akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 7·Virginia

Virginia 7th Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

One of Virginia's true toss-up districts, decided by fractions

18762024·38 elections
VA
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
718,098
2024 ACS

Virginia 7th Congressional District, Virginia: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+52 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
718,0982024 5-year
Median household income
$118,1492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.7%2024 5-year
Black
17.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+52 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+35 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
VINDMAN, Eugene SimonCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: SPANBERGER, Abigail (2023–2025), SPANBERGER, Abigail (2021–2023), SPANBERGER, Abigail (2019–2021), BRAT, David A. (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

11 counties · 4 D · 7 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−2.6%
176,966186,541371,258
D
+2.1%
177,757170,346355,207
R
−5.5%
132,573149,116299,297
R
−2.8%
132,917140,680278,002
R
−0.1%
127,100127,287256,978
R
−18.7%
84,575123,871210,058
R
−16.5%
65,53092,396162,915
R
−10.0%
53,11066,137129,738
R
−12.2%
45,03460,588127,253
R
−30.3%
33,33562,84597,237
R
−32.9%
28,23156,13184,901
R
−17.5%
26,95339,31470,761
D
+2.4%
29,81628,36359,669
R
−34.6%
14,00929,20843,968
R
−9.8%
13,32317,53142,823
D
+3.8%
15,87714,71730,644
R
−1.9%
11,08211,52722,839
R
−17.3%
7,59911,09620,176
R
−14.5%
8,05610,80018,965
D
+4.2%
6,1385,57113,348
D
+14.8%
7,5495,59713,172
D
+35.4%
8,4023,99812,445
D
+33.1%
8,2544,13512,428
D
+42.9%
8,3323,30211,731
R
−8.0%
5,2856,20811,493
D
+37.7%
5,5082,4078,221
D
+20.5%
5,2173,4328,710
D
+34.4%
4,6442,2616,935
D
+52.1%
4,3411,0226,374
D
+23.4%
4,3942,7177,156
D
+27.7%
4,1772,3566,584
D
+8.0%
8,2337,01015,289
D
+5.0%
9,1218,24117,478
D
+16.4%
9,4156,66116,817
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D54.4%45.4%4,445,535
2020D56.0%43.9%4,405,087
2018D57.0%41.0%3,351,373
2014D49.1%48.3%2,184,473
2012D52.9%47.0%3,802,196
2008D65.0%33.7%3,643,294
2006D49.6%49.2%2,370,445
2002R0.0%82.6%1,489,422
2000R47.7%52.3%2,718,301
1996R47.4%52.5%2,354,715
1994D45.6%42.9%2,057,463
1990R0.0%80.9%1,083,690
1988D71.2%28.7%2,068,897
1984R29.9%70.0%2,007,487
1982R48.8%51.2%1,415,622
1978R49.8%50.2%1,222,256
1976O38.3%0.0%1,557,500

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.0%
German
10.7%
Irish
9.8%
American
6.0%
Italian
4.1%
Scottish
1.8%
Polish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.9%
speak English only
Spanish11.9%
Other Indo-European3.7%
Other languages2.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
11.3%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.1%
Baptist
9.1%
Methodist
3.5%
Non-Christian
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Virginia's 7th swung to within 0.3 points in 2024, reflecting a suburban electorate that has shifted repeatedly over the past decade as the Richmond-area exurbs have grown and diversified.

The Democratic margin in Virginia 7th Congressional District has rarely exceeded fifty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded thirty-five points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by three points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 7% poverty rate, and a median household income of $118,149 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 7, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 7, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 7, Virginia voted Republican by 2.6 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 371,258 votes cast, 176,966 went Democratic and 186,541 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 7, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 7, Virginia as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 7, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 7, Virginia voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 7, Virginia?
Congressional District 7, Virginia has a population of 718,098 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 7, Virginia?
Median household income in Congressional District 7, Virginia is $118,149 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Congressional District 7, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 7, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.