- Lead
- 4,794
- Total
- 41,416
- vs nation
- R+10.1
North Carolina 12th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,110
- Total
- 42,687
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Lead
- 2,657
- Total
- 40,037
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Lead
- 1,150
- Total
- 41,552
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Lead
- 938
- Total
- 40,227
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 4,581
- Total
- 34,164
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Lead
- 3,152
- Total
- 30,997
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Lead
- 1,116
- Total
- 27,838
- vs nation
- R+12.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,7452024 5-year
- Population density
- 75 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,137 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,2752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 37.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88.3 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 151, GA · twin score 93.9
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 12th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
94.1%
10,514 votes · D+88.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 93.4%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
72.2%
15,503 votes · R+46.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 58.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
20,078votes
48.3% of the vote · R+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 19,634 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,938votes
55.4% of the vote · R+11.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 22,744 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+88.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+63.7 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +79.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+22.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.1 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +12.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+11.6, against R+2.3 in 2008. About 84,700 residents lived here, with White alone at 50.7% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 46.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 84,745, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,275 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 151 and State House District 24.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 12th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/37012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.