akashic
1876–2024
Caswell County, North Carolina
Caswell County·North Carolina

Caswell County voted Democratic for a century. The shift began with civil rights.

A rural Piedmont county where margins have widened steadily for two decades

18762024·38 elections
Caswell County, North Carolina · NatalieMaynor from Jackson, Mississippi, USA · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+25
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
22,404
2024 ACS
Most similar
Hyde County
NC · similarity 0.97
9 precincts · 12,040 votes cast
Trump · R+25
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−24.5%
4,4937,44512,040
2020R
−18.5%
4,8607,08912,051
2016R
−11.1%
4,7926,02611,070
2012R
−2.2%
5,3485,59411,039
2008D
+3.1%
5,5455,20810,862
2004R
−3.5%
4,5394,8689,437
2000D
+2.1%
4,2704,0918,422
1996D
+12.3%
4,3123,3108,158
1992D
+23.1%
4,7252,7938,363
1988D
+11.9%
4,1893,2997,509
1984D
+2.0%
4,1573,9928,174
1980D
+23.8%
3,5292,1565,777
1976D
+35.5%
3,7071,7615,489
1972R
−21.2%
1,9222,9835,001
1968D
+18.3%
2,1371,0366,024
1964D
+16.7%
2,5131,7934,306
1960D
+38.0%
2,8321,2724,104
1956D
+34.4%
2,4681,2043,672
1952D
+45.5%
2,5979733,570
1948D
+54.2%
1,6513512,399
1944D
+59.3%
1,9234922,415
1940D
+73.9%
2,3353512,686
1936D
+84.7%
2,4932072,700
1932D
+83.1%
1,8581692,033
1928D
+11.1%
9367491,685
1924D
+39.3%
1,0754671,546
1920D
+42.1%
1,2395051,744
1916D
+43.0%
8493381,187
1912D
+61.0%
705154904
1908D
+37.4%
8203731,195
1904D
+62.6%
8742011,075
1900D
+2.5%
1,3421,2772,621
1896R
−10.6%
1,3721,7013,118
1892R
−21.1%
9131,5222,892
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
24.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.1%
Other Christian
8.8%
Methodist
8.7%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Caswell sits along the Virginia border with a tobacco-farming heritage and a population under 25,000 that has shifted toward double-digit Republican presidential margins in each of the last four cycles.

The shift began with civil rights. 2012 marked the realignment in Caswell County, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at twenty-five points in 2024. The 2024 margin was twenty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Caswell County, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $59,755, and a 19% poverty rate describe the demographic context. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hyde County and Moody County.