Lenoir County, North Carolina: Democratic loyalist county. In 2024, voted R+7%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 54,9192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $45,1432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 39.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lee County, NC · similarity 0.92
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,700 | 14,564 | 27,503 | ||
| R | 13,605 | 14,590 | 28,409 | ||
| R | 12,634 | 13,613 | 26,807 | ||
| R | 13,948 | 13,980 | 28,086 | ||
| R | 13,378 | 13,401 | 26,897 | ||
| R | 10,207 | 12,939 | 23,179 | ||
| D | 11,512 | 9,527 | 21,163 | ||
| R | 8,635 | 9,433 | 18,925 | ||
| R | 8,793 | 8,932 | 19,842 | ||
| R | 7,649 | 10,669 | 18,353 | ||
| R | 8,556 | 13,321 | 21,914 | ||
| R | 7,546 | 9,832 | 17,714 | ||
| R | 7,650 | 7,715 | 15,474 | ||
| R | 3,672 | 11,065 | 14,975 | ||
| O | 3,853 | 3,844 | 15,733 | ||
| D | 7,617 | 5,617 | 13,234 | ||
| D | 8,126 | 3,658 | 11,784 | ||
| D | 6,847 | 2,564 | 9,411 | ||
| D | 6,723 | 2,233 | 8,956 | ||
| D | 5,445 | 515 | 6,150 | ||
| D | 5,253 | 554 | 5,807 | ||
| D | 6,247 | 440 | 6,687 | ||
| D | 5,854 | 351 | 6,205 | ||
| D | 4,677 | 350 | 5,051 | ||
| D | 2,363 | 1,311 | 3,674 | ||
| D | 2,191 | 514 | 2,730 | ||
| D | 2,560 | 1,153 | 3,713 | ||
| D | 1,666 | 667 | 2,335 | ||
| D | 1,568 | 122 | 2,037 | ||
| D | 1,393 | 966 | 2,362 | ||
| D | 1,386 | 674 | 2,061 | ||
| D | 1,942 | 1,224 | 3,166 | ||
| D | 1,966 | 1,410 | 3,378 | ||
| D | 1,388 | 957 | 2,800 | ||
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Demographics
Lenoir County's population has declined roughly 15% over two decades as manufacturing contracted, and its electorate — once reliably Democratic in statewide races — has shifted toward Republicans in each of the last four presidential cycles.
The Democratic margin in Lenoir County reached its widest at eighty-nine points in 1936. The margin in 2024 was seven points — a notable narrowing.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $45,143, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 54,919 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lee County and Alamance County.
Lenoir County, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/37107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
