Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
North CarolinaTrumpR+3.2
2024StatewideR+3.2

100 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County100 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Durham144,45032,853D+61.7180,912Orange65,44420,806D+50.887,807Mecklenburg376,469187,777D+32.7577,527Hertford6,1713,556D+26.69,818Wake402,984236,735D+25.4653,580Buncombe98,66259,016D+24.7160,510Edgecombe14,9029,356D+22.724,451Guilford171,118109,077D+21.8285,053Warren5,8723,976D+18.910,013Halifax14,0149,778D+17.723,965Bertie5,2793,840D+15.79,186Northampton5,2393,905D+14.59,215Cumberland78,63159,840D+13.4140,513Vance11,2928,614D+13.320,092Forsyth114,14587,292D+13.1204,726Chatham29,01422,507D+12.452,301Washington3,1382,768D+6.25,944Pitt45,59640,403D+6.087,131Watauga17,22515,254D+6.033,095Hoke11,89610,547D+5.922,767New Hanover68,81467,949D+0.6138,734Wilson19,90919,750D+0.440,045Nash25,50826,431R+1.852,471Anson5,2535,525R+2.510,875Pasquotank9,54910,537R+4.920,343Lenoir12,70014,564R+6.827,503Scotland6,7547,767R+6.914,626Cabarrus54,49463,746R+7.7120,202Alamance40,62447,937R+8.189,831Jackson9,74611,796R+9.321,942Granville14,36817,385R+9.432,109Martin5,3606,601R+10.312,040Transylvania8,97211,492R+12.120,780Franklin18,16723,938R+13.542,667Henderson29,36139,497R+14.569,974Wayne22,61831,580R+16.454,762Lee12,24517,489R+17.430,081Greene3,4374,965R+18.18,450Dare10,07414,792R+18.725,196Bladen6,62010,035R+20.416,764Craven22,01133,477R+20.456,173Richmond7,78711,931R+20.919,873Tyrrell6801,057R+21.51,757Johnston48,11674,878R+21.5124,678Gates2,2683,538R+21.65,868Hyde9311,465R+22.12,421Chowan2,8954,587R+22.47,552Madison5,0908,275R+23.413,621Swain2,6434,311R+23.77,052Person8,29513,509R+23.722,036Caswell4,4937,445R+24.512,040Brunswick40,55767,658R+24.8109,378Gaston44,06273,828R+25.0119,256Harnett23,47239,440R+25.063,757Haywood13,91323,393R+25.037,851Polk4,8278,107R+25.113,068Union51,16886,271R+25.2139,355Jones2,0073,409R+25.75,463Robeson16,72829,647R+27.646,770Duplin8,05714,677R+28.922,898Moore21,44939,633R+29.461,819Sampson9,79718,178R+29.728,201Beaufort9,04917,296R+31.026,572Pamlico2,6765,229R+32.07,976Iredell36,73972,801R+32.5110,875Columbus8,64817,592R+33.926,402Yancey3,6357,511R+34.311,285Pender12,46026,042R+34.938,909Cleveland16,60334,654R+34.951,706Rockingham15,67633,447R+35.849,595Rowan23,78850,807R+35.875,394Onslow25,68454,960R+35.881,681Montgomery4,0459,026R+37.813,179Macon6,67514,981R+37.921,934Catawba26,56959,577R+37.987,109Perquimans2,2695,278R+39.37,666Burke13,27232,130R+41.145,847Carteret12,81332,508R+43.045,817Ashe4,43111,629R+44.316,253Lincoln14,84240,183R+45.655,582Davie6,98819,398R+46.226,850Davidson24,15067,959R+46.993,452Rutherford8,91425,456R+47.734,670Currituck4,60413,235R+47.818,053McDowell5,91117,520R+49.123,655Clay1,8995,761R+50.07,728Camden1,5224,716R+50.76,304Stanly8,88127,518R+50.836,714Alleghany1,5334,900R+51.86,496Avery2,2207,181R+52.39,489Caldwell10,14633,009R+52.543,540Surry8,61328,565R+53.237,508Mitchell1,9186,844R+55.78,846Randolph15,95159,357R+57.176,008Cherokee3,68613,883R+57.217,824Stokes5,38021,548R+59.527,175Wilkes7,19428,812R+59.536,320Alexander4,06016,404R+59.720,677Yadkin3,73916,439R+62.320,397Graham8393,883R+63.74,779

North Carolina, North Carolina

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −3.2% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−3.2%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+11.6%
1896+5.8%
1900+8.5%
1904+20.1%
1908+8.7%
1912+47.3%
1916+16.4%
1920+13.5%
1924+19.4%
1928−9.9%
1932+40.6%
1936+46.8%
1940+48.1%
1944+33.4%
1948+25.3%
1952+7.8%
1956+1.3%
1960+4.2%
1964+12.3%
1968−10.3%
1972−40.6%
1976+11.0%
1980−2.1%
1984−24.0%
1988−16.3%
1992−0.8%
1996−4.7%
2000−12.8%
2004−12.4%
2008+0.3%
2012−2.0%
2016−3.7%
2020−1.3%
2024−3.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
47.6%Harris2,715,382
50.9%Trump2,898,429
0.4%Stein24,762
−3.2%
5,699,155
R
48.6%Biden2,684,292
49.9%Trump2,758,775
0.9%Jorgensen48,678
−1.3%
5,524,804
R
46.2%Clinton2,189,316
49.8%Trump2,362,631
2.7%Johnson130,126
−3.7%
4,741,564
R
48.4%Obama2,178,391
50.4%Romney2,270,395
1.0%Johnson44,515
−2.0%
4,505,372
D
49.7%Obama2,142,651
49.4%McCain2,128,474
0.6%Barr25,722
+0.3%
4,310,789
R
43.6%Kerry1,525,849
56.0%Bush1,961,166
0.3%Badnarik11,731
−12.4%
3,501,007
R
43.2%Gore1,257,692
56.0%Bush1,631,163
0.5%Browne13,891
−12.8%
2,911,262
R
44.0%Clinton1,107,849
48.7%Dole1,225,938
6.7%Perot168,059
−4.7%
2,515,807
R
42.7%Clinton1,114,042
43.4%Bush1,134,661
13.7%Perot357,864
−0.8%
2,611,850
R
41.7%Dukakis890,167
58.0%Bush1,237,258
0.3%Fulani5,682
−16.3%
2,134,370
R
37.9%Mondale824,287
61.9%Reagan1,346,481
0.2%Bergland3,794
−24.0%
2,175,361
R
47.2%Carter875,635
49.3%Reagan915,018
2.8%Anderson52,800
−2.1%
1,855,833
D
55.3%Carter927,365
44.2%Ford741,960
0.3%Anderson5,607
+11.0%
1,677,906
R
28.9%McGovern438,705
69.5%Nixon1,054,889
1.6%Schmitz25,018
−40.6%
1,518,612
R
29.2%Humphrey464,113
39.5%Nixon627,192
31.3%Wallace496,188
−10.3%
1,587,493
D
56.2%Johnson800,139
43.8%Goldwater624,844
0.0%
+12.3%
1,424,983
D
52.1%Kennedy713,136
47.9%Nixon655,420
0.0%
+4.2%
1,368,556
D
50.7%Stevenson590,530
49.3%Eisenhower575,062
0.0%
+1.3%
1,165,592
D
53.9%Stevenson652,803
46.1%Eisenhower558,117
0.0%
+7.8%
1,210,920
D
58.0%Truman459,070
32.7%Dewey258,572
9.3%Thurmond73,567
+25.3%
791,209
D
66.7%Roosevelt527,399
33.3%Dewey263,155
0.0%
+33.4%
790,554
D
74.0%Roosevelt609,015
26.0%Willkie213,633
0.0%
+48.1%
822,648
D
73.4%Roosevelt616,141
26.6%Landon223,294
0.0%
+46.8%
839,435
D
69.9%Roosevelt497,566
29.3%Hoover208,344
0.8%Thomas5,588
+40.6%
711,498
R
45.1%Smith286,227
54.9%Hoover348,923
0.0%
−9.9%
635,150
D
59.0%Davis284,190
39.6%Coolidge190,754
1.4%La Follette6,651
+19.4%
481,595
D
56.7%Cox305,367
43.3%Harding232,819
0.0%
+13.5%
538,186
D
58.1%Wilson168,383
41.7%Hughes120,890
0.2%Benson562
+16.4%
289,835
D
59.2%Wilson144,407
11.9%Taft29,129
28.8%Roosevelt70,273
+47.3%
243,809
D
54.2%Bryan136,928
45.5%Taft114,888
0.3%Debs726
+8.7%
252,542
D
59.7%Parker124,121
39.7%Roosevelt82,442
0.6%Debs1,281
+20.1%
207,844
D
53.9%Bryan157,733
45.5%McKinley132,997
0.6%Woolley1,788
+8.5%
292,518
D
52.6%Bryan174,408
46.8%McKinley155,122
0.5%Palmer1,807
+5.8%
331,337
D
47.4%Cleveland132,950
35.8%Harrison100,326
16.8%Weaver47,251
+11.6%
280,527
2026 election
On the ballot
U.S. Senateopen seat
Roy CoopernomineeMichael WhatleynomineeShannon BraynomineeBrian McGinnisnominee

OPEN: Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. Cooper (D, ex-gov) ~92% vs Whatley (R, ex-RNC chair) ~64.6%. Top toss-up.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 306 House races · 16 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
D 4 · R 1042.9%52.7%5,483,155
D 7 · R 747.7%52.0%3,760,753
D 5 · R 850.0%49.4%5,325,245
D 3 · R 1048.3%50.4%3,663,326

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2022R
47.3%1,784,049
50.5%1,905,786
3,773,924
2020R
46.9%2,569,965
48.7%2,665,598
5,474,952
2016R
45.4%2,128,165
51.1%2,395,376
4,691,133
2014R
47.3%1,377,651
48.9%1,423,259
2,910,631
2010R
43.1%1,145,074
54.8%1,458,046
2,658,807
2008D
52.7%2,249,311
44.2%1,887,510
4,270,251
2004R
47.0%1,632,527
51.6%1,791,450
3,471,720
2002R
45.0%1,047,983
53.6%1,248,664
2,330,454
1998D
51.2%1,029,237
47.0%945,943
2,012,143
1996R
45.9%1,173,875
52.6%1,345,833
2,556,313
1992R
46.3%1,194,015
50.3%1,297,892
2,577,891
1990R
47.4%981,573
52.6%1,087,331
2,068,904
1986D
50.9%780,967
49.1%753,881
1,534,848
1984R
47.8%1,070,488
51.7%1,156,768
2,239,051
1980R
49.4%887,653
50.0%898,064
1,797,665
1978R
45.5%516,663
54.5%619,151
1,135,814
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in North CarolinaRegistered voters by party of registration, 2008–2024. Latest total 7,854,464 in 2024.2M3.9M5.9M7.9M7.9M20082024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in North Carolina
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
20086,080,1032,784,8961,945,5801,345,6693,958
20126,655,3022,872,8412,053,8811,709,20719,373
20166,924,2962,735,4272,088,3812,068,06632,422
20207,378,5872,629,2372,236,5822,457,88654,882
20227,422,3962,504,0852,226,3392,641,35350,619
20247,854,4642,457,5322,350,3822,965,09481,456
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections
North Carolina went to Trump for president and elected a Democratic governor on the same night.
Presidential margin, 2024
R+3.2 — Republican every cycle since 2008, never by more than four points · MIT Election Lab
The last Democratic win
Obama by D+0.3 in 2008; then R+2.0, R+3.7, R+1.3, R+3.2 · MIT Election Lab
Bluest and reddest counties
Durham D+61.7 against Graham R+63.7 — 22 of 100 counties Democratic · MIT Election Lab 2024
The urban crescent
Mecklenburg D+32.7, Wake D+25.4, Durham D+61.7, Guilford D+21.8, Forsyth D+13.1 — 1.9M votes · MIT Election Lab 2024
Registration inverted
Unaffiliated 2.97M in 2024 — ahead of 2.46M Democrats and 2.35M Republicans, from a 2.78M Democratic edge in 2008 · North Carolina State Board of Elections
A split ticket in 2024
Carried by Trump for president, it elected Josh Stein (D) governor the same night · MIT Election Lab; Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Georgia
Georgia
85.0twin score
% Evangelicalpopulation scale% Catholic≠ % Black
South Carolina
South Carolina
77.4twin score
% Evangelical% Catholic% Black
Alabama
Alabama
70.2twin score
2000 margin% Black% Catholic≠ 2024 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NC/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Largest cities in North Carolina
Charlotte
903.8K residents
Raleigh
481K residents
Greensboro
301.2K residents
Durham
291.5K residents
Winston-Salem
252K residents
Fayetteville
210.8K residents
Cary
179.3K residents
Wilmington
120.8K residents
High Point
116.2K residents
Concord
108.7K residents
Asheville
94.5K residents
Greenville
92.9K residents
North Carolina at the ballot boxAll elections →
Presidentcounty detail2024US Senatestatewide2022Governorstate + county2024US Houseall districts2024

Places within North Carolina

100counties38metro areas8combined areas6media markets14congressional districts50state senate districts120state house districts
More in North Carolina
Alamance County
Alexander County
Alleghany County
Anson County
Ashe County
Avery County

Frequently asked questions

How did North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, North Carolina voted Republican by 3.2 points (R+3.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,699,155 votes cast, 2,715,382 went Democratic and 2,898,429 went Republican.
When did North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which North Carolina voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in North Carolina?
North Carolina has a population of 10,730,404 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North Carolina?
Median household income in North Carolina is $72,388 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.