- Lead
- 8,451
- Total
- 97,151
- vs nation
- D+10.2
Virginia 30th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 16,975
- Total
- 96,794
- vs nation
- D+13.1
- Lead
- 9,064
- Total
- 84,093
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Lead
- 4,439
- Total
- 78,326
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Lead
- 3,457
- Total
- 70,403
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 10,957
- Total
- 60,415
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Lead
- 9,125
- Total
- 48,757
- vs nation
- R+19.2
- Lead
- 6,919
- Total
- 39,056
- vs nation
- R+26.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 215,1842024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,781 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 121 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $129,3052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 3, RI · twin score 68.2
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 30th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
57.9%
55,996 votes · D+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 53.1%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
58.7%
35,478 votes · R+18.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 47.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
55,996votes
57.9% of the vote · D+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 51,619 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
43,168votes
44.4% of the vote · D+8.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 39,021 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+13.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +10.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+15.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+18.1 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +2.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Virginia 30th State Senate District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 61.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.7 points.
A population of 215,184, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $129,305 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 3 and State Senate District 22.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 30th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/51030/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.