Akashic

county

Prince William County, VA

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German8.2%10.1%12.5%

English7.7%12.0%9.5%

Irish7.3%9.1%9.4%

American3.9%8.4%5.3%

Italian3.6%3.9%4.8%

Polish1.6%1.6%2.2%

Scottish1.5%1.9%1.3%

French1.1%1.3%1.6%

Salvadoran8.5%2.1%0.7%

Mexican4.0%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican2.0%1.4%1.8%

Peruvian2.0%0.5%—

Guatemalan1.8%0.7%0.5%

Honduran1.5%0.7%0.3%

Bolivian1.2%0.4%—

Colombian0.6%0.3%0.4%

African American†13.7%15.6%9.9%

Ghanaian1.5%0.2%—

African1.3%0.9%0.5%

Ethiopian1.2%0.5%—

Jamaican0.4%0.3%0.4%

Nigerian0.3%0.2%0.2%

Somali0.2%——

Sierra Leonean0.2%——

Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.2%——

Asian Indian2.0%1.8%1.4%

Pakistani1.3%0.5%—

Filipino1.2%0.9%0.9%

Korean1.2%0.8%0.4%

Afghan0.9%0.2%—

Vietnamese0.8%0.7%0.6%

Chinese0.5%0.8%1.3%

Bangladeshi0.5%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Median age	36.3	39.3	39.1
Age 18–24	8.9%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	11.3%	16.7%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Median household income	$131,402	$93,170	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.2%	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	44.9%	42.3%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	36.5%	17.5%	22.3%
Spanish	20.0%	7.9%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	5.5%	2.6%	2.0%
Arabic	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%
Other languages	3.8%	1.1%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Prince William County	Virginia	United States
Catholic	15.2%	10.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	12.8%	19.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	59.1%	54.3%	51.5%
Muslim	5.2%	2.0%	1.3%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 73.7% of 311,411 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic57.3%131,128TrumpRepublican39.4%90,203SteinIndependent1.8%4,148

D+17.9

Lead: 40,925
Total: 228,712
vs nation: D+19.4
Turnout: 73.7%

BidenDemocratic62.6%142,863TrumpRepublican35.6%81,222JorgensenLibertarian1.4%3,148

D+27.0

Lead: 61,641
Total: 228,056
vs nation: D+22.6
Turnout: 78.6%

ClintonDemocratic57.6%113,144TrumpRepublican36.5%71,721JohnsonLibertarian2.7%5,374

D+21.1

Lead: 41,423
Total: 196,442
vs nation: D+19.0
Turnout: 71.6%

ObamaDemocratic57.3%103,331RomneyRepublican41.3%74,458OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,406

D+16.0

Lead: 28,873
Total: 180,195
vs nation: D+12.2
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic57.5%93,435McCainRepublican41.6%67,621OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,390

D+15.9

Lead: 25,814
Total: 162,446
vs nation: D+8.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic46.4%61,271BushRepublican52.8%69,776OtherAll other candidates0.8%1,016

R+6.4

Lead: 8,505
Total: 132,063
vs nation: R+4.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic44.5%44,745BushRepublican52.5%52,788NaderGreen1.9%1,927

R+8.0

Lead: 8,043
Total: 100,511
vs nation: R+8.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic42.7%33,462DoleRepublican50.1%39,292PerotReform6.2%4,881

R+7.4

Lead: 5,830
Total: 78,443
vs nation: R+16.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+17.9MIT Election Lab
Population: 488,8802024 5-year
Median household income: $131,4022024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 37.9%2024 5-year
Black: 19.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 26.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+73.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+38.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Fairfax County, VA · twin score 93.7

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 73.7%229,615 participants ÷ 311,411 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +28.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +4.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 45.6%–52.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	196,474	274,536	71.6%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	163,846	283,920	57.7%	C/A
2020 · Presidential	229,515	292,178	78.6%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	154,156	305,753	50.4%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	229,615	311,411	73.7%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

201 precincts · 228,712 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Prince William County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -409-Tyler409-Tyler	2,108	1,672	115	3,895	54.1%	42.9%	D+11.2
Precinct -112-Burke-Nickens112-Burke-Nickens	1,868	1,638	111	3,617	51.6%	45.3%	D+6.4
Precinct -407-Heritage Hunt407-Heritage Hunt	1,873	1,614	49	3,536	53.0%	45.6%	D+7.3
Precinct -402-Gravely402-Gravely	1,485	1,956	88	3,529	42.1%	55.4%	R+13.3
Precinct -410-Mountain View410-Mountain View	1,650	1,658	96	3,404	48.5%	48.7%	R+0.2
Precinct -104-Nokesville104-Nokesville	1,347	1,887	80	3,314	40.6%	56.9%	R+16.3
Precinct -111-Limestone111-Limestone	1,683	1,493	125	3,301	51.0%	45.2%	D+5.8
Precinct -114-Bristow Run114-Bristow Run	1,737	1,449	115	3,301	52.6%	43.9%	D+8.7
Precinct -203-Bennett203-Bennett	1,769	1,326	116	3,211	55.1%	41.3%	D+13.8
Precinct -107-Marsteller107-Marsteller	1,672	1,272	84	3,028	55.2%	42.0%	D+13.2
Precinct -406-Alvey406-Alvey	1,511	1,402	79	2,992	50.5%	46.9%	D+3.6
Precinct -103-Glenkirk103-Glenkirk	1,492	1,351	128	2,971	50.2%	45.5%	D+4.7
Precinct -509-McCoart509-McCoart	1,601	1,266	87	2,954	54.2%	42.9%	D+11.3
Precinct -511-Westridge511-Westridge	1,782	1,031	114	2,927	60.9%	35.2%	D+25.7
Precinct -110-Buckland Mills110-Buckland Mills	1,489	1,317	113	2,919	51.0%	45.1%	D+5.9
Precinct -413-Reagan413-Reagan	1,368	1,446	88	2,902	47.1%	49.8%	R+2.7
Precinct -513-Woodbridge513-Woodbridge	1,653	1,108	140	2,901	57.0%	38.2%	D+18.8
Precinct -501-Springwoods501-Springwoods	1,732	983	106	2,821	61.4%	34.8%	D+26.6
Precinct -108-Victory108-Victory	1,577	1,167	70	2,814	56.0%	41.5%	D+14.6
Precinct -210-Yates Ford210-Yates Ford	1,298	1,407	82	2,787	46.6%	50.5%	R+3.9
Precinct -316-Potomac Shores316-Potomac Shores	1,977	730	75	2,782	71.1%	26.2%	D+44.8
Precinct -206-Coles206-Coles	1,329	1,368	77	2,774	47.9%	49.3%	R+1.4
Precinct -109-Chris Yung109-Chris Yung	1,473	1,148	120	2,741	53.7%	41.9%	D+11.9
Precinct -401-Evergreen401-Evergreen	1,131	1,545	58	2,734	41.4%	56.5%	R+15.1
Precinct -505-Lake Ridge505-Lake Ridge	1,661	974	99	2,734	60.8%	35.6%	D+25.1
Precinct -608-Enterprise608-Enterprise	1,658	982	93	2,733	60.7%	35.9%	D+24.7
Precinct -507-Chinn507-Chinn	1,747	806	112	2,665	65.6%	30.2%	D+35.3
Precinct -514-Antietam514-Antietam	1,630	929	87	2,646	61.6%	35.1%	D+26.5
Precinct -602-Beville602-Beville	1,633	864	146	2,643	61.8%	32.7%	D+29.1
Precinct -403-Bull Run403-Bull Run	1,382	1,147	90	2,619	52.8%	43.8%	D+9.0
Precinct -214-Lucasville214-Lucasville	1,155	1,384	65	2,604	44.4%	53.1%	R+8.8
Precinct -313-Cardinal313-Cardinal	1,613	874	102	2,589	62.3%	33.8%	D+28.5
Precinct -101-Brentsville101-Brentsville	763	1,770	55	2,588	29.5%	68.4%	R+38.9
Precinct -508-Purcell508-Purcell	1,284	1,224	79	2,587	49.6%	47.3%	D+2.3
Precinct -701-Belmont701-Belmont	1,630	884	72	2,586	63.0%	34.2%	D+28.8
Precinct -706-Rippon706-Rippon	1,580	889	77	2,546	62.1%	34.9%	D+27.1
Precinct -312-Triangle312-Triangle	1,657	805	82	2,544	65.1%	31.6%	D+33.5
Precinct -113-Lakes113-Lakes	1,336	1,087	84	2,507	53.3%	43.4%	D+9.9
Precinct -105-Piney Branch105-Piney Branch	1,254	1,134	93	2,481	50.5%	45.7%	D+4.8
Precinct -702-Library702-Library	1,775	615	66	2,456	72.3%	25.0%	D+47.2
Precinct -708-River Oaks708-River Oaks	1,768	601	72	2,441	72.4%	24.6%	D+47.8
Precinct -305-Forest Park305-Forest Park	1,407	965	66	2,438	57.7%	39.6%	D+18.1
Precinct -207-Spriggs207-Spriggs	1,431	915	79	2,425	59.0%	37.7%	D+21.3
Precinct -712-Leesylvania712-Leesylvania	1,479	824	86	2,389	61.9%	34.5%	D+27.4
Precinct -306-Four Seasons306-Four Seasons	1,499	827	55	2,381	63.0%	34.7%	D+28.2
Precinct -201-Hylton201-Hylton	1,432	866	80	2,378	60.2%	36.4%	D+23.8
Precinct -611-Neabsco611-Neabsco	1,526	777	75	2,378	64.2%	32.7%	D+31.5
Precinct -610-Fitzgerald610-Fitzgerald	1,535	702	80	2,317	66.2%	30.3%	D+36.0
Precinct -315-Williams315-Williams	1,667	562	71	2,300	72.5%	24.4%	D+48.0
Precinct -502-Occoquan502-Occoquan	1,405	788	88	2,281	61.6%	34.5%	D+27.0
Precinct -614-Rosa Parks614-Rosa Parks	1,434	747	98	2,279	62.9%	32.8%	D+30.1
Precinct -215-Saunders215-Saunders	1,444	694	115	2,253	64.1%	30.8%	D+33.3
Precinct -302-Potomac302-Potomac	1,571	564	112	2,247	69.9%	25.1%	D+44.8
Precinct -102-Cedar Point102-Cedar Point	1,172	1,005	54	2,231	52.5%	45.0%	D+7.5
Precinct -515-Marshall515-Marshall	1,087	1,049	51	2,187	49.7%	48.0%	D+1.7
Precinct -710-Powells Creek710-Powells Creek	1,581	517	89	2,187	72.3%	23.6%	D+48.7
Precinct -311-Swans Creek311-Swans Creek	1,501	602	78	2,181	68.8%	27.6%	D+41.2
Precinct -411-Mullen411-Mullen	1,414	709	53	2,176	65.0%	32.6%	D+32.4
Precinct -307-Henderson307-Henderson	1,232	848	63	2,143	57.5%	39.6%	D+17.9
Precinct -711-Grayson711-Grayson	1,362	717	54	2,133	63.9%	33.6%	D+30.2
Precinct -603-Hampton603-Hampton	1,384	662	66	2,112	65.5%	31.3%	D+34.2
Precinct -704-Porter704-Porter	1,433	576	88	2,097	68.3%	27.5%	D+40.9
Precinct -310-PW Forest Park310-PW Forest Park	1,377	637	66	2,080	66.2%	30.6%	D+35.6
Precinct -606-Bel Air606-Bel Air	1,171	828	57	2,056	57.0%	40.3%	D+16.7
Precinct -412-Catharpin412-Catharpin	787	1,221	36	2,044	38.5%	59.7%	R+21.2
Precinct -314-Cabin Branch314-Cabin Branch	1,248	732	60	2,040	61.2%	35.9%	D+25.3
Precinct -707-Kilby707-Kilby	1,215	735	69	2,019	60.2%	36.4%	D+23.8
Precinct -506-Old Bridge506-Old Bridge	1,198	725	74	1,997	60.0%	36.3%	D+23.7
Precinct -209-Independent Hill209-Independent Hill	710	1,230	51	1,991	35.7%	61.8%	R+26.1
Precinct -205-Buckhall205-Buckhall	968	947	73	1,988	48.7%	47.6%	D+1.1
Precinct -601-Dale601-Dale	1,263	622	81	1,966	64.2%	31.6%	D+32.6
Precinct -309-Ashland309-Ashland	1,160	745	48	1,953	59.4%	38.1%	D+21.2
Precinct -301-Dumfries301-Dumfries	1,300	588	57	1,945	66.8%	30.2%	D+36.6
Precinct -709-Freedom709-Freedom	1,380	482	83	1,945	71.0%	24.8%	D+46.2
Precinct -212-Yorkshire212-Yorkshire	950	924	48	1,922	49.4%	48.1%	D+1.4
Precinct -405-Ben Lomond405-Ben Lomond	1,143	702	44	1,889	60.5%	37.2%	D+23.3
Precinct -504-Rockledge504-Rockledge	1,147	632	53	1,832	62.6%	34.5%	D+28.1
Precinct -604-Gar-Field604-Gar-Field	1,202	546	43	1,791	67.1%	30.5%	D+36.6
Precinct -213-Parkside213-Parkside	888	790	69	1,747	50.8%	45.2%	D+5.6
Precinct -609-King609-King	974	585	140	1,699	57.3%	34.4%	D+22.9
Precinct -512-York512-York	1,171	470	54	1,695	69.1%	27.7%	D+41.4
Precinct -204-Ellis204-Ellis	915	717	34	1,666	54.9%	43.0%	D+11.9
Precinct -208-Colgan208-Colgan	753	804	35	1,592	47.3%	50.5%	R+3.2
Precinct -414-Seymour414-Seymour	978	548	58	1,584	61.7%	34.6%	D+27.1
Precinct -408-Sudley408-Sudley	750	749	32	1,531	49.0%	48.9%	D+0.1
Precinct -211-Signal Hill211-Signal Hill	885	597	42	1,524	58.1%	39.2%	D+18.9
Precinct -705-Potomac View705-Potomac View	847	623	44	1,514	55.9%	41.1%	D+14.8
Precinct -503-Mohican503-Mohican	933	495	39	1,467	63.6%	33.7%	D+29.9
Precinct -607-Hillendale607-Hillendale	851	559	45	1,455	58.5%	38.4%	D+20.1
Precinct -308-Montclair308-Montclair	832	576	36	1,444	57.6%	39.9%	D+17.7
Precinct -703-Lynn703-Lynn	1,000	391	45	1,436	69.6%	27.2%	D+42.4
Precinct -605-Minnieville605-Minnieville	841	541	44	1,426	59.0%	37.9%	D+21.0
Precinct -303-Graham Park303-Graham Park	955	425	38	1,418	67.3%	30.0%	D+37.4
Precinct -612-Elm Farm612-Elm Farm	849	509	59	1,417	59.9%	35.9%	D+24.0
Precinct -404-Unity Braxton404-Unity Braxton	787	541	50	1,378	57.1%	39.3%	D+17.9
Precinct -202-West Gate202-West Gate	765	515	29	1,309	58.4%	39.3%	D+19.1
Precinct -516-Kerrydale516-Kerrydale	602	353	44	999	60.3%	35.3%	D+24.9
Precinct -106-Unity Reed106-Unity Reed	453	297	17	767	59.1%	38.7%	D+20.3
Precinct -616-Markham616-Markham	513	129	9	651	78.8%	19.8%	D+59.0
Precinct -510-County Center510-County Center	445	129	32	606	73.4%	21.3%	D+52.1
Precinct -613-Hoadly613-Hoadly	407	165	33	605	67.3%	27.3%	D+40.0
Precinct -304-Quantico304-Quantico	191	235	14	440	43.4%	53.4%	R+10.0
Precinct -615-Commons615-Commons	197	45	5	247	79.8%	18.2%	D+61.5
Alvey51153000406	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Antietam51153000514	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ashland51153000309	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Battlefield51153000402	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bel Air51153000606	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Belmont51153000701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ben Lomond51153000404	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bennett51153000203	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bethel51153000506	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Beville51153000602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Brentsville51153000101	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bristow Run51153000111	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckhall51153000205	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckland Mills (CD 01)51153000110	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Buckland Mills (CD 10)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Bull Run51153000403	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burke-Nickens (CD 01)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Burke-Nickens (CD 10)51153000112	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cabin Branch51153000314	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cardinal51153000313	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Catharpin51153000412	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Cedar Point51153000102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chinn51153000507	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Chris Yung51153000109	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Coles51153000206	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dale51153000601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Dumfries51153000301	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Ellis51153000204	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Enterprise51153000608	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Evergreen51153000401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Fitzgerald51153000610	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Forest Park51153000310	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Freedom51153000709	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Gideon51153000604	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Glenkirk51153000103	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Graham Park51153000303	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Grayson51153000711	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hampton51153000603	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Henderson51153000307	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Heritage Hunt51153000407	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Hylton51153000208	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Independent Hill51153000209	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kerrydale51153000607	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Kilby51153000707	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
King (CD 01)51153000609	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
King (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lake Ridge51153000501	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Leesylvania51153000712	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Library51153000702	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Limestone51153000105	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lucasville51153000214	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lynn51153000703	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Lynnwood51153000513	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marshall51153000202	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Marsteller51153000107	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
McCoart51153000509	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Minnieville51153000605	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mohican51153000505	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Montclair51153000308	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mountain View51153000410	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Mullen51153000411	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Neabsco51153000611	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Nokesville51153000104	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Occoquan51153000502	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Old Bridge51153000503	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Pattie51153000305	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Penn (CD 01)51153000210	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Penn (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Piney Branch51153000114	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Porter51153000704	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potomac51153000302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Potomac View51153000705	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Powells Creek51153000710	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Quantico51153000304	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Reagan51153000413	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rippon51153000706	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
River Oaks51153000708	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rockledge51153000504	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Rosa Parks51153000215	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Saratoga51153000213	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Saunders51153000201	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Signal Hill51153000211	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Spriggs51153000207	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Springwoods51153000508	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Sudley51153000408	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Swans Creek51153000311	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Triangle (CD 01)51153000312	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Triangle (CD 11)2	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Tyler51153000409	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Unity Braxton51153000405	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Victory51153000108	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Washington-Reid51153000306	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Westgate51153000106	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Westridge51153000511	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Williams51153000315	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yates Ford51153000510	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
York51153000512	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Yorkshire51153000212	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+33.7%
1896	+29.6%
1900	+33.0%
1904	+51.8%
1908	+56.7%
1912	+73.2%
1916	+59.2%
1920	+33.3%
1924	+49.4%
1928	+0.5%
1932	+58.4%
1936	+53.2%
1940	+48.2%
1944	+27.4%
1948	+19.3%
1952	+1.0%
1956	−4.3%
1960	+6.4%
1964	−25.4%
1968	−12.7%
1972	−33.3%
1976	−0.7%
1980	−26.3%
1984	−38.1%
1988	−34.4%
1992	−11.8%
1996	−7.4%
2000	−8.0%
2004	−6.4%
2008	+15.9%
2012	+16.0%
2016	+21.1%
2020	+27.0%
2024	+17.9%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	57.3%Harris131,128	39.4%Trump90,203	1.8%Stein4,148 +4	D+17.9	R+9.1	D+19.4	228,712
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Kamala D HarrisDemocratic57.3%131,128 Donald J TrumpRepublican39.4%90,203 Jill SteinIndependent1.8%4,148 OtherAll other candidates0.5%1,121 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%911 Cornel R WestIndependent0.3%674 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%527
2020	D	62.6%Biden142,863	35.6%Trump81,222	1.4%Jorgensen3,148	D+27.0	D+5.9	D+22.6	228,056
2016	D	57.6%Clinton113,144	36.5%Trump71,721	2.7%Johnson5,374	D+21.1	D+5.1	D+19.0	196,442
2012	D	57.3%Obama103,331	41.3%Romney74,458	1.3%	D+16.0	D+0.1	D+12.2	180,195
2008	D	57.5%Obama93,435	41.6%McCain67,621	0.9%	D+15.9	D+22.3	D+8.6	162,446
2004	R	46.4%Kerry61,271	52.8%Bush69,776	0.8%	R+6.4	D+1.6	R+4.0	132,063
2000	R	44.5%Gore44,745	52.5%Bush52,788	1.9%Nader1,927	R+8.0	R+0.6	R+8.5	100,511
1996	R	42.7%Clinton33,462	50.1%Dole39,292	6.2%Perot4,881	R+7.4	D+4.4	R+16.0	78,443
1992	R	35.0%Clinton26,486	46.8%Bush35,432	17.4%Perot13,190	R+11.8	D+22.6	R+17.4	75,680
1988	R	32.3%Dukakis19,198	66.7%Bush39,654	1.0%	R+34.4	D+3.7	R+26.7	59,453
1984	R	30.8%Mondale15,631	68.9%Reagan34,992	0.4%	R+38.1	R+11.8	R+19.9	50,803
1980	R	32.7%Carter12,787	59.0%Reagan23,061	8.4%	R+26.3	R+25.5	R+16.5	39,119
1976	R	48.3%Carter15,215	49.0%Ford15,446	2.7%	R+0.7	D+32.5	R+2.8	31,524
1972	R	32.7%McGovern1,585	66.0%Nixon3,199	1.4%	R+33.3	R+20.6	R+10.1	4,850
1968	R	29.8%Humphrey5,566	42.5%Nixon7,944	27.7%	R+12.7	D+12.7	R+12.0	18,686
1964	R	37.2%Johnson1,512	62.6%Goldwater2,545	0.2%	R+25.4	R+31.9	R+48.0	4,064
1960	D	53.0%Kennedy2,987	46.5%Nixon2,624	0.5%	D+6.4	D+10.8	D+6.3	5,639
1956	R	46.6%Stevenson1,851	51.0%Eisenhower2,023	2.4%	R+4.3	R+5.4	D+11.1	3,970
1952	D	50.2%Stevenson1,653	49.1%Eisenhower1,619	0.7%	D+1.0	R+18.3	D+11.8	3,295
1948	D	55.8%Truman1,162	36.5%Dewey760	7.7%	D+19.3	R+8.1	D+14.8	2,083
1944	D	63.6%Roosevelt1,340	36.2%Dewey763	0.2%	D+27.4	R+20.8	D+19.9	2,108
1940	D	74.0%Roosevelt1,435	25.8%Willkie500	0.3%	D+48.2	R+5.0	D+38.2	1,940
1936	D	76.3%Roosevelt1,512	23.1%Landon457	0.7%	D+53.2	R+5.1	D+29.0	1,982
1932	D	78.6%Roosevelt1,499	20.2%Hoover386	1.2%	D+58.4	D+57.8	D+40.6	1,907
1928	D	50.3%Smith826	49.7%Hoover817	0.0%	D+0.5	R+48.9	D+18.0	1,643
1924	D	72.4%Davis847	23.0%Coolidge269	4.4%La Follette52	D+49.4	D+16.1	D+74.6	1,170
1920	D	66.6%Cox786	33.3%Harding393	0.2%	D+33.3	R+25.9	D+59.5	1,181
1916	D	79.4%Wilson754	20.2%Hughes192	0.4%	D+59.2	R+14.0	D+56.0	950
1912	D	81.4%Wilson814	8.2%Taft82	10.4%	D+73.2	D+16.5	D+53.7	1,000
1908	D	77.8%Bryan738	21.1%Taft200	1.2%	D+56.7	D+4.9	D+66.2	949
1904	D	75.6%Parker724	23.8%Roosevelt228	0.6%	D+51.8	D+18.7	D+71.4	958
1900	D	66.5%Bryan1,351	33.5%McKinley680	0.0%	D+33.0	D+3.5	D+40.6	2,031
1896	D	64.6%Bryan1,341	35.0%McKinley727	0.4%	D+29.6	R+4.1	D+35.6	2,077
1892	D	65.9%Cleveland1,356	32.2%Harrison663	1.8%	D+33.7	—	D+32.0	2,057
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	58.4%134,715	41.6%95,893	230,608
2020	D	65.6%112,212	34.4%58,786	170,998
2018	D	63.1%102,595	36.9%59,998	162,593

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	61.1%137,060	38.9%87,310	224,370
2020Class II	D	64.2%Mark Warner144,162	35.7%Daniel Gade80,070	224,415
2018Class I	D	65.0%Tim Kaine106,449	33.0%Corey Stewart54,040	163,846
2014Class II	D	50.4%Mark Warner48,140	47.5%Ed Gillespie45,366	95,528
2012Class I	D	57.8%Tim Kaine102,859	42.0%George Allen74,809	177,988
2008Class II	D	65.3%Mark Warner104,517	33.5%Jim Gilmore53,545	159,999
2006Class I	D	50.5%Jim Webb44,503	48.1%George Allen42,409	88,111
2002Class II	R	0.0%None0	81.4%John Warner43,375	53,263
2000Class I	R	46.0%Chuck Robb45,023	54.0%George Allen52,783	97,825
1996Class II	R	46.2%Mark Warner34,394	53.8%John Warner40,055	74,500
1994Class I	R	39.9%Chuck Robb23,095	46.4%Oliver North26,879	57,930
1990Class II	R	0.0%None0	81.1%John Warner26,661	32,878
1988Class I	D	67.0%Chuck Robb36,715	33.0%Maurice A. Dawkins18,049	54,768
1984Class II	R	23.9%Edythe Harrison11,386	76.1%John Warner36,337	47,725
1982Class I	R	49.0%Dick Davis13,467	51.0%Paul S. Trible14,038	27,509
1978Class II	R	49.8%Andrew Miller9,658	50.2%John Warner9,727	19,389
1976Class I	D	46.9%Elmo Zumwalt13,568	0.0%None0	28,921
1972Class II	R	37.5%William B. Spong Jr.10,069	58.6%Bill Scott15,741	26,863
1970Class I	D	29.6%George C. Rawlings Jr.4,060	23.5%Ray Garland3,228	13,738
1966Class II	D	63.6%William B. Spong Jr.4,372	28.7%James P. Ould Jr.1,976	6,877
1964Class I	D	63.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,329	18.4%Richard A. May1,552	8,430
1960Class II	D	70.5%A. Willis Robertson3,423	0.0%None0	4,858
1958Class I	D	68.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,879	0.0%None0	2,731
1954Class II	D	78.9%A. Willis Robertson1,290	0.0%None0	1,636
1952Class I	D	78.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,352	0.0%None0	2,982
1948Class II	D	71.4%A. Willis Robertson1,348	26.1%Robert H. Woods492	1,888
1946Class I	D	71.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.868	23.0%Lester S. Parsons280	1,215
1942Class II	D	94.6%Carter Glass544	0.0%None0	575
1940Class I	D	95.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,655	0.0%None0	1,737
1936Class II	D	95.5%Carter Glass1,595	3.6%George Rohlson60	1,670
1934Class I	D	85.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.770	13.1%Lawrence C. Page119	905
1930Class II	D	85.9%Carter Glass823	0.0%None0	958
1928Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson1,584	0.0%None0	1,584
1924Class II	D	90.7%Carter Glass792	1.0%William Doak9	873
1922Class I	D	97.4%Claude Swanson302	2.3%J.W. McGavock7	310
1918Class II	D	100.0%Thomas S. Martin329	0.0%None0	329
1916Class I	D	100.0%Claude Swanson903	0.0%None0	903

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1966Special · Class I	D	62.6%Harry F. Byrd Jr.4,374	29.3%Lawrence Traylor2,045	6,985
1933Special · Class I	D	77.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.628	20.8%Henry Wise169	811

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2025	D	67.0%Abigail Spanberger111,198	32.7%Winsome Earle-Sears54,309	165,888
2017	D	61.1%Ralph Northam74,932	37.9%Ed Gillespie46,454	122,714
2013	D	51.9%Terry McAuliffe50,441	43.7%Ken Cuccinelli42,431	97,116
2009	R	41.2%Creigh Deeds30,847	58.7%Bob McDonnell43,993	74,940
2005	D	49.9%Tim Kaine33,364	48.2%Jerry Kilgore32,178	66,797
2001	R	46.8%Mark Warner27,297	52.4%Mark Earley30,543	58,342
1997	R	35.6%Don Beyer18,110	63.1%Jim Gilmore32,049	50,820
1993	R	36.8%Mary Sue Terry16,823	62.6%George Allen28,606	45,670
1989	R	49.0%Douglas Wilder20,329	50.9%Marshall Coleman21,104	41,467
1985	D	55.3%Gerald Baliles13,499	44.7%Wyatt Durrette10,909	24,412
1981	D	51.4%Chuck Robb13,387	48.6%Marshall Coleman12,644	26,039
1977	R	46.2%Henry Howell8,700	53.2%John N. Dalton10,014	18,841

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Prince William County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	273,775
2018	284,100
2020	306,784
2022	316,642
2024	333,225

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−3,093 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −17,616 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $76,484 in average income, against $104,607 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+27.7 on average — 9.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Prince William County, VA itself (D+17.9).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Fairfax County, VA4,212D+34.7
Manassas city, VA709D+14.8
Alexandria city, VA692D+57.1
Loudoun County, VA671D+16.2
Stafford County, VA582D+0.8
Arlington County, VA442D+58.1

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Fairfax County, VA2,805
Stafford County, VA1,370
Manassas city, VA687
Fauquier County, VA609
Loudoun County, VA609
Spotsylvania County, VA576

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Prince William County, VA in Prince William County, VA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+6,335
2012	+2,988
2013	+1,432
2014	−1,479
2015	−764
2016	−2,063
2017	−718
2018	−2,702
2019	−1,529
2021	−2,492
2022	−5,800
2023	−4,119
2024	−3,612
2025	−3,093

Prince William's rapid demographic transformation — driven by a surge in immigrant and college-educated residents along the I-95 corridor — has shifted its presidential margin from single digits to D+18 in roughly two decades.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 38.1 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.9 points.

A population of 488,880, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,402 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fairfax County and Loudoun County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Fairfax County

Virginia

93.7twin score

median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Loudoun County

Virginia

93.6twin score

median income2016–2024 trajectory≠ college share

Arapahoe County

Colorado

93.2twin score

2016–2024 trajectorycollege share≠ median income

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Prince William County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/51153/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Prince William County, VA — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Frequently asked questions

How did Prince William County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Prince William County, Virginia voted Democratic by 17.9 points (D+17.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 228,712 votes cast, 131,128 went Democratic and 90,203 went Republican.

When did Prince William County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Prince William County, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Prince William County, Virginia?

Prince William County, Virginia has a population of 488,880 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Prince William County, Virginia?

Median household income in Prince William County, Virginia is $131,402 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Prince William County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Prince William County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.

Measure

Prince William County

Virginia

United States

Median age

36.3

39.3

39.1

Age 18–24

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

11.3%

16.7%

17.2%

Measure

Prince William County

Virginia

United States

Median household income

$131,402

$93,170

$84,427

Poverty rate

6.2%

10.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

44.9%

42.3%

35.6%

Measure

Prince William County

Virginia

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

36.5%

17.5%

22.3%

Spanish

20.0%

7.9%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

5.5%

2.6%

2.0%

Arabic

1.5%

0.8%

0.4%

Other languages

3.8%

1.1%

0.8%

Measure

Prince William County

Virginia

United States

Catholic

15.2%

10.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

12.8%

19.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

59.1%

54.3%

51.5%

Muslim

5.2%

2.0%

1.3%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+17.9MIT Election Lab

Population

488,8802024 5-year

Median household income

$131,4022024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

37.9%2024 5-year

Black

19.6%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

26.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+73.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+38.1 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Fairfax County, VA · twin score 93.7

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

196,474

274,536

71.6%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

163,846

283,920

57.7%

C/A

2020 · Presidential

229,515

292,178

78.6%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

154,156

305,753

50.4%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

229,615

311,411

73.7%

A/A

Prince William County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -409-Tyler409-Tyler

2,108

1,672

115

3,895

54.1%

42.9%

D+11.2

Precinct -112-Burke-Nickens112-Burke-Nickens

1,868

1,638

111

3,617

51.6%

45.3%

D+6.4

Precinct -407-Heritage Hunt407-Heritage Hunt

1,873

1,614

3,536

53.0%

45.6%

D+7.3

Precinct -402-Gravely402-Gravely

1,485

1,956

3,529

42.1%

55.4%

R+13.3

Precinct -410-Mountain View410-Mountain View

1,650

1,658

3,404

48.5%

48.7%

R+0.2

Precinct -104-Nokesville104-Nokesville

1,347

1,887

3,314

40.6%

56.9%

R+16.3

Precinct -111-Limestone111-Limestone

1,683

1,493

125

3,301

51.0%

45.2%

D+5.8

Precinct -114-Bristow Run114-Bristow Run

1,737

1,449

115

3,301

52.6%

43.9%

D+8.7

Precinct -203-Bennett203-Bennett

1,769

1,326

116

3,211

55.1%

41.3%

D+13.8

Precinct -107-Marsteller107-Marsteller

1,672

1,272

3,028

55.2%

42.0%

D+13.2

Precinct -406-Alvey406-Alvey

1,511

1,402

2,992

50.5%

46.9%

D+3.6

Precinct -103-Glenkirk103-Glenkirk

1,492

1,351

128

2,971

50.2%

45.5%

D+4.7

Precinct -509-McCoart509-McCoart

1,601

1,266

2,954

54.2%

42.9%

D+11.3

Precinct -511-Westridge511-Westridge

1,782

1,031

114

2,927

60.9%

35.2%

D+25.7

Precinct -110-Buckland Mills110-Buckland Mills

1,489

1,317

113

2,919

51.0%

45.1%

D+5.9

Precinct -413-Reagan413-Reagan

1,368

1,446

2,902

47.1%

49.8%

R+2.7

Precinct -513-Woodbridge513-Woodbridge

1,653

1,108

140

2,901

57.0%

38.2%

D+18.8

Precinct -501-Springwoods501-Springwoods

1,732

983

106

2,821

61.4%

34.8%

D+26.6

Precinct -108-Victory108-Victory

1,577

1,167

2,814

56.0%

41.5%

D+14.6

Precinct -210-Yates Ford210-Yates Ford

1,298

1,407

2,787

46.6%

50.5%

R+3.9

Precinct -316-Potomac Shores316-Potomac Shores

1,977

730

2,782

71.1%

26.2%

D+44.8

Precinct -206-Coles206-Coles

1,329

1,368

2,774

47.9%

49.3%

R+1.4

Precinct -109-Chris Yung109-Chris Yung

1,473

1,148

120

2,741

53.7%

41.9%

D+11.9

Precinct -401-Evergreen401-Evergreen

1,131

1,545

2,734

41.4%

56.5%

R+15.1

Precinct -505-Lake Ridge505-Lake Ridge

1,661

974

2,734

60.8%

35.6%

D+25.1

Precinct -608-Enterprise608-Enterprise

1,658

982

2,733

60.7%

35.9%

D+24.7

Precinct -507-Chinn507-Chinn

1,747

806

112

2,665

65.6%

30.2%

D+35.3

Precinct -514-Antietam514-Antietam

1,630

929

2,646

61.6%

35.1%

D+26.5

Precinct -602-Beville602-Beville

1,633

864

146

2,643

61.8%

32.7%

D+29.1

Precinct -403-Bull Run403-Bull Run

1,382

1,147

2,619

52.8%

43.8%

D+9.0

Precinct -214-Lucasville214-Lucasville

1,155

1,384

2,604

44.4%

53.1%

R+8.8

Precinct -313-Cardinal313-Cardinal

1,613

874

102

2,589

62.3%

33.8%

D+28.5

Precinct -101-Brentsville101-Brentsville

763

1,770

2,588

29.5%

68.4%

R+38.9

Precinct -508-Purcell508-Purcell

1,284

1,224

2,587

49.6%

47.3%

D+2.3

Precinct -701-Belmont701-Belmont

1,630

884

2,586

63.0%

34.2%

D+28.8

Precinct -706-Rippon706-Rippon

1,580

889

2,546

62.1%

34.9%

D+27.1

Precinct -312-Triangle312-Triangle

1,657

805

2,544

65.1%

31.6%

D+33.5

Precinct -113-Lakes113-Lakes

1,336

1,087

2,507

53.3%

43.4%

D+9.9

Precinct -105-Piney Branch105-Piney Branch

1,254

1,134

2,481

50.5%

45.7%

D+4.8

Precinct -702-Library702-Library

1,775

615

2,456

72.3%

25.0%

D+47.2

Precinct -708-River Oaks708-River Oaks

1,768

601

2,441

72.4%

24.6%

D+47.8

Precinct -305-Forest Park305-Forest Park

1,407

965

2,438

57.7%

39.6%

D+18.1

Precinct -207-Spriggs207-Spriggs

1,431

915

2,425

59.0%

37.7%

D+21.3

Precinct -712-Leesylvania712-Leesylvania

1,479

824

2,389

61.9%

34.5%

D+27.4

Precinct -306-Four Seasons306-Four Seasons

1,499

827

2,381

63.0%

34.7%

D+28.2

Precinct -201-Hylton201-Hylton

1,432

866

2,378

60.2%

36.4%

D+23.8

Precinct -611-Neabsco611-Neabsco

1,526

777

2,378

64.2%

32.7%

D+31.5

Precinct -610-Fitzgerald610-Fitzgerald

1,535

702

2,317

66.2%

30.3%

D+36.0

Precinct -315-Williams315-Williams

1,667

562

2,300

72.5%

24.4%

D+48.0

Precinct -502-Occoquan502-Occoquan

1,405

788

2,281

61.6%

34.5%

D+27.0

Precinct -614-Rosa Parks614-Rosa Parks

1,434

747

2,279

62.9%

32.8%

D+30.1

Precinct -215-Saunders215-Saunders

1,444

694

115

2,253

64.1%

30.8%

D+33.3

Precinct -302-Potomac302-Potomac

1,571

564

112

2,247

69.9%

25.1%

D+44.8

Precinct -102-Cedar Point102-Cedar Point

1,172

1,005

2,231

52.5%

45.0%

D+7.5

Precinct -515-Marshall515-Marshall

1,087

1,049

2,187

49.7%

48.0%

D+1.7

Precinct -710-Powells Creek710-Powells Creek

1,581

517

2,187

72.3%

23.6%

D+48.7

Precinct -311-Swans Creek311-Swans Creek

1,501

602

2,181

68.8%

27.6%

D+41.2

Precinct -411-Mullen411-Mullen

1,414

709

2,176

65.0%

32.6%

D+32.4

Precinct -307-Henderson307-Henderson

1,232

848

2,143

57.5%

39.6%

D+17.9

Precinct -711-Grayson711-Grayson

1,362

717

2,133

63.9%

33.6%

D+30.2

Precinct -603-Hampton603-Hampton

1,384

662

2,112

65.5%

31.3%

D+34.2

Precinct -704-Porter704-Porter

1,433

576

2,097

68.3%

27.5%

D+40.9

Precinct -310-PW Forest Park310-PW Forest Park

1,377

637

2,080

66.2%

30.6%

D+35.6

Precinct -606-Bel Air606-Bel Air

1,171

828

2,056

57.0%

40.3%

D+16.7

Precinct -412-Catharpin412-Catharpin

787

1,221

2,044

38.5%

59.7%

R+21.2

Precinct -314-Cabin Branch314-Cabin Branch

1,248

732

2,040

61.2%

35.9%

D+25.3

Precinct -707-Kilby707-Kilby

1,215

735

2,019

60.2%

36.4%

D+23.8

Precinct -506-Old Bridge506-Old Bridge

1,198

725

1,997

60.0%

36.3%

D+23.7

Precinct -209-Independent Hill209-Independent Hill

710

1,230

1,991

35.7%

61.8%

R+26.1

Precinct -205-Buckhall205-Buckhall

968

947

1,988

48.7%

47.6%

D+1.1

Precinct -601-Dale601-Dale

1,263

622

1,966

64.2%

31.6%

D+32.6

Precinct -309-Ashland309-Ashland

1,160

745

1,953

59.4%

38.1%

D+21.2

Precinct -301-Dumfries301-Dumfries

1,300

588

1,945

66.8%

30.2%

D+36.6

Precinct -709-Freedom709-Freedom

1,380

482

1,945

71.0%

24.8%

D+46.2

Precinct -212-Yorkshire212-Yorkshire

950

924

1,922

49.4%

48.1%

D+1.4

Precinct -405-Ben Lomond405-Ben Lomond

1,143

702

1,889

60.5%

37.2%

D+23.3

Precinct -504-Rockledge504-Rockledge

1,147

632

1,832

62.6%

34.5%

D+28.1

Precinct -604-Gar-Field604-Gar-Field

1,202

546

1,791

67.1%

30.5%

D+36.6

Precinct -213-Parkside213-Parkside

888

790

1,747

50.8%

45.2%

D+5.6

Precinct -609-King609-King

974

585

140

1,699

57.3%

34.4%

D+22.9

Precinct -512-York512-York

1,171

470

1,695

69.1%

27.7%

D+41.4

Precinct -204-Ellis204-Ellis

915

717

1,666

54.9%

43.0%

D+11.9

Precinct -208-Colgan208-Colgan

753

804

1,592

47.3%

50.5%

R+3.2

Precinct -414-Seymour414-Seymour

978

548

1,584

61.7%

34.6%

D+27.1

Precinct -408-Sudley408-Sudley

750

749

1,531

49.0%

48.9%

D+0.1

Precinct -211-Signal Hill211-Signal Hill

885

597

1,524

58.1%

39.2%

D+18.9

Precinct -705-Potomac View705-Potomac View

847

623

1,514

55.9%

41.1%

D+14.8

Precinct -503-Mohican503-Mohican

933

495

1,467

63.6%

33.7%

D+29.9

Precinct -607-Hillendale607-Hillendale

851

559

1,455

58.5%

38.4%

D+20.1

Precinct -308-Montclair308-Montclair

832

576

1,444

57.6%

39.9%

D+17.7

Precinct -703-Lynn703-Lynn

1,000

391

1,436

69.6%

27.2%

D+42.4

Precinct -605-Minnieville605-Minnieville

841

541

1,426

59.0%

37.9%

D+21.0

Precinct -303-Graham Park303-Graham Park

955

425

1,418

67.3%

30.0%

D+37.4

Precinct -612-Elm Farm612-Elm Farm

849

509

1,417

59.9%

35.9%

D+24.0

Precinct -404-Unity Braxton404-Unity Braxton

787

541

1,378

57.1%

39.3%

D+17.9

Precinct -202-West Gate202-West Gate

765

515

1,309

58.4%

39.3%

D+19.1

Precinct -516-Kerrydale516-Kerrydale

602

353

999

60.3%

35.3%

D+24.9

Precinct -106-Unity Reed106-Unity Reed

453

297

767

59.1%

38.7%

D+20.3

Precinct -616-Markham616-Markham

513

129

651

78.8%

19.8%

D+59.0

Precinct -510-County Center510-County Center

445

129

606

73.4%

21.3%

D+52.1

Precinct -613-Hoadly613-Hoadly

407

165

605

67.3%

27.3%

D+40.0

Precinct -304-Quantico304-Quantico

191

235

440

43.4%

53.4%

R+10.0

Precinct -615-Commons615-Commons

197

247

79.8%

18.2%

D+61.5

Alvey51153000406

—

No votes

Antietam51153000514

—

No votes

Ashland51153000309

—

No votes

Battlefield51153000402

—

No votes

Bel Air51153000606

—

No votes

Belmont51153000701

—

No votes

Ben Lomond51153000404

—

No votes

Bennett51153000203

—

No votes

Bethel51153000506

—

No votes

Beville51153000602

—

No votes

Brentsville51153000101

—

No votes

Bristow Run51153000111

—

No votes

Buckhall51153000205

—

No votes

Buckland Mills (CD 01)51153000110

—

No votes

Buckland Mills (CD 10)2

—

No votes

Bull Run51153000403

—

No votes

Burke-Nickens (CD 01)2

—

No votes

Burke-Nickens (CD 10)51153000112

—

No votes

Cabin Branch51153000314

—

No votes

Cardinal51153000313

—

No votes

Catharpin51153000412

—

No votes

Cedar Point51153000102

—

No votes

Chinn51153000507

—

No votes

Chris Yung51153000109

—

No votes

Coles51153000206

—

No votes

Dale51153000601

—

No votes

Dumfries51153000301

—

No votes

Ellis51153000204

—

No votes

Enterprise51153000608

—

No votes

Evergreen51153000401

—

No votes

Fitzgerald51153000610

—

No votes

Forest Park51153000310

—

No votes

Freedom51153000709

—

No votes

Gideon51153000604

—

No votes

Glenkirk51153000103

—

No votes

Graham Park51153000303

—

No votes

Grayson51153000711

—

No votes

Hampton51153000603

—

No votes

Henderson51153000307

—

No votes

Heritage Hunt51153000407

—

No votes

Hylton51153000208

—

No votes

Independent Hill51153000209

—

No votes

Kerrydale51153000607

—

No votes

Kilby51153000707

—

No votes

King (CD 01)51153000609

—

No votes

King (CD 11)2

—

No votes

Lake Ridge51153000501

—

No votes

Leesylvania51153000712

—

No votes

Library51153000702

—

No votes

Limestone51153000105

—

No votes

Lucasville51153000214

—

No votes

Lynn51153000703

—

No votes

Lynnwood51153000513

—

No votes

Marshall51153000202

—

No votes

Marsteller51153000107

—

No votes

McCoart51153000509

—

No votes

Minnieville51153000605

—

No votes

Mohican51153000505

—

No votes

Montclair51153000308

—

No votes

Mountain View51153000410

—

No votes

Mullen51153000411

—

No votes

Neabsco51153000611

—

No votes

Nokesville51153000104

—

No votes

Occoquan51153000502

—

No votes

Old Bridge51153000503

—

No votes

Pattie51153000305

—

No votes

Penn (CD 01)51153000210

—

No votes

Penn (CD 11)2

—

No votes

Piney Branch51153000114

—

No votes

Porter51153000704

—

No votes

Potomac51153000302

—

No votes

Potomac View51153000705

—

No votes

Powells Creek51153000710

—

No votes

Quantico51153000304

—

No votes

Reagan51153000413

—

No votes

Rippon51153000706

—

No votes

River Oaks51153000708

—

No votes

Rockledge51153000504

—

No votes

Rosa Parks51153000215

—

No votes

Saratoga51153000213

—

No votes

Saunders51153000201

—

No votes

Signal Hill51153000211

—

No votes

Spriggs51153000207

—

No votes

Springwoods51153000508

—

No votes

Sudley51153000408

—

No votes

Swans Creek51153000311

—

No votes

Triangle (CD 01)51153000312

—

No votes

Triangle (CD 11)2

—

No votes

Tyler51153000409

—

No votes

Unity Braxton51153000405

—

No votes

Victory51153000108

—

No votes

Washington-Reid51153000306

—

No votes

Westgate51153000106

—

No votes

Westridge51153000511

—

No votes

Williams51153000315

—

No votes

Yates Ford51153000510

—

No votes

York51153000512

—

No votes

Yorkshire51153000212

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+33.7%
1896	+29.6%
1900	+33.0%
1904	+51.8%
1908	+56.7%
1912	+73.2%
1916	+59.2%
1920	+33.3%
1924	+49.4%
1928	+0.5%
1932	+58.4%
1936	+53.2%
1940	+48.2%
1944	+27.4%
1948	+19.3%
1952	+1.0%
1956	−4.3%
1960	+6.4%
1964	−25.4%
1968	−12.7%
1972	−33.3%
1976	−0.7%
1980	−26.3%
1984	−38.1%
1988	−34.4%
1992	−11.8%
1996	−7.4%
2000	−8.0%
2004	−6.4%
2008	+15.9%
2012	+16.0%
2016	+21.1%
2020	+27.0%
2024	+17.9%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

57.3%Harris131,128

39.4%Trump90,203

1.8%Stein4,148 +4

D+17.9

R+9.1

D+19.4

228,712

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Kamala D HarrisDemocratic57.3%131,128
Donald J TrumpRepublican39.4%90,203
Jill SteinIndependent1.8%4,148
OtherAll other candidates0.5%1,121
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%911
Cornel R WestIndependent0.3%674
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%527

2020

62.6%Biden142,863

35.6%Trump81,222

1.4%Jorgensen3,148

D+27.0

D+5.9

D+22.6

228,056

2016

57.6%Clinton113,144

36.5%Trump71,721

2.7%Johnson5,374

D+21.1

D+5.1

D+19.0

196,442

2012

57.3%Obama103,331

41.3%Romney74,458

1.3%

D+16.0

D+0.1

D+12.2

180,195

2008

57.5%Obama93,435

41.6%McCain67,621

0.9%

D+15.9

D+22.3

D+8.6

162,446

2004

46.4%Kerry61,271

52.8%Bush69,776

0.8%

R+6.4

D+1.6

R+4.0

132,063

2000

44.5%Gore44,745

52.5%Bush52,788

1.9%Nader1,927

R+8.0

R+0.6

R+8.5

100,511

1996

42.7%Clinton33,462

50.1%Dole39,292

6.2%Perot4,881

R+7.4

D+4.4

R+16.0

78,443

1992

35.0%Clinton26,486

46.8%Bush35,432

17.4%Perot13,190

R+11.8

D+22.6

R+17.4

75,680

1988

32.3%Dukakis19,198

66.7%Bush39,654

1.0%

R+34.4

D+3.7

R+26.7

59,453

1984

30.8%Mondale15,631

68.9%Reagan34,992

0.4%

R+38.1

R+11.8

R+19.9

50,803

1980

32.7%Carter12,787

59.0%Reagan23,061

8.4%

R+26.3

R+25.5

R+16.5

39,119

1976

48.3%Carter15,215

49.0%Ford15,446

2.7%

R+0.7

D+32.5

R+2.8

31,524

1972

32.7%McGovern1,585

66.0%Nixon3,199

1.4%

R+33.3

R+20.6

R+10.1

4,850

1968

29.8%Humphrey5,566

42.5%Nixon7,944

27.7%

R+12.7

D+12.7

R+12.0

18,686

1964

37.2%Johnson1,512

62.6%Goldwater2,545

0.2%

R+25.4

R+31.9

R+48.0

4,064

1960

53.0%Kennedy2,987

46.5%Nixon2,624

0.5%

D+6.4

D+10.8

D+6.3

5,639

1956

46.6%Stevenson1,851

51.0%Eisenhower2,023

2.4%

R+4.3

R+5.4

D+11.1

3,970

1952

50.2%Stevenson1,653

49.1%Eisenhower1,619

0.7%

D+1.0

R+18.3

D+11.8

3,295

1948

55.8%Truman1,162

36.5%Dewey760

7.7%

D+19.3

R+8.1

D+14.8

2,083

1944

63.6%Roosevelt1,340

36.2%Dewey763

0.2%

D+27.4

R+20.8

D+19.9

2,108

1940

74.0%Roosevelt1,435

25.8%Willkie500

0.3%

D+48.2

R+5.0

D+38.2

1,940

1936

76.3%Roosevelt1,512

23.1%Landon457

0.7%

D+53.2

R+5.1

D+29.0

1,982

1932

78.6%Roosevelt1,499

20.2%Hoover386

1.2%

D+58.4

D+57.8

D+40.6

1,907

1928

50.3%Smith826

49.7%Hoover817

0.0%

D+0.5

R+48.9

D+18.0

1,643

1924

72.4%Davis847

23.0%Coolidge269

4.4%La Follette52

D+49.4

D+16.1

D+74.6

1,170

1920

66.6%Cox786

33.3%Harding393

0.2%

D+33.3

R+25.9

D+59.5

1,181

1916

79.4%Wilson754

20.2%Hughes192

0.4%

D+59.2

R+14.0

D+56.0

950

1912

81.4%Wilson814

8.2%Taft82

10.4%

D+73.2

D+16.5

D+53.7

1,000

1908

77.8%Bryan738

21.1%Taft200

1.2%

D+56.7

D+4.9

D+66.2

949

1904

75.6%Parker724

23.8%Roosevelt228

0.6%

D+51.8

D+18.7

D+71.4

958

1900

66.5%Bryan1,351

33.5%McKinley680

0.0%

D+33.0

D+3.5

D+40.6

2,031

1896

64.6%Bryan1,341

35.0%McKinley727

0.4%

D+29.6

R+4.1

D+35.6

2,077

1892

65.9%Cleveland1,356

32.2%Harrison663

1.8%

D+33.7

—

D+32.0

2,057

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

58.4%134,715

41.6%95,893

230,608

2020

65.6%112,212

34.4%58,786

170,998

2018

63.1%102,595

36.9%59,998

162,593

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

61.1%137,060

38.9%87,310

224,370

2020Class II

64.2%Mark Warner144,162

35.7%Daniel Gade80,070

224,415

2018Class I

65.0%Tim Kaine106,449

33.0%Corey Stewart54,040

163,846

2014Class II

50.4%Mark Warner48,140

47.5%Ed Gillespie45,366

95,528

2012Class I

57.8%Tim Kaine102,859

42.0%George Allen74,809

177,988

2008Class II

65.3%Mark Warner104,517

33.5%Jim Gilmore53,545

159,999

2006Class I

50.5%Jim Webb44,503

48.1%George Allen42,409

88,111

2002Class II

0.0%None0

81.4%John Warner43,375

53,263

2000Class I

46.0%Chuck Robb45,023

54.0%George Allen52,783

97,825

1996Class II

46.2%Mark Warner34,394

53.8%John Warner40,055

74,500

1994Class I

39.9%Chuck Robb23,095

46.4%Oliver North26,879

57,930

1990Class II

0.0%None0

81.1%John Warner26,661

32,878

1988Class I

67.0%Chuck Robb36,715

33.0%Maurice A. Dawkins18,049

54,768

1984Class II

23.9%Edythe Harrison11,386

76.1%John Warner36,337

47,725

1982Class I

49.0%Dick Davis13,467

51.0%Paul S. Trible14,038

27,509

1978Class II

49.8%Andrew Miller9,658

50.2%John Warner9,727

19,389

1976Class I

46.9%Elmo Zumwalt13,568

0.0%None0

28,921

1972Class II

37.5%William B. Spong Jr.10,069

58.6%Bill Scott15,741

26,863

1970Class I

29.6%George C. Rawlings Jr.4,060

23.5%Ray Garland3,228

13,738

1966Class II

63.6%William B. Spong Jr.4,372

28.7%James P. Ould Jr.1,976

6,877

1964Class I

63.2%Harry F. Byrd Sr.5,329

18.4%Richard A. May1,552

8,430

1960Class II

70.5%A. Willis Robertson3,423

0.0%None0

4,858

1958Class I

68.8%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,879

0.0%None0

2,731

1954Class II

78.9%A. Willis Robertson1,290

0.0%None0

1,636

1952Class I

78.9%Harry F. Byrd Sr.2,352

0.0%None0

2,982

1948Class II

71.4%A. Willis Robertson1,348

26.1%Robert H. Woods492

1,888

1946Class I

71.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.868

23.0%Lester S. Parsons280

1,215

1942Class II

94.6%Carter Glass544

0.0%None0

575

1940Class I

95.3%Harry F. Byrd Sr.1,655

0.0%None0

1,737

1936Class II

95.5%Carter Glass1,595

3.6%George Rohlson60

1,670

1934Class I

85.1%Harry F. Byrd Sr.770

13.1%Lawrence C. Page119

905

1930Class II

85.9%Carter Glass823

0.0%None0

958

1928Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson1,584

0.0%None0

1,584

1924Class II

90.7%Carter Glass792

1.0%William Doak9

873

1922Class I

97.4%Claude Swanson302

2.3%J.W. McGavock7

310

1918Class II

100.0%Thomas S. Martin329

0.0%None0

329

1916Class I

100.0%Claude Swanson903

0.0%None0

903

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1966Special · Class I

62.6%Harry F. Byrd Jr.4,374

29.3%Lawrence Traylor2,045

6,985

1933Special · Class I

77.4%Harry F. Byrd Sr.628

20.8%Henry Wise169

811

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2025

67.0%Abigail Spanberger111,198

32.7%Winsome Earle-Sears54,309

165,888

2017

61.1%Ralph Northam74,932

37.9%Ed Gillespie46,454

122,714

2013

51.9%Terry McAuliffe50,441

43.7%Ken Cuccinelli42,431

97,116

2009

41.2%Creigh Deeds30,847

58.7%Bob McDonnell43,993

74,940

2005

49.9%Tim Kaine33,364

48.2%Jerry Kilgore32,178

66,797

2001

46.8%Mark Warner27,297

52.4%Mark Earley30,543

58,342

1997

35.6%Don Beyer18,110

63.1%Jim Gilmore32,049

50,820

1993

36.8%Mary Sue Terry16,823

62.6%George Allen28,606

45,670

1989

49.0%Douglas Wilder20,329

50.9%Marshall Coleman21,104

41,467

1985

55.3%Gerald Baliles13,499

44.7%Wyatt Durrette10,909

24,412

1981

51.4%Chuck Robb13,387

48.6%Marshall Coleman12,644

26,039

1977

46.2%Henry Howell8,700

53.2%John N. Dalton10,014

18,841

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Prince William County, VA
Year	Total registered
2016	273,775
2018	284,100
2020	306,784
2022	316,642
2024	333,225

How did Prince William County, Virginia vote in 2024?

In 2024, Prince William County, Virginia voted Democratic by 17.9 points (D+17.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 228,712 votes cast, 131,128 went Democratic and 90,203 went Republican.

When did Prince William County, Virginia last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Prince William County, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.

How many people live in Prince William County, Virginia?

Prince William County, Virginia has a population of 488,880 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Prince William County, Virginia?

Median household income in Prince William County, Virginia is $131,402 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.

What is the political history of Prince William County, Virginia?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Prince William County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.