Mantua, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +6.3% |
| 2008 | +20.3% |
| 2012 | +18.3% |
| 2016 | +33.2% |
| 2020 | +43.6% |
| 2024 | +41.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 68.8%Harris3,031 | 27.8%Trump1,225 | 3.3% | D+41.0 | R+2.6 | D+42.5 | 4,403 | |
| D | 70.8%Biden3,104 | 27.1%Trump1,191 | 2.1% | D+43.6 | D+10.4 | D+39.2 | 4,387 | |
| D | 63.3%Clinton2,469 | 30.1%Trump1,175 | 6.6% | D+33.2 | D+14.9 | D+31.1 | 3,900 | |
| D | 58.5%Obama2,365 | 40.2%Romney1,625 | 1.4% | D+18.3 | R+2.0 | D+14.4 | 4,045 | |
| D | 59.8%Obama2,283 | 39.5%McCain1,509 | 0.7% | D+20.3 | D+14.0 | D+13.0 | 3,817 | |
| D | 52.8%Kerry1,807 | 46.5%Bush1,592 | 0.7% | D+6.3 | — | D+8.7 | 3,423 |
Mantua sits within one of Virginia's most education-heavy corridors, drawing heavily on households tied to federal agencies and defense contractors — a profile that has consistently shaped its high voter-participation rates and preference patterns in Northern Virginia suburban contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.6 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.0 points.
A population of 8,298, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $213,047 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wakefield and Vienna.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mantua, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5149144/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.