akashic
1876–2024
Chesterfield County, Virginia
Chesterfield County·Virginia

Chesterfield County votes the way the country votes.

A former Republican stronghold that shifted nine points Democratic by 2024

18762024·38 elections
Chesterfield County, Virginia · James Shelton32 · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
377,869
2024 ACS
Most similar
Kent County
MI · similarity 0.98
78 precincts · 210,628 votes cast
Harris · D+9
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+8.9%
112,86994,030210,628
2020D
+6.7%
106,93593,326203,884
2016R
−2.3%
81,07485,045176,362
2012R
−7.7%
77,69490,934170,988
2008R
−7.5%
74,31086,413162,088
2004R
−25.7%
49,34683,745133,814
2000R
−28.2%
38,63869,924110,951
1996R
−28.3%
30,22056,65093,305
1992R
−28.1%
28,02856,626101,933
1988R
−51.4%
18,72358,82878,083
1984R
−59.8%
13,73954,89668,811
1980R
−46.3%
13,06037,90853,613
1976R
−32.3%
14,12627,81242,436
1972R
−72.2%
3,82324,93429,253
1968R
−41.5%
5,71522,01539,292
1964R
−35.2%
8,37617,48625,871
1960R
−24.0%
5,9829,78715,859
1956R
−22.8%
3,3065,78710,894
1952R
−11.6%
3,5464,4828,046
1948D
+24.8%
2,6001,4284,730
1944D
+51.9%
2,8609013,772
1940D
+58.1%
3,3548794,261
1936D
+59.9%
2,5226213,173
1932D
+43.0%
1,8867262,698
1928R
−10.1%
1,0821,3252,407
1924D
+51.7%
9672821,324
1920D
+51.8%
9643021,279
1916D
+65.0%
699141858
1912D
+75.6%
70261848
1908D
+55.5%
608167794
1904D
+58.3%
597151765
1900D
+21.3%
1,3688842,276
1896D
+15.0%
1,7271,2733,036
1892D
+16.1%
1,7471,2413,140
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
0.6%
African American
18.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
14.6%
Other Christian
12.1%
Baptist
6.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.8%
Methodist
5.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Non-Christian
2.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Chesterfield County, anchored in the Richmond metro's southern suburbs, has tracked Virginia's broader suburban realignment — once reliably red, it now returns Democratic presidential margins that would have been unthinkable a decade ago.

The Democratic margin in Chesterfield County has rarely exceeded seventy-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded seventy-two points. 2024 delivered the county to the Democratic candidate by nine points.

Chesterfield County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $101,931 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kent County and Frederick County.