akashic
1876–2024
Clay County, North Carolina
Clay County·North Carolina

Clay County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Appalachia's most lopsided presidential margins in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Clay County, North Carolina · Harrison Keely · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+50
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
11,610
2024 ACS
Most similar
Cherokee County
NC · similarity 1.00
9 precincts · 7,728 votes cast
Trump · R+50
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−50.0%
1,8995,7617,728
2020R
−49.5%
1,6995,1126,893
2016R
−51.1%
1,3674,4376,010
2012R
−42.4%
1,5793,9735,642
2008R
−35.6%
1,7343,7075,543
2004R
−32.5%
1,6283,2094,866
2000D
+27.4%
2,4161,3613,852
1996R
−8.4%
1,4621,7693,655
1992R
−7.3%
1,6001,8903,960
1988R
−25.4%
1,2892,1743,480
1984R
−25.4%
1,3402,2593,619
1980R
−22.9%
1,3242,1363,547
1976D
+4.7%
1,5691,4283,012
1972R
−31.6%
7971,5452,370
1968R
−21.5%
8471,3902,530
1964D
+6.2%
1,4571,2862,743
1960R
−13.5%
1,2641,6572,921
1956R
−5.7%
1,2871,4422,729
1952R
−0.1%
1,4391,4432,882
1948D
+3.7%
1,3071,2132,575
1944R
−0.7%
1,2451,2632,508
1940D
+6.9%
1,3491,1762,525
1936R
−6.5%
1,3401,5252,865
1932D
+2.9%
1,3411,2652,614
1928R
−10.1%
9031,1062,009
1924R
−6.6%
9531,0902,061
1920R
−9.4%
7559111,666
1916R
−6.2%
400453853
1912D
+45.7%
37217776
1908D
+3.3%
343321665
1904D
+1.6%
336325667
1900D
+1.3%
404394798
1896D
+22.8%
476299775
1892D
+17.6%
383256721
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
50.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
8.6%
Methodist
8.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
Other Christian
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 25.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Tucked into the Blue Ridge highlands on North Carolina's southwestern tip, Clay County delivered a 50-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep rural conservatism that has steadily reshaped mountain communities across the region.

The Democratic margin in Clay County peaked at forty-six points in 1912. By 2004 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Clay County's median household income of $56,971 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cherokee County and Currituck County.