akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·Virginia

Virginia 31st State Senate District changed direction in the last decade — D+12 in 2024.

One of Virginia's widest presidential margins sits in the southwestern highlands

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
D+12
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
398,498
2024 ACS

Virginia 31st State Senate District, Virginia: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted D+12%. Democratic peak: D+71 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+12MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
398,4982024 5-year
Median household income
$176,3512024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.5%2024 5-year
Black
7.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
14.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+71 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1972MIT Election Lab
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+11.8%
116,12790,910214,306
D
+20.1%
123,83381,693209,706
D
+11.8%
90,30370,023171,788
D
+1.3%
75,77273,811151,781
D
+5.1%
69,84962,950134,062
R
−14.6%
44,94660,395106,089
R
−17.1%
30,13743,07375,481
R
−13.9%
20,21727,38351,431
R
−13.4%
15,61321,77345,882
R
−35.6%
11,03323,41934,837
R
−38.4%
9,05120,41829,624
R
−25.3%
7,82413,74923,423
R
−7.0%
8,83110,21519,729
R
−41.0%
1,9754,8206,939
R
−12.7%
3,8655,36611,858
D
+21.3%
6,2104,03110,254
R
−3.1%
3,0753,2726,378
R
−12.4%
2,4943,2355,972
R
−11.0%
2,6063,2535,877
D
+4.8%
1,9981,7974,170
D
+18.5%
2,6681,8344,512
D
+36.9%
2,8291,2994,143
D
+47.7%
3,0281,0684,106
D
+62.6%
3,1337083,876
D
+19.6%
2,4371,6384,075
D
+71.2%
2,1963202,636
D
+39.3%
2,1849433,155
D
+55.3%
1,9035392,467
D
+65.7%
1,8083132,277
D
+55.0%
2,0535722,691
D
+54.1%
1,9665652,592
D
+25.5%
3,6792,1605,947
D
+20.0%
3,7962,5116,411
D
+26.1%
3,8112,1876,212
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
10.8%
English
10.8%
Irish
10.1%
Italian
5.4%
American
5.2%
Polish
2.6%
Scottish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
67.5%
speak English only
Spanish10.8%
Other Indo-European10.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander8.8%
Other languages2.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
12.7%
Other Christian
5.5%
Non-Christian
3.6%
Methodist
3.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Baptist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in Virginia's coalfield and mountain counties, this district recorded a 48.6-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the long-running political realignment of Appalachian communities away from their historic Democratic roots.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the district by five points. The 2024 margin was twelve points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 398,498, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $176,351 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Virginia voted Democratic by 11.8 points (D+12), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 214,306 votes cast, 116,127 went Democratic and 90,910 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Virginia as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 31, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Virginia?
State Senate District 31, Virginia has a population of 398,498 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Virginia?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Virginia is $176,351 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $59,608.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.