Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupManchesterVirginiaUnited States
English12.4%12.0%9.5%
German9.0%10.1%12.5%
Irish7.5%9.1%9.4%
American5.2%8.4%5.3%
Italian3.8%3.9%4.8%
Scottish1.5%1.9%1.3%
Polish1.4%1.6%2.2%
French1.4%1.3%1.6%
African American†34.5%15.6%9.9%
African1.0%0.9%0.5%
Jamaican0.8%0.3%0.4%
Nigerian0.3%0.2%0.2%
Haitian0.3%—0.3%
Mexican2.5%2.4%11.3%
Salvadoran2.5%2.1%0.7%
Puerto Rican2.2%1.4%1.8%
Guatemalan1.5%0.7%0.5%
Honduran0.9%0.7%0.3%
Dominican0.4%—0.7%
Colombian0.4%0.3%0.4%
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Asian Indian0.6%1.8%1.4%
Filipino0.5%0.9%0.9%
Chinese0.3%0.8%1.3%
Vietnamese0.3%0.7%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.8%0.4%
Pakistani0.2%0.5%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Manchester
Virginia
United States
Median age
34.5
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.3%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Manchester
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$80,296
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.7%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
39.7%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Manchester
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.8%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
13.3%
7.9%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.1%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Manchester
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Manchester, Virginia
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+6.8%
2008
+25.2%
2012
+27.4%
2016
+30.9%
2020
+37.1%
2024
+36.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
67.0%Harris3,963
31.0%Trump1,833
2.0%
D+36.0
R+1.1
D+37.5
5,915
D
67.6%Biden4,059
30.5%Trump1,832
1.8%
D+37.1
D+6.3
D+32.7
6,001
D
62.5%Clinton3,301
31.7%Trump1,672
5.8%
D+30.9
D+3.5
D+28.8
5,279
D
63.0%Obama3,369
35.6%Romney1,905
1.4%
D+27.4
D+2.2
D+23.5
5,348
D
62.2%Obama3,249
37.1%McCain1,935
0.7%
D+25.2
D+18.4
D+17.9
5,221
D
53.1%Kerry2,152
46.3%Bush1,876
0.7%
D+6.8
—
D+9.3
4,056
Manchester sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.1 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.0 points.
A population of 12,445, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,296 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Laurel and Canton.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Manchester, Virginia voted Democratic by 36.0 points (D+36.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,915 votes cast, 3,963 went Democratic and 1,833 went Republican.
How many people live in Manchester, Virginia?
Manchester, Virginia has a population of 12,445 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Manchester, Virginia?
Median household income in Manchester, Virginia is $80,296 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Manchester, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Manchester, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
