Virginia 10th Congressional District (VA) — Elections 1876–2024

Virginia 10th Congressional District, Virginia: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Recent convertAkashic typology
Population: 997,4262024 5-year
Median household income: $154,3402024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 50.9%2024 5-year
Black: 11.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 19.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+66 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab

SUBRAMANYAM, SuhasCongress 119 · Democratic

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: WEXTON, Jennifer (2023–2025), WEXTON, Jennifer (2021–2023), WEXTON, Jennifer (2019–2021), COMSTOCK, Barbara J. (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

7 counties · 5 D · 2 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+15.3%	282,907	205,612	505,014
2020	D	+23.8%	305,021	186,049	500,778
2016	D	+16.8%	234,624	163,151	425,184
2012	D	+8.4%	206,964	174,621	387,085
2008	D	+10.5%	192,154	155,421	350,857
2004	R	−8.8%	130,850	156,154	289,148
2000	R	−11.4%	95,568	121,060	223,738
1996	R	−9.3%	72,055	88,018	171,946
1992	R	−10.5%	60,034	77,505	166,235
1988	R	−32.0%	44,342	86,710	132,302
1984	R	−35.1%	36,621	76,533	113,611
1980	R	−25.5%	29,657	52,730	90,528
1976	R	−5.2%	34,660	38,589	75,273
1972	R	−42.7%	22,110	56,157	79,707
1968	R	−12.1%	13,995	19,077	41,923
1964	D	+19.4%	20,450	13,784	34,274
1960	R	−0.8%	9,541	9,703	19,325
1956	R	−10.8%	6,870	8,594	15,988
1952	R	−11.1%	6,099	7,622	13,766
1948	D	+7.8%	4,564	3,840	9,243
1944	D	+19.6%	5,614	3,774	9,410
1940	D	+38.2%	5,847	2,604	8,480
1936	D	+48.0%	6,248	2,187	8,462
1932	D	+60.9%	6,238	1,487	7,801
1928	D	+15.0%	4,596	3,396	7,992
1924	D	+63.4%	4,155	833	5,239
1920	D	+37.4%	4,156	1,882	6,081
1916	D	+56.0%	3,683	1,023	4,748
1912	D	+65.7%	3,533	602	4,458
1908	D	+54.2%	3,931	1,134	5,156
1904	D	+52.1%	3,700	1,135	4,919
1900	D	+26.4%	7,169	4,146	11,458
1896	D	+22.7%	7,608	4,760	12,521
1892	D	+29.9%	7,639	4,041	12,022
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 17 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	D	54.4%	45.4%	4,445,535
2020	D	56.0%	43.9%	4,405,087
2018	D	57.0%	41.0%	3,351,373
2014	D	49.1%	48.3%	2,184,473
2012	D	52.9%	47.0%	3,802,196
2008	D	65.0%	33.7%	3,643,294
2006	D	49.6%	49.2%	2,370,445
2002	R	0.0%	82.6%	1,489,422
2000	R	47.7%	52.3%	2,718,301
1996	R	47.4%	52.5%	2,354,715
1994	D	45.6%	42.9%	2,057,463
1990	R	0.0%	80.9%	1,083,690
1988	D	71.2%	28.7%	2,068,897
1984	R	29.9%	70.0%	2,007,487
1982	R	48.8%	51.2%	1,415,622
1978	R	49.8%	50.2%	1,222,256
1976	O	38.3%	0.0%	1,557,500

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

9.9%

English

9.7%

Irish

9.1%

Italian

4.5%

American

4.4%

Polish

2.1%

Scottish

1.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 37.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.4%

85+

0.7%

1.7%

75–84

2.1%

3.4%

65–74

3.8%

6.0%

55–64

5.8%

7.4%

45–54

7.1%

7.8%

35–44

7.8%

5.9%

25–34

6.0%

4.3%

18–24

4.0%

10.0%

5–17

9.4%

3.2%

3.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$154,340

Congressional District 10 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 10$154,340

Virginia$93,170

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

5.4%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 186.6%

Working age (18–64)4.9%

Seniors (65+)7.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

65.0%

speak English only

Spanish15.5%

Other Indo-European8.6%

Asian & Pacific Islander7.3%

Other languages3.5%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

15.7%

Other Christian

7.5%

Non-Christian

4.6%

Methodist

3.6%

Baptist

2.7%

Mainline Protestant

2.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Virginia's 10th stretches from the D.C. suburbs through the Shenandoah foothills, drawing a workforce heavily tied to government contracting and federal agencies — a demographic pattern that has pushed its presidential margins steadily toward double digits.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by ten points. The 2024 margin was fifteen points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 997,426, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $154,340 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 10, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5110/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 10, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 10, Virginia voted Democratic by 15.3 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 505,014 votes cast, 282,907 went Democratic and 205,612 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 10, Virginia's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 10, Virginia as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 10, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 10, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Congressional District 10, Virginia?

Congressional District 10, Virginia has a population of 997,426 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 10, Virginia?

Median household income in Congressional District 10, Virginia is $154,340 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Congressional District 10, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 10, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Virginia 10th Congressional District changed direction in the last decade — D+15 in 2024.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions