akashic
1876–2024
Prince William County, Virginia
Prince William County·Virginia

Prince William County changed direction in the last decade.

Once a bellwether exurb, now among Virginia's most Democratic counties

18762024·38 elections
Prince William County, Virginia · David Benbennick · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+18
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
488,880
2024 ACS
Most similar
Manassas Park city
VA · similarity 0.99
103 precincts · 228,712 votes cast
Harris · D+18
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+17.9%
131,12890,203228,712
2020D
+27.0%
142,86381,222228,056
2016D
+21.1%
113,14471,721196,442
2012D
+16.0%
103,33174,458180,195
2008D
+15.9%
93,43567,621162,446
2004R
−6.4%
61,27169,776132,063
2000R
−8.0%
44,74552,788100,511
1996R
−7.4%
33,46239,29278,443
1992R
−11.8%
26,48635,43275,680
1988R
−34.4%
19,19839,65459,453
1984R
−38.1%
15,63134,99250,803
1980R
−26.3%
12,78723,06139,119
1976R
−0.7%
15,21515,44631,524
1972R
−33.3%
1,5853,1994,850
1968R
−12.7%
5,5667,94418,686
1964R
−25.4%
1,5122,5454,064
1960D
+6.4%
2,9872,6245,639
1956R
−4.3%
1,8512,0233,970
1952D
+1.0%
1,6531,6193,295
1948D
+19.3%
1,1627602,083
1944D
+27.4%
1,3407632,108
1940D
+48.2%
1,4355001,940
1936D
+53.2%
1,5124571,982
1932D
+58.4%
1,4993861,907
1928D
+0.5%
8268171,643
1924D
+49.4%
8472691,170
1920D
+33.3%
7863931,181
1916D
+59.2%
754192950
1912D
+73.2%
814821,000
1908D
+56.7%
738200949
1904D
+51.8%
724228958
1900D
+33.0%
1,3516802,031
1896D
+29.6%
1,3417272,077
1892D
+33.7%
1,3566632,057
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.3%
African American
16.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.6%
Other Christian
9.7%
Non-Christian
5.4%
Baptist
3.7%
Methodist
2.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Prince William's rapid demographic transformation — driven by a surge in immigrant and college-educated residents along the I-95 corridor — has shifted its presidential margin from single digits to D+18 in roughly two decades.

The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the county by sixteen points. The 2024 margin was eighteen points, in line with the county's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 488,880, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $131,402 situate the county in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Manassas Park city and Henrico County.