Akashic

county

Fauquier County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English16.6%12.0%9.5%

German15.5%10.1%12.5%

Irish13.3%9.1%9.4%

American5.3%8.4%5.3%

Italian5.0%3.9%4.8%

Scottish3.7%1.9%1.3%

Polish2.2%1.6%2.2%

French1.9%1.3%1.6%

Mexican4.4%2.4%11.3%

Salvadoran2.2%2.1%0.7%

Puerto Rican1.2%1.4%1.8%

Bolivian0.8%0.4%—

Peruvian0.7%0.5%—

Colombian0.6%0.3%0.4%

Guatemalan0.4%0.7%0.5%

Cuban0.3%—0.7%

African American†4.9%15.6%9.9%

African0.6%0.9%0.5%

Kenyan0.3%——

Ghanaian0.2%0.2%—

Vietnamese0.4%0.7%0.6%

Korean0.3%0.8%0.4%

Bangladeshi0.3%——

Asian Indian0.2%1.8%1.4%

Chinese0.2%0.8%1.3%

Filipino0.2%0.9%0.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Fauquier County	Virginia	United States
Median age	41.2	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.1%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.2%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Fauquier County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$130,189	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.8%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	41.7%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Fauquier County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	12.1%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	8.8%	7.9%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	1.0%	2.6%	2.0%

Religious landscape

Measure	Fauquier County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	9.3%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	16.5%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	59.8%	54.3%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	11.5%	8.4%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 81.2% of 55,048 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic38.4%17,180TrumpRepublican59.9%26,825OtherAll other candidates0.5%231

R+21.5

Lead: 9,645
Total: 44,768
vs nation: R+20.1
Turnout: 81.2%

BidenDemocratic40.2%17,565TrumpRepublican57.5%25,106JorgensenLibertarian1.8%777

R+17.3

Lead: 7,541
Total: 43,661
vs nation: R+21.7
Turnout: 85.7%

ClintonDemocratic34.6%12,971TrumpRepublican59.1%22,127JohnsonLibertarian3.2%1,191

R+24.4

Lead: 9,156
Total: 37,460
vs nation: R+26.5
Turnout: 76.1%

ObamaDemocratic39.3%13,965RomneyRepublican59.2%21,034OtherAll other candidates1.6%556

R+19.9

Lead: 7,069
Total: 35,555
vs nation: R+23.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic42.7%14,616McCainRepublican56.2%19,227OtherAll other candidates1.1%376

R+13.5

Lead: 4,611
Total: 34,219
vs nation: R+20.7
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic35.8%10,712BushRepublican63.6%19,011OtherAll other candidates0.6%192

R+27.7

Lead: 8,299
Total: 29,915
vs nation: R+25.3
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic35.3%8,296BushRepublican61.6%14,456NaderGreen2.4%570

R+26.2

Lead: 6,160
Total: 23,481
vs nation: R+26.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic35.1%6,759DoleRepublican57.4%11,063PerotReform6.7%1,287

R+22.3

Lead: 4,304
Total: 19,258
vs nation: R+30.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+21.5MIT Election Lab
Population: 74,5772024 5-year
Median household income: $130,1892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 74.8%2024 5-year
Black: 6.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 12.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+68.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+43.3 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Douglas County, CO · twin score 91.0

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 81.2%44,694 participants ÷ 55,048 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +23.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 57.6%–63.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	37,690	49,553	76.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	32,214	50,622	63.6%	C/A
2020 · Presidential	44,039	51,389	85.7%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	33,428	53,834	62.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	44,694	55,048	81.2%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

44 precincts · 44,768 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Fauquier County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -502 - NEW BALTIMORE502 - NEW BALTIMORE	1,237	1,935	66	3,238	38.2%	59.8%	R+21.6
Precinct -504 - VINT HILL504 - VINT HILL	1,192	1,816	47	3,055	39.0%	59.4%	R+20.4
Precinct -103 - CASANOVA103 - CASANOVA	1,130	1,788	51	2,969	38.1%	60.2%	R+22.2
Precinct -403 - WATERLOO403 - WATERLOO	1,058	1,767	55	2,880	36.7%	61.4%	R+24.6
Precinct -402 - LEEDS402 - LEEDS	1,299	1,496	44	2,839	45.8%	52.7%	R+6.9
Precinct -102 - CATLETT102 - CATLETT	685	1,974	24	2,683	25.5%	73.6%	R+48.0
Precinct -301 - MORRISVILLE301 - MORRISVILLE	748	1,855	39	2,642	28.3%	70.2%	R+41.9
Precinct -401 - SALEM401 - SALEM	1,098	1,487	51	2,636	41.7%	56.4%	R+14.8
Precinct -302 - BOTHA302 - BOTHA	836	1,634	33	2,503	33.4%	65.3%	R+31.9
Precinct -206 - AIRLIE206 - AIRLIE	1,039	1,349	45	2,433	42.7%	55.4%	R+12.7
Precinct -303 - BEALETON303 - BEALETON	958	1,298	43	2,299	41.7%	56.5%	R+14.8
Precinct -503 - BROAD RUN503 - BROAD RUN	814	1,246	35	2,095	38.9%	59.5%	R+20.6
Precinct -101 - KETTLE RUN101 - KETTLE RUN	409	992	29	1,430	28.6%	69.4%	R+40.8
Precinct -201 - WARD 1201 - WARD 1	601	627	31	1,259	47.7%	49.8%	R+2.1
Precinct -105 - OPAL105 - OPAL	336	907	14	1,257	26.7%	72.2%	R+45.4
Precinct -204 - WARD 4204 - WARD 4	495	693	27	1,215	40.7%	57.0%	R+16.3
Precinct -501 - HOPEWELL501 - HOPEWELL	545	644	26	1,215	44.9%	53.0%	R+8.1
Precinct -404 - SPRINGS VALLEY404 - SPRINGS VALLEY	489	671	27	1,187	41.2%	56.5%	R+15.3
Precinct -104 - LOIS104 - LOIS	334	841	9	1,184	28.2%	71.0%	R+42.8
Precinct -203 - WARD 3203 - WARD 3	567	558	19	1,144	49.6%	48.8%	D+0.8
Precinct -205 - WARD 5205 - WARD 5	559	543	26	1,128	49.6%	48.1%	D+1.4
Precinct -202 - WARD 2202 - WARD 2	556	466	16	1,038	53.6%	44.9%	D+8.7
Precinct -304 - REMINGTON304 - REMINGTON	113	170	1	284	39.8%	59.9%	R+20.1
Precinct -505 - THE PLAINS505 - THE PLAINS	82	68	5	155	52.9%	43.9%	D+9.0
Airlie51061000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Baldwin Ridge51061000106	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bealeton51061000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Broad Run51061000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Casanova51061000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Catlett51061000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Courthouse51061000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kettle Run51061000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Leeds51061000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lois51061000104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marshall51061000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Morrisville51061000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
New Baltimore51061000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Opal51061000105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Remington51061000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Springs Valley51061000404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
The Plains51061000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Vint Hill51061000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Warrenton51061000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Waterloo51061000403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+34.3%
1896	+27.5%
1900	+30.8%
1904	+54.5%
1908	+57.5%
1912	+68.8%
1916	+53.2%
1920	+41.1%
1924	+54.4%
1928	+22.3%
1932	+67.6%
1936	+52.7%
1940	+42.4%
1944	+31.9%
1948	+7.1%
1952	−12.8%
1956	−14.3%
1960	−4.0%
1964	+25.0%
1968	−11.5%
1972	−38.0%
1976	−7.8%
1980	−22.8%
1984	−43.3%
1988	−41.1%
1992	−18.8%
1996	−22.3%
2000	−26.2%
2004	−27.7%
2008	−13.5%
2012	−19.9%
2016	−24.4%
2020	−17.3%
2024	−21.5%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	38.4%Harris17,180	59.9%Trump26,825	0.5%Oliver217 +4	R+21.5	R+4.3	R+20.1	44,768
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican59.9%26,825 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.4%17,180 OtherAll other candidates0.5%231 Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%217 Jill SteinIndependent0.4%195 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%74 Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%46
2020	R	40.2%Biden17,565	57.5%Trump25,106	1.8%Jorgensen777	R+17.3	D+7.2	R+21.7	43,661
2016	R	34.6%Clinton12,971	59.1%Trump22,127	3.2%Johnson1,191	R+24.4	R+4.6	R+26.5	37,460
2012	R	39.3%Obama13,965	59.2%Romney21,034	1.6%	R+19.9	R+6.4	R+23.7	35,555
2008	R	42.7%Obama14,616	56.2%McCain19,227	1.1%	R+13.5	D+14.3	R+20.7	34,219
2004	R	35.8%Kerry10,712	63.6%Bush19,011	0.6%	R+27.7	R+1.5	R+25.3	29,915
2000	R	35.3%Gore8,296	61.6%Bush14,456	2.4%Nader570	R+26.2	R+3.9	R+26.8	23,481
1996	R	35.1%Clinton6,759	57.4%Dole11,063	6.7%Perot1,287	R+22.3	R+3.6	R+30.9	19,258
1992	R	31.8%Clinton6,600	50.6%Bush10,497	16.7%Perot3,464	R+18.8	D+22.3	R+24.3	20,759
1988	R	28.8%Dukakis4,837	69.9%Bush11,733	1.3%	R+41.1	D+2.3	R+33.3	16,796
1984	R	28.1%Mondale4,056	71.4%Reagan10,319	0.5%	R+43.3	R+20.5	R+25.1	14,451
1980	R	35.3%Carter4,119	58.1%Reagan6,782	6.6%	R+22.8	R+15.0	R+13.1	11,670
1976	R	43.9%Carter4,002	51.8%Ford4,715	4.3%	R+7.8	D+30.2	R+9.9	9,111
1972	R	29.7%McGovern2,039	67.7%Nixon4,654	2.6%	R+38.0	R+26.6	R+14.9	6,873
1968	R	32.3%Humphrey2,099	43.8%Nixon2,845	24.0%	R+11.5	R+36.5	R+10.8	6,501
1964	D	62.5%Johnson3,506	37.4%Goldwater2,101	0.1%	D+25.0	D+29.1	D+2.4	5,613
1960	R	47.8%Kennedy1,958	51.9%Nixon2,123	0.3%	R+4.0	D+10.3	R+4.2	4,094
1956	R	41.2%Stevenson1,567	55.5%Eisenhower2,112	3.2%	R+14.3	R+1.5	D+1.1	3,802
1952	R	43.5%Stevenson1,597	56.3%Eisenhower2,068	0.3%	R+12.8	R+19.9	R+2.1	3,675
1948	D	48.4%Truman1,291	41.3%Dewey1,102	10.3%	D+7.1	R+24.8	D+2.6	2,667
1944	D	65.9%Roosevelt2,110	34.0%Dewey1,089	0.2%	D+31.9	R+10.5	D+24.4	3,204
1940	D	71.1%Roosevelt1,874	28.7%Willkie756	0.3%	D+42.4	R+10.3	D+32.5	2,637
1936	D	76.2%Roosevelt2,037	23.5%Landon629	0.2%	D+52.7	R+14.9	D+28.4	2,672
1932	D	83.4%Roosevelt1,999	15.8%Hoover379	0.8%	D+67.6	D+45.3	D+49.8	2,396
1928	D	61.2%Smith1,531	38.8%Hoover972	0.0%	D+22.3	R+32.1	D+39.8	2,503
1924	D	74.5%Davis1,277	20.1%Coolidge345	5.2%La Follette89	D+54.4	D+13.3	D+79.6	1,713
1920	D	70.3%Cox1,365	29.3%Harding568	0.4%	D+41.1	R+12.1	D+67.3	1,941
1916	D	76.5%Wilson1,204	23.3%Hughes367	0.2%	D+53.2	R+15.6	D+50.0	1,574
1912	D	81.2%Wilson1,187	12.5%Taft182	6.3%	D+68.8	D+11.3	D+49.2	1,461
1908	D	78.6%Bryan1,354	21.1%Taft363	0.3%	D+57.5	D+3.0	D+67.1	1,723
1904	D	77.2%Parker1,216	22.7%Roosevelt357	0.2%	D+54.5	D+23.7	D+74.2	1,576
1900	D	65.3%Bryan2,610	34.5%McKinley1,377	0.3%	D+30.8	D+3.3	D+38.4	3,997
1896	D	63.4%Bryan2,744	35.9%McKinley1,553	0.7%	D+27.5	R+6.8	D+33.6	4,328
1892	D	66.1%Cleveland2,802	31.8%Harrison1,348	2.1%	D+34.3	—	D+32.7	4,238
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	36.8%16,334	63.2%27,994	44,328
2020	R	48.8%13,672	51.2%14,361	28,033
2018	R	40.9%13,105	59.1%18,962	32,067

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	39.3%17,441	60.7%26,971	44,412
2020Class II	R	41.2%Mark Warner17,468	58.7%Daniel Gade24,937	42,446
2018Class I	R	42.6%Tim Kaine13,735	55.3%Corey Stewart17,801	32,214
2014Class II	R	33.9%Mark Warner6,985	64.1%Ed Gillespie13,219	20,615
2012Class I	R	40.8%Tim Kaine14,351	59.0%George Allen20,745	35,164
2008Class II	D	55.4%Mark Warner18,725	43.5%Jim Gilmore14,707	33,796
2006Class I	R	41.5%Jim Webb9,260	57.3%George Allen12,777	22,310
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	85.1%John Warner10,669	12,542
2000Class I	R	38.2%Chuck Robb8,932	61.8%George Allen14,457	23,402
1996Class II	R	38.9%Mark Warner7,617	60.7%John Warner11,881	19,563
1994Class I	R	36.0%Chuck Robb5,974	52.1%Oliver North8,646	16,588
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	84.8%John Warner8,114	9,571
1988Class I	D	64.2%Chuck Robb9,963	35.8%Maurice A. Dawkins5,546	15,512
1984Class II	R	20.7%Edythe Harrison2,810	79.3%John Warner10,753	13,564
1982Class I	R	42.8%Dick Davis3,403	57.2%Paul S. Trible4,540	7,943
1978Class II	R	47.1%Andrew Miller3,168	52.8%John Warner3,549	6,720
1976Class I	D	31.0%Elmo Zumwalt2,585	0.0%None0	8,346
1972Class II	R	39.9%William B. Spong Jr.2,777	55.9%Bill Scott3,889	6,953
1970Class I	D	26.1%George C. Rawlings Jr.1,266	11.5%Ray Garland558	4,849
1966Class II	D	75.3%William B. Spong Jr.3,272	20.9%James P. Ould Jr.909	4,344
1964Class I	D	69.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,654	10.3%Richard A. May542	5,283
1960Class II	D	81.5%A. Willis Robertson2,825	0.0%None0	3,466
1958Class I	D	78.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,972	0.0%None0	2,529
1954Class II	D	84.5%A. Willis Robertson1,537	0.0%None0	1,820
1952Class I	D	80.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,256	0.0%None0	2,799
1948Class II	D	77.8%A. Willis Robertson1,891	20.8%Robert H. Woods506	2,432
1946Class I	D	83.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,180	14.7%Lester S. Parsons208	1,417
1942Class II	D	96.6%Carter Glass840	0.0%None0	870
1940Class I	D	96.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,295	0.0%None0	2,386
1936Class II	D	89.5%Carter Glass2,157	5.9%George Rohlson143	2,409
1934Class I	D	90.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,192	8.3%Lawrence C. Page110	1,319
1930Class II	D	90.2%Carter Glass1,012	0.0%None0	1,122
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson2,571	0.0%None0	2,571
1924Class II	D	84.5%Carter Glass1,398	3.0%William Doak49	1,655
1922Class I	D	87.7%Claude Swanson1,001	11.0%J.W. McGavock126	1,142
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin639	0.0%None0	639
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson1,473	0.0%None0	1,473

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	66.0%Harry F. Byrd Jr.2,873	30.2%Lawrence Traylor1,317	4,355
1933Special · Class I	D	89.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,126	10.1%Henry Wise127	1,261

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	R	42.3%Abigail Spanberger14,610	57.6%Winsome Earle-Sears19,894	34,566
2017	R	39.2%Ralph Northam9,430	59.6%Ed Gillespie14,332	24,039
2013	R	35.1%Terry McAuliffe7,376	59.9%Ken Cuccinelli12,565	20,992
2009	R	31.1%Creigh Deeds5,566	68.8%Bob McDonnell12,309	17,898
2005	R	43.4%Tim Kaine7,746	53.3%Jerry Kilgore9,505	17,847
2001	R	42.2%Mark Warner6,952	57.2%Mark Earley9,420	16,472
1997	R	33.6%Don Beyer4,792	65.2%Jim Gilmore9,293	14,259
1993	R	31.3%Mary Sue Terry4,545	68.3%George Allen9,923	14,531
1989	R	45.3%Douglas Wilder5,545	54.7%Marshall Coleman6,700	12,249
1985	D	50.0%Gerald Baliles4,175	49.9%Wyatt Durrette4,168	8,345
1981	R	46.7%Chuck Robb3,891	53.3%Marshall Coleman4,442	8,334
1977	R	40.7%Henry Howell2,568	58.9%John N. Dalton3,716	6,311

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Fauquier County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	49,248
2018	50,887
2020	54,371
2022	56,125
2024	58,450

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+539 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +6,311 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $99,638 in average income, against $130,383 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+15.2 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than Fauquier County, VA itself (R+21.5).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Prince William County, VA609D+17.9
Fairfax County, VA287D+34.7
Loudoun County, VA163D+16.2
Culpeper County, VA139R+24.9
Manassas city, VA92D+14.8
Stafford County, VA56D+0.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Prince William County, VA267
Culpeper County, VA223
Fairfax County, VA162
Loudoun County, VA94
Warren County, VA89
Stafford County, VA59

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Fauquier County, VA in Fauquier County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+366
2012	+220
2013	+349
2014	+713
2015	+52
2016	+101
2017	+486
2018	+944
2019	+453
2021	+926
2022	+536
2023	+334
2024	+292
2025	+539

Fauquier sits at the outer edge of Northern Virginia's commuter belt, where working farms and estate properties define a landscape distinct from the dense suburbs closer to Washington — and its R+21.7 presidential margin reflects that rural-exurban character.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 68.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 43.3 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.5 points.

A population of 74,577, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $130,189 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Douglas County and Calvert County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Douglas County

Colorado

91.0twin score

median incomeelasticity2020 margin≠ 12-yr trend

Calvert County

Maryland

90.2twin score

median incomeelasticity12-yr trend≠ % Catholic

St. Mary's County

Maryland

88.8twin score

median income12-yr trendelasticity≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Cities & towns in Fauquier County

Virginia at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2025 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Fauquier County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Fauquier County, Virginia voted Republican by 21.5 points (R+21.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,768 votes cast, 17,180 went Democratic and 26,825 went Republican.

When did Fauquier County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Fauquier County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Fauquier County, Virginia?

Fauquier County, Virginia has a population of 74,577 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Fauquier County, Virginia?

Median household income in Fauquier County, Virginia is $130,189 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Fauquier County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fauquier County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Measure

Fauquier County

Virginia

United States

Median age

41.2

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

8.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.2%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Fauquier County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$130,189

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

6.8%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

41.7%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Fauquier County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

12.1%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

8.8%

7.9%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

1.0%

2.6%

2.0%

Measure

Fauquier County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

9.3%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

16.5%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

59.8%

54.3%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

11.5%

8.4%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+21.5MIT Election Lab

Population

74,5772024 5-year

Median household income

$130,1892024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

74.8%2024 5-year

Black

6.3%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

12.4%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+68.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+43.3 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Douglas County, CO · twin score 91.0

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

37,690

49,553

76.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

32,214

50,622

63.6%

C/A

2020 · Presidential

44,039

51,389

85.7%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

33,428

53,834

62.1%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

44,694

55,048

81.2%

A/A

Fauquier County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -502 - NEW BALTIMORE502 - NEW BALTIMORE

1,237

1,935

3,238

38.2%

59.8%

R+21.6

Precinct -504 - VINT HILL504 - VINT HILL

1,192

1,816

3,055

39.0%

59.4%

R+20.4

Precinct -103 - CASANOVA103 - CASANOVA

1,130

1,788

2,969

38.1%

60.2%

R+22.2

Precinct -403 - WATERLOO403 - WATERLOO

1,058

1,767

2,880

36.7%

61.4%

R+24.6

Precinct -402 - LEEDS402 - LEEDS

1,299

1,496

2,839

45.8%

52.7%

R+6.9

Precinct -102 - CATLETT102 - CATLETT

685

1,974

2,683

25.5%

73.6%

R+48.0

Precinct -301 - MORRISVILLE301 - MORRISVILLE

748

1,855

2,642

28.3%

70.2%

R+41.9

Precinct -401 - SALEM401 - SALEM

1,098

1,487

2,636

41.7%

56.4%

R+14.8

Precinct -302 - BOTHA302 - BOTHA

836

1,634

2,503

33.4%

65.3%

R+31.9

Precinct -206 - AIRLIE206 - AIRLIE

1,039

1,349

2,433

42.7%

55.4%

R+12.7

Precinct -303 - BEALETON303 - BEALETON

958

1,298

2,299

41.7%

56.5%

R+14.8

Precinct -503 - BROAD RUN503 - BROAD RUN

814

1,246

2,095

38.9%

59.5%

R+20.6

Precinct -101 - KETTLE RUN101 - KETTLE RUN

409

992

1,430

28.6%

69.4%

R+40.8

Precinct -201 - WARD 1201 - WARD 1

601

627

1,259

47.7%

49.8%

R+2.1

Precinct -105 - OPAL105 - OPAL

336

907

1,257

26.7%

72.2%

R+45.4

Precinct -204 - WARD 4204 - WARD 4

495

693

1,215

40.7%

57.0%

R+16.3

Precinct -501 - HOPEWELL501 - HOPEWELL

545

644

1,215

44.9%

53.0%

R+8.1

Precinct -404 - SPRINGS VALLEY404 - SPRINGS VALLEY

489

671

1,187

41.2%

56.5%

R+15.3

Precinct -104 - LOIS104 - LOIS

334

841

1,184

28.2%

71.0%

R+42.8

Precinct -203 - WARD 3203 - WARD 3

567

558

1,144

49.6%

48.8%

D+0.8

Precinct -205 - WARD 5205 - WARD 5

559

543

1,128

49.6%

48.1%

D+1.4

Precinct -202 - WARD 2202 - WARD 2

556

466

1,038

53.6%

44.9%

D+8.7

Precinct -304 - REMINGTON304 - REMINGTON

113

170

284

39.8%

59.9%

R+20.1

Precinct -505 - THE PLAINS505 - THE PLAINS

155

52.9%

43.9%

D+9.0

Airlie51061000202

—

No votes

Baldwin Ridge51061000106

—

No votes

Bealeton51061000303

—

No votes

Broad Run51061000503

—

No votes

Casanova51061000103

—

No votes

Catlett51061000102

—

No votes

Courthouse51061000201

—

No votes

Kettle Run51061000101

—

No votes

Leeds51061000402

—

No votes

Lois51061000104

—

No votes

Marshall51061000401

—

No votes

Morrisville51061000301

—

No votes

New Baltimore51061000502

—

No votes

Opal51061000105

—

No votes

Remington51061000302

—

No votes

Springs Valley51061000404

—

No votes

The Plains51061000501

—

No votes

Vint Hill51061000504

—

No votes

Warrenton51061000203

—

No votes

Waterloo51061000403

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+34.3%
1896	+27.5%
1900	+30.8%
1904	+54.5%
1908	+57.5%
1912	+68.8%
1916	+53.2%
1920	+41.1%
1924	+54.4%
1928	+22.3%
1932	+67.6%
1936	+52.7%
1940	+42.4%
1944	+31.9%
1948	+7.1%
1952	−12.8%
1956	−14.3%
1960	−4.0%
1964	+25.0%
1968	−11.5%
1972	−38.0%
1976	−7.8%
1980	−22.8%
1984	−43.3%
1988	−41.1%
1992	−18.8%
1996	−22.3%
2000	−26.2%
2004	−27.7%
2008	−13.5%
2012	−19.9%
2016	−24.4%
2020	−17.3%
2024	−21.5%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

38.4%Harris17,180

59.9%Trump26,825

0.5%Oliver217 +4

R+21.5

R+4.3

R+20.1

44,768

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican59.9%26,825
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.4%17,180
OtherAll other candidates0.5%231
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%217
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%195
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%74
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%46

2020

40.2%Biden17,565

57.5%Trump25,106

1.8%Jorgensen777

R+17.3

D+7.2

R+21.7

43,661

2016

34.6%Clinton12,971

59.1%Trump22,127

3.2%Johnson1,191

R+24.4

R+4.6

R+26.5

37,460

2012

39.3%Obama13,965

59.2%Romney21,034

1.6%

R+19.9

R+6.4

R+23.7

35,555

2008

42.7%Obama14,616

56.2%McCain19,227

1.1%

R+13.5

D+14.3

R+20.7

34,219

2004

35.8%Kerry10,712

63.6%Bush19,011

0.6%

R+27.7

R+1.5

R+25.3

29,915

2000

35.3%Gore8,296

61.6%Bush14,456

2.4%Nader570

R+26.2

R+3.9

R+26.8

23,481

1996

35.1%Clinton6,759

57.4%Dole11,063

6.7%Perot1,287

R+22.3

R+3.6

R+30.9

19,258

1992

31.8%Clinton6,600

50.6%Bush10,497

16.7%Perot3,464

R+18.8

D+22.3

R+24.3

20,759

1988

28.8%Dukakis4,837

69.9%Bush11,733

1.3%

R+41.1

D+2.3

R+33.3

16,796

1984

28.1%Mondale4,056

71.4%Reagan10,319

0.5%

R+43.3

R+20.5

R+25.1

14,451

1980

35.3%Carter4,119

58.1%Reagan6,782

6.6%

R+22.8

R+15.0

R+13.1

11,670

1976

43.9%Carter4,002

51.8%Ford4,715

4.3%

R+7.8

D+30.2

R+9.9

9,111

1972

29.7%McGovern2,039

67.7%Nixon4,654

2.6%

R+38.0

R+26.6

R+14.9

6,873

1968

32.3%Humphrey2,099

43.8%Nixon2,845

24.0%

R+11.5

R+36.5

R+10.8

6,501

1964

62.5%Johnson3,506

37.4%Goldwater2,101

0.1%

D+25.0

D+29.1

D+2.4

5,613

1960

47.8%Kennedy1,958

51.9%Nixon2,123

0.3%

R+4.0

D+10.3

R+4.2

4,094

1956

41.2%Stevenson1,567

55.5%Eisenhower2,112

3.2%

R+14.3

R+1.5

D+1.1

3,802

1952

43.5%Stevenson1,597

56.3%Eisenhower2,068

0.3%

R+12.8

R+19.9

R+2.1

3,675

1948

48.4%Truman1,291

41.3%Dewey1,102

10.3%

D+7.1

R+24.8

D+2.6

2,667

1944

65.9%Roosevelt2,110

34.0%Dewey1,089

0.2%

D+31.9

R+10.5

D+24.4

3,204

1940

71.1%Roosevelt1,874

28.7%Willkie756

0.3%

D+42.4

R+10.3

D+32.5

2,637

1936

76.2%Roosevelt2,037

23.5%Landon629

0.2%

D+52.7

R+14.9

D+28.4

2,672

1932

83.4%Roosevelt1,999

15.8%Hoover379

0.8%

D+67.6

D+45.3

D+49.8

2,396

1928

61.2%Smith1,531

38.8%Hoover972

0.0%

D+22.3

R+32.1

D+39.8

2,503

1924

74.5%Davis1,277

20.1%Coolidge345

5.2%La Follette89

D+54.4

D+13.3

D+79.6

1,713

1920

70.3%Cox1,365

29.3%Harding568

0.4%

D+41.1

R+12.1

D+67.3

1,941

1916

76.5%Wilson1,204

23.3%Hughes367

0.2%

D+53.2

R+15.6

D+50.0

1,574

1912

81.2%Wilson1,187

12.5%Taft182

6.3%

D+68.8

D+11.3

D+49.2

1,461

1908

78.6%Bryan1,354

21.1%Taft363

0.3%

D+57.5

D+3.0

D+67.1

1,723

1904

77.2%Parker1,216

22.7%Roosevelt357

0.2%

D+54.5

D+23.7

D+74.2

1,576

1900

65.3%Bryan2,610

34.5%McKinley1,377

0.3%

D+30.8

D+3.3

D+38.4

3,997

1896

63.4%Bryan2,744

35.9%McKinley1,553

0.7%

D+27.5

R+6.8

D+33.6

4,328

1892

66.1%Cleveland2,802

31.8%Harrison1,348

2.1%

D+34.3

—

D+32.7

4,238

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

36.8%16,334

63.2%27,994

44,328

2020

48.8%13,672

51.2%14,361

28,033

2018

40.9%13,105

59.1%18,962

32,067

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

39.3%17,441

60.7%26,971

44,412

2020Class II

41.2%Mark Warner17,468

58.7%Daniel Gade24,937

42,446

2018Class I

42.6%Tim Kaine13,735

55.3%Corey Stewart17,801

32,214

2014Class II

33.9%Mark Warner6,985

64.1%Ed Gillespie13,219

20,615

2012Class I

40.8%Tim Kaine14,351

59.0%George Allen20,745

35,164

2008Class II

55.4%Mark Warner18,725

43.5%Jim Gilmore14,707

33,796

2006Class I

41.5%Jim Webb9,260

57.3%George Allen12,777

22,310

2002Class II

0.0%None0

85.1%John Warner10,669

12,542

2000Class I

38.2%Chuck Robb8,932

61.8%George Allen14,457

23,402

1996Class II

38.9%Mark Warner7,617

60.7%John Warner11,881

19,563

1994Class I

36.0%Chuck Robb5,974

52.1%Oliver North8,646

16,588

1990Class II

0.0%None0

84.8%John Warner8,114

9,571

1988Class I

64.2%Chuck Robb9,963

35.8%Maurice A. Dawkins5,546

15,512

1984Class II

20.7%Edythe Harrison2,810

79.3%John Warner10,753

13,564

1982Class I

42.8%Dick Davis3,403

57.2%Paul S. Trible4,540

7,943

1978Class II

47.1%Andrew Miller3,168

52.8%John Warner3,549

6,720

1976Class I

31.0%Elmo Zumwalt2,585

0.0%None0

8,346

1972Class II

39.9%William B. Spong Jr.2,777

55.9%Bill Scott3,889

6,953

1970Class I

26.1%George C. Rawlings Jr.1,266

11.5%Ray Garland558

4,849

1966Class II

75.3%William B. Spong Jr.3,272

20.9%James P. Ould Jr.909

4,344

1964Class I

69.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.3,654

10.3%Richard A. May542

5,283

1960Class II

81.5%A. Willis Robertson2,825

0.0%None0

3,466

1958Class I

78.0%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,972

0.0%None0

2,529

1954Class II

84.5%A. Willis Robertson1,537

0.0%None0

1,820

1952Class I

80.6%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,256

0.0%None0

2,799

1948Class II

77.8%A. Willis Robertson1,891

20.8%Robert H. Woods506

2,432

1946Class I

83.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,180

14.7%Lester S. Parsons208

1,417

1942Class II

96.6%Carter Glass840

0.0%None0

870

1940Class I

96.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,295

0.0%None0

2,386

1936Class II

89.5%Carter Glass2,157

5.9%George Rohlson143

2,409

1934Class I

90.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,192

8.3%Lawrence C. Page110

1,319

1930Class II

90.2%Carter Glass1,012

0.0%None0

1,122

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson2,571

0.0%None0

2,571

1924Class II

84.5%Carter Glass1,398

3.0%William Doak49

1,655

1922Class I

87.7%Claude Swanson1,001

11.0%J.W. McGavock126

1,142

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin639

0.0%None0

639

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson1,473

0.0%None0

1,473

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

66.0%Harry F. Byrd Jr.2,873

30.2%Lawrence Traylor1,317

4,355

1933Special · Class I

89.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,126

10.1%Henry Wise127

1,261

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

42.3%Abigail Spanberger14,610

57.6%Winsome Earle-Sears19,894

34,566

2017

39.2%Ralph Northam9,430

59.6%Ed Gillespie14,332

24,039

2013

35.1%Terry McAuliffe7,376

59.9%Ken Cuccinelli12,565

20,992

2009

31.1%Creigh Deeds5,566

68.8%Bob McDonnell12,309

17,898

2005

43.4%Tim Kaine7,746

53.3%Jerry Kilgore9,505

17,847

2001

42.2%Mark Warner6,952

57.2%Mark Earley9,420

16,472

1997

33.6%Don Beyer4,792

65.2%Jim Gilmore9,293

14,259

1993

31.3%Mary Sue Terry4,545

68.3%George Allen9,923

14,531

1989

45.3%Douglas Wilder5,545

54.7%Marshall Coleman6,700

12,249

1985

50.0%Gerald Baliles4,175

49.9%Wyatt Durrette4,168

8,345

1981

46.7%Chuck Robb3,891

53.3%Marshall Coleman4,442

8,334

1977

40.7%Henry Howell2,568

58.9%John N. Dalton3,716

6,311

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Fauquier County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	49,248
2018	50,887
2020	54,371
2022	56,125
2024	58,450

How did Fauquier County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Fauquier County, Virginia voted Republican by 21.5 points (R+21.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 44,768 votes cast, 17,180 went Democratic and 26,825 went Republican.

When did Fauquier County, Virginia last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Fauquier County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Fauquier County, Virginia?

Fauquier County, Virginia has a population of 74,577 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Fauquier County, Virginia?

Median household income in Fauquier County, Virginia is $130,189 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Fauquier County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fauquier County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.