Virginia 11th Congressional District, Virginia: Realigner district. In 2024, voted D+35%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 733,3152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $152,9102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 49.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
CONNOLLY, Gerald E. (Gerry)
−1 liberal+1 conservative
Predecessors: WALKINSHAW, James R. (2025–2027), DAVIS, Thomas M., III (2007–2009), DAVIS, Thomas M., III (2005–2007), DAVIS, Thomas M., III (2003–2005)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 11, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 247,254 | 116,543 | 377,281 | ||
| D | 268,306 | 107,921 | 384,229 | ||
| D | 226,507 | 101,019 | 352,143 | ||
| D | 201,195 | 132,367 | 338,233 | ||
| D | 198,086 | 128,717 | 329,960 | ||
| D | 156,990 | 135,850 | 295,246 | ||
| R | 125,615 | 129,521 | 264,882 | ||
| R | 108,902 | 112,943 | 234,136 | ||
| R | 102,729 | 109,535 | 247,397 | ||
| R | 81,002 | 129,384 | 211,723 | ||
| R | 69,471 | 119,268 | 189,288 | ||
| R | 48,113 | 89,395 | 155,917 | ||
| R | 60,257 | 72,313 | 134,912 | ||
| R | 37,990 | 81,657 | 121,352 | ||
| R | 29,795 | 38,421 | 78,477 | ||
| D | 34,578 | 26,878 | 61,791 | ||
| R | 16,083 | 17,281 | 33,457 | ||
| R | 9,647 | 12,811 | 22,996 | ||
| R | 5,140 | 8,034 | 13,192 | ||
| R | 2,295 | 3,042 | 5,855 | ||
| R | 2,210 | 2,497 | 4,728 | ||
| D | 2,013 | 1,463 | 3,493 | ||
| D | 1,798 | 977 | 2,793 | ||
| D | 1,675 | 844 | 2,563 | ||
| R | 758 | 1,547 | 2,305 | ||
| D | 979 | 472 | 1,574 | ||
| D | 986 | 609 | 1,615 | ||
| D | 728 | 291 | 1,028 | ||
| D | 612 | 115 | 826 | ||
| D | 705 | 249 | 963 | ||
| D | 478 | 260 | 747 | ||
| D | 1,317 | 930 | 2,256 | ||
| D | 1,301 | 1,158 | 2,478 | ||
| D | 1,338 | 948 | 2,302 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Congressional elections · 17 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4% | 45.4% | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0% | 43.9% | 4,405,087 |
| 2018 | D | 57.0% | 41.0% | 3,351,373 |
| 2014 | D | 49.1% | 48.3% | 2,184,473 |
| 2012 | D | 52.9% | 47.0% | 3,802,196 |
| 2008 | D | 65.0% | 33.7% | 3,643,294 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6% | 49.2% | 2,370,445 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0% | 82.6% | 1,489,422 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7% | 52.3% | 2,718,301 |
| 1996 | R | 47.4% | 52.5% | 2,354,715 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6% | 42.9% | 2,057,463 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0% | 80.9% | 1,083,690 |
| 1988 | D | 71.2% | 28.7% | 2,068,897 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9% | 70.0% | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8% | 51.2% | 1,415,622 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1,222,256 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3% | 0.0% | 1,557,500 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.2%
German
10.2%
Irish
9.5%
Italian
4.5%
American
3.3%
Polish
2.3%
Scottish
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$152,910
Congressional District 11 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 11$152,910
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.2%
Working age (18–64)5.6%
Seniors (65+)7.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
61.0%
speak English only
Spanish13.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander11.7%
Other Indo-European8.7%
Other languages4.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Virginia's 11th, anchored in Fairfax County and the D.C. suburbs, posted a 35.9-point Democratic margin in 2024, reflecting a highly educated, diverse, and government-sector workforce that has drifted steadily left over two decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Virginia 11th Congressional District peaked at sixty points in 1912; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the district to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of seven points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $152,910 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 6% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 11, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5111/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 11, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 11, Virginia voted Democratic by 34.6 points (D+35), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 377,281 votes cast, 247,254 went Democratic and 116,543 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 11, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 11, Virginia as a "Realigner" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 11, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 11, Virginia voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Congressional District 11, Virginia?
Congressional District 11, Virginia has a population of 733,315 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 11, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 11, Virginia is $152,910 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 11, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 11, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.