- Lead
- 18,839
- Total
- 210,628
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Turnout
- 77.7%
Chesterfield County, VA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.7% of 271,889 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 13,609
- Total
- 203,884
- vs nation
- D+2.2
- Turnout
- 81.4%
- Lead
- 3,971
- Total
- 176,362
- vs nation
- R+4.3
- Turnout
- 74.0%
- Lead
- 13,240
- Total
- 170,988
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,103
- Total
- 162,088
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 34,399
- Total
- 133,814
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 31,286
- Total
- 110,951
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 26,430
- Total
- 93,305
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 377,8692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $101,9312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 22.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cobb County, GA · twin score 98.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.7%211,275 participants ÷ 271,889 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +28.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.1%–58.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 176,362 | 238,214 | 74.0% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 154,965 | 244,915 | 63.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 205,201 | 252,117 | 81.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 140,304 | 265,766 | 52.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 211,275 | 271,889 | 77.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
158 precincts · 210,628 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -319-Magnolia319-Magnolia | 2,701 | 3,037 | 101 | 5,839 | 46.3% | 52.0% | R+5.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -320-DryCreek320-DryCreek | 2,414 | 2,394 | 82 | 4,890 | 49.4% | 49.0% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct -504-Robious504-Robious | 2,390 | 2,051 | 109 | 4,550 | 52.5% | 45.1% | D+7.5 |
| Precinct -108-Ecoff108-Ecoff | 2,132 | 2,293 | 63 | 4,488 | 47.5% | 51.1% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -211-Nash211-Nash | 1,991 | 2,376 | 67 | 4,434 | 44.9% | 53.6% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct -414-Crenshaw414-Crenshaw | 2,143 | 2,187 | 70 | 4,400 | 48.7% | 49.7% | R+1.0 |
| Precinct -109-ElizabethScott109-ElizabethScott | 2,313 | 1,953 | 90 | 4,356 | 53.1% | 44.8% | D+8.3 |
| Precinct -422-Otterdale422-Otterdale | 2,370 | 1,809 | 73 | 4,252 | 55.7% | 42.5% | D+13.2 |
| Precinct -103-Enon103-Enon | 2,060 | 2,074 | 84 | 4,218 | 48.8% | 49.2% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -421-LucksLane421-LucksLane | 2,126 | 1,903 | 90 | 4,119 | 51.6% | 46.2% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -210-FiveForks210-FiveForks | 2,778 | 1,243 | 60 | 4,081 | 68.1% | 30.5% | D+37.6 |
| Precinct -322-Hensley322-Hensley | 1,964 | 2,014 | 64 | 4,042 | 48.6% | 49.8% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -507-Salisbury507-Salisbury | 1,819 | 1,925 | 85 | 3,829 | 47.5% | 50.3% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct -106-Harrowgate106-Harrowgate | 2,090 | 1,560 | 40 | 3,690 | 56.6% | 42.3% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -518-MidlothianNorth518-MidlothianNorth | 1,739 | 1,765 | 80 | 3,584 | 48.5% | 49.2% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -503-Midlothian503-Midlothian | 1,813 | 1,683 | 73 | 3,569 | 50.8% | 47.2% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct -303-Matoaca303-Matoaca | 1,681 | 1,831 | 39 | 3,551 | 47.3% | 51.6% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -514-Watkins514-Watkins | 1,809 | 1,665 | 66 | 3,540 | 51.1% | 47.0% | D+4.1 |
| Precinct -412-CloverHill412-CloverHill | 1,764 | 1,719 | 55 | 3,538 | 49.9% | 48.6% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct -306-Winterpock306-Winterpock | 960 | 2,476 | 54 | 3,490 | 27.5% | 70.9% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -221-Oxbridge221-Oxbridge | 1,926 | 1,424 | 73 | 3,423 | 56.3% | 41.6% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct -207-Chippenham207-Chippenham | 2,575 | 759 | 53 | 3,387 | 76.0% | 22.4% | D+53.6 |
| Precinct -315-BaileyBridge315-BaileyBridge | 1,260 | 2,055 | 53 | 3,368 | 37.4% | 61.0% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct -521-Rockaway521-Rockaway | 1,999 | 1,186 | 93 | 3,278 | 61.0% | 36.2% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct -104-NorthChester104-NorthChester | 1,493 | 1,706 | 54 | 3,253 | 45.9% | 52.4% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -202-Beulah202-Beulah | 2,205 | 989 | 51 | 3,245 | 68.0% | 30.5% | D+37.5 |
| Precinct -403-Brandermill403-Brandermill | 1,727 | 1,328 | 80 | 3,135 | 55.1% | 42.4% | D+12.7 |
| Precinct -309-Skinquarter309-Skinquarter | 1,417 | 1,578 | 80 | 3,075 | 46.1% | 51.3% | R+5.2 |
| Precinct -307-Cosby307-Cosby | 1,580 | 1,387 | 70 | 3,037 | 52.0% | 45.7% | D+6.4 |
| Precinct -508-Belgrade508-Belgrade | 1,632 | 1,339 | 65 | 3,036 | 53.8% | 44.1% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -115-Cresthill115-Cresthill | 1,661 | 1,206 | 55 | 2,922 | 56.8% | 41.3% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct -313-WoolridgeSouth313-WoolridgeSouth | 1,455 | 1,405 | 53 | 2,913 | 49.9% | 48.2% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -415-Evergreen415-Evergreen | 1,529 | 1,295 | 51 | 2,875 | 53.2% | 45.0% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct -316-SpringRun316-SpringRun | 1,382 | 1,435 | 53 | 2,870 | 48.2% | 50.0% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -420-NewTomahawk420-NewTomahawk | 1,462 | 1,314 | 48 | 2,824 | 51.8% | 46.5% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct -505-BonAir505-BonAir | 1,772 | 990 | 59 | 2,821 | 62.8% | 35.1% | D+27.7 |
| Precinct -405-LaPrade405-LaPrade | 1,477 | 1,229 | 67 | 2,773 | 53.3% | 44.3% | D+8.9 |
| Precinct -209-SalemChurch209-SalemChurch | 1,454 | 1,238 | 40 | 2,732 | 53.2% | 45.3% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -411-SwiftCreek411-SwiftCreek | 1,443 | 1,208 | 50 | 2,701 | 53.4% | 44.7% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -208-Meadowbrook208-Meadowbrook | 1,933 | 724 | 29 | 2,686 | 72.0% | 27.0% | D+45.0 |
| Precinct -402-Genito402-Genito | 1,432 | 1,181 | 51 | 2,664 | 53.8% | 44.3% | D+9.4 |
| Precinct -506-Greenfield506-Greenfield | 1,607 | 997 | 60 | 2,664 | 60.3% | 37.4% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -517-Roseland517-Roseland | 1,276 | 1,309 | 55 | 2,640 | 48.3% | 49.6% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -203-Bird203-Bird | 1,577 | 994 | 30 | 2,601 | 60.6% | 38.2% | D+22.4 |
| Precinct -205-FallingCreek205-FallingCreek | 1,800 | 771 | 29 | 2,600 | 69.2% | 29.7% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -404-Providence404-Providence | 1,572 | 950 | 67 | 2,589 | 60.7% | 36.7% | D+24.0 |
| Precinct -113-IronBridgeNorth113-IronBridgeNorth | 1,523 | 1,022 | 37 | 2,582 | 59.0% | 39.6% | D+19.4 |
| Precinct -102-SouthChester102-SouthChester | 1,297 | 1,222 | 49 | 2,568 | 50.5% | 47.6% | D+2.9 |
| Precinct -111-IronBridge111-IronBridge | 1,127 | 1,361 | 21 | 2,509 | 44.9% | 54.2% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -301-Ettrick301-Ettrick | 1,737 | 684 | 32 | 2,453 | 70.8% | 27.9% | D+42.9 |
| Precinct -304-WinfreesStore304-WinfreesStore | 788 | 1,583 | 23 | 2,394 | 32.9% | 66.1% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -112-Carver112-Carver | 1,269 | 1,018 | 35 | 2,322 | 54.7% | 43.8% | D+10.8 |
| Precinct -413-Shenandoah413-Shenandoah | 1,341 | 883 | 45 | 2,269 | 59.1% | 38.9% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct -515-Davis515-Davis | 1,662 | 480 | 24 | 2,166 | 76.7% | 22.2% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct -222-Turner222-Turner | 1,602 | 462 | 23 | 2,087 | 76.8% | 22.1% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct -418-WoolridgeNorth418-WoolridgeNorth | 1,028 | 956 | 38 | 2,022 | 50.8% | 47.3% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct -511-BlackHeath511-BlackHeath | 983 | 881 | 38 | 1,902 | 51.7% | 46.3% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -110-DutchGap110-DutchGap | 956 | 872 | 20 | 1,848 | 51.7% | 47.2% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -401-HarbourPointe401-HarbourPointe | 1,000 | 809 | 35 | 1,844 | 54.2% | 43.9% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -419-NorthCourthouse419-NorthCourthouse | 1,070 | 721 | 30 | 1,821 | 58.8% | 39.6% | D+19.2 |
| Precinct -509-Cranbeck509-Cranbeck | 1,122 | 645 | 24 | 1,791 | 62.6% | 36.0% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -314-Longhouse314-Longhouse | 539 | 1,228 | 18 | 1,785 | 30.2% | 68.8% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -520-WaltonPark520-WaltonPark | 923 | 807 | 47 | 1,777 | 51.9% | 45.4% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -105-DrewrysBluff105-DrewrysBluff | 1,035 | 656 | 30 | 1,721 | 60.1% | 38.1% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -101-Bellwood101-Bellwood | 869 | 765 | 25 | 1,659 | 52.4% | 46.1% | D+6.3 |
| Precinct -213-Southside213-Southside | 1,222 | 364 | 20 | 1,606 | 76.1% | 22.7% | D+53.4 |
| Precinct -408-Reams408-Reams | 1,002 | 530 | 37 | 1,569 | 63.9% | 33.8% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct -513-Beaufont513-Beaufont | 987 | 402 | 34 | 1,423 | 69.4% | 28.3% | D+41.1 |
| Precinct -218-NewManchester218-NewManchester | 783 | 528 | 36 | 1,347 | 58.1% | 39.2% | D+18.9 |
| Precinct -510-Sycamore510-Sycamore | 663 | 617 | 28 | 1,308 | 50.7% | 47.2% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -219-GatesEast219-GatesEast | 678 | 606 | 21 | 1,305 | 52.0% | 46.4% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct -305-Beach305-Beach | 312 | 807 | 9 | 1,128 | 27.7% | 71.5% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -516-PocoshockNorth516-PocoshockNorth | 611 | 264 | 9 | 884 | 69.1% | 29.9% | D+39.3 |
| Precinct -201-Gates201-Gates | 319 | 481 | 9 | 809 | 39.4% | 59.5% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -410-Wagstaff410-Wagstaff | 326 | 238 | 9 | 573 | 56.9% | 41.5% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct -220-FallingCreekEast220-FallingCreekEast | 216 | 107 | 6 | 329 | 65.7% | 32.5% | D+33.1 |
| Precinct -519-Buford519-Buford | 176 | 76 | 3 | 255 | 69.0% | 29.8% | D+39.2 |
| Bailey Bridge51041000315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beach51041000305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaufont51041000513 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belgrade51041000508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bellwood51041000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Belmont51041000206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beulah51041000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bird51041000203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birkdale51041000317 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Black Heath51041000511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bon Air51041000505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brandermill51041000403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carver51041000112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chippenham51041000207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clover Hill51041000412 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cosby51041000307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cranbeck51041000509 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crenshaw51041000414 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crestwood51041000502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Davis51041000515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deer Run51041000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Drewrys Bluff51041000105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dutch Gap51041000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ecoff51041000108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Edgewater51041000417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elizabeth Scott51041000109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Enon51041000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ettrick51041000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evergreen51041000415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Evergreen West51041000416 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Falling Creek51041000205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Five Forks51041000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gates51041000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Genito51041000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Greenfield51041000506 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harbour Pointe51041000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harrowgate51041000106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hopkins51041000214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Huguenot51041000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iron Bridge51041000111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Iron Bridge North51041000113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jacobs51041000204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Prade51041000405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Longhouse51041000314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Magnolia51041000319 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Manchester51041000409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Matoaca51041000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Meadowbrook51041000208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Midlothian51041000503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Midlothian North51041000518 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monacan51041000407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nash51041000211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Bird51041000215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Chester51041000104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pocoshock51041000516 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -321-Claypointe321-Claypointe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Providence51041000404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Reams51041000408 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgedale51041000216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Robious51041000504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roseland51041000517 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salem Church51041000209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salisbury51041000507 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shenandoah51041000413 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skinquarter51041000309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Smoketree51041000406 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Chester51041000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Manchester51041000308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southside51041000213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Run51041000316 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Luke's51041000212 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Swift Creek51041000411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sycamore51041000510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tomahawk51041000310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wagstaff51041000410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watkins51041000514 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wells51041000107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Beach51041000318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfrees Store51041000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winterpock51041000306 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woolridge51041000313 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +16.1% |
| 1896 | +15.0% |
| 1900 | +21.3% |
| 1904 | +58.3% |
| 1908 | +55.5% |
| 1912 | +75.6% |
| 1916 | +65.0% |
| 1920 | +51.8% |
| 1924 | +51.7% |
| 1928 | −10.1% |
| 1932 | +43.0% |
| 1936 | +59.9% |
| 1940 | +58.1% |
| 1944 | +51.9% |
| 1948 | +24.8% |
| 1952 | −11.6% |
| 1956 | −22.8% |
| 1960 | −24.0% |
| 1964 | −35.2% |
| 1968 | −41.5% |
| 1972 | −72.2% |
| 1976 | −32.3% |
| 1980 | −46.3% |
| 1984 | −59.8% |
| 1988 | −51.4% |
| 1992 | −28.1% |
| 1996 | −28.3% |
| 2000 | −28.2% |
| 2004 | −25.7% |
| 2008 | −7.5% |
| 2012 | −7.7% |
| 2016 | −2.3% |
| 2020 | +6.7% |
| 2024 | +8.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 237,584 |
| 2018 | 243,083 |
| 2020 | 259,259 |
| 2022 | 268,997 |
| 2024 | 281,128 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3,584 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +36,425 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $74,819 in average income, against $101,385 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+29.1 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Chesterfield County, VA itself (D+8.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Richmond city, VA2,452D+65.9
- Henrico County, VA1,870D+28.7
- Petersburg city, VA356D+72.5
- Fairfax County, VA247D+34.7
- Colonial Heights city, VA241R+32.4
- Hanover County, VA217R+25.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richmond city, VA2,108
- Henrico County, VA1,389
- Petersburg city, VA399
- Powhatan County, VA365
- Hanover County, VA295
- Colonial Heights city, VA255
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +901 |
| 2012 | +1,271 |
| 2013 | +1,713 |
| 2014 | +2,281 |
| 2015 | +674 |
| 2016 | +1,362 |
| 2017 | +2,689 |
| 2018 | +3,443 |
| 2019 | +3,032 |
| 2021 | +4,494 |
| 2022 | +5,364 |
| 2023 | +3,542 |
| 2024 | +2,075 |
| 2025 | +3,584 |
Chesterfield County, anchored in the Richmond metro's southern suburbs, has tracked Virginia's broader suburban realignment — once reliably red, it now returns Democratic presidential margins that would have been unthinkable a decade ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 72.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.9 points.
A population of 377,869, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,931 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cobb County and Cabarrus County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chesterfield County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.