Akashic

county

Clarke County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German18.2%10.1%12.5%

English15.1%12.0%9.5%

Irish14.5%9.1%9.4%

American13.4%8.4%5.3%

Italian4.6%3.9%4.8%

Scottish2.5%1.9%1.3%

Polish1.6%1.6%2.2%

Scotch-Irish1.6%——

Mexican4.1%2.4%11.3%

Salvadoran2.1%2.1%0.7%

Puerto Rican0.6%1.4%1.8%

Bolivian0.5%0.4%—

Guatemalan0.2%0.7%0.5%

African American†5.4%15.6%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Clarke County	Virginia	United States
Median age	48.4	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	6.8%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.9%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Clarke County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$117,111	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	7.0%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	39.8%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Clarke County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	9.9%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	6.0%	7.9%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.8%	0.3%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	Clarke County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	9.4%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.6%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	61.8%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	17.9%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 83.5% of 11,858 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic40.6%3,993TrumpRepublican57.3%5,641OliverLibertarian0.7%73

R+16.7

Lead: 1,648
Total: 9,839
vs nation: R+15.3
Turnout: 83.5%

BidenDemocratic42.0%3,920TrumpRepublican55.6%5,192JorgensenLibertarian1.9%178

R+13.6

Lead: 1,272
Total: 9,337
vs nation: R+18.1
Turnout: 82.1%

ClintonDemocratic37.1%3,051TrumpRepublican56.8%4,661JohnsonLibertarian3.2%261

R+19.6

Lead: 1,610
Total: 8,213
vs nation: R+21.7
Turnout: 75.3%

ObamaDemocratic41.7%3,239RomneyRepublican55.3%4,296OtherAll other candidates2.9%227

R+13.6

Lead: 1,057
Total: 7,762
vs nation: R+17.5
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic46.5%3,457McCainRepublican51.7%3,840OtherAll other candidates1.8%134

R+5.2

Lead: 383
Total: 7,431
vs nation: R+12.4
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic41.5%2,699BushRepublican57.5%3,741OtherAll other candidates1.0%65

R+16.0

Lead: 1,042
Total: 6,505
vs nation: R+13.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic41.0%2,166BushRepublican54.6%2,883NaderGreen3.7%195

R+13.6

Lead: 717
Total: 5,284
vs nation: R+14.1
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic41.7%1,906DoleRepublican48.2%2,201PerotReform8.3%379

R+6.5

Lead: 295
Total: 4,569
vs nation: R+15.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+16.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 15,2162024 5-year
Median household income: $117,1112024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 82.0%2024 5-year
Black: 5.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+85.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+41.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Fluvanna County, VA · twin score 84.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 83.5%9,897 participants ÷ 11,858 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +20.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 62.9%–68.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	8,255	10,962	75.3%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	7,246	11,107	65.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	9,376	11,422	82.1%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	7,290	11,843	61.6%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	9,897	11,858	83.5%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

14 precincts · 9,839 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Clarke County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -101 - RUSSELL101 - RUSSELL	725	1,336	38	2,099	34.5%	63.6%	R+29.1
Precinct -401 - WHITE POST401 - WHITE POST	745	1,093	28	1,866	39.9%	58.6%	R+18.6
Precinct -201 - BERRYVILLE201 - BERRYVILLE	875	928	50	1,853	47.2%	50.1%	R+2.9
Precinct -301 - MILLWOOD301 - MILLWOOD	655	876	29	1,560	42.0%	56.2%	R+14.2
Precinct -501 - BUCKMARSH501 - BUCKMARSH	520	769	12	1,301	40.0%	59.1%	R+19.1
Precinct -302 - PINE GROVE302 - PINE GROVE	270	347	29	646	41.8%	53.7%	R+11.9
Precinct -502 - BLUE RIDGE502 - BLUE RIDGE	203	292	19	514	39.5%	56.8%	R+17.3
Berryville51043000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Blue Ridge51043000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckmarsh51043000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Millwood51043000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Pine Grove51043000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Russell51043000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
White Post51043000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+47.6%
1896	+38.3%
1900	+41.6%
1904	+70.5%
1908	+73.6%
1912	+85.2%
1916	+84.5%
1920	+63.5%
1924	+78.4%
1928	+49.8%
1932	+73.7%
1936	+65.0%
1940	+51.4%
1944	+32.4%
1948	+8.5%
1952	−6.1%
1956	−3.7%
1960	+6.9%
1964	+3.1%
1968	−13.6%
1972	−41.9%
1976	−5.9%
1980	−22.0%
1984	−34.9%
1988	−25.5%
1992	−3.9%
1996	−6.5%
2000	−13.6%
2004	−16.0%
2008	−5.2%
2012	−13.6%
2016	−19.6%
2020	−13.6%
2024	−16.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	40.6%Harris3,993	57.3%Trump5,641	0.7%Oliver73 +4	R+16.7	R+3.1	R+15.3	9,839
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican57.3%5,641 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic40.6%3,993 Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%73 OtherAll other candidates0.6%57 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%43 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%16 Cornel R WestIndependent0.2%16
2020	R	42.0%Biden3,920	55.6%Trump5,192	1.9%Jorgensen178	R+13.6	D+6.0	R+18.1	9,337
2016	R	37.1%Clinton3,051	56.8%Trump4,661	3.2%Johnson261	R+19.6	R+6.0	R+21.7	8,213
2012	R	41.7%Obama3,239	55.3%Romney4,296	2.9%	R+13.6	R+8.5	R+17.5	7,762
2008	R	46.5%Obama3,457	51.7%McCain3,840	1.8%	R+5.2	D+10.9	R+12.4	7,431
2004	R	41.5%Kerry2,699	57.5%Bush3,741	1.0%	R+16.0	R+2.4	R+13.6	6,505
2000	R	41.0%Gore2,166	54.6%Bush2,883	3.7%Nader195	R+13.6	R+7.1	R+14.1	5,284
1996	R	41.7%Clinton1,906	48.2%Dole2,201	8.3%Perot379	R+6.5	R+2.5	R+15.0	4,569
1992	R	39.0%Clinton1,811	42.9%Bush1,994	17.3%Perot802	R+3.9	D+21.5	R+9.5	4,648
1988	R	36.8%Dukakis1,478	62.2%Bush2,502	1.0%	R+25.5	D+9.4	R+17.7	4,020
1984	R	32.3%Mondale1,215	67.2%Reagan2,529	0.5%	R+34.9	R+12.9	R+16.7	3,763
1980	R	35.4%Carter1,156	57.4%Reagan1,876	7.2%	R+22.0	R+16.2	R+12.3	3,266
1976	R	45.7%Carter1,276	51.5%Ford1,440	2.8%	R+5.9	D+36.0	R+7.9	2,794
1972	R	27.2%McGovern715	69.1%Nixon1,816	3.7%	R+41.9	R+28.3	R+18.8	2,627
1968	R	29.0%Humphrey768	42.6%Nixon1,127	28.3%	R+13.6	R+16.7	R+12.9	2,644
1964	D	51.5%Johnson1,136	48.4%Goldwater1,068	0.1%	D+3.1	R+3.8	R+19.5	2,206
1960	D	53.2%Kennedy923	46.3%Nixon804	0.5%	D+6.9	D+10.6	D+6.7	1,736
1956	R	45.2%Stevenson725	48.9%Eisenhower785	5.9%	R+3.7	D+2.3	D+11.7	1,605
1952	R	46.8%Stevenson716	52.9%Eisenhower809	0.3%	R+6.1	R+14.5	D+4.7	1,530
1948	D	41.6%Truman482	33.2%Dewey384	25.2%	D+8.5	R+24.0	D+4.0	1,158
1944	D	66.0%Roosevelt816	33.6%Dewey415	0.4%	D+32.4	R+19.0	D+24.9	1,236
1940	D	75.6%Roosevelt1,043	24.1%Willkie333	0.3%	D+51.4	R+13.6	D+41.5	1,380
1936	D	82.4%Roosevelt940	17.4%Landon198	0.3%	D+65.0	R+8.7	D+40.8	1,141
1932	D	86.4%Roosevelt841	12.7%Hoover124	0.8%	D+73.7	D+23.9	D+55.9	973
1928	D	74.9%Smith740	25.1%Hoover248	0.0%	D+49.8	R+28.6	D+67.3	988
1924	D	88.2%Davis687	9.8%Coolidge76	1.9%La Follette15	D+78.4	D+14.9	D+103.6	779
1920	D	79.3%Cox774	15.8%Harding154	4.9%	D+63.5	R+21.0	D+89.7	976
1916	D	92.2%Wilson590	7.7%Hughes49	0.2%	D+84.5	R+0.7	D+81.4	640
1912	D	91.4%Wilson576	6.2%Taft39	2.4%	D+85.2	D+11.7	D+65.7	630
1908	D	85.9%Bryan517	12.3%Taft74	1.8%	D+73.6	D+3.1	D+83.1	602
1904	D	83.0%Parker444	12.5%Roosevelt67	4.5%	D+70.5	D+28.9	D+90.1	535
1900	D	69.7%Bryan1,055	28.2%McKinley426	2.1%	D+41.6	D+3.3	D+49.1	1,513
1896	D	68.4%Bryan1,114	30.1%McKinley490	1.5%	D+38.3	R+9.3	D+44.4	1,629
1892	D	72.0%Cleveland1,208	24.4%Harrison409	3.6%	D+47.6	—	D+46.0	1,678
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	40.8%3,986	59.2%5,774	9,760
2020	D	53.6%3,077	46.4%2,668	5,745
2018	R	42.2%3,037	57.8%4,152	7,189

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	43.3%4,182	56.7%5,487	9,669
2020Class II	R	43.7%Mark Warner4,052	56.2%Daniel Gade5,214	9,274
2018Class I	R	44.7%Tim Kaine3,210	53.5%Corey Stewart3,845	7,186
2014Class II	R	39.1%Mark Warner1,954	57.9%Ed Gillespie2,893	4,993
2012Class I	R	44.6%Tim Kaine3,419	55.2%George Allen4,224	7,659
2008Class II	D	61.3%Mark Warner4,495	37.4%Jim Gilmore2,745	7,337
2006Class I	R	47.2%Jim Webb2,463	51.7%George Allen2,700	5,222
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	81.2%John Warner2,484	3,059
2000Class I	R	43.8%Chuck Robb2,275	56.2%George Allen2,921	5,196
1996Class II	R	44.6%Mark Warner1,951	55.4%John Warner2,424	4,378
1994Class I	R	40.9%Chuck Robb1,625	50.2%Oliver North1,992	3,969
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	79.4%John Warner1,838	2,315
1988Class I	D	76.5%Chuck Robb2,952	23.4%Maurice A. Dawkins903	3,857
1984Class II	R	20.4%Edythe Harrison716	79.6%John Warner2,796	3,512
1982Class I	R	48.2%Dick Davis1,165	51.8%Paul S. Trible1,253	2,418
1978Class II	R	47.7%Andrew Miller1,085	52.3%John Warner1,189	2,275
1976Class I	D	18.4%Elmo Zumwalt500	0.0%None0	2,714
1972Class II	R	46.7%William B. Spong Jr.1,168	51.4%Bill Scott1,286	2,500
1970Class I	D	15.1%George C. Rawlings Jr.307	6.0%Ray Garland123	2,037
1966Class II	D	79.1%William B. Spong Jr.1,267	19.3%James P. Ould Jr.309	1,601
1964Class I	D	78.7%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,449	11.8%Richard A. May218	1,841
1960Class II	D	88.4%A. Willis Robertson1,308	0.0%None0	1,479
1958Class I	D	81.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.975	0.0%None0	1,191
1954Class II	D	88.6%A. Willis Robertson699	0.0%None0	789
1952Class I	D	80.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,135	0.0%None0	1,414
1948Class II	D	83.2%A. Willis Robertson918	16.0%Robert H. Woods176	1,103
1946Class I	D	90.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.786	8.2%Lester S. Parsons71	871
1942Class II	D	97.1%Carter Glass237	0.0%None0	244
1940Class I	D	91.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,128	0.0%None0	1,235
1936Class II	D	95.5%Carter Glass969	3.4%George Rohlson35	1,015
1934Class I	D	95.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.636	3.2%Lawrence C. Page21	663
1930Class II	D	92.5%Carter Glass681	0.0%None0	736
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson978	0.0%None0	978
1924Class II	D	92.4%Carter Glass673	0.7%William Doak5	728
1922Class I	D	93.9%Claude Swanson688	4.8%J.W. McGavock35	733
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin191	0.0%None0	191
1916Class I	D	99.8%Claude Swanson628	0.0%None0	629

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	82.8%Harry F. Byrd Jr.1,375	14.8%Lawrence Traylor246	1,661
1933Special · Class I	D	91.7%Harry F. Byrd Sr.608	8.0%Henry Wise53	663

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	R	44.4%Abigail Spanberger3,389	55.3%Winsome Earle-Sears4,222	7,629
2017	R	43.1%Ralph Northam2,400	55.7%Ed Gillespie3,102	5,572
2013	R	40.8%Terry McAuliffe2,002	52.9%Ken Cuccinelli2,596	4,907
2009	R	36.6%Creigh Deeds1,586	63.3%Bob McDonnell2,744	4,334
2005	R	45.0%Tim Kaine2,225	47.6%Jerry Kilgore2,350	4,942
2001	R	49.3%Mark Warner1,839	49.7%Mark Earley1,851	3,727
1997	R	42.1%Don Beyer1,347	56.3%Jim Gilmore1,800	3,197
1993	R	36.9%Mary Sue Terry1,204	62.7%George Allen2,046	3,265
1989	R	47.4%Douglas Wilder1,394	52.6%Marshall Coleman1,546	2,940
1985	D	55.2%Gerald Baliles1,166	44.8%Wyatt Durrette948	2,114
1981	R	49.9%Chuck Robb1,258	50.0%Marshall Coleman1,261	2,522
1977	R	33.5%Henry Howell716	65.5%John N. Dalton1,399	2,136

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Clarke County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	10,760
2018	11,083
2020	11,686
2022	12,209
2024	12,836

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+20 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +1,800 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $85,021 in average income, against $116,254 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+3.3 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Clarke County, VA itself (R+16.7).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Loudoun County, VA169D+16.2
Frederick County, VA88R+28.3
Fairfax County, VA45D+34.7
Winchester city, VA34D+9.7
Berkeley County, WV26R+35.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Frederick County, VA97
Loudoun County, VA68
Winchester city, VA45
Berkeley County, WV43
Jefferson County, WV35
Warren County, VA20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Clarke County, VA in Clarke County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+197
2012	+88
2013	+27
2014	+62
2015	−53
2016	+75
2017	+191
2018	+95
2019	+130
2021	+178
2022	+400
2023	+150
2024	+240
2025	+20

Clarke County's 12,600 residents occupy the lower Shenandoah Valley, where low population density and agricultural land use correlate with presidential margins that have run consistently Republican by double digits across recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 41.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.7 points.

A population of 15,216, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $117,111 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fluvanna County and Dare County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Fluvanna County

Virginia

84.8twin score

12-yr trendcollege share% Evangelical≠ median income

Dare County

North Carolina

83.9twin score

12-yr trendcollege sharemedian age≠ median income

Fauquier County

Virginia

82.9twin score

median incomecollege share12-yr trend≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Clarke County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/51043/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Clarke County, VA — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Cities & towns in Clarke County

Berryville

R+9

4.7K residents

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Clarke County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Clarke County, Virginia voted Republican by 16.7 points (R+16.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,839 votes cast, 3,993 went Democratic and 5,641 went Republican.

When did Clarke County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Clarke County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Clarke County, Virginia?

Clarke County, Virginia has a population of 15,216 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Clarke County, Virginia?

Median household income in Clarke County, Virginia is $117,111 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Clarke County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clarke County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.

Measure

Clarke County

Virginia

United States

Median age

48.4

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

6.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

22.9%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Clarke County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$117,111

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

7.0%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

39.8%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Clarke County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

9.9%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

6.0%

7.9%

13.6%

German or other West Germanic

1.8%

0.3%

0.5%

Measure

Clarke County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

9.4%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

7.6%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

61.8%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

17.9%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+16.7MIT Election Lab

Population

15,2162024 5-year

Median household income

$117,1112024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

82.0%2024 5-year

Black

5.4%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

7.8%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+85.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+41.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Fluvanna County, VA · twin score 84.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

8,255

10,962

75.3%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

7,246

11,107

65.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

9,376

11,422

82.1%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

7,290

11,843

61.6%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

9,897

11,858

83.5%

A/A

Clarke County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -101 - RUSSELL101 - RUSSELL

725

1,336

2,099

34.5%

63.6%

R+29.1

Precinct -401 - WHITE POST401 - WHITE POST

745

1,093

1,866

39.9%

58.6%

R+18.6

Precinct -201 - BERRYVILLE201 - BERRYVILLE

875

928

1,853

47.2%

50.1%

R+2.9

Precinct -301 - MILLWOOD301 - MILLWOOD

655

876

1,560

42.0%

56.2%

R+14.2

Precinct -501 - BUCKMARSH501 - BUCKMARSH

520

769

1,301

40.0%

59.1%

R+19.1

Precinct -302 - PINE GROVE302 - PINE GROVE

270

347

646

41.8%

53.7%

R+11.9

Precinct -502 - BLUE RIDGE502 - BLUE RIDGE

203

292

514

39.5%

56.8%

R+17.3

Berryville51043000201

—

No votes

Blue Ridge51043000502

—

No votes

Buckmarsh51043000501

—

No votes

Millwood51043000301

—

No votes

Pine Grove51043000302

—

No votes

Russell51043000101

—

No votes

White Post51043000401

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+47.6%
1896	+38.3%
1900	+41.6%
1904	+70.5%
1908	+73.6%
1912	+85.2%
1916	+84.5%
1920	+63.5%
1924	+78.4%
1928	+49.8%
1932	+73.7%
1936	+65.0%
1940	+51.4%
1944	+32.4%
1948	+8.5%
1952	−6.1%
1956	−3.7%
1960	+6.9%
1964	+3.1%
1968	−13.6%
1972	−41.9%
1976	−5.9%
1980	−22.0%
1984	−34.9%
1988	−25.5%
1992	−3.9%
1996	−6.5%
2000	−13.6%
2004	−16.0%
2008	−5.2%
2012	−13.6%
2016	−19.6%
2020	−13.6%
2024	−16.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

40.6%Harris3,993

57.3%Trump5,641

0.7%Oliver73 +4

R+16.7

R+3.1

R+15.3

9,839

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican57.3%5,641
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic40.6%3,993
Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%73
OtherAll other candidates0.6%57
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%43
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%16
Cornel R WestIndependent0.2%16

2020

42.0%Biden3,920

55.6%Trump5,192

1.9%Jorgensen178

R+13.6

D+6.0

R+18.1

9,337

2016

37.1%Clinton3,051

56.8%Trump4,661

3.2%Johnson261

R+19.6

R+6.0

R+21.7

8,213

2012

41.7%Obama3,239

55.3%Romney4,296

2.9%

R+13.6

R+8.5

R+17.5

7,762

2008

46.5%Obama3,457

51.7%McCain3,840

1.8%

R+5.2

D+10.9

R+12.4

7,431

2004

41.5%Kerry2,699

57.5%Bush3,741

1.0%

R+16.0

R+2.4

R+13.6

6,505

2000

41.0%Gore2,166

54.6%Bush2,883

3.7%Nader195

R+13.6

R+7.1

R+14.1

5,284

1996

41.7%Clinton1,906

48.2%Dole2,201

8.3%Perot379

R+6.5

R+2.5

R+15.0

4,569

1992

39.0%Clinton1,811

42.9%Bush1,994

17.3%Perot802

R+3.9

D+21.5

R+9.5

4,648

1988

36.8%Dukakis1,478

62.2%Bush2,502

1.0%

R+25.5

D+9.4

R+17.7

4,020

1984

32.3%Mondale1,215

67.2%Reagan2,529

0.5%

R+34.9

R+12.9

R+16.7

3,763

1980

35.4%Carter1,156

57.4%Reagan1,876

7.2%

R+22.0

R+16.2

R+12.3

3,266

1976

45.7%Carter1,276

51.5%Ford1,440

2.8%

R+5.9

D+36.0

R+7.9

2,794

1972

27.2%McGovern715

69.1%Nixon1,816

3.7%

R+41.9

R+28.3

R+18.8

2,627

1968

29.0%Humphrey768

42.6%Nixon1,127

28.3%

R+13.6

R+16.7

R+12.9

2,644

1964

51.5%Johnson1,136

48.4%Goldwater1,068

0.1%

D+3.1

R+3.8

R+19.5

2,206

1960

53.2%Kennedy923

46.3%Nixon804

0.5%

D+6.9

D+10.6

D+6.7

1,736

1956

45.2%Stevenson725

48.9%Eisenhower785

5.9%

R+3.7

D+2.3

D+11.7

1,605

1952

46.8%Stevenson716

52.9%Eisenhower809

0.3%

R+6.1

R+14.5

D+4.7

1,530

1948

41.6%Truman482

33.2%Dewey384

25.2%

D+8.5

R+24.0

D+4.0

1,158

1944

66.0%Roosevelt816

33.6%Dewey415

0.4%

D+32.4

R+19.0

D+24.9

1,236

1940

75.6%Roosevelt1,043

24.1%Willkie333

0.3%

D+51.4

R+13.6

D+41.5

1,380

1936

82.4%Roosevelt940

17.4%Landon198

0.3%

D+65.0

R+8.7

D+40.8

1,141

1932

86.4%Roosevelt841

12.7%Hoover124

0.8%

D+73.7

D+23.9

D+55.9

973

1928

74.9%Smith740

25.1%Hoover248

0.0%

D+49.8

R+28.6

D+67.3

988

1924

88.2%Davis687

9.8%Coolidge76

1.9%La Follette15

D+78.4

D+14.9

D+103.6

779

1920

79.3%Cox774

15.8%Harding154

4.9%

D+63.5

R+21.0

D+89.7

976

1916

92.2%Wilson590

7.7%Hughes49

0.2%

D+84.5

R+0.7

D+81.4

640

1912

91.4%Wilson576

6.2%Taft39

2.4%

D+85.2

D+11.7

D+65.7

630

1908

85.9%Bryan517

12.3%Taft74

1.8%

D+73.6

D+3.1

D+83.1

602

1904

83.0%Parker444

12.5%Roosevelt67

4.5%

D+70.5

D+28.9

D+90.1

535

1900

69.7%Bryan1,055

28.2%McKinley426

2.1%

D+41.6

D+3.3

D+49.1

1,513

1896

68.4%Bryan1,114

30.1%McKinley490

1.5%

D+38.3

R+9.3

D+44.4

1,629

1892

72.0%Cleveland1,208

24.4%Harrison409

3.6%

D+47.6

—

D+46.0

1,678

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

40.8%3,986

59.2%5,774

9,760

2020

53.6%3,077

46.4%2,668

5,745

2018

42.2%3,037

57.8%4,152

7,189

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

43.3%4,182

56.7%5,487

9,669

2020Class II

43.7%Mark Warner4,052

56.2%Daniel Gade5,214

9,274

2018Class I

44.7%Tim Kaine3,210

53.5%Corey Stewart3,845

7,186

2014Class II

39.1%Mark Warner1,954

57.9%Ed Gillespie2,893

4,993

2012Class I

44.6%Tim Kaine3,419

55.2%George Allen4,224

7,659

2008Class II

61.3%Mark Warner4,495

37.4%Jim Gilmore2,745

7,337

2006Class I

47.2%Jim Webb2,463

51.7%George Allen2,700

5,222

2002Class II

0.0%None0

81.2%John Warner2,484

3,059

2000Class I

43.8%Chuck Robb2,275

56.2%George Allen2,921

5,196

1996Class II

44.6%Mark Warner1,951

55.4%John Warner2,424

4,378

1994Class I

40.9%Chuck Robb1,625

50.2%Oliver North1,992

3,969

1990Class II

0.0%None0

79.4%John Warner1,838

2,315

1988Class I

76.5%Chuck Robb2,952

23.4%Maurice A. Dawkins903

3,857

1984Class II

20.4%Edythe Harrison716

79.6%John Warner2,796

3,512

1982Class I

48.2%Dick Davis1,165

51.8%Paul S. Trible1,253

2,418

1978Class II

47.7%Andrew Miller1,085

52.3%John Warner1,189

2,275

1976Class I

18.4%Elmo Zumwalt500

0.0%None0

2,714

1972Class II

46.7%William B. Spong Jr.1,168

51.4%Bill Scott1,286

2,500

1970Class I

15.1%George C. Rawlings Jr.307

6.0%Ray Garland123

2,037

1966Class II

79.1%William B. Spong Jr.1,267

19.3%James P. Ould Jr.309

1,601

1964Class I

78.7%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,449

11.8%Richard A. May218

1,841

1960Class II

88.4%A. Willis Robertson1,308

0.0%None0

1,479

1958Class I

81.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.975

0.0%None0

1,191

1954Class II

88.6%A. Willis Robertson699

0.0%None0

789

1952Class I

80.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,135

0.0%None0

1,414

1948Class II

83.2%A. Willis Robertson918

16.0%Robert H. Woods176

1,103

1946Class I

90.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.786

8.2%Lester S. Parsons71

871

1942Class II

97.1%Carter Glass237

0.0%None0

244

1940Class I

91.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,128

0.0%None0

1,235

1936Class II

95.5%Carter Glass969

3.4%George Rohlson35

1,015

1934Class I

95.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.636

3.2%Lawrence C. Page21

663

1930Class II

92.5%Carter Glass681

0.0%None0

736

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson978

0.0%None0

978

1924Class II

92.4%Carter Glass673

0.7%William Doak5

728

1922Class I

93.9%Claude Swanson688

4.8%J.W. McGavock35

733

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin191

0.0%None0

191

1916Class I

99.8%Claude Swanson628

0.0%None0

629

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

82.8%Harry F. Byrd Jr.1,375

14.8%Lawrence Traylor246

1,661

1933Special · Class I

91.7%Harry F. Byrd Sr.608

8.0%Henry Wise53

663

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

44.4%Abigail Spanberger3,389

55.3%Winsome Earle-Sears4,222

7,629

2017

43.1%Ralph Northam2,400

55.7%Ed Gillespie3,102

5,572

2013

40.8%Terry McAuliffe2,002

52.9%Ken Cuccinelli2,596

4,907

2009

36.6%Creigh Deeds1,586

63.3%Bob McDonnell2,744

4,334

2005

45.0%Tim Kaine2,225

47.6%Jerry Kilgore2,350

4,942

2001

49.3%Mark Warner1,839

49.7%Mark Earley1,851

3,727

1997

42.1%Don Beyer1,347

56.3%Jim Gilmore1,800

3,197

1993

36.9%Mary Sue Terry1,204

62.7%George Allen2,046

3,265

1989

47.4%Douglas Wilder1,394

52.6%Marshall Coleman1,546

2,940

1985

55.2%Gerald Baliles1,166

44.8%Wyatt Durrette948

2,114

1981

49.9%Chuck Robb1,258

50.0%Marshall Coleman1,261

2,522

1977

33.5%Henry Howell716

65.5%John N. Dalton1,399

2,136

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Clarke County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	10,760
2018	11,083
2020	11,686
2022	12,209
2024	12,836

How did Clarke County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Clarke County, Virginia voted Republican by 16.7 points (R+16.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,839 votes cast, 3,993 went Democratic and 5,641 went Republican.

When did Clarke County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Clarke County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Clarke County, Virginia?

Clarke County, Virginia has a population of 15,216 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Clarke County, Virginia?

Median household income in Clarke County, Virginia is $117,111 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Clarke County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clarke County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.