Precinct -0707 | 1,753 | 232 | 44 | 2,029 | 86.4% | 11.4% | D+75.0 |
| Precinct -1616 | 1,630 | 321 | 44 | 1,995 | 81.7% | 16.1% | D+65.6 |
| Precinct -0303 | 1,589 | 271 | 65 | 1,925 | 82.5% | 14.1% | D+68.5 |
| Precinct -2626 | 815 | 1,072 | 25 | 1,912 | 42.6% | 56.1% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct -55-4955-49 | 1,869 | 22 | 0 | 1,891 | 98.8% | 1.2% | D+97.7 |
| Precinct -4141 | 1,671 | 116 | 22 | 1,809 | 92.4% | 6.4% | D+86.0 |
| Precinct -1515 | 1,531 | 144 | 29 | 1,704 | 89.8% | 8.5% | D+81.4 |
| Precinct -0606 | 1,490 | 133 | 33 | 1,656 | 90.0% | 8.0% | D+81.9 |
| Precinct -2020 | 1,358 | 138 | 22 | 1,518 | 89.5% | 9.1% | D+80.4 |
| Precinct -4242 | 1,408 | 77 | 22 | 1,507 | 93.4% | 5.1% | D+88.3 |
| Precinct -1313 | 1,301 | 61 | 11 | 1,373 | 94.8% | 4.4% | D+90.3 |
| Precinct -0404 | 1,087 | 144 | 29 | 1,260 | 86.3% | 11.4% | D+74.8 |
| Precinct -0101 | 1,111 | 116 | 25 | 1,252 | 88.7% | 9.3% | D+79.5 |
| Precinct -1212 | 897 | 50 | 22 | 969 | 92.6% | 5.2% | D+87.4 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +6.4% |
| 1896 | +11.6% |
| 1900 | +7.9% |
| 1904 | +19.4% |
| 1908 | +1.1% |
| 1912 | +58.8% |
| 1916 | +14.6% |
| 1920 | +13.4% |
| 1924 | +21.4% |
| 1928 | −32.1% |
| 1932 | +44.8% |
| 1936 | +70.8% |
| 1940 | +71.2% |
| 1944 | +55.1% |
| 1948 | +39.7% |
| 1952 | +25.2% |
| 1956 | +2.3% |
| 1960 | +14.8% |
| 1964 | +20.0% |
| 1968 | +9.0% |
| 1972 | −24.0% |
| 1976 | +8.4% |
| 1980 | +11.9% |
| 1984 | +5.0% |
| 1988 | +8.4% |
| 1992 | +23.9% |
| 1996 | +26.4% |
| 2000 | +28.1% |
| 2004 | +36.4% |
| 2008 | +51.9% |
| 2012 | +52.8% |
| 2016 | +59.5% |
| 2020 | +62.4% |
| 2024 | +61.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+41.5
Presidential vote · 2024D+61.7
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 20 points more Republican.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 180,143 | 111,226 | 28,028 | 40,740 | 149 |
| 2012 | 212,882 | 125,624 | 30,302 | 56,346 | 610 |
| 2016 | 232,732 | 129,824 | 29,914 | 71,913 | 1,081 |
| 2020 | 245,216 | 132,634 | 26,858 | 84,205 | 1,519 |
| 2022 | 240,132 | 128,469 | 24,462 | 85,912 | 1,289 |
| 2024 | 253,366 | 129,479 | 24,253 | 97,534 | 2,100 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−430 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +15,176 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,188 in average income, against $97,462 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+23.6 on average — 38 points more Republican-leaning than Durham County, NC itself (D+61.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Wake County, NC3,465D+25.4
- Orange County, NC1,356D+50.8
- Guilford County, NC343D+21.8
- Mecklenburg County, NC337D+32.7
- Alamance County, NC314R+8.1
- Granville County, NC195R+9.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Wake County, NC3,599
- Orange County, NC1,135
- Alamance County, NC705
- Mecklenburg County, NC402
- Granville County, NC311
- Guilford County, NC297
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,828 |
| 2012 | +2,083 |
| 2013 | +2,156 |
| 2014 | +2,439 |
| 2015 | +1,687 |
| 2016 | +2,875 |
| 2017 | +217 |
| 2018 | +1,299 |
| 2019 | +1,176 |
| 2021 | +1,677 |
| 2022 | −134 |
| 2023 | −768 |
| 2024 | −929 |
| 2025 | −430 |
Home to Duke University and a majority-minority population, Durham County recorded a D+61.7 margin in 2024, making it North Carolina's most Democratic county by a wide measure and a reliable counterweight to the state's competitive statewide results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.2 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 32.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.7 points.
A population of 332,353, a 42% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,316 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of DeKalb County and District of Columbia.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
DeKalb County
Georgia
98.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Black
District of Columbia
District of Columbia
97.1twin score
2016–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ 2000 margin
Richmond city
Virginia
96.7twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Durham County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Durham County, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Durham County, North Carolina voted Democratic by 61.7 points (D+61.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 180,912 votes cast, 144,450 went Democratic and 32,853 went Republican.
When did Durham County, North Carolina last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Durham County, North Carolina voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Durham County, North Carolina?
Durham County, North Carolina has a population of 332,353 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Durham County, North Carolina?
Median household income in Durham County, North Carolina is $82,316 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Durham County, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Durham County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 32 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.