HarrisDemocratic40.0%10,074TrumpRepublican58.7%14,792OliverLibertarian0.5%121
R+18.7- Lead
- 4,718
- Total
- 25,196
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- 84.3%
Akashiccounty
Dare County, NC
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 84.3% of 30,213 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.0%9,936TrumpRepublican57.5%13,938JorgensenLibertarian0.9%223
R+16.5- Lead
- 4,002
- Total
- 24,232
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- 84.3%
ClintonDemocratic36.8%7,222TrumpRepublican58.4%11,460JohnsonLibertarian3.4%674
R+21.6- Lead
- 4,238
- Total
- 19,609
- vs nation
- R+23.7
- Turnout
- 72.4%
ObamaDemocratic41.1%7,393RomneyRepublican57.0%10,248OtherAll other candidates1.9%333
R+15.9- Lead
- 2,855
- Total
- 17,974
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.7%8,074McCainRepublican54.0%9,745OtherAll other candidates1.3%229
R+9.3- Lead
- 1,671
- Total
- 18,048
- vs nation
- R+16.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic39.5%6,136BushRepublican60.1%9,345OtherAll other candidates0.4%67
R+20.6- Lead
- 3,209
- Total
- 15,548
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.0%5,589BushRepublican56.2%7,301OtherAll other candidates0.9%112
R+13.2- Lead
- 1,712
- Total
- 13,002
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic41.8%4,522DoleRepublican46.0%4,977PerotReform11.6%1,258
R+4.2- Lead
- 455
- Total
- 10,820
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,8752024 5-year
- Population density
- 99 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 383 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,9942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.8 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clarke County, VA · twin score 83.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 84.3%25,479 participants ÷ 30,213 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.4%–67.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,609 | 27,072 | 72.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 16,559 | 27,770 | 59.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,299 | 28,824 | 84.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,355 | 29,420 | 62.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,479 | 30,213 | 84.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Dare County, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
79.4%
1,214 votes · D+58.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 78.9%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
75.2%
1,986 votes · R+51.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 71.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
10,074votes
40.0% of the vote · R+18.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 9,936 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
14,792votes
58.7% of the vote · R+18.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,938 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1944
+50.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.7 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +48.8 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+28.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.2 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · +25.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+13.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+18.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 5.8 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 26,812 | 10,648 | 7,928 | 8,218 | 18 |
| 2012 | 28,287 | 10,258 | 8,433 | 9,484 | 112 |
| 2016 | 29,550 | 9,286 | 8,905 | 11,163 | 196 |
| 2020 | 30,227 | 7,880 | 10,167 | 11,931 | 249 |
| 2022 | 31,928 | 7,632 | 10,982 | 13,063 | 251 |
| 2024 | 34,280 | 7,475 | 11,918 | 14,542 | 345 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+92 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,946 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $92,935 in average income, against $98,926 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.9 on average — 9.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Dare County, NC itself (R+18.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Currituck County, NC87R+47.8
- Chesapeake city, VA48D+3.8
- Virginia Beach city, VA45D+2.6
- Wake County, NC30D+25.4
- Fairfax County, VA28D+34.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Currituck County, NC134
- Wake County, NC51
- Pasquotank County, NC38
- Virginia Beach city, VA34
- Pitt County, NC26
- Chesapeake city, VA26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +133 |
| 2012 | +139 |
| 2013 | +339 |
| 2014 | +29 |
| 2015 | +453 |
| 2016 | +324 |
| 2017 | +363 |
| 2018 | +405 |
| 2019 | +390 |
| 2021 | +970 |
| 2022 | +128 |
| 2023 | +138 |
| 2024 | +43 |
| 2025 | +92 |
Dare County's permanent population of roughly 30,000 swells each summer with coastal visitors, but its electorate has leaned Republican by double digits in recent presidential cycles, reflecting a pattern common to low-density coastal resort communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.8 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 51.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.7 points.
A population of 37,875, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,994 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clarke County and James City County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Clarke County
Virginia
83.9twin score
12-yr trendcollege sharemedian age≠ median income
James City County
Virginia
83.0twin score
college sharemedian ageEnglish ancestry≠ 12-yr trend
Talbot County
Maryland
82.6twin score
college sharemedian agemedian income≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dare County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Dare County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dare County, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dare County, North Carolina voted Republican by 18.7 points (R+18.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 25,196 votes cast, 10,074 went Democratic and 14,792 went Republican.
When did Dare County, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dare County, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Dare County, North Carolina?
Dare County, North Carolina has a population of 37,875 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dare County, North Carolina?
Median household income in Dare County, North Carolina is $88,994 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Dare County, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dare County, North Carolina from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.