Virginia 10th Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | +2.6% |
| 2012 | −0.9% |
| 2016 | +7.6% |
| 2020 | +18.7% |
| 2024 | +8.3% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10 | D | 52.1%215,131 | 47.5%196,343 | 413,012 |
| 2022 | 10 | D | 53.2%157,405 | 46.7%138,163 | 296,145 |
| 2020 | 10 | D | 56.5%268,734 | 43.4%206,253 | 475,546 |
| 2018 | 10 | D | 56.1%206,356 | 43.7%160,841 | 367,795 |
| 2016 | 10 | R | 46.9%187,712 | 52.7%210,791 | 400,083 |
| 2014 | 10 | R | 40.4%89,957 | 56.5%125,914 | 222,910 |
| 2012 | 10 | R | 38.8%142,024 | 58.4%214,038 | 366,444 |
| 2010 | 10 | R | 34.8%72,604 | 62.9%131,116 | 208,556 |
| 2008 | 10 | R | 38.8%147,357 | 58.8%223,140 | 379,480 |
| 2006 | 10 | R | 41.0%98,769 | 57.3%138,213 | 241,134 |
| 2004 | 10 | R | 36.1%116,654 | 63.8%205,982 | 323,011 |
| 2002 | 10 | R | 28.1%45,464 | 71.7%115,917 | 161,615 |
| 2000 | 10 | R | 0.0%0 | 84.2%238,817 | 283,637 |
| 1998 | 10 | R | 25.2%36,476 | 71.6%103,648 | 144,755 |
| 1996 | 10 | R | 25.2%59,145 | 72.0%169,266 | 235,013 |
| 1994 | 10 | R | 0.0%0 | 87.3%153,311 | 175,531 |
| 1992 | 10 | R | 34.3%75,775 | 65.4%144,471 | 221,004 |
| 1990 | 10 | R | 33.9%57,249 | 61.5%103,761 | 168,825 |
| 1988 | 10 | R | 31.9%88,284 | 68.1%188,550 | 276,908 |
| 1986 | 10 | R | 39.8%63,292 | 60.2%95,724 | 159,023 |
| 1984 | 10 | R | 37.5%95,074 | 62.5%158,528 | 253,625 |
| 1982 | 10 | R | 45.9%75,361 | 52.7%86,506 | 164,035 |
| 1980 | 10 | R | 48.9%105,883 | 51.1%110,840 | 216,744 |
| 1978 | 10 | D | 53.3%70,892 | 46.6%61,981 | 132,882 |
| 1976 | 10 | D | 54.7%103,689 | 38.8%73,616 | 189,489 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 54.4%2,417,115 | 45.4%2,019,911 | 4,445,535 |
| 2020 | D | 56.0%2,466,500 | 44.0%1,934,199 | 4,400,699 |
| 2018 | D | 57.1%1,910,370 | 41.1%1,374,313 | 3,346,248 |
| 2014 | D | 49.2%1,073,667 | 48.4%1,055,940 | 2,182,709 |
| 2012 | D | 53.0%2,010,067 | 47.0%1,785,542 | 3,795,609 |
| 2008 | D | 65.1%2,369,327 | 33.8%1,228,830 | 3,640,116 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6%1,175,606 | 49.3%1,166,277 | 2,367,985 |
| 2002 | R | 0.0%0 | 83.0%1,229,894 | 1,481,051 |
| 2000 | R | 47.7%1,296,093 | 52.3%1,420,460 | 2,716,553 |
| 1996 | R | 47.5%1,115,982 | 52.5%1,235,744 | 2,351,726 |
| 1994 | D | 45.6%938,376 | 42.9%882,213 | 2,056,026 |
| 1990 | R | 0.0%0 | 81.7%876,782 | 1,073,537 |
| 1988 | D | 71.3%1,474,086 | 28.7%593,652 | 2,067,738 |
| 1984 | R | 29.9%601,142 | 70.0%1,406,194 | 2,007,487 |
| 1982 | R | 48.8%690,839 | 51.2%724,571 | 1,415,410 |
| 1978 | R | 49.8%608,511 | 50.2%613,232 | 1,221,743 |
| 1976 | O | 38.3%596,009 | 0.0%0 | 1,557,346 |
Virginia's 10th stretches from the D.C. suburbs through the Shenandoah foothills, drawing a workforce heavily tied to government contracting and federal agencies — a demographic pattern that has pushed its presidential margins steadily toward double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.7 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 0.9 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.3 points.
A population of 784,266, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $162,359 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 6 and Congressional District 11.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 10th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5110/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.