Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Metro Area — Elections 1892–2024

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How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Kamala Harris ✓Democratic	72.1%	247,203
Donald TrumpRepublican	26.1%	89,675
Jill SteinGreen	1.8%	6,178

D+60

R+60

4 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.

County-level results (4 counties) — table

2024 presidential result by county for Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, NC — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County	Winner	Margin
Chatham County, NC	Democratic	D+12.4
Durham County, NC	Democratic	D+61.7
Orange County, NC	Democratic	D+50.8
Person County, NC	Republican	R+23.7

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	D	72.1%Harris247,203	26.1%Trump89,675	1.8%Stein6,178	+45.9%	343,056
2020	D	72.6%Biden243,534	25.9%Trump87,005	1.5%Jorgensen4,865	+46.7%	335,404
2016	D	70.5%Clinton210,071	25.2%Trump75,197	4.3%Johnson12,670	+45.3%	297,938
2012	D	69.0%Obama191,904	29.7%Romney82,469	1.3%Johnson3,659	+39.4%	278,032
2008	D	69.7%Obama183,570	29.4%McCain77,317	0.9%Barr2,432	+40.4%	263,319
2004	D	63.5%Kerry136,529	35.9%Bush77,250	0.5%Badnarik1,161	+27.6%	214,940
2000	D	60.2%Gore100,331	39.0%Bush65,050	0.8%Browne1,331	+21.2%	166,712
1996	D	58.8%Clinton91,753	35.5%Dole55,492	5.7%Perot8,856	+23.2%	156,101
1992	D	56.5%Clinton89,769	32.5%Bush51,618	11.0%Perot17,402	+24.0%	158,789
1988	D	54.8%Dukakis69,144	44.6%Bush56,262	0.6%Fulani811	+10.2%	126,217
1984	D	51.7%Mondale63,794	48.0%Reagan59,219	0.3%Bergland344	+3.7%	123,357
1980	D	52.9%Carter51,450	38.3%Reagan37,232	8.8%Anderson8,547	+14.6%	97,229
1976	D	57.4%Carter48,554	42.1%Ford35,564	0.5%Anderson399	+15.4%	84,517
1972	R	40.4%McGovern34,070	58.5%Nixon49,324	1.1%Schmitz886	−18.1%	84,280
1968	D	38.6%Humphrey31,105	30.8%Nixon24,785	30.6%Wallace24,691	+7.8%	80,581
1964	D	60.7%Johnson42,115	39.3%Goldwater27,322	0.0%	+21.3%	69,437
1960	D	57.9%Kennedy35,466	42.1%Nixon25,787	0.0%	+15.8%	61,253
1956	D	53.1%Stevenson26,162	46.9%Eisenhower23,091	0.0%	+6.2%	49,253
1952	D	61.9%Stevenson32,622	38.1%Eisenhower20,094	0.0%	+23.8%	52,716
1948	D	65.3%Truman21,536	26.8%Dewey8,832	8.0%Thurmond2,635	+38.5%	33,003
1944	D	73.2%Roosevelt22,400	26.8%Dewey8,195	0.0%	+46.4%	30,595
1940	D	81.5%Roosevelt25,747	18.5%Willkie5,852	0.0%	+63.0%	31,599
1936	D	79.4%Roosevelt23,935	20.6%Landon6,201	0.0%	+58.8%	30,136
1932	D	68.9%Roosevelt17,118	28.7%Hoover7,134	2.4%Thomas592	+40.2%	24,844
1928	R	39.3%Smith10,196	60.7%Hoover15,728	0.0%	−21.3%	25,924
1924	D	58.7%Davis11,738	39.7%Coolidge7,938	1.5%La Follette305	+19.0%	19,981
1920	D	54.0%Cox11,471	46.0%Harding9,759	0.0%	+8.1%	21,230
1916	D	54.4%Wilson6,485	45.4%Hughes5,413	0.1%Benson14	+9.0%	11,912
1912	D	54.6%Wilson5,666	11.1%Taft1,150	34.3%Roosevelt3,559	+43.5%	10,375
1908	R	48.9%Bryan5,147	50.9%Taft5,359	0.1%Debs13	−2.0%	10,519
1904	D	57.9%Parker4,996	41.6%Roosevelt3,588	0.5%Debs45	+16.3%	8,629
1900	R	49.0%Bryan6,603	50.6%McKinley6,820	0.5%Woolley62	−1.6%	13,485
1896	D	58.7%Bryan8,740	40.8%McKinley6,080	0.5%Palmer81	+17.9%	14,901
1892	D	39.5%Cleveland5,435	31.5%Harrison4,327	29.0%Weaver3,988	+8.1%	13,750

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+8.1%
1896	+17.9%
1900	−1.6%
1904	+16.3%
1908	−2.0%
1912	+43.5%
1916	+9.0%
1920	+8.1%
1924	+19.0%
1928	−21.3%
1932	+40.2%
1936	+58.8%
1940	+63.0%
1944	+46.4%
1948	+38.5%
1952	+23.8%
1956	+6.2%
1960	+15.8%
1964	+21.3%
1968	+7.8%
1972	−18.1%
1976	+15.4%
1980	+14.6%
1984	+3.7%
1988	+10.2%
1992	+24.0%
1996	+23.2%
2000	+21.2%
2004	+27.6%
2008	+40.4%
2012	+39.4%
2016	+45.3%
2020	+46.7%
2024	+45.9%

DemocraticRepublican

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2008	343,307	197,553	62,705	82,750	299
2012	398,379	216,362	68,006	112,730	1,281
2016	428,005	217,480	67,188	141,232	2,105
2020	443,429	218,025	63,847	158,793	2,764
2022	439,541	211,794	60,590	164,788	2,369
2024	461,543	212,393	62,052	183,445	3,653

Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections

Home to Duke, UNC-Chapel Hill, and NC Central, Durham-Chapel Hill posts some of North Carolina's widest Democratic margins—Biden carried the metro by roughly 40 points in 2020—driven by a dense concentration of university employees, graduate students, and a historically Black urban core.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.0 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 21.3 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.9 points.

A population of 601,724, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,598 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ann Arbor, MI and Boulder, CO.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Ann Arbor, MI

95.1twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ % Asian

Boulder, CO

93.4twin score

2012–2024 trajectory≠ % Black

Gainesville, FL

91.4twin score

2000 margin% Asianpopulation scale≠ 2024 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/20500/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Places within Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

counties4

Chatham County Durham County Orange County Person County

Frequently asked questions

How did Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?

In 2024, Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic by 45.9 points (D+45.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 343,056 votes cast, 247,203 went Democratic and 89,675 went Republican.

When did Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina voted Republican was 1972.

How many people live in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina?

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina has a population of 601,724 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina?

Median household income in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina is $84,598 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.

What is the political history of Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.