Akashic

county

Transylvania County, NC

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English19.1%12.7%9.5%

Irish15.7%8.4%9.4%

German14.3%9.4%12.5%

American7.1%8.3%5.3%

Scottish4.6%2.3%1.3%

Scotch-Irish3.9%1.4%—

Italian3.0%3.3%4.8%

French2.8%—1.6%

Mexican2.6%5.6%11.3%

Cuban0.7%0.3%0.7%

Honduran0.7%0.7%0.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%1.2%1.8%

Spaniard0.4%——

African American†2.8%18.3%9.9%

Haitian0.3%—0.3%

African0.2%0.7%0.5%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Transylvania County	North Carolina	United States
Median age	51.6	39.5	39.1
Age 18–24	7.4%	9.5%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	30.9%	17.2%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Transylvania County	North Carolina	United States
Median household income	$66,184	$72,388	$84,427
Poverty rate	13.2%	13.1%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	40.0%	35.8%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Transylvania County	North Carolina	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	2.9%	13.5%	22.3%
Spanish	1.8%	8.7%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Transylvania County	North Carolina	United States
Catholic	6.5%	8.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	34.8%	26.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	46.2%	48.0%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	9.2%	9.1%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 76.0% of 27,735 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic43.2%8,972TrumpRepublican55.3%11,492SteinGreen0.5%98

R+12.1

Lead: 2,520
Total: 20,780
vs nation: R+10.7
Turnout: 76.0%

BidenDemocratic41.4%8,444TrumpRepublican57.0%11,636JorgensenLibertarian0.9%180

R+15.6

Lead: 3,192
Total: 20,404
vs nation: R+20.1
Turnout: 72.8%

ClintonDemocratic36.7%6,558TrumpRepublican58.9%10,520JohnsonLibertarian2.7%489

R+22.2

Lead: 3,962
Total: 17,869
vs nation: R+24.3
Turnout: 66.6%

ObamaDemocratic40.7%6,826RomneyRepublican57.5%9,634OtherAll other candidates1.8%303

R+16.8

Lead: 2,808
Total: 16,763
vs nation: R+20.6
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic43.0%7,275McCainRepublican55.6%9,401OtherAll other candidates1.4%233

R+12.6

Lead: 2,126
Total: 16,909
vs nation: R+19.8
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic39.1%6,097BushRepublican60.2%9,386OtherAll other candidates0.7%105

R+21.1

Lead: 3,289
Total: 15,588
vs nation: R+18.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic35.5%5,044BushRepublican63.3%9,011OtherAll other candidates1.2%170

R+27.9

Lead: 3,967
Total: 14,225
vs nation: R+28.4
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic37.6%4,842DoleRepublican52.3%6,734PerotReform9.2%1,183

R+14.7

Lead: 1,892
Total: 12,877
vs nation: R+23.2
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+12.1MIT Election Lab
Population: 33,6912024 5-year
Median household income: $66,1842024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.6%2024 5-year
Black: 3.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+41.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+42.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Polk County, NC · twin score 87.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 76.0%21,083 participants ÷ 27,735 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +12.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -11.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 63.7%–65.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	17,869	26,834	66.6%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	15,693	27,373	57.3%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	20,493	28,159	72.8%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	16,641	27,521	60.5%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	21,083	27,735	76.0%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

15 precincts · 20,780 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Transylvania County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -DRDR	1,178	985	33	2,196	53.6%	44.9%	D+8.8
Precinct -BDBD	739	1,359	35	2,133	34.6%	63.7%	R+29.1
Precinct -CCCC	588	1,296	28	1,912	30.8%	67.8%	R+37.0
Precinct -RERE	365	1,262	18	1,645	22.2%	76.7%	R+54.5
Precinct -B3B3	935	648	27	1,610	58.1%	40.2%	D+17.8
Precinct -B1B1	891	512	26	1,429	62.4%	35.8%	D+26.5
Precinct -TC7TC7	413	992	13	1,418	29.1%	70.0%	R+40.8
Precinct -LRLR	477	868	34	1,379	34.6%	62.9%	R+28.4
Precinct -WCWC	689	676	13	1,378	50.0%	49.1%	D+0.9
Precinct -B4B4	785	439	29	1,253	62.6%	35.0%	D+27.6
Precinct -B2B2	690	499	18	1,207	57.2%	41.3%	D+15.8
Precinct -PFPF	357	557	13	927	38.5%	60.1%	R+21.6
Precinct -EFEF	387	475	7	869	44.5%	54.7%	R+10.1
Precinct -CMCM	365	353	6	724	50.4%	48.8%	D+1.7
Precinct -TC1TC1	113	571	16	700	16.1%	81.6%	R+65.4

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+1.1%
1896	−3.4%
1900	−8.1%
1904	+2.8%
1908	−3.5%
1912	+41.1%
1916	−1.2%
1920	−4.3%
1924	−1.1%
1928	−11.4%
1932	+20.2%
1936	+17.4%
1940	+24.3%
1944	+14.6%
1948	+1.8%
1952	−5.3%
1956	−6.4%
1960	−10.9%
1964	+11.7%
1968	−21.2%
1972	−42.1%
1976	+6.2%
1980	−8.9%
1984	−30.1%
1988	−24.1%
1992	−6.6%
1996	−14.7%
2000	−27.9%
2004	−21.1%
2008	−12.6%
2012	−16.8%
2016	−22.2%
2020	−15.6%
2024	−12.1%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	43.2%Harris8,972	55.3%Trump11,492	0.5%Stein98	R+12.1	D+3.5	R+10.7	20,780
2020	R	41.4%Biden8,444	57.0%Trump11,636	0.9%Jorgensen180	R+15.6	D+6.5	R+20.1	20,404
2016	R	36.7%Clinton6,558	58.9%Trump10,520	2.7%Johnson489	R+22.2	R+5.4	R+24.3	17,869
2012	R	40.7%Obama6,826	57.5%Romney9,634	1.8%	R+16.8	R+4.2	R+20.6	16,763
2008	R	43.0%Obama7,275	55.6%McCain9,401	1.4%	R+12.6	D+8.5	R+19.8	16,909
2004	R	39.1%Kerry6,097	60.2%Bush9,386	0.7%	R+21.1	D+6.8	R+18.6	15,588
2000	R	35.5%Gore5,044	63.3%Bush9,011	1.2%	R+27.9	R+13.2	R+28.4	14,225
1996	R	37.6%Clinton4,842	52.3%Dole6,734	9.2%Perot1,183	R+14.7	R+8.1	R+23.2	12,877
1992	R	39.0%Clinton5,120	45.6%Bush5,984	15.3%Perot2,006	R+6.6	D+17.5	R+12.1	13,137
1988	R	37.8%Dukakis4,280	61.9%Bush7,009	0.4%	R+24.1	D+6.0	R+16.4	11,330
1984	R	34.8%Mondale3,733	64.9%Reagan6,956	0.3%	R+30.1	R+21.2	R+11.9	10,717
1980	R	43.7%Carter4,008	52.6%Reagan4,826	3.7%	R+8.9	R+15.1	D+0.8	9,175
1976	D	52.7%Carter4,636	46.5%Ford4,089	0.8%	D+6.2	D+48.3	D+4.2	8,791
1972	R	27.6%McGovern2,321	69.7%Nixon5,860	2.7%	R+42.1	R+20.9	R+19.0	8,404
1968	R	25.7%Humphrey2,210	46.9%Nixon4,033	27.5%	R+21.2	R+32.8	R+20.5	8,608
1964	D	55.8%Johnson4,483	44.2%Goldwater3,547	0.0%	D+11.7	D+22.6	R+10.9	8,030
1960	R	44.5%Kennedy3,388	55.5%Nixon4,221	0.0%	R+10.9	R+4.6	R+11.1	7,609
1956	R	46.8%Stevenson3,435	53.2%Eisenhower3,901	0.0%	R+6.4	R+1.1	D+9.0	7,336
1952	R	47.4%Stevenson3,641	52.6%Eisenhower4,047	0.0%	R+5.3	R+7.1	D+5.5	7,688
1948	D	48.3%Truman2,975	46.4%Dewey2,861	5.3%	D+1.8	R+12.7	R+2.6	6,163
1944	D	57.3%Roosevelt3,019	42.7%Dewey2,251	0.0%	D+14.6	R+9.7	D+7.1	5,270
1940	D	62.1%Roosevelt3,312	37.9%Willkie2,019	0.0%	D+24.3	D+6.8	D+14.3	5,331
1936	D	58.7%Roosevelt2,845	41.3%Landon2,001	0.0%	D+17.4	R+2.8	R+6.8	4,846
1932	D	59.8%Roosevelt2,523	39.6%Hoover1,671	0.5%	D+20.2	D+31.6	D+2.4	4,216
1928	R	44.3%Smith1,722	55.7%Hoover2,165	0.0%	R+11.4	R+10.3	D+6.1	3,887
1924	R	49.2%Davis1,776	50.2%Coolidge1,814	0.6%La Follette22	R+1.1	D+3.2	D+24.1	3,612
1920	R	47.9%Cox1,542	52.1%Harding1,680	0.0%	R+4.3	R+3.1	D+21.9	3,222
1916	R	49.4%Wilson821	50.6%Hughes841	0.0%	R+1.2	R+42.3	R+4.3	1,662
1912	D	49.5%Wilson631	8.4%Taft107	42.2%	D+41.1	D+44.5	D+21.5	1,276
1908	R	48.3%Bryan570	51.7%Taft611	0.0%	R+3.5	R+6.2	D+6.1	1,181
1904	D	51.4%Parker556	48.6%Roosevelt526	0.0%	D+2.8	D+10.8	D+22.4	1,082
1900	R	45.8%Bryan529	53.9%McKinley622	0.3%	R+8.1	R+4.7	R+0.5	1,154
1896	R	48.1%Bryan595	51.5%McKinley637	0.3%	R+3.4	R+4.5	D+2.7	1,236
1892	D	49.6%Cleveland513	48.5%Harrison502	1.9%	D+1.1	—	R+0.6	1,035
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	40.8%8,393	59.2%12,177	20,570
2020	R	42.1%8,248	57.9%11,321	19,569
2018	R	42.2%6,516	57.8%8,912	15,428

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	42.5%6,867	54.7%8,832	16,161
2020Class II	R	40.4%Cal Cunningham8,158	55.5%Thom Tillis11,209	20,205
2016Class III	R	38.2%Deborah Ross6,749	57.9%Richard M. Burr10,221	17,665
2014Class II	R	41.8%Kay Hagan5,479	53.0%Thom Tillis6,945	13,108
2010Class III	R	39.4%Elaine Marshall4,867	58.1%Richard M. Burr7,181	12,364
2008Class II	R	47.1%Kay Hagan7,919	48.9%Elizabeth Dole8,219	16,818
2004Class III	R	42.0%Erskine Bowles6,421	56.2%Richard M. Burr8,586	15,284
2002Class II	R	42.5%Erskine Bowles4,862	56.1%Elizabeth Dole6,416	11,435
1998Class III	R	46.4%John Edwards5,324	51.0%Lauch Faircloth5,863	11,485
1996Class II	R	44.1%Harvey B. Gannt5,642	53.3%Jesse Helms6,826	12,796
1992Class III	R	42.7%Terry Sanford5,483	54.0%Lauch Faircloth6,940	12,848
1990Class II	R	45.9%Harvey B. Gannt4,813	54.0%Jesse Helms5,659	10,476
1986Class III	R	47.6%Terry Sanford4,174	52.4%James Broyhill4,591	8,765
1984Class II	R	45.6%James B. Hunt Jr.4,926	53.7%Jesse Helms5,802	10,809
1980Class III	R	46.3%Robert B. Morgan4,076	52.7%John P. East4,646	8,811
1978Class II	R	48.5%John Ingram3,046	51.5%Jesse Helms3,234	6,280
1974Class III	D	57.6%Robert B. Morgan3,282	40.2%William E. Stevens2,292	5,702
1972Class II	R	48.7%Nick Galifianakis3,979	51.3%Jesse Helms4,199	8,178
1968Class III	D	57.2%Sam J. Ervin4,761	42.8%Robert V. Somers3,568	8,329
1966Class II	D	53.9%B. Everett Jordan3,784	46.1%John S. Shallcross3,232	7,016
1962Class III	D	55.6%Sam J. Ervin3,622	44.4%Claude L. Greene Jr.2,893	6,515
1960Class II	D	55.0%B. Everett Jordan4,115	45.0%Kyle Hayes3,365	7,480
1956Class III	D	56.0%Sam J. Ervin4,103	44.0%Joel A. Johnson3,227	7,330
1954Class II	D	57.8%W. Kerr Scott3,656	42.2%Paul C. West2,666	6,322
1950Class III	D	55.3%Clyde R. Hoey3,153	44.7%Halsey B. Leavitt2,551	5,704
1948Class II	D	56.0%J. Melville Broughton3,459	44.0%John A. Wilkinson2,720	6,179
1944Class III	D	58.3%Clyde R. Hoey3,043	41.7%A.I. Ferree2,174	5,217
1942Class II	D	68.8%Josiah W. Bailey2,629	31.2%Sam J. Morris1,191	3,820
1938Class III	D	58.4%Robert R. Reynolds2,644	41.6%Charles A. Jonas1,883	4,527
1936Class II	D	58.9%Josiah W. Bailey2,848	41.1%Frank R. Patton1,991	4,839
1932Class III	D	58.1%Robert R. Reynolds2,489	41.9%Jake F. Newell1,797	4,286
1930Class II	D	54.4%Josiah W. Bailey2,383	45.6%George M. Pritchard1,999	4,382
1926Class III	D	50.1%Lee S. Overman1,919	49.9%Johnson J. Hayes1,908	3,827
1924Class II	D	50.9%Furnifold Simmons1,837	49.1%A.A. Whitener1,770	3,607
1920Class III	R	48.2%Lee S. Overman1,549	51.8%A.E. Holton1,664	3,213
1918Class II	D	51.7%Furnifold Simmons790	48.3%John M. Morehead737	1,527
1914Class III	R	49.9%Lee S. Overman693	50.1%A.A. Whitener697	1,390

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1958Special · Class II	D	62.1%B. Everett Jordan3,388	37.9%Richard C. Clarke Jr.2,066	5,454
1954Special · Class III	—	0.0%Sam J. Ervin0	0.0%None0	3,642
1950Special · Class II	D	54.2%Willis Smith3,025	45.8%E.L. Gavin2,557	5,582

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	51.3%Josh Stein10,483	44.2%Mark Robinson9,024	20,432
2020	R	45.4%Roy Cooper9,226	53.1%Dan Forest10,800	20,325
2016	R	43.0%Roy Cooper7,598	54.0%Pat McCrory9,549	17,676
2012	R	37.5%Walter Dalton6,205	59.7%Pat McCrory9,879	16,554
2008	R	46.9%Bev Perdue7,844	49.2%Pat McCrory8,230	16,735
2004	D	49.1%Mike Easley7,538	48.9%Patrick Ballantine7,506	15,345
2000	R	39.1%Mike Easley5,557	57.9%Richard Vinroot8,219	14,200
1996	R	46.0%Jim Hunt5,931	52.0%Robin Hayes6,709	12,893
1992	R	48.1%Jim Hunt6,195	48.7%Jim Gardner6,269	12,885
1988	R	40.0%Robert B. Jordan4,578	60.0%James G. Martin6,858	11,436
1984	R	42.8%Rufus L. Edmisten4,626	56.9%James G. Martin6,151	10,811
1980	D	56.6%Jim Hunt5,205	42.1%I. Beverly Lake3,876	9,201
1976	D	60.4%Jim Hunt5,396	38.7%David Flaherty3,454	8,932

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024R+11.3

Presidential vote · 2024R+12.1

Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.8 points.

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Transylvania County, NC
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2008	23,460	8,133	8,718	6,601	8
2012	24,320	7,684	8,473	8,098	65
2016	25,563	7,061	8,283	10,103	116
2020	26,569	6,358	8,705	11,340	166
2022	26,608	5,988	8,540	11,925	155
2024	27,254	5,740	8,824	12,488	202

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+129 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +4,290 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $91,962 in average income, against $79,361 for residents who stayed — 16% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+1.0 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Transylvania County, NC itself (R+12.1).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Henderson County, NC132R+14.5
Buncombe County, NC99D+24.7
Greenville County, SC28R+22.2
Jackson County, NC21R+9.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Henderson County, NC142
Buncombe County, NC92
Greenville County, SC30
Spartanburg County, SC24
Jackson County, NC22

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Transylvania County, NC in Transylvania County, NC: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−132
2012	+153
2013	+178
2014	+218
2015	+315
2016	+379
2017	+573
2018	+529
2019	+349
2021	+498
2022	+311
2023	+432
2024	+358
2025	+129

Transylvania County sits in the southwestern Blue Ridge, where a small but growing influx of retirees and remote workers has gradually narrowed its Republican presidential margins over the past decade, even as the 2024 result landed at R+12.1.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 42.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.1 points.

A population of 33,691, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,184 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Polk County and Henderson County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Polk County

North Carolina

87.8twin score

median agecollege share12-yr trend

Henderson County

North Carolina

86.1twin score

12-yr trend2024 margincollege share

Archuleta County

Colorado

80.3twin score

12-yr trendmedian agecollege share≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Transylvania County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37175/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/37175/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Transylvania County, NC — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Cities & towns in Transylvania County

Brevard

D+19

7.9K residents

North Carolina at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Transylvania County, North Carolina vote in 2024?

In 2024, Transylvania County, North Carolina voted Republican by 12.1 points (R+12.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,780 votes cast, 8,972 went Democratic and 11,492 went Republican.

When did Transylvania County, North Carolina last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Transylvania County, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Transylvania County, North Carolina?

Transylvania County, North Carolina has a population of 33,691 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Transylvania County, North Carolina?

Median household income in Transylvania County, North Carolina is $66,184 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.

What is the political history of Transylvania County, North Carolina?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Transylvania County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.

Measure

Transylvania County

North Carolina

United States

Median age

51.6

39.5

39.1

Age 18–24

7.4%

9.5%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

30.9%

17.2%

Measure

Transylvania County

North Carolina

United States

Median household income

$66,184

$72,388

$84,427

Poverty rate

13.2%

13.1%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

40.0%

35.8%

35.6%

Measure

Transylvania County

North Carolina

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

2.9%

13.5%

22.3%

Spanish

1.8%

8.7%

13.6%

Measure

Transylvania County

North Carolina

United States

Catholic

6.5%

8.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

34.8%

26.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

46.2%

48.0%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

9.2%

9.1%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+12.1MIT Election Lab

Population

33,6912024 5-year

Median household income

$66,1842024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

87.6%2024 5-year

Black

3.6%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

5.2%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+41.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+42.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Polk County, NC · twin score 87.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

17,869

26,834

66.6%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

15,693

27,373

57.3%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

20,493

28,159

72.8%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

16,641

27,521

60.5%

C/A

2024 · Presidential

21,083

27,735

76.0%

A/A

Transylvania County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -DRDR

1,178

985

2,196

53.6%

44.9%

D+8.8

Precinct -BDBD

739

1,359

2,133

34.6%

63.7%

R+29.1

Precinct -CCCC

588

1,296

1,912

30.8%

67.8%

R+37.0

Precinct -RERE

365

1,262

1,645

22.2%

76.7%

R+54.5

Precinct -B3B3

935

648

1,610

58.1%

40.2%

D+17.8

Precinct -B1B1

891

512

1,429

62.4%

35.8%

D+26.5

Precinct -TC7TC7

413

992

1,418

29.1%

70.0%

R+40.8

Precinct -LRLR

477

868

1,379

34.6%

62.9%

R+28.4

Precinct -WCWC

689

676

1,378

50.0%

49.1%

D+0.9

Precinct -B4B4

785

439

1,253

62.6%

35.0%

D+27.6

Precinct -B2B2

690

499

1,207

57.2%

41.3%

D+15.8

Precinct -PFPF

357

557

927

38.5%

60.1%

R+21.6

Precinct -EFEF

387

475

869

44.5%

54.7%

R+10.1

Precinct -CMCM

365

353

724

50.4%

48.8%

D+1.7

Precinct -TC1TC1

113

571

700

16.1%

81.6%

R+65.4

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+1.1%
1896	−3.4%
1900	−8.1%
1904	+2.8%
1908	−3.5%
1912	+41.1%
1916	−1.2%
1920	−4.3%
1924	−1.1%
1928	−11.4%
1932	+20.2%
1936	+17.4%
1940	+24.3%
1944	+14.6%
1948	+1.8%
1952	−5.3%
1956	−6.4%
1960	−10.9%
1964	+11.7%
1968	−21.2%
1972	−42.1%
1976	+6.2%
1980	−8.9%
1984	−30.1%
1988	−24.1%
1992	−6.6%
1996	−14.7%
2000	−27.9%
2004	−21.1%
2008	−12.6%
2012	−16.8%
2016	−22.2%
2020	−15.6%
2024	−12.1%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

43.2%Harris8,972

55.3%Trump11,492

0.5%Stein98

R+12.1

D+3.5

R+10.7

20,780

2020

41.4%Biden8,444

57.0%Trump11,636

0.9%Jorgensen180

R+15.6

D+6.5

R+20.1

20,404

2016

36.7%Clinton6,558

58.9%Trump10,520

2.7%Johnson489

R+22.2

R+5.4

R+24.3

17,869

2012

40.7%Obama6,826

57.5%Romney9,634

1.8%

R+16.8

R+4.2

R+20.6

16,763

2008

43.0%Obama7,275

55.6%McCain9,401

1.4%

R+12.6

D+8.5

R+19.8

16,909

2004

39.1%Kerry6,097

60.2%Bush9,386

0.7%

R+21.1

D+6.8

R+18.6

15,588

2000

35.5%Gore5,044

63.3%Bush9,011

1.2%

R+27.9

R+13.2

R+28.4

14,225

1996

37.6%Clinton4,842

52.3%Dole6,734

9.2%Perot1,183

R+14.7

R+8.1

R+23.2

12,877

1992

39.0%Clinton5,120

45.6%Bush5,984

15.3%Perot2,006

R+6.6

D+17.5

R+12.1

13,137

1988

37.8%Dukakis4,280

61.9%Bush7,009

0.4%

R+24.1

D+6.0

R+16.4

11,330

1984

34.8%Mondale3,733

64.9%Reagan6,956

0.3%

R+30.1

R+21.2

R+11.9

10,717

1980

43.7%Carter4,008

52.6%Reagan4,826

3.7%

R+8.9

R+15.1

D+0.8

9,175

1976

52.7%Carter4,636

46.5%Ford4,089

0.8%

D+6.2

D+48.3

D+4.2

8,791

1972

27.6%McGovern2,321

69.7%Nixon5,860

2.7%

R+42.1

R+20.9

R+19.0

8,404

1968

25.7%Humphrey2,210

46.9%Nixon4,033

27.5%

R+21.2

R+32.8

R+20.5

8,608

1964

55.8%Johnson4,483

44.2%Goldwater3,547

0.0%

D+11.7

D+22.6

R+10.9

8,030

1960

44.5%Kennedy3,388

55.5%Nixon4,221

0.0%

R+10.9

R+4.6

R+11.1

7,609

1956

46.8%Stevenson3,435

53.2%Eisenhower3,901

0.0%

R+6.4

R+1.1

D+9.0

7,336

1952

47.4%Stevenson3,641

52.6%Eisenhower4,047

0.0%

R+5.3

R+7.1

D+5.5

7,688

1948

48.3%Truman2,975

46.4%Dewey2,861

5.3%

D+1.8

R+12.7

R+2.6

6,163

1944

57.3%Roosevelt3,019

42.7%Dewey2,251

0.0%

D+14.6

R+9.7

D+7.1

5,270

1940

62.1%Roosevelt3,312

37.9%Willkie2,019

0.0%

D+24.3

D+6.8

D+14.3

5,331

1936

58.7%Roosevelt2,845

41.3%Landon2,001

0.0%

D+17.4

R+2.8

R+6.8

4,846

1932

59.8%Roosevelt2,523

39.6%Hoover1,671

0.5%

D+20.2

D+31.6

D+2.4

4,216

1928

44.3%Smith1,722

55.7%Hoover2,165

0.0%

R+11.4

R+10.3

D+6.1

3,887

1924

49.2%Davis1,776

50.2%Coolidge1,814

0.6%La Follette22

R+1.1

D+3.2

D+24.1

3,612

1920

47.9%Cox1,542

52.1%Harding1,680

0.0%

R+4.3

R+3.1

D+21.9

3,222

1916

49.4%Wilson821

50.6%Hughes841

0.0%

R+1.2

R+42.3

R+4.3

1,662

1912

49.5%Wilson631

8.4%Taft107

42.2%

D+41.1

D+44.5

D+21.5

1,276

1908

48.3%Bryan570

51.7%Taft611

0.0%

R+3.5

R+6.2

D+6.1

1,181

1904

51.4%Parker556

48.6%Roosevelt526

0.0%

D+2.8

D+10.8

D+22.4

1,082

1900

45.8%Bryan529

53.9%McKinley622

0.3%

R+8.1

R+4.7

R+0.5

1,154

1896

48.1%Bryan595

51.5%McKinley637

0.3%

R+3.4

R+4.5

D+2.7

1,236

1892

49.6%Cleveland513

48.5%Harrison502

1.9%

D+1.1

—

R+0.6

1,035

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

40.8%8,393

59.2%12,177

20,570

2020

42.1%8,248

57.9%11,321

19,569

2018

42.2%6,516

57.8%8,912

15,428

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

42.5%6,867

54.7%8,832

16,161

2020Class II

40.4%Cal Cunningham8,158

55.5%Thom Tillis11,209

20,205

2016Class III

38.2%Deborah Ross6,749

57.9%Richard M. Burr10,221

17,665

2014Class II

41.8%Kay Hagan5,479

53.0%Thom Tillis6,945

13,108

2010Class III

39.4%Elaine Marshall4,867

58.1%Richard M. Burr7,181

12,364

2008Class II

47.1%Kay Hagan7,919

48.9%Elizabeth Dole8,219

16,818

2004Class III

42.0%Erskine Bowles6,421

56.2%Richard M. Burr8,586

15,284

2002Class II

42.5%Erskine Bowles4,862

56.1%Elizabeth Dole6,416

11,435

1998Class III

46.4%John Edwards5,324

51.0%Lauch Faircloth5,863

11,485

1996Class II

44.1%Harvey B. Gannt5,642

53.3%Jesse Helms6,826

12,796

1992Class III

42.7%Terry Sanford5,483

54.0%Lauch Faircloth6,940

12,848

1990Class II

45.9%Harvey B. Gannt4,813

54.0%Jesse Helms5,659

10,476

1986Class III

47.6%Terry Sanford4,174

52.4%James Broyhill4,591

8,765

1984Class II

45.6%James B. Hunt Jr.4,926

53.7%Jesse Helms5,802

10,809

1980Class III

46.3%Robert B. Morgan4,076

52.7%John P. East4,646

8,811

1978Class II

48.5%John Ingram3,046

51.5%Jesse Helms3,234

6,280

1974Class III

57.6%Robert B. Morgan3,282

40.2%William E. Stevens2,292

5,702

1972Class II

48.7%Nick Galifianakis3,979

51.3%Jesse Helms4,199

8,178

1968Class III

57.2%Sam J. Ervin4,761

42.8%Robert V. Somers3,568

8,329

1966Class II

53.9%B. Everett Jordan3,784

46.1%John S. Shallcross3,232

7,016

1962Class III

55.6%Sam J. Ervin3,622

44.4%Claude L. Greene Jr.2,893

6,515

1960Class II

55.0%B. Everett Jordan4,115

45.0%Kyle Hayes3,365

7,480

1956Class III

56.0%Sam J. Ervin4,103

44.0%Joel A. Johnson3,227

7,330

1954Class II

57.8%W. Kerr Scott3,656

42.2%Paul C. West2,666

6,322

1950Class III

55.3%Clyde R. Hoey3,153

44.7%Halsey B. Leavitt2,551

5,704

1948Class II

56.0%J. Melville Broughton3,459

44.0%John A. Wilkinson2,720

6,179

1944Class III

58.3%Clyde R. Hoey3,043

41.7%A.I. Ferree2,174

5,217

1942Class II

68.8%Josiah W. Bailey2,629

31.2%Sam J. Morris1,191

3,820

1938Class III

58.4%Robert R. Reynolds2,644

41.6%Charles A. Jonas1,883

4,527

1936Class II

58.9%Josiah W. Bailey2,848

41.1%Frank R. Patton1,991

4,839

1932Class III

58.1%Robert R. Reynolds2,489

41.9%Jake F. Newell1,797

4,286

1930Class II

54.4%Josiah W. Bailey2,383

45.6%George M. Pritchard1,999

4,382

1926Class III

50.1%Lee S. Overman1,919

49.9%Johnson J. Hayes1,908

3,827

1924Class II

50.9%Furnifold Simmons1,837

49.1%A.A. Whitener1,770

3,607

1920Class III

48.2%Lee S. Overman1,549

51.8%A.E. Holton1,664

3,213

1918Class II

51.7%Furnifold Simmons790

48.3%John M. Morehead737

1,527

1914Class III

49.9%Lee S. Overman693

50.1%A.A. Whitener697

1,390

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1958Special · Class II

62.1%B. Everett Jordan3,388

37.9%Richard C. Clarke Jr.2,066

5,454

1954Special · Class III

—

0.0%Sam J. Ervin0

0.0%None0

3,642

1950Special · Class II

54.2%Willis Smith3,025

45.8%E.L. Gavin2,557

5,582

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

51.3%Josh Stein10,483

44.2%Mark Robinson9,024

20,432

2020

45.4%Roy Cooper9,226

53.1%Dan Forest10,800

20,325

2016

43.0%Roy Cooper7,598

54.0%Pat McCrory9,549

17,676

2012

37.5%Walter Dalton6,205

59.7%Pat McCrory9,879

16,554

2008

46.9%Bev Perdue7,844

49.2%Pat McCrory8,230

16,735

2004

49.1%Mike Easley7,538

48.9%Patrick Ballantine7,506

15,345

2000

39.1%Mike Easley5,557

57.9%Richard Vinroot8,219

14,200

1996

46.0%Jim Hunt5,931

52.0%Robin Hayes6,709

12,893

1992

48.1%Jim Hunt6,195

48.7%Jim Gardner6,269

12,885

1988

40.0%Robert B. Jordan4,578

60.0%James G. Martin6,858

11,436

1984

42.8%Rufus L. Edmisten4,626

56.9%James G. Martin6,151

10,811

1980

56.6%Jim Hunt5,205

42.1%I. Beverly Lake3,876

9,201

1976

60.4%Jim Hunt5,396

38.7%David Flaherty3,454

8,932